新华财经北京12月27日电（记者刘玉龙）26日，"2026·变局创新——方正富邦基金投资策略会"举行， 方正证券研究所副所长燕翔、济安金信集群轮值主席韦洪波，以及方正富邦投研团队共同剖析宏观经济 脉络，探讨前沿产业趋势。 燕翔表示，2026年作为"十五五"规划的开局之年，高质量发展将成为贯穿全年经济工作的主线。经济增 长不再单纯追求速度，而是更加注重质量、效率和可持续性。当前我国高技术制造业、绿色能源、数字 经济等新质生产力领域已形成明显增长动能，装备制造业对工业增长的贡献率持续提升，产业结构正在 向高端化、智能化、绿色化加速演进。 燕翔分析，2025年是中国科技创新成果集中涌现的一年，从商业航天到量子计算，从固态电池到合成生 物，多项"从0到1"的突破正在转化为现实生产力。他预判，2026年科技政策将进一步加码，推动创新链 与产业链深度融合，科技创新不再是实验室里的概念，而是实实在在的增长引擎。 韦洪波从ETF资金流向、基金考核新规、量化私募新变化三大方向预判明年的市场行情。韦洪波称，每 年11-12月，资本市场进入机构布局次年的关键窗口期，ETF资金流向作为"先知先觉"的配置信号， 其"水晶球效应"已成为 ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The focus for 2026 in Asian markets will shift from AI-driven stocks to growth opportunities beyond AI, dividends, and previously overlooked stories in Asia [2][12][14] - Key themes include structural stories in energy self-sufficiency, new technology, financial deepening, and the growth of formal retail in ASEAN [12][14] Company-Specific Insights 1. Harbin Electric (1133 HK) - **Sector**: Electrical Equipment - **Market Cap**: USD 3.648 billion - **Current Price**: HKD 15.53; **Target Price**: HKD 22.00 - **PE Ratio**: 10.7; **PB Ratio**: 1.6; **ROE**: 16.2% - **Key Points**: - Benefiting from China's push for energy self-sufficiency, particularly in coal and nuclear power [16][18] - Expected earnings CAGR of 34% from 2024-2027 [19] - Potential inclusion in Stock Connect in 2026 [19] 2. Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) - **Sector**: Auto Components - **Market Cap**: USD 14.901 billion - **Current Price**: CNY 8.44; **Target Price**: CNY 11.00 - **Key Points**: - Positioned to benefit from the growth of autonomous driving technology [23][25] - Expected revenue CAGR of 64% from 2025-2027 [27] 3. Goldwind Science & Tech (002202 CH) - **Sector**: Electric Utilities - **Market Cap**: USD 8.753 billion - **Current Price**: CNY 15.35; **Target Price**: CNY 20.40 - **Key Points**: - Leading manufacturer of wind turbines with strong demand in emerging markets [30][32] - Expected net profit growth of 58% in 2025 [32] 4. Trip.com Group (TCOM US) - **Sector**: Internet Software & Services - **Market Cap**: USD 48.707 billion - **Current Price**: USD 74.52; **Target Price**: USD 90.00 - **Key Points**: - Dominates China's online travel market with over 50% GTV [39] - Expected revenue growth of 15% CAGR from 2025-2027 [39] 5. BOCHK Holdings (2388 HK) - **Sector**: Commercial Banks - **Market Cap**: USD 54.013 billion - **Current Price**: HKD 39.70; **Target Price**: HKD 45.20 - **Key Points**: - Benefits from increased cross-border opportunities and offers a 5.5% dividend yield [44][46] 6. PB Fintech (POLICYBZ IN) - **Sector**: Internet Software & Services - **Market Cap**: USD 8.999 billion - **Current Price**: INR 1,734.70; **Target Price**: INR 2,250.00 - **Key Points**: - Operates India's largest online insurance marketplace [49] - Expected revenue CAGR of 30% from 2025-2028 [51] 7. Phoenix Mills (PHNX IN) - **Sector**: Real Estate Management & Development - **Market Cap**: USD 6.904 billion - **Current Price**: INR 1,714.80; **Target Price**: INR 2,110.00 - **Key Points**: - Largest mall operator in India, evolving into a mixed-use developer [54][56] 8. E-Mart (139480 KS) - **Sector**: Multiline Retail - **Market Cap**: USD 1.482 billion - **Current