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长城汽车(601633):中报快报点评:高价车型占比及政府补贴增加,二季度业绩超预期
Changjiang Securities· 2025-07-22 23:30
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6][8]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve operating revenue of 52.35 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.59 billion yuan in Q2 2025, with a single vehicle revenue of 167,000 yuan and a single vehicle profit of 15,000 yuan [2][4]. - The company is accelerating its global expansion and is committed to transitioning to new energy, with a continuous new vehicle cycle expected to drive sales and performance improvements [2][6]. - The company's four major expansion strategies are anticipated to open up long-term growth potential for sales, while the shift towards intelligence is expected to enhance profitability across the entire industry chain [6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a sales volume of 313,000 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 10.1% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 21.9%. Among these, new energy vehicle sales reached 98,000 units, up 33.7% year-on-year and 56.4% quarter-on-quarter, with new energy passenger vehicles accounting for 36.8% of total sales [10]. - The company reported a Q2 net profit of 4.59 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.5% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 161.9%, resulting in a net profit margin of 8.8% [10]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is making significant adjustments in product, channel, and supply chain dimensions to deepen its transition to new energy. It is focusing on plug-in hybrid vehicles and accelerating the launch of intelligent new energy products [10]. - The "ONE GWM" strategy is facilitating the company's overseas expansion, with sales channels covering over 1,400 locations in more than 170 countries and regions [10]. - The company is actively promoting the development of intelligent vehicles, leveraging data and algorithms as core competitive advantages [10]. Future Projections - The company forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders of 14.13 billion yuan, 17.07 billion yuan, and 21.48 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding A-share price-to-earnings ratios of 13.6X, 11.3X, and 8.9X [6].