Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xiaomi Group (1810.HK) [6] Core Insights - In 2025, Xiaomi Group achieved a revenue of 457.3 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 25.0%, and a Non-IFRS net profit of 39.2 billion CNY, up 43.8% year-on-year [1] - The company’s smart electric vehicle and AI segments generated over 100 billion CNY in revenue for the first time, achieving an annual operating profit of 900 million CNY [1] - The smartphone business faced challenges with a revenue decline of 2.8% year-on-year, attributed to a slight drop in shipment volume and increased core component costs impacting gross margins [2] - The IoT and lifestyle products segment saw robust growth, with a revenue increase of 18.3% year-on-year, although Q4 experienced a slowdown due to subsidy reductions [3] - The automotive business delivered 411,082 vehicles in 2025, marking a 200.4% increase year-on-year, and the launch of the new Xiaomi SU7 series is expected to drive further growth [4] - The report highlights the integration of AI strategies across the company's ecosystem as a key growth driver in the AI era [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2025, Xiaomi Group's total revenue reached 457.3 billion CNY, with a Non-IFRS net profit of 39.2 billion CNY, reflecting significant growth compared to the previous year [1] - The smartphone segment generated 186.4 billion CNY in revenue, down 2.8% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 10.9%, a decrease of 1.7 percentage points [2] - IoT and lifestyle products revenue reached 123.2 billion CNY, up 18.3% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 23.1% [3] - The automotive segment reported revenue of 106.1 billion CNY, a remarkable increase of 223.8% year-on-year, achieving a gross margin of 24.3% [4] Future Outlook - The report projects a decline in Non-IFRS net profit for 2026 and 2027 to 32.0 billion CNY and 41.6 billion CNY, respectively, due to rising upstream costs and market competition [5] - Despite short-term challenges in the smartphone segment, the strong performance of the automotive business and the integration of AI strategies are expected to open new growth avenues [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Xiaomi Group-W (1810.HK) as of May 29, 2025 [1][10]. Core Insights - Xiaomi Group achieved record highs in revenue and profit for Q1 2025, with revenue approximately 111.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 47.4%, and adjusted net profit around 10.7 billion yuan, up 64.5% [5][6]. Summary by Sections Recent Performance - In Q1 2025, Xiaomi's global smartphone shipments reached 40 million units, marking seven consecutive quarters of year-on-year growth. The company also delivered 75,869 units of the Xiaomi SU7 series vehicles [6]. Market Position - Xiaomi's smartphone business generated approximately 50.6 billion yuan in revenue, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.9%. The company's global smartphone market share stood at 14.1%, maintaining a top-three position for the 19th consecutive quarter [6][7]. Product Development - The revenue from smart home appliances surged by 113.8% year-on-year in Q1 2025, with significant increases in air conditioner, refrigerator, and washing machine shipments [7]. Automotive Expansion - The smart electric vehicle segment generated 18.1 billion yuan in revenue, with 75,869 units of the Xiaomi SU7 series delivered. The company has opened 235 automotive sales stores across 65 cities in mainland China as of March 31, 2025 [7]. Internet Services Growth - Internet revenue reached 9.1 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 12.8%, with a gross margin of 76.9%, up 2.7 percentage points. The global monthly active user count reached 719 million, a 9.2% increase year-on-year [7][8]. Financial Projections - The report projects revenues of 484.5 billion yuan, 682.9 billion yuan, and 901.3 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with adjusted net profits of 44.5 billion yuan, 59.7 billion yuan, and 84.4 billion yuan for the same years. The corresponding P/E ratios are expected to be 27.7x, 20.6x, and 14.6x [9][10].