Flexible payments firm Klarna has brought its payment solution to Walmart Canada.By completing this form, you agree to receive marketing communications from PYMNTS and to the sharing of your information with our sponsor, if applicable, in accordance with our Privacy Policy and Terms and Conditions .Complete the form to unlock this article and enjoy unlimited free access to all PYMNTS content — no additional logins required.The roll-out, announced Monday (Aug. 25), makes Walmart Canada and its 400-plus store ...

Core Insights - Affirm Holdings, Inc. is expected to report its fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results on August 28, 2025, with an earnings estimate of 11 cents per share and revenues of $839.9 million [1][6] - The earnings estimate has improved by 2 cents over the past 60 days, indicating a year-over-year improvement of 178.6%, while quarterly revenues are projected to grow by 27.4% year-over-year [2] Financial Performance - For the current fiscal year, Affirm's revenue estimate stands at $3.19 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 37.2%, with EPS projected at 5 cents, indicating a 103% improvement [3] - Affirm has consistently beaten earnings estimates in the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 102.2% [3] Earnings Predictions - The company is predicted to beat earnings expectations this quarter, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +62.00% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [4] - Key growth drivers for Q4 include expansion in Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV), an increase in active merchants and consumers, and higher virtual card usage [6] Growth Metrics - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for GMV in Q4 suggests a growth of 32.3% year-over-year, with management anticipating GMV to be between $9.4 billion and $9.7 billion [8] - Active consumers are expected to grow by 20.9% year-over-year, with transactions per active consumer projected to rise by 18.4% [9] Revenue Breakdown - Merchant network revenues are estimated at $235 million, indicating a 29.8% increase from the prior year [7] - Card network revenues are expected to improve by 37.5% year-over-year, with interest income projected at $416.1 million, reflecting a 23.3% rise [10] Stock Performance - Affirm's stock has increased by 30.5% year-to-date, outperforming both its industry (19.3%) and the S&P 500 (9.8%) [12] - The stock is currently trading at a forward P/S ratio of 6.33, above its three-year median of 3.63 and the industry average of 5.72, indicating a stretched valuation [14] Strategic Positioning - Affirm is enhancing its BNPL market position by focusing on repeat usage and expanding its ecosystem, with partnerships with major retailers and a growing merchant network of nearly 360,000 [16] - The company is also expanding into essential spending categories and has collaborations that extend its reach into Europe and younger demographics [16] Competitive Landscape - The BNPL market remains competitive, with significant players like PayPal, Block, and Klarna increasing their offerings, posing risks to Affirm's market share [19] - Rising operating expenses and a premium valuation suggest that investors may consider waiting for a more favorable entry point [20]

Core Insights - PayPal's Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) service is a significant growth driver, with total payment volume increasing over 20% year over year in Q2 2025 and monthly active accounts growing by 18% [1][8] - The average order value for transactions using BNPL is more than 80% higher than standard checkout, leading to increased merchant sales and revenue opportunities [2][8] - PayPal is expanding its BNPL offerings into omnichannel retail with the "Pay Later To Go" product, which allows installment payments in physical stores, enhancing its competitive position [3][8] PayPal's BNPL Performance - BNPL total payment volume rose over 20% year over year in Q2 2025, with active accounts increasing by 18% across nine global markets [1][8] - Retailers utilizing BNPL, such as Ace Hardware, reported a 35% increase in PayPal sales and a sevenfold increase in order size [2][8] Competitive Landscape - Standalone BNPL providers are innovating rapidly, and the entry of major players like Apple is intensifying competition [4] - Block's Afterpay saw a 17% year-over-year growth in BNPL Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) to $9.11 billion in Q2 2025, with a high on-time payment rate of 96% [5] - Affirm Holdings reported a 45.6% year-over-year increase in total transactions, reaching 31.3 million, with a 94% repeat transaction rate [6] Valuation and Estimates - PayPal shares have declined 20.9% year to date, underperforming the broader industry and the S&P 500 Index [7] - The stock is trading at a forward 12-month P/E of 12.13X, significantly lower than the industry average of 22.17X, indicating a potentially undervalued position [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PayPal's earnings in 2025 is $5.22 per share, reflecting a 12.3% growth over 2024, with a further estimate of $5.77 for 2026, suggesting 10.5% growth year over year [11]