Price**: KRW 79,000.00; **Target Price**: KRW 120,000.00 - **Key Points**: - Trading at 0.2x PB, highlighting deep value [59] - Transformation into a multiline retailer with various catalysts for growth [60] 9. E Ink Holdings (8069 TT) - **Sector**: Technology - **Market Cap**: Not specified - **Current Price**: TWD 169.00; **Target Price**: TWD 305.00 - **Key Points**: - Holds over 90% of the global e-paper market and expanding capacity [62] 10. ICTSI (ICT PM) - **Sector**: Transport & Logistics - **Market Cap**: Not specified - **Current Price**: PHP 558.50; **Target Price**: PHP 630.00 - **Key Points**: - Offers growth and yield at attractive valuations [62] 11. City Developments (CIT SP) - **Sector**: Real Estate Management & Development - **Market Cap**: Not specified - **Current Price**: SGD 7.43; **Target Price**: SGD 11.00 - **Key Points**: - Positioned to benefit from a turnaround in Singapore's property sector [62] 12. Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) - **Sector**: Retail - **Market Cap**: Not specified - **Current Price**: IDR 1,895.00; **Target Price**: IDR 2,900.00 - **Key Points**: - Expected to benefit from policies boosting consumption in Indonesia [62] Additional Insights - Asian dividends have doubled over the last 20 years, indicating potential for further increases in payout ratios [12] - The report emphasizes the importance of EPS growth for continued market gains, particularly in China [12][14]

Core Viewpoint - The current earnings season highlights significant supply constraints across various industries, which is leading to better-than-expected earnings for companies like Intel and others in the tech sector [1][2]. Technology Sector - Intel reported earnings that exceeded expectations due to supply constraints, allowing the company to raise prices, which is advantageous in any industry [2]. - Companies such as SanDisk, Western Digital, and Sea are experiencing strong stock performance due to their pricing power amid supply constraints, which have historically hindered their profitability [3]. - Micron is also noted for its supply constraints, which have led to a reevaluation of demand expectations [5][6]. - AMD's stock rose 7.6% following discussions about its supply constraints and partnerships in quantum computing [4]. Aerospace Industry - Boeing is expected to report on supply constraints affecting all its aircraft, particularly the 737 models, due to regulatory challenges and past mishaps [7]. - Major suppliers to Boeing, including General Electric, RTX, and Honeywell, are benefiting from increased demand for aircraft and maintenance services [7]. Energy Sector - Genova is highlighted for its supply constraints in power equipment, particularly large turbines used in data centers, suggesting potential for growth [8]. - The high cost of these machines, which can reach up to $100 million, positions Genova favorably in the market [9]. Precious Metals - The supply of gold remains constrained despite high prices, with foreign supplies becoming increasingly difficult to access due to tougher terms from host countries [10][11]. - The overall trend indicates a persistent imbalance between demand and supply across multiple industries, which is favorable for stock performance [11].

