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长城汽车(601633):系列点评三十:10月:销量再创新高,主流市场逐步改善
Minsheng Securities· 2025-11-04 08:11
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with a closing price of 22.69 CNY per share as of November 3, 2025 [6]. Core Views - The company has achieved record sales in October, with wholesale sales reaching 143,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 22.5% and a month-on-month increase of 7.1%. Cumulative sales from January to October reached 1.066 million units, up 9.9% year-on-year [1]. - The introduction of new models, particularly the Tank 400, is expected to enhance brand positioning and drive sales growth. The new model features advanced technology and is aimed at improving the driving experience [2]. - The Haval brand continues to perform well, with sales of 88,000 units in October, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 21.4% and a month-on-month increase of 7.7%. The launch of new models is expected to further strengthen market competitiveness [3]. - The company's overseas sales are also on the rise, with October sales reaching 57,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 28.7% and a month-on-month increase of 13.7%. The company is making progress in localizing production in Australia, which is anticipated to boost overseas sales [3]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - In October, the company reported a wholesale sales figure of 143,000 units, with significant contributions from various brands: Haval (88,000 units), Wey (13,000 units), Pickup (14,000 units), Ora (6,000 units), and Tank (22,000 units) [1]. - Cumulative sales for the first ten months of the year reached 1.066 million units, with Haval and Wey brands showing notable year-on-year growth [1]. New Product Launches - The Tank 400 was launched for pre-sale on October 21, 2025, with advanced features aimed at enhancing the driving experience and promoting brand high-end positioning [2]. - Haval's new models, including the 2026 version of the Big Dog and the Menglong, are expected to drive sales through competitive pricing and upgraded features [3]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts revenues of 226.78 billion CNY in 2025, 289.8 billion CNY in 2026, and 318.78 billion CNY in 2027, with corresponding net profits of 12.67 billion CNY, 17.52 billion CNY, and 19.4 billion CNY respectively [4][5]. - The projected PE ratios for the upcoming years are 15 for 2025, 11 for 2026, and 10 for 2027, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [4][5].
\t长城汽车(601633.SH):10月销售新车143078辆,同比增长22.50%
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-03 05:19
Core Viewpoint - Great Wall Motors (601633.SH) reported a significant increase in new car sales for October 2025, with a total of 143,078 vehicles sold, representing a year-on-year growth of 22.50% [1] Sales Performance - Haval brand sold 88,235 vehicles in October, showing a year-on-year increase of 21.41% [1] - Wey brand achieved sales of 12,699 vehicles, marking a substantial year-on-year growth of 95.79% [1] - Tank brand recorded sales of 22,306 vehicles, with a year-on-year increase of 16.64% [1] - Ora brand sold 5,648 vehicles, reflecting a modest year-on-year growth of 1.58% [1] - Great Wall Pickup sold 14,088 vehicles, with a year-on-year increase of 9.31% [1] Year-to-Date Performance - For the period from January to October, Great Wall Motors sold a total of 1,066,436 vehicles, which represents a year-on-year growth of 9.87% [1]
汽车早报|多家车企公布10月销量数据 丰田在加拿大召回近10万辆汽车
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-03 00:36
Group 1: Corporate Appointments - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) appointed four external directors to China Changan Automobile Group, including Shao Lin, Li Shulei, Fan Bing, and Gao Hesheng [1] Group 2: Automotive Sales Performance - In September 2025, China's automotive market share reached 38%, with total global sales of 8.55 million units, a year-on-year increase of 10% [2] - SAIC Motor sold 454,000 vehicles in October 2025, a 13% year-on-year increase, with cumulative sales of 3.647 million units from January to October, up 19.5% [2] - BYD achieved record sales of 441,706 vehicles in October 2025, with cumulative sales of 3.701 million units from January to October [3] - Geely Automobile reported passenger car sales of 307,133 units in October 2025, a 35% increase, with new energy vehicle sales reaching 177,882 units, up 64% [4] - Chery Group sold 281,161 vehicles in October 2025, a 3.3% increase, with new energy vehicle sales of 110,346 units, up 54.7% [5] - Changan Automobile's total sales in October 2025 were 278,000 units, an 11% increase, with new energy vehicle sales of 119,000 units, up 36% [6] - Great Wall Motors sold 143,078 new vehicles in October 2025, a 22.5% increase, with significant growth in various models [7] - BAIC Group's total vehicle sales exceeded 160,000 units in October 2025, an 11% increase, with the Arcfox brand achieving a 110% increase in sales [8] Group 3: Recalls and Quality Issues - Toyota announced a recall of 99,178 vehicles in Canada due to software issues affecting the rearview camera display, impacting over 30 models including Lexus [9]
长城汽车(601633.SH):10月销售新车143078辆,同比增长22.50%
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-11-02 07:58