Core Insights - Costco Wholesale Corporation's partnership with Affirm to offer "Buy Now, Pay Later" (BNPL) financing is expected to enhance digital sales, particularly for high-value items like appliances and electronics, by reducing psychological barriers for budget-conscious consumers [1][3] Digital Sales Performance - E-commerce comparable sales increased by 14.8% in Q3 of fiscal 2025, with website traffic rising by 20% and average order values up by 3% [2][8] - Costco Logistics reported a 31% year-over-year increase in big and bulky e-commerce deliveries, indicating a strong demand in this segment where BNPL could further drive adoption [2][8] Competitive Landscape - Competitors such as Walmart and Amazon have already integrated BNPL options into their platforms, with Walmart focusing on seasonal items and electronics, while Amazon offers Amazon Pay Later to facilitate monthly payments [5][6] Financial Metrics - Costco's stock has performed well, with shares increasing by 11.4% over the past year, surpassing the industry's growth of 7.7% [7] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates year-over-year sales growth of 8.1% and earnings per share growth of 11.6% for the current financial year [10] Valuation - Costco's forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio is 48.96, which is higher than the industry average of 32.67, reflecting a Value Score of D [9]

Core Insights - Affirm is launching two integrations to enhance its buy now, pay later (BNPL) services, strengthening partnerships with Google and Stripe [1][4] - The integration with Google Chrome allows U.S. shoppers to select Affirm directly from the browser's autofill menu at checkout, facilitating easier access to installment payment plans [2][3] - The integration with Stripe Terminal enables in-store shoppers to scan a QR code for financing options, with repayment terms ranging from 30 days to 60 months [4] Integration with Google - Affirm's integration with Google Chrome's autofill menu allows eligible consumers to choose biweekly or monthly payment plans for purchases between $35 and $30,000 [3] - This feature requires no additional setup for merchants and will be automatically activated on select sites, aiming to make the payment process more seamless [3] Integration with Stripe - Affirm becomes the first BNPL provider to integrate with Stripe Terminal, allowing consumers to apply for financing in participating stores by scanning a QR code [4] - This integration is expected to help merchants drive growth and meet customer needs more effectively [4] Consumer Behavior Insights - Research indicates that nearly three-quarters of consumers' last non-grocery retail purchases were made in person, highlighting the importance of in-store payment options [5] - BNPL services influence consumer purchasing behavior, with many users delaying purchases or opting for cheaper items if BNPL is unavailable [6] - A significant portion of consumers relies on BNPL out of necessity, often linked to their income levels [6] Recent Partnerships - Affirm has been actively forming partnerships to boost adoption, including a recent collaboration with Shopmonkey for car repair shops and an expansion of its partnership with travel search engine Kayak [7]

Core Insights - Equifax and Qlarifi are collaborating on a study to analyze the impact of Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) reporting on credit risk assessments and fraud prevention [1][2] - The study will utilize real-time BNPL data from multiple providers, marking the first of its kind in the U.S. [2][4] Group 1: BNPL Usage Trends - Over 50% of U.S. consumers currently use BNPL for payments, with 35% planning to increase their usage in 2025 [2] - The growing adoption of BNPL necessitates a deeper understanding of its predictive capabilities for lenders [5] Group 2: Study Objectives and Benefits - The joint study aims to minimize loan stacking risks, quantify the predictive power of BNPL data, and enhance consumer benefits [4] - It will explore how BNPL data can improve consumer protection by providing early visibility into financial stress and preventing overextension [5] Group 3: Company Profiles - Equifax is a global data, analytics, and technology company with nearly 15,000 employees, operating in 24 countries [7] - Qlarifi specializes in real-time BNPL consumer credit data, offering insights that help lenders make informed underwriting decisions [8]