Summary of Techtronic Industries (0669.HK) Earnings Review Company Overview - **Company**: Techtronic Industries (TTI) - **Ticker**: 0669.HK - **Industry**: Power Tools and Equipment - **Market Size**: US$39 billion global power tool market in 2024 Key Financial Results (1H25) - **Revenue**: US$7,833 million, up 7% year-over-year (yoy) [1] - **Operating Profit**: US$2,921 million, up 14% yoy [1] - **Net Profit**: US$550 million, up 14% yoy [1] - **Gross Profit Margin**: 40.3%, an increase of 0.3 percentage points (pp) yoy [1] - **Operating Margin**: 9.0%, an increase of 0.5 pp yoy [1] - **Net Profit Margin**: 8.0%, an increase of 0.5 pp yoy [1] Segment Performance - **Power Equipment Revenue Growth**: +7.9% yoy [1] - **Floor Care & Appliances Revenue Growth**: -4.6% yoy [1] - **Geographical Performance**: - North America: +8% yoy - Europe: +12% yoy - Rest of the World (ROW): +6% yoy [1] - **Brand Performance**: - Milwaukee: +12% yoy - Ryobi: +9% yoy [1] Management Insights - **Long-term EBIT Margin Target**: Management reiterated a target of 10% [2] - **2H Growth Moderation**: Anticipated due to self-imposed shipping reductions for certain Milwaukee SKUs produced in China [2] - **China Capacity**: Expected to support non-US markets still growing at double digits [2] Tariff Mitigation Strategies - **Production Shift**: Over 95% of Ryobi production for the U.S. market has shifted to Vietnam, now subject to a 20% tariff [10] - **Milwaukee Production**: Less than 15% of total sales involve China-to-U.S. exports, with a full relocation targeted by the end of 2025 [10] - **Cost Management**: TTI has implemented selective price increases and other cost-cutting measures to maintain profitability [6] Financial Outlook - **Earnings Outlook Revision**: 2025E-2030E earnings outlook revised up by 5-8% mainly due to margin improvements [3] - **12-Month Price Target**: Updated to HK$110.1 based on a 2026E P/E of 19x [3] - **Dividend Payout Ratio**: Expected to increase to close to 50% [7] Risks and Considerations - **Downside Risks**: - Slowdown in U.S. businesses/residential fixed asset investment (FAI) - Slower product innovation - Changes in international trade/tax policy - U.S.-China tariff impacts [12] Additional Insights - **Cash Flow and Balance Sheet**: Strengthened with a net cash position of 3% to equity at the end of 1H25 [7] - **Market Position**: TTI's strong pricing power and market leadership in cordless tools are expected to drive growth despite tariff challenges [11] This summary encapsulates the key financial metrics, management insights, and strategic outlook for Techtronic Industries, highlighting both opportunities and risks in the current market environment.

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the **data center industry** and its dynamics, particularly focusing on the demand for AI computing power and related infrastructure developments. Key Points and Arguments Data Center Demand and Pricing - The demand for data centers has expanded beyond major companies (BBAT) to various industries due to the introduction of **DeepSeek**, which has increased training and inference needs across sectors [1][2] - There is a strong belief that data center prices will rise by the end of Q2, driven by supply-demand dynamics and new applications [2][3] - The supply of data centers, especially in regions like North China and East China, is tight, with no available stock for large-scale data centers (over 30 MW) [1] Long-term Contracts and Pricing Strategies - Major companies are signing long-term contracts (up to 10 years) with data center providers to lock in prices at the current low levels, indicating a strategic move to mitigate future price increases [3] - The contracts often include penalties for early termination, ensuring a minimum commitment period [3] AI Computing Power Trends - The demand for domestic AI computing power remains strong, with significant advancements in model development and applications since March [4][5] - Recent updates in AI models, such as **Dipstick v3** and **GDP 4.0**, have led to increased interest and usage in image generation and other applications [6][7] Agent Development and Its Impact - The evolution of AI agents is expected to drive a surge in computing power demand due to their complexity and the need for extensive model calls [9][10] - The agent's ability to handle complex tasks will significantly increase the computational requirements compared to traditional chatbots [9] Supply Chain and Infrastructure Developments - The construction of computing centers in China continues unabated, with over 800 projects reported, indicating robust demand from major companies [11][12] - The capital expenditure (KPEX) in the industry is accelerating, with a notable increase in spending on power and cooling systems, which constitute a significant portion of data center costs [26][27] Market Outlook and Investment Recommendations - Companies involved in power equipment and data center infrastructure are expected to perform well, with specific recommendations for firms like **麦克尼特** and **旺电器** due to their strong earnings potential [15][20] - The overall market for energy storage is projected to grow significantly, with estimates suggesting a demand of 300 GWh by 2024, driven by advancements in green energy solutions [24][25] Technological Innovations and Future Directions - The introduction of **green electricity direct connection** projects is anticipated to enhance the efficiency of data centers and related power systems [22][23] - The potential for long-duration energy storage solutions is being explored, which could reshape the energy supply landscape for data centers [23] Additional Important Insights - The pricing of critical components like **柴发** (diesel generators) and cooling systems is on the rise due to increased demand and supply constraints [26][27] - The market for AI computing power and related infrastructure is expected to see continued growth, with companies adapting to meet the evolving technological landscape [19][20] This summary encapsulates the key insights and developments discussed during the conference call, highlighting the current state and future prospects of the data center industry and AI computing power demand.