Summary of Innovent Biologics Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Innovent Biologics (1801.HK) - **Industry**: Biopharmaceuticals, focusing on immuno-oncology and metabolic diseases Key Financial Performance - **2Q25 Product Revenue**: Exceeded Rmb2.7 billion, representing a **35% year-over-year increase** and a **13% quarter-over-quarter increase** from Rmb2.4 billion in 1Q25 [1] - **Tyvyt Sales**: Reported at US$137 million in 2Q25, a **19% year-over-year increase**, but largely flat compared to previous quarters [1] - **New Product Launches**: Five new products launched in 2025, contributing to a **186% year-over-year increase** in sales from the new product portfolio, excluding Tyvyt and biosimilars [1] Market Position and Strategy - **Mazdutide**: Recently approved and launched, positioned favorably in the obesity market, especially amid NOVO's destocking in China [2] - **Pricing Advantage**: Mazdutide priced at approximately Rmb2,920 per month, offering a discount compared to competitors like Zepbound [2] - **Sales Growth Drivers**: Continued momentum expected in 1H25, driven by strong uptake in tafolecimab post NRDL inclusion and the anticipated sales uptake of mazdutide [1][2] Competitive Landscape - **NOVO's Ozempic Sales**: Experienced a **37% year-over-year decline** in 2Q25 due to destocking, creating an opportunity for mazdutide to capture market share [2] - **Market Dynamics**: The obesity market in China is seen as expanding due to limited competition and NOVO's passive strategy, which benefits Innovent's proactive promotion of mazdutide [2] Financial Projections and Valuation - **2025 Revenue Forecast**: Full-year product sales projected at Rmb11.7 billion, a **42% year-over-year increase** [1] - **Target Price**: Updated DCF-based 12-month target price set at HK$98.23, reflecting a **7.5% upside** from the current price of HK$91.40 [7][15] - **Earnings Estimates**: Adjusted EPS estimates for 2025-2027 reflect slight downward revisions due to near-term sales growth adjustments [7] Risks and Considerations - **Key Risks**: 1. Intensifying competition in the PD-1/L1 market in China [7][13] 2. Uncertain approval timelines for key candidates [7][13] 3. Potential restrictions on off-label use due to safety issues [7][13] 4. Risks associated with R&D project failures [7][13] Conclusion - Innovent Biologics is positioned to leverage its strong product pipeline and market dynamics to drive growth, particularly with the launch of mazdutide. The company is viewed as undervalued relative to its potential, with a favorable outlook for continued revenue growth in the coming years.

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several healthcare stocks, including Wuxi Apptec and Eyebright, based on their strong growth potential and market positioning [11]. Core Insights - The EU's planned restrictions on Chinese medtech firms' access to public procurements over EUR 5 million are expected to have limited impact on the covered companies, as most do not participate in such procurements and have manageable revenue exposure to the EU market [3]. - The healthcare indices in China showed positive performance, with HSHCI rising by 4.1% and HSHKBIO by 4.5% during the week of June 2-6, 2025, indicating a favorable market trend [2]. - Recent approvals in the drug sector include Akeso's cadonilimab for cervical cancer and Hansoh's aumolertinib for NSCLC in the UK, showcasing ongoing innovation and regulatory progress in the industry [4][5]. Summary by Sections Market Access and Regulatory Environment - The EU's International Procurement Instrument investigation concluded that China has limited EU medical device producers' access to government contracts, leading to the proposed restrictions [3]. - Companies like Mindray and MGI Tech have established local manufacturing facilities, which may help mitigate the impact of these restrictions [3]. Drug Approvals and Developments - Akeso's cadonilimab received approval for treating first-line cervical cancer, while Innovent and Hutchmed's sintilimab + fruquintinib application was accepted for renal cell carcinoma [4]. - Hansoh's aumolertinib has been approved in the UK for specific NSCLC patients, indicating a strong pipeline for innovative therapies [4]. Stock Performance and Recommendations - The report highlights top picks in the healthcare sector, including Wuxi Apptec and Eyebright, based on their expected solid fundamental recovery and market share potential [11]. - The report notes that the chemicals sector outperformed healthcare indices, with a 1.7% increase in A shares and a 3.8% increase in H shares [12].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to Innovent Biologics with a revised 12-month price target of HK$74.95, reflecting an upside potential of 15.2% from the current price of HK$65.05 [15][9]. Core Insights - Innovent Biologics has shown encouraging survival benefits for its drug IBI363 in various cancer indications, particularly in IO-treated squamous and adeno NSCLC, with improved overall response rate (ORR) and progression-free survival (PFS) data compared to previous reports [1][2][12]. - The risk-adjusted sales forecast for IBI363 has been raised to US$3.2 billion by 2035, up from US$1.4 billion, due to the addition of 2L adeno NSCLC and an increase in the probability of success (POS) for other indications [1][9]. - The report highlights the importance of randomized controlled trials (RCT) to further validate the long-term benefits of IBI363, especially in the context of its mechanism of action that enhances the immune environment [7][12]. Summary by Sections Clinical Data - The updated phase 1 data for IBI363 indicates a median PFS of 9.3 months for the high-dose cohort, an increase from 7.3 months previously reported, and a median overall survival (mOS) of 15.3 months, suggesting a strong conversion from PFS to OS [2][7]. - In adeno NSCLC, the median PFS was shorter at 5.6 months, but the overall survival data remains competitive, indicating potential lasting benefits post-disease progression [3][7]. Market Position and Valuation - Innovent Biologics is positioned as a leading biopharma company in China with a robust pipeline of over 30 assets, including the leading PD-1 inhibitor sintilimab [12]. - The report emphasizes that Innovent is undervalued at current levels, with a high market-implied weighted average cost of capital (WACC) that does not fully reflect its strong revenue potential and pipeline [12]. Future Outlook - The ongoing phase 1b/2 trial for IBI363 in combination with chemotherapy in the first-line setting is expected to generate further discussions regarding its competitive safety profile and efficacy [8][12]. - The report anticipates that the company will maintain its leading position in the biotech sector in China, supported by strong commercialization capabilities and collaborations with global partners [12].

Core Viewpoint - Innovent Biologics and HUTCHMED announced the acceptance of a New Drug Application (NDA) for the combination of sintilimab and fruquintinib for treating locally advanced or metastatic renal cell carcinoma (RCC) patients who have failed prior treatment with one tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) [1][2][3] Company Overview - Innovent Biologics is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing high-quality medicines for major diseases, including oncology, and has launched 15 products in the market [14] - HUTCHMED is committed to discovering and commercializing targeted therapies and immunotherapies for cancer and immunological diseases, with its first three medicines marketed in China [17] Product Details - Sintilimab, marketed as TYVYT®, is a PD-1 inhibitor that has received approval for multiple indications in China, including its recent NDA for advanced RCC [5][6] - Fruquintinib is a selective oral inhibitor of VEGFRs, co-developed by HUTCHMED and Eli Lilly, and is approved for treating metastatic colorectal cancer in China [7][9] Clinical Study Insights - The NDA is supported by data from the FRUSICA-2 study, which demonstrated significant improvements in progression-free survival (PFS), objective response rate (ORR), and duration of response (DoR) for the combination therapy [2][3] - The FRUSICA-2 study met its primary endpoint, and the safety profile of the combination was found to be tolerable with no new safety signals [2][3] Market Context - In 2022, approximately 435,000 new kidney cancer cases were diagnosed globally, with around 74,000 cases in China, indicating a significant unmet medical need for effective treatments [4] - The combination therapy aims to address the challenges faced by RCC patients who have limited treatment options after failing first-line therapies [3][12]