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Counterpoint:存储市场已进入“超级牛市” 预计Q1价格还将再涨40%–50%
智通财经网· 2026-01-12 03:21
Core Insights - The storage market has entered a "super bull market" phase, surpassing historical highs from 2018, driven by surging demand for AI and server capacity [1] - Storage prices are expected to rise significantly, with projections indicating a 40%-50% increase by Q4 2025 and another 40%-50% increase in Q1 2026, followed by an approximate 20% rise in Q2 2026 [1] Price Trends - The price of 64GB RDIMM storage has surged from $255 in Q3 2025 to $450 in Q4 2025, with expectations to reach $700 by March 2026 [2] - A price increase to $1,000 within this year is plausible, which would be nearly double the 2018 peak price of $1.00/Gb [2] Cost Structure Changes - The ongoing rise in storage prices is fundamentally altering the Bill of Materials (BoM) for hardware manufacturers [3] - In the iPhone 17 Pro Max, storage now accounts for over 10% of the BoM, up from approximately 8% in the iPhone 12 Pro Max [3] - For flagship models with 16GB-24GB LPDDR5X memory and 512GB-1TB UFS 4.0 storage, storage costs may exceed 20% of the BoM [3] - Major manufacturers like Samsung and SK Hynix are shifting production capacity towards high-margin server DDR5 storage, leading to a rapid contraction in supply of older technologies like LPDDR4 and eMMC [3] Supply Outlook - DRAM production is projected to increase by 24% year-on-year in 2026, but despite rising capital expenditures, it will take time to meet demand [4]
存储价格飙升 50%涨势将延续至 2026 年
Counterpoint Research· 2026-01-12 02:45
Core Viewpoint - The storage market has entered a "super bull market" phase, surpassing historical highs from 2018, driven by the increasing demand for AI and server capacity. Supplier bargaining power has reached an all-time high, with storage prices expected to rise significantly in the coming years [4]. Price Trends - The price of 64GB RDIMM storage has surged from $255 in Q3 2025 to $450 in Q4 2025, with expectations to further increase to $700 by March 2026. A price point of $1,000 (approximately $1.95/Gb) within this year is plausible, nearly double the 2018 peak of $1.00/Gb [5]. Cost Structure Changes - The ongoing rise in storage prices is fundamentally altering the Bill of Materials (BoM) for hardware manufacturers. Although capital expenditures are increasing, the supply-demand gap remains, with DRAM production expected to grow by 24% year-on-year in 2026 [6]. Smartphone Impact - By 2025, storage will account for over 10% of the BoM in the iPhone 17 Pro Max, up from about 8% in the iPhone 12 Pro Max in 2020. For flagship models with 16GB–24GB LPDDR5X memory and 512GB–1TB UFS 4.0 storage, the storage cost may exceed 20% of the BoM due to current price increases. The supply of older technologies like LPDDR4 and eMMC is rapidly shrinking as leading manufacturers shift production to more profitable server DDR5 storage [10].
I Bought a Used iPhone 13 Mini To See If It's a Better Buy Than a New iPhone Air
CNET· 2025-12-20 13:01
Device Evaluation & Market Analysis - The review focuses on evaluating the user experience of a used iPhone 13 mini in 2025 as a cost-effective alternative to newer, more expensive iPhones [1] - The used iPhone 13 mini with 256GB storage was purchased for $324 from Amazon via vendor IB Blueberry [2] - The analysis considers alternatives like refurbished devices from other websites (Gazelle, Back Market) and even refurbished iPhones directly from Apple (up to iPhone 14 generation) [2][3] - The review highlights the iPhone 13 mini's key features: 54-inch screen with 1080p resolution, iOS 26 compatibility, MagSafe support, and cinematic mode [9][10] - Potential drawbacks of the iPhone 13 mini are noted, including 4GB of memory (less than the iPhone 12 Pro Max), the Lightning port, and the smaller screen size [11][12] Battery Performance & Cost Considerations - The used iPhone 13 mini's battery capacity was at 83%, leading to battery life issues requiring multiple charges per day [14][17] - A battery replacement from Apple costs $89, bringing the total cost of the used iPhone 13 mini to around $400, still cheaper than a $1,000 iPhone Air [16] Alternative Recommendations - The review suggests considering renewed premium devices with at least 90% battery capacity [22] - The analysis proposes exploring foldable Android phones (Motorola Razer, Samsung Galaxy Z Flip) as alternatives, especially with discounts bringing prices to $450-$600 [22] - A used iPhone 15 is suggested as another option, offering USB-C and a 50-megapixel camera, though with a larger 61-inch display [23][24] Cost-Saving Strategies - The review recommends exploring mid-range phone models or buying year-old phones (Samsung Galaxy S24, iPhone 16, Google Pixel A series) to save money [25]
X @Poloniex Exchange
Poloniex Exchange· 2025-09-11 04:16
Investment Analysis - Investing in Bitcoin (BTC) instead of buying an iPhone each year from 2017 to 2024 would have yielded significant profits, with an average profit of over 800% across all years [4] - The analysis shows zero losses when investing in BTC instead of purchasing iPhones during the specified period [4] - The best buying opportunity for BTC was during the 2018 bear market crash [2] Comparative Cost Analysis - The price of iPhones increased slightly from $1,000 to $1,200 over eight years (2017-2024) [4] - The amount of BTC needed to purchase an iPhone in 2025, with BTC at approximately $111,000, is just 0.011 BTC [9] Profitability Examples - Purchasing an iPhone X in 2017 required 0.072 BTC, which is now worth approximately $7,992, resulting in a profit of $6,993 (700% gain) [1] - Purchasing an iPhone XS Max in 2018 required 0.289 BTC, which is now worth approximately $32,079, resulting in a profit of $30,980 (2,815% gain) [2]