Core Viewpoint - Great Wall Motors (601633.SH) reported a significant increase in new car sales for October 2025, with a total of 143,078 vehicles sold, representing a year-on-year growth of 22.50% [1] Sales Performance - Haval brand sold 88,235 vehicles in October, marking a year-on-year increase of 21.41% [1] - Wey brand achieved sales of 12,699 vehicles, showing a remarkable growth of 95.79% year-on-year [1] - Tank brand recorded sales of 22,306 vehicles, with a year-on-year growth of 16.64% [1] - Ora brand sold 5,648 vehicles, reflecting a modest year-on-year increase of 1.58% [1] - Great Wall Pickup sold 14,088 vehicles, with a year-on-year growth of 9.31% [1] Year-to-Date Performance - From January to October, Great Wall Motors sold a total of 1,066,436 vehicles, which is a year-on-year increase of 9.87% [1]
长城汽车:10月销售新车14.31万辆,同比增长22.50%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-02 01:13
Core Insights - Great Wall Motors reported a total of 143,078 new vehicle sales in October 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 22.50% [1] Sales Performance - Haval brand sold 88,235 vehicles in October, up 21.41% year-on-year [1] - Wey brand achieved sales of 12,699 vehicles, marking a significant increase of 95.79% year-on-year [1] - Tank brand recorded sales of 22,306 vehicles, reflecting a growth of 16.64% year-on-year [1] - Ora brand sold 5,648 vehicles, with a modest increase of 1.58% year-on-year [1] - Great Wall Pickup sold 14,088 vehicles, showing a growth of 9.31% year-on-year [1] Year-to-Date Performance - From January to October, Great Wall Motors sold a total of 1,066,436 vehicles, which is a year-on-year increase of 9.87% [1]
长城汽车(601633):2025Q3营收同比高增 后续盈利有望改善
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-29 05:13
Core Viewpoint - Great Wall Motors reported a total revenue of 61.25 billion yuan for Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 20.5%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 31.2% to 2.3 billion yuan [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a wholesale volume of 354,000 vehicles, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 20.2% and a year-on-year increase of 13.0% [1] - The average selling price (ASP) per vehicle reached 173,000 yuan, up by 600 yuan quarter-on-quarter [1] - The gross profit margin stood at 18.4%, showing a slight decline of 0.4 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1] Group 2: Sales and Market Expansion - The company’s overseas sales reached 137,000 vehicles in Q3 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 11.2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 27.9% [2] - Cumulatively, overseas sales for the first three quarters of the year totaled 334,000 vehicles, up by 3.1% year-on-year [2] - Sales of new energy vehicles (NEVs) in Q3 2025 amounted to 118,000 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 49.2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 20.6% [2] Group 3: Product Launches - The all-new Tank 400 began pre-sales on October 21, with prices starting at 329,800 yuan for the Hi4-Z version and 309,800 yuan for the Hi4-T version [2] - The Gaoshan 7 was officially launched on October 15, with a suggested retail price of 285,800 yuan, featuring spacious dimensions and enhanced maneuverability [2] Group 4: Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 225.3 billion yuan, 278.5 billion yuan, and 312.5 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 11%, 24%, and 12% respectively [3] - Projected net profits attributable to shareholders for the same period are 13.45 billion yuan, 17.4 billion yuan, and 20.43 billion yuan, with growth rates of 6%, 29%, and 17% respectively [3] - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 1.57 yuan, 2.03 yuan, and 2.39 yuan, corresponding to price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 14.8, 11.4, and 9.7 times [3]
美银证券:重申长城汽车“中性”评级 料估值趋合理
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-27 06:55
Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities has revised its sales forecasts for Great Wall Motors (601633)(02333) downward for 2025 to 2027, while adjusting profit forecasts for the same period with a target price reduction from HKD 19.5 to HKD 18, maintaining a "Neutral" rating as valuations appear reasonable [1] Group 1: Sales and Revenue - Great Wall Motors' third-quarter revenue reached RMB 61 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 21% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 17%, driven by higher sales volume and product pricing [1] - The sales forecasts for Great Wall Motors have been adjusted downward by 4%, 2%, and 3% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [1] Group 2: Profitability and Margins - The company's third-quarter profit fell short of expectations, declining by 31% year-on-year and 50% compared to the second quarter, attributed to a delay in recognizing an RMB 800 million tax refund and a foreign exchange loss of approximately RMB 13 million [1] - The gross margin for the third quarter was recorded at 18.4%, down 1.6 percentage points year-on-year, influenced by a decrease in sales contribution from the Tank brand and increased dealer rebates for Haval and pickup truck brands [1] - Profit forecasts for 2025 to 2027 have been adjusted to reflect a decrease of 0.6%, an increase of 3.8%, and a decrease of 0.1% respectively for those years [1]
美银证券:重申长城汽车(02333)“中性”评级 料估值趋合理
智通财经网· 2025-10-27 06:55
Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities has revised its sales forecasts for Great Wall Motors (02333) down by 4%, 2%, and 3% for the years 2025 to 2027, while adjusting gross margin forecasts for 2026 and 2027 up by 0.2 percentage points, and changing profit forecasts for 2025 to 2027 by -0.6%, +3.8%, and -0.1% respectively, with a target price reduction from HKD 19.5 to HKD 18, maintaining a "Neutral" rating as valuations are deemed reasonable [1] Financial Performance - Great Wall Motors reported third-quarter revenue of RMB 61 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 21% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 17%, driven by sales volume and product price increases [1] - The company's third-quarter profit fell short of expectations, down 31% year-on-year and down 50% compared to the second quarter, attributed to a delay in recognizing an RMB 800 million tax refund from Russia and a foreign exchange loss of approximately RMB 13 million during the period [1] - Excluding one-time items, the net profit for the third quarter decreased by 30% year-on-year [1] - The gross margin was recorded at 18.4%, down 1.6 percentage points year-on-year, likely impacted by a decline in sales contribution from the Tank brand and increased dealer rebates for Haval and pickup truck brands [1]
长城汽车丨2025Q3:业绩稳健 高端+出海双驱动【民生汽车 崔琰团队】
汽车琰究· 2025-10-26 11:03
Core Viewpoint - The company reported stable revenue growth in Q3 2025, but faced significant declines in net profit due to increased marketing expenses and a shift towards new channel models [2][3][4]. Revenue Performance - Total revenue for the first nine months of 2025 reached 153.58 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.0%. Q3 revenue was 61.25 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 20.5% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 17.1% [2][3]. - The average selling price (ASP) per vehicle in Q3 2025 was 173,000 yuan, showing a slight year-on-year increase of 0.6 thousand yuan [3]. Profitability Analysis - The net profit attributable to the parent company for the first nine months of 2025 was 8.63 billion yuan, down 17.2% year-on-year. In Q3 2025, the net profit was 2.30 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year decline of 31.4% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 49.9% [2][3]. - The non-recurring net profit for the first nine months was 5.48 billion yuan, down 34.6% year-on-year, with Q3 showing 1.89 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 30.4% [2][3]. Expense Overview - In Q3 2025, the expense ratios for sales, management, R&D, and financial expenses were 6.3%, 2.3%, 5.2%, and -1.2%, respectively. These figures reflect year-on-year changes of +0.2, -0.2, -0.2, and -0.2 percentage points, and quarter-on-quarter changes of +1.1, -0.5, +0.7, and +0.1 percentage points [3]. Sales and Delivery - Total vehicle deliveries for the first nine months of 2025 reached 923,000 units, up 8.1% year-on-year. Q3 deliveries totaled 354,000 units, with year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter increases of 20.2% and 13.0%, respectively [4]. - Specific brand performance in Q3 included Haval with 207,000 units (up 20.4% year-on-year), Wey with 29,000 units (up 132.4%), and Ora with 16,000 units (up 2.3%) [4]. International Expansion - Overseas sales in Q3 2025 reached 137,000 units, marking a year-on-year increase of 11.2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 27.9%. The establishment of a factory in Brazil is expected to enhance sales in Latin America [5]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to see significant revenue growth, with projected revenues of 226.78 billion yuan, 289.8 billion yuan, and 318.78 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. Net profits are projected to be 12.67 billion yuan, 17.52 billion yuan, and 19.4 billion yuan for the same years [6][8].
长城汽车(601633):2025Q3经营提质增效,新品周期持续兑现
Guotou Securities· 2025-10-26 10:34
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Great Wall Motors is "Buy-A" with a 6-month target price of 35.19 CNY per share [3][8]. Core Views - The report highlights that Great Wall Motors achieved a revenue of 61.25 billion CNY in Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 21% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 17%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 31% year-on-year and 50% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The sales volume in Q3 2025 reached 354,000 units, up 26% year-on-year and 13% quarter-on-quarter, with an average selling price (ASP) of 173,000 CNY, showing a slight decline year-on-year but an increase quarter-on-quarter [2]. - The company has a strong cash reserve of 48.6 billion CNY as of Q3 2025, with a net cash flow from operating activities of 12.2 billion CNY, reflecting a 153% year-on-year growth [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Great Wall Motors reported a gross margin of 18.4%, down 2.4 percentage points year-on-year and 0.4 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to changes in sales structure and increased tax rates [2]. - The operating profit for Q3 2025 was approximately 3.3 billion CNY, down 4% year-on-year but up 9% quarter-on-quarter, with a corresponding profit per vehicle of about 9,400 CNY [2][9]. Market Outlook - The report anticipates that the high-end models, particularly the Tank and Wey series, will contribute significantly to profit growth, with new models expected to enhance market penetration [3][8]. - The transition of the economy brand is expected to accelerate, with Haval and Ora brands launching new models that could lead to a turnaround in sales and profitability [3]. Valuation Metrics - The projected net profits for Great Wall Motors for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 12.98 billion CNY, 20.01 billion CNY, and 23.51 billion CNY, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 15.3, 9.9, and 8.4 times [8][9].