研究报告 Research Report 石药集团 2025 年实现收入 260 亿元（同比-10%），其中成药收入 206 亿元（同比-13%），原料药收入 37 亿元（同比+2%），功能食 品及其他业务 18 亿元（同比+4%）。毛利率 63.1%（同比-6.9 个百 分点）；研发费用 58 亿元（同比+12%），销售费用 65 亿元（同 比-25%）。归母净利润 39 亿元（-10%）。 25 Mar 2026 石药集团 CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK) 25 年业绩回顾：基本面出清，管线催化丰富；看好长效多肽平台潜力 FY25 Results Review: Fundamentals Cleared; Rich Pipeline Catalysts; Bullish on the Potential of the Long-Acting Peptide Platform [Table_yemei 观点聚焦 1] Investment Focus [Table_Info] 维持优于大市 Maintain OUTPERFORM 评级 优于大市 OUTPERFORM 现 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for CSPC Pharmaceutical Group [2][12][23] Core Insights - In 9M25, CSPC achieved revenue of CNY 19.9 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 12%, with finished drug revenue at CNY 15.5 billion, down 17% year-on-year [3][16] - The gross profit margin (GPM) was reported at 65.6%, a decline of 4.9 percentage points year-on-year [3][16] - Management anticipates a return to positive growth in finished drug sales by 2026, despite uncertainties surrounding the renewal rules for generic drug procurement [3][16] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for FY25 and FY26 have been adjusted to CNY 27.3 billion and CNY 30.1 billion, respectively, reflecting slower-than-expected out-licensing income recognition [9][23] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted at CNY 5.0 billion for FY25 and CNY 5.1 billion for FY26, down from previous estimates [9][23] - The company reported a net profit of CNY 3.5 billion in 9M25, a decrease of 7% year-on-year [3][16] Segment Performance - In 3Q25, all segments of finished drugs showed quarter-on-quarter improvement, with total finished drug revenue reaching CNY 4.7 billion, an increase of 8% quarter-on-quarter [5][18] - Notable revenue contributions in 3Q25 included CNY 1.91 billion from the nervous system segment and CNY 0.32 billion from the respiratory system, which saw a 73% year-on-year increase [21][18] Research and Development - R&D expenses for 9M25 were CNY 4.2 billion, an increase of 8% year-on-year, with an R&D expense ratio of 21.0% [3][16] - The company is advancing multiple clinical pipelines, including SYS6010, with clinical data expected to be released in 2026 [20][22] Out-Licensing Opportunities - The report highlights significant potential for out-licensing multiple assets, including SYS6010, which is progressing well in clinical trials [6][19] - The company's business development strategy is entering a phase of tangible results, with expectations for continuous deals that will enhance net profit [6][19]

Investment Rating - The industry view is rated as Attractive [7] Core Insights - The report highlights over 70 oral presentations from Chinese scholars at the 2025 ASCO, including 11 late-breaking abstracts, showcasing advancements in various pharmaceutical developments [1] - Sino Biopharma's combination of Benmelstobart (PD-L1) with anlotinib showed superior efficacy in first-line squamous non-small cell lung cancer (sq-NSCLC) with a median progression-free survival (mPFS) of 10.12 months compared to 7.79 months for tislelizumab [2] - CSPC's SYS6010 (EGFR ADC) demonstrated preliminary efficacy in advanced gastrointestinal cancers with mPFS of 5.8 months in gastric cancer patients [3] - Kelun Pharma's sac-TMT (TROP2 ADC) achieved a confirmed overall response rate (ORR) of 59.3% in first-line non-squamous NSCLC [4] - Fosun Pharma's HLX43 (PD-L1 ADC) showed an ORR of 31.3% in late-line solid tumors, with competitive results in NSCLC patients [5] Company Summaries Sino Biopharma - The combination therapy of Benmelstobart and anlotinib is expected to release Phase 3 data for first-line NSCLC and maintenance treatment after radiochemotherapy soon [2] - TQB2102 (HER2 bsAbADC) achieved an ORR of 53.4% in late-line HER2 low-expressing breast cancer [2] CSPC - SYS6010 in combination with SYH2051 showed preliminary efficacy for second-line advanced gastrointestinal cancers, with a G3+ treatment-related adverse event (TRAE) rate of 48% [3] - ALMB-0168 (Cx43 agonist) for relapsed/refractory osteosarcoma showed an ORR of 20% and a disease control rate (DCR) of 90% [10] Kelun Pharma - Sac-TMT demonstrated a 70.7% ORR and a mPFS of 13.4 months in first-line triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) [11] - In the third-line EGFR-mutant NSCLC setting, sac-TMT achieved a PFS of 6.9 months compared to 2.8 months for docetaxel [11] Fosun Pharma - HLX43's competitive ORR of 38.1% in NSCLC patients during the dose-expansion phase indicates potential for further development [5]