Market Analysis by covering: US Dollar Japanese Yen, S&P 500, Oracle Corporation, NVIDIA Corporation. Read 's Market Analysis on Investing.com ...

Market Overview - Global financial markets are influenced by shifting monetary policy expectations, geopolitical developments, and varied economic data [2] - Commodity markets, currency pairs, and equity futures are reacting to these influential factors [2] Commodities Sector - Copper prices have declined, with the LME three-month contract dropping to USD 10,669.00 per ton [3] - The decline is attributed to skepticism regarding a potential US Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December, with only a 46% chance of a 25-basis-point cut indicated by the CME FedWatch Tool [3] Geopolitical Developments - The UN Security Council is preparing for a vote on a US-drafted resolution for an International Stabilization Force (ISF) in Gaza, which includes a controversial clause on a "pathway to a Palestinian state" [4] - The proposed ISF is expected to comprise approximately 20,000 troops, with initial deployment anticipated by January 2026 [4] Currency Markets - The Japanese Yen has weakened to a nine-month low against the US Dollar, trading around 154.82 per dollar, driven by uncertainty surrounding the Bank of Japan's rate-hike decisions [5] - The USD/CAD pair is maintaining gains near 1.4050, while the Canadian Dollar struggles due to declining crude oil prices, with WTI trading at approximately $59.30 per barrel [5] US Equity Markets - NASDAQ and S&P 500 futures indicate a higher open, supported by optimism surrounding the anticipated end of a US government shutdown [6] - Donald Trump has reversed his stance, now advocating for a vote to release Jeffrey Epstein files while simultaneously suing the Wall Street Journal for $10 billion [6] Economic Data - Thailand's economy grew by 3.2% year-on-year in Q4 2024, an acceleration from the 3.0% growth in Q3 [7] - Private consumption increased by 3.4% year-on-year, contributing positively to overall economic expansion [8]

Group 1 - Market sentiment is dominated by concerns over the economic impact of the US government shutdown, leading to a lack of rebound momentum for the dollar and strong fluctuations in gold prices within the $4150-$4200 range [1][3] - The absence of key economic data, particularly the October non-farm payroll and inflation figures, complicates the assessment of the economic situation, with economists estimating that the shutdown could reduce quarterly GDP growth by approximately 1.5%-2% [1][2] - The euro is experiencing mild fluctuations around 1.1650 as the market awaits revisions to the Eurozone's Q3 GDP and employment figures, while the British pound remains under pressure due to the upcoming budget announcement [1][2] Group 2 - Gold prices have recently broken through $4200, reaching a three-week high, but have slightly adjusted while remaining above $4150, supported by increased safe-haven demand and a weaker dollar [2][3] - The probability of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December has decreased from 62% to about 50%, although the necessity for policy easing remains due to weakening economic momentum [2][3] - China's retail and industrial production growth rates for October were 2.9% and 4.9%, respectively, aligning with a steady recovery trend [2] Group 3 - The market is still processing the economic aftermath of the shutdown, with the lack of key data making growth prospects and policy direction harder to assess, resulting in continued weakness for the dollar [3][4] - Gold has established structural support in the $4150-$4200 range, maintaining bullish momentum as long as it does not fall below $4145, with further attention on potential resistance levels at $4245 and $4300 [4] - The dollar's trajectory will depend on whether the missing data can be clarified this week, which would directly influence market expectations regarding the December policy path [4]

Jane Foley of Rabobank writing The dollar will be more sensitive to poor data releases in the coming weeks than to good. Either way, it's time to reassess the outlook for the greenback. Jane joins us now for more.And welcome to the program. What data are you focused on. You know what.Any data, I think at this point, but particularly, of course, the labor data and the CPI data, if and when we get it. But, you know, we all know that that's going to be pretty confusing. Perhaps in October it will be affected b ...

trending altcoins, pump.fun. Photo by BeInCrypto The Pound Sterling (GBP) extended its downtrend and reached seven-month lows near 1.3000 against the US Dollar (USD), before GBP/USD buyers quickly jumped in and recovered some ground.  Pound Sterling rebounded; not out of the woods yet Safe-haven flows returned with a bang and acted as a strong headwind to the risk-sensitive Pound Sterling while boosting the US Dollar to its highest in five months against its six major currency rivals. “Sell everything” ...