Core Viewpoint - Synchrony Financial is significantly enhancing its partnerships and expanding its Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) offerings, which is expected to drive revenue and attract new customers [1][3][4] Group 1: Partnerships and Product Offerings - Synchrony has renewed its partnership with Walmart, launching a new credit card program through collaboration with FinTech OnePay, which includes both general-purpose and private-label cards [3][4] - The company has introduced "Synchrony Pay Later" at Amazon, allowing customers to split purchases of $50 or more into installment payments, further extending its relationship with Amazon [4] - Synchrony’s alliance with PayPal now includes a physical PayPal Credit card, enabling BNPL options for everyday purchases and promotional financing [4][11] Group 2: Consumer Behavior and Market Insights - Synchrony’s CFO noted that consumers are becoming more discerning rather than pulling back on spending, particularly in big-ticket discretionary purchases [3][10] - The company tracks discretionary spending in real-time across 62 million active accounts, observing a positive trend in ticket sizes for clothing, cosmetics, and dining after three negative quarters [10] - There is a focus on attracting higher-income households, with Walmart targeting those earning $100,000 or more, which aligns with Synchrony’s new card offerings [8] Group 3: In-Store BNPL Adoption Challenges - Despite the growth in BNPL, in-store adoption remains a challenge, with BNPL purchases accounting for only 7.4% of in-store transactions during Black Friday [7] - Synchrony is confident that its retail expertise will enhance in-store adoption of BNPL options, especially with senior executives at Walmart and OnePay focused on this area [7] Group 4: CareCredit and Growth Segments - Synchrony’s CareCredit business is its fastest-growing vertical, providing promotional financing at 266,000 medical, dental, and veterinary locations, capitalizing on the emotional bond with consumers [12] - The company is expanding CareCredit into high-cost specialties, such as fertility and behavioral health, where traditional credit cards may be maxed out [12] Group 5: Investor Sentiment and Future Outlook - Investors are focused on themes related to consumer credit, growth recovery, and the significance of Synchrony’s partnerships with Amazon, Walmart, and PayPal [13] - The company aims to demonstrate that disciplined underwriting and deep merchant integrations can coexist, indicating a robust market for private-label and cobranded cards [13]

Core Insights - The BNPL Summit, organized by equipifi, will take place virtually on August 20-21, 2025, featuring leaders and innovators in the financial sector to discuss the future of payments and lending [1][2]. Industry Overview - BNPL has become an integral part of the modern payments ecosystem, with expectations for financial institutions to offer these services [4]. - The summit aims to address the growing importance of BNPL in expanding credit access and enhancing financial wellness [4]. Event Details - The summit will include two main focus areas: Day 1 will cover industry data, consumer trends, and strategies for BNPL adoption, while Day 2 will focus on implementation case studies, credit impact analysis, and emerging use cases for pay later solutions [7]. - The event is free for financial institutions, with sponsors including TransUnion, Velera, SWBC, and Jack Henry [4]. Company Insights - Equipifi is recognized as the leading BNPL platform for financial institutions in the U.S., providing a white label solution that aligns with consumer purchasing habits and financial goals [5]. - TransUnion, a key participant in the summit, is a global authority in credit data and insights, offering valuable programming to enhance the banking experience through BNPL [3][6].

