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高盛:美国啤酒夏季销售季开局疲软 仍看好星座品牌(STZ.US)和莫库酒业(TAP.US)
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-06-04 06:21
高盛发布美国啤酒市场研究报告,主要调查了啤酒分销商对市场趋势的看法。报告指出,今年的啤酒市 场在阵亡将士纪念日周末表现不佳,未能达到预期。 报告显示,约55%的分销商认为今年阵亡将士纪念日的销售趋势比去年有所减弱,其中约13%的受访者 表示啤酒销售趋势比去年弱得多。 展望未来,分销商对啤酒夏季销售季的前景普遍持谨慎态度,56%的受访者预计销售将比去年同期疲 软。此外,分销商预计啤酒类别的销售今年将进一步减速,下降1.9%,2024年为下降1.0%。 考虑到严峻的宏观环境,高盛采取选择性策略来寻找最有潜力表现出色的标的。基于此,高盛重申对星 座品牌的"买入"评级,因为分销商表示该公司的月度销量趋势出现了一些潜在的积极信号(至少在5月份 有所加速)。 各品牌表现方面,分销商表示,百威英博(BUD.US)在阵亡将士纪念日假期周末的销量趋势最为强劲, 35%的分销商表示该品牌的销量较去年有所增长,其次是星座品牌(STZ.US)和波斯顿啤酒(SAM.US)。 喜力(HEINY.US)则表现不佳,66%的分销商表示该品牌销量与去年相比有所下降。 高盛表示,具有挑战性的宏观经济环境是影响啤酒销量的最大因素,消费者可支配收入 ...
Boston Beer Q1 Revenues & Earnings Beat, Tariff Fears Loom on Outlook
ZACKS· 2025-04-25 16:55
The Boston Beer Company, Inc. (SAM) posted robust first-quarter 2025 results, wherein the top and bottom lines beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate and improved year over year. Despite soft category trends, the company’s business demonstrated resilience in the first quarter. SAM benefited from a diversified portfolio of iconic brands and a robust innovation pipeline.Amid ongoing macroeconomic challenges, the company remains committed to executing its well-defined operating plans for the pivotal summer season. ...
Boston Beer(SAM) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-04-25 00:04
The Boston Beer Company, Inc. (NYSE:SAM) Q1 2025 Earnings Conference Call April 24, 2025 5:00 PM ET Company Participants Michael Andrews - Associate General Counsel and Corporate Secretary James Koch - Chairman, Founder, and Brewer Michael Spillane - President and Chief Executive Officer Diego Reynoso - Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer Conference Call Participants Peter Grom - UBS Filippo Filorni - Citigroup Nadine Sarwat - Bernstein Eric Serotta - Morgan Stanley Michael Lavery - Piper Sandler Bonnie H ...
Boston Beer to Report Q1 Earnings: Here's What You Should Know
ZACKS· 2025-04-21 17:30
The Boston Beer Company, Inc. (SAM) is likely to register growth in its top line when it reports first-quarter 2025 results on April 24. In the first quarter, the company’s bottom line is expected to have declined year over year.The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is pegged at $432.3 million, implying a 1.5% increase from the prior-year quarter’s reported figure. The consensus mark for earnings has increased by a penny in the past seven days to 89 cents per share. This implies a decline of 14.4% from ...
Boston Beer(SAM) - 2024 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-02-26 02:42
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company achieved a non-GAAP EPS growth of 31% year-over-year, reaching $9.43, supported by a 200 basis points gross margin expansion to 44.4% [7][39] - Free cash flow for 2024 was $173 million, equating to $14.70 per share, allowing for $239 million in share repurchases [8][39] - Fourth quarter gross margin was 39.9%, an increase of 230 basis points year-over-year, marking the highest fourth quarter gross margin since 2020 [41] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Depletions in the fourth quarter were flat, with shipments decreasing by 0.5%, primarily due to declines in Truly Hard Seltzer, offset by growth in Twisted Tea, Sun Cruiser, and Hard Mountain Dew [40] - Twisted Tea maintained an 84% market share in the hard tea category, contributing over 50% of the dollar growth in that category in 2024 [20] - The Truly portfolio has been repositioned to focus on light flavors, with the higher ABV Truly Unruly performing above expectations [24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The hard seltzer category faced headwinds, with category dollars down 4% in the fourth quarter [23] - The company noted that the beer category remains relevant, with significant growth opportunities in the "beyond beer" segment as consumer preferences evolve [8][9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to increase advertising investments across its portfolio to improve market share and support the national launch of Sun Cruiser [10][12] - Strategic priorities for 2025 include nurturing core brands, developing margin-accretive innovations, and modernizing the supply chain while driving efficiency [17] - The company is focusing on a disciplined approach to innovation, particularly with the launch of vodka-based hard tea Sun Cruiser and the expansion of Samuel Adams [18][27] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the impact of inflation on consumer behavior and increased competition in the "beyond beer" category [8][9] - The company expressed confidence in its strategy and team, emphasizing the importance of operational execution for long-term sustainable growth [12][36] - The 2025 financial guidance anticipates a range of outcomes due to the dynamic consumer demand environment [12][53] Other Important Information - The company reported a non-GAAP loss per diluted share of $1.68, primarily due to increased advertising and promotional expenses [45] - Capital expenditures for 2025 are expected to be between $90 million and $110 million, focusing on brewery capabilities and efficiencies [57] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you elaborate on the new compensation plan? - The new compensation plan aligns incentives with business objectives, encouraging equal effort across all brands rather than focusing solely on volume [60][62] Question: How is beer demand starting the year? - The company is starting from a flat depletion point, with some brands like Twisted Tea facing challenges, but overall, they are satisfied with the beginning of the year [74][75] Question: What is the growth outlook for Twisted Tea? - The company is planning for single-digit growth for Twisted Tea, focusing on increasing advertising and introducing new products to attract new drinkers [108][110] Question: How is the company addressing health and wellness concerns? - The company is actively advocating for the alcohol industry and monitoring health trends, acknowledging potential shifts in consumer behavior [106][128] Question: What is the impact of cannabis beverages on the alcohol market? - While cannabis beverages are a potential threat, the company has not yet seen a significant impact on its portfolio and is prepared to enter the market if opportunities arise [87][92]