Group 1 - Gold prices remain strong, trading between $3990 and $4000, driven by concerns over economic slowdown due to the ongoing U.S. government shutdown and rising political uncertainty [1] - The Challenger report indicates that October layoffs exceeded 150,000, marking the highest monthly figure in nearly two decades, which has heightened expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in December [1] - Analysts suggest that the prospect of rate cuts reduces the opportunity cost of holding gold, enhancing its attractiveness as a safe-haven asset [1] Group 2 - WTI crude oil prices slightly increased to around $59.60 per barrel, supported by a weaker dollar, although rising inventories continue to exert pressure on the market [1] - U.S. Energy Information Administration data shows an increase of 5.202 million barrels in crude oil inventories last week, raising concerns about weak demand [1] - Geopolitical tensions, particularly in Venezuela and disruptions in Russian Black Sea fuel exports, partially offset negative supply impacts, leading analysts to believe oil prices will continue to fluctuate in the short term [1]

Jane Foley of Rabobank writing, We have not been forecasting a continued slide in the dollar's value next year. Jane joins us now for more. Jane, welcome back.Only six months ago we were talking about sell America. The dollar trade is over. A dollar bear market is upon us.And you and I talked about this so much. If that was the first half, the first quarter of 25, would you expect 26 Will. Well.Well, you know, that's a really good question, because I think many people are still surprised that if you look at ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the internal divisions within the Japanese government regarding exchange rate policies, highlighting a preference for a weaker Yen by the PM office to boost exports, while the Ministry of Finance prioritizes exchange rate stability [1][4] - The "Takaichi trade" may face challenges due to the coalition government's constraints, potentially leading to a smaller fiscal stimulus package than expected, which could result in a rapid pullback of the USD/JPY exchange rate [2][3] - The rapid depreciation of the Yen has raised concerns among officials, prompting verbal interventions to warn against excessive volatility [4][6] Government and Monetary Policy - The ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) has formed a coalition with Ishin, which may limit aggressive reflationary policies and lead to a more balanced economic approach [3] - The Bank of Japan is experiencing internal debates regarding monetary policy, with a hawkish faction advocating for interest rate hikes, while a cautious faction emphasizes the need for data-driven decisions [7][8][9][10][11] - The upcoming Bank of Japan monetary policy meeting is critical, as signals from Governor Kazuo Ueda could influence market expectations and the direction of the Yen [18] Market Reactions and Expectations - The market reacted strongly to the government's fiscal expansion expectations, leading to a weaker Yen and increased pressure on Japanese government bonds [5][13] - The U.S. economic resilience, indicated by lower initial jobless claims, supports the Federal Reserve's cautious approach to interest rate decisions, maintaining a significant interest rate gap with Japan [14][15][17] - The ongoing U.S. government shutdown complicates the Federal Reserve's policy decisions, creating a paradox where the lack of data may prevent immediate easing, thus supporting the USD/JPY exchange rate [16][17]

Core Insights - The article provides a market analysis covering key financial instruments including the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen, Gold Spot in US Dollars, US Dollar Index Futures, and Crude Oil WTI Futures [1] Group 1: Currency Analysis - The US Dollar is analyzed in relation to the Japanese Yen, indicating fluctuations that may impact trade and investment strategies [1] - The performance of the US Dollar Index Futures is highlighted, reflecting overall market sentiment towards the dollar [1] Group 2: Commodity Analysis - Gold Spot prices in US Dollars are examined, with potential implications for investors seeking safe-haven assets [1] - Crude Oil WTI Futures are discussed, providing insights into energy market trends and their effects on global economies [1]

Group 1 - The article provides a market analysis covering various financial instruments including the US Dollar, Chinese Yuan, Copper Futures, Brent Oil Futures, and Crude Oil WTI Futures [1] Group 2 - The analysis highlights the performance trends of the US Dollar against the Chinese Yuan, indicating fluctuations that may impact trade dynamics [1] - It discusses the current state of Copper Futures, noting price movements that reflect supply and demand factors in the market [1] - The report examines Brent Oil Futures and Crude Oil WTI Futures, analyzing their price trends and implications for the energy sector [1]