Core Insights - Visa Inc. and Affirm Holdings are positioned at the forefront of the payments landscape, with Visa as a long-established card network and Affirm as a rapidly growing fintech innovator in the buy now, pay later (BNPL) space [1][2] Group 1: Visa's Position - Visa reported Q2 fiscal 2025 net revenue of $9.6 billion, a 9.3% year-over-year increase, driven by an 8% gain in payments volume and strong cross-border growth [3] - Visa's extensive global network captures over half of the purchase volume in the U.S. and billions of digital transactions, providing a durable competitive advantage [3][4] - The company returned $5.6 billion to shareholders through buybacks in the last quarter and has a new $30 billion repurchase authorization, indicating strong cash flow [4] - Visa is expanding into digital payments through Visa Direct and investing in real-time payments infrastructure to adapt to a digitizing financial landscape [5] - Visa's business model is primarily fee-based and dependent on banks and merchants, which may be less appealing to tech-savvy consumers seeking speed and flexibility [6] Group 2: Affirm's Growth - Affirm's revenues increased by 36% year-over-year to $783.1 million in Q3 FY25, supported by higher gross merchandise volume and expanded merchant relationships [7] - The active consumer count for Affirm rose to 21.9 million, with transactions per active user growing by 21.7%, indicating rising engagement [7] - Affirm operates outside traditional credit-card networks, partnering with major retailers like Shopify and Amazon, allowing it to directly tap into consumer spending [8] - The company has diversified its funding model with 24 securitizations totaling $12.25 billion and over 150 capital partners, showcasing operational maturity [10] - Affirm is expanding internationally through partnerships and is investing in new offerings like debit cards and B2B tools to diversify its business [11] Group 3: Financial Comparisons - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Affirm's fiscal 2025 EPS indicates a 101.8% year-over-year improvement, while Visa's is projected at 13.1% [13] - On a price-to-sales basis, Visa trades at 15.04X forward revenues, significantly above the industry average of 6.30X, while Affirm's price-to-sales multiple is at 5.41X, indicating potential for growth [14] - In the past year, Visa has returned 32.5%, while Affirm has delivered a remarkable 127.5% return, reflecting their respective revenue growth and market performance [16] Group 4: Conclusion - Visa continues to dominate global payments with scale and profitability, but its growth is tied to economic activity [19] - Affirm is benefiting from structural tailwinds and a flexible payment model, positioning it for future growth [20] - Despite higher leverage, Affirm's valuation reflects its growth potential, making it a compelling investment opportunity for those seeking exposure to the evolving fintech landscape [21]

Core Insights - The fintech landscape is evolving, with PayPal and Upstart Holdings emerging as significant players in different sectors [1][2][3] PayPal Overview - PayPal is transitioning from a transactional payment provider to a comprehensive commerce platform, focusing on user experience and international expansion [4][6] - Despite a nearly 14% decline in stock year-to-date, core operating metrics show resilience, with transaction margin dollars up 7% year-over-year and Venmo revenues increasing by 20% [5][3] - The Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) segment is performing well, with volumes rising over 20% and monthly active accounts increasing by 18% year-over-year [5] - PayPal is expanding internationally, with initiatives in Germany and the U.K., and partnerships with Coinbase, Amazon, and Shopify enhancing growth prospects [6][4] - Short-term pressures on margins are anticipated due to investments in modernization and competition from major players like Visa and Mastercard [7] Upstart Overview - Upstart is leveraging AI to disrupt traditional credit underwriting, automating 92% of loans in Q1 2025 and increasing conversion rates from 14% to 19% year-over-year [8][10] - The company is diversifying its offerings beyond personal loans into auto refinancing and HELOCs, with auto originations up 42% and HELOCs up 52% sequentially [10] - Upstart's marketplace model has diversified funding sources, with over 50% of volume backed by committed capital, and credit quality is improving with 32% of originations from super-prime borrowers [10][8] - Challenges include lower take rates due to competition and initial modest margins in newer products, alongside macroeconomic uncertainties [11] Financial Estimates - PayPal's 2025 sales and EPS are expected to rise by 2.9% and 9.5% respectively, with EPS estimates trending upward [12] - Upstart's 2025 sales are projected to increase by 59.46%, with EPS estimates also showing positive trends [13] Valuation Comparison - PayPal shares are considered undervalued with a Value Score of B, trading at a forward Price/Sales ratio of 2.1X [15] - Upstart shares are viewed as overvalued with a Value Score of F, trading at a forward Price/Sales ratio of 6.03X [15] Performance Insights - Over the past month, Upstart has outperformed PayPal and the S&P 500 composite [16] Conclusion - Both companies have unique strengths, with Upstart's rapid growth driven by AI innovation, while PayPal offers stability and a mature global payment infrastructure [19][20] - PayPal's diversified growth drivers and strategic evolution position it as a more reliable choice for investors seeking resilient growth [20][21]