Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: Multi-Industry, focusing on North America - **Key Trend**: US Reshoring evidenced by a significant shift in global capital expenditure (capex) trends since 2018 [1][3][7] Core Insights - **US Capital Formation**: The US has gained approximately 200 basis points (bps) in global investment share since 2018, reversing decades of decline, with total global investment around $30 trillion annually [3][7] - **Incremental Capex Share**: The US has captured about 30% of incremental global capex since 2018, a nearly threefold increase compared to the period from 1999 to 2017 [7][8] - **Profit Growth Potential**: The US Industrial sector is expected to grow profits at an accelerated rate, with projections suggesting a potential 10x profit uplift due to favorable capex trends [3][8] Economic Drivers - **Policy Impact**: The Trump administration's tariffs and the COVID-19 pandemic have highlighted the need for supply chain resiliency, contributing to the reshoring trend [3][8] - **Trade Deficit Strategy**: The ongoing trade negotiations aim to address the $1.2 trillion trade deficit by increasing domestic production and investment, which presents opportunities for companies focused on the US market [8] Market Positioning - **Investment Recommendations**: Favorable outlook on US companies involved in capex, with specific recommendations for companies like Trane Technologies (TT), Eaton Corporation (ETN), Rockwell Automation (ROK), and Johnson Controls International (JCI) [8][70] - **Caution on International Exposure**: A more cautious stance on international investments due to uncertainties in capacity expansion when the US market is contracting [8] Additional Insights - **Manufacturing Disconnect**: Despite the US Manufacturing PMI being in contraction for over two years, the US Industrial coverage has shown healthy organic growth, indicating a disconnect from broader manufacturing trends [15][8] - **Historical Context**: The US has historically lost market share to China since its WTO entry in 1999, making the recent gains particularly significant [3][13] Conclusion - The US is experiencing a notable shift in capital expenditure trends, with implications for domestic production and investment strategies. The reshoring trend is expected to be durable, providing a favorable environment for US industrial companies to thrive in the coming years [3][8][7]

Scott Silver - Specialist Sales - European TMT AC (44-20) 7134-0412 scott.silver@jpmorgan.com J.P. Morgan Securities plc Europe Specialist Sales 01 July 2025 J P M O R G A N ASML Buyside Survey Hi, We are conducting a buyside survey of investor expectations ahead of results on Wed 16thof July. Let me know your thoughts and will share the results next week. Click here to take the survey. Best, Scott European Tech Hardware & Payments Sandeep Deshpande AC (44-20) 7134-5276 sandeep.s.deshpande@jpmorgan.com J.P. ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Companies Involved - **Innovent Biologics (1801 HK)** - **Akeso (9926 HK)** Core Insights and Arguments Innovent Biologics - Innovent is positioned as a significant player in the China biopharma sector, focusing on oncology and GLP-1 therapies [4][8] - The company has 16 drugs on the market and approximately 4,000 commercial staff, with expectations to achieve IFRS net-income break-even by 2025 [8] - Projected sales for 2027 could reach RMB 20 billion based on company guidance [8] - Key upcoming events include: - Approval of IBI112 (IL-23p19 inhibitor) for psoriasis in 2H25 [5] - Phase 3 data readout for IBI343 (CLDN18.2 ADC) in 2H25 [5] - Data readout for IBI362 (GLP-1/GCGR) in 2H25/1H26 [5] - IBI363 (PD-1/IL-2α-bias) has shown promising data, with peak sales forecasted at RMB 7 billion in China and RMB 10 billion ex-China [16][8] - The GLP-1 drug mazdutide (IBI362) is expected to capture approximately 11% of the China GLP-1 market, with potential peak sales of RMB 50 billion [8] - Risks include potential pricing cuts, pipeline development setbacks, and competition in the weight loss drug market [8] Akeso - Akeso is recognized as a leading bispecific antibody company in China, having launched the first bispecific drug, AK104 (PD-1/CTLA-4), in 2022 [33][36] - Forecasted peak sales for AK104 in China are around RMB 6 billion, with potential expansions into various cancer indications [36] - AK112 (PD-1/VEGF bispecific) has been out-licensed to Summit Therapeutics, with expected peak sales of over RMB 5 billion in China and over USD 2.5 billion in the US [36] - Upcoming key events for Akeso include: - Sales data for AK104 and AK112 in 1H25 [34] - Detailed data readout for AK112 in various trials in 2H25/1H26 [34] - Concerns exist regarding AK112's commercialization potential in the US due to previous trial results, but there is optimism for improved outcomes with longer follow-up [40] - AK104's efficacy in trials has not been fully appreciated by the market, and a global development plan announcement could enhance investor interest [41][44] Additional Important Content - Innovent's pipeline includes a diverse range of assets across oncology, cardiovascular, autoimmune, and ophthalmology, which supports its growth strategy [12] - Akeso's sales forecasts indicate a strong growth trajectory, with total product sales expected to reach RMB 16.1 billion by 2034 [45] - Both companies face risks related to pipeline development and market competition, which could impact their future performance [8][34]

Key Takeaways Geely Group revised its full-year volume guidance by 11% to 3mn units from 2.71mn units, with the upside largely from Geely Galaxy, which accounted for 39% of total sales volume and contributed ~85% of the YoY increment YTD. In 1H25, Geely brand (including Galaxy) sold 1.2mn units (+57% YoY), tracking ahead of its previous 2mn target, while ZEEKR Tech Group sold 245k units (+14% YoY) vs. its 710k full- year target. Meanwhile, 1H25 overseas sales of 184k units (-8% YoY) are tracking slightly be ...

Global Commodities Research 01 July 2025 J P M O R G A N Global Commodities The Week in Commodities This is a summary note that consolidates the latest views of our global commodity strategists published over the week; to read detailed reports, refer to the hyperlinks. It also contains hyperlinks to other related research/podcasts on the global commodities market. Oil Markets Weekly: Major supply disruption risk at 21%, but deterrent lines are now well-defined Global Commodities Webinar: US Enters War with ...

Asia Pacific Equity Research 01 July 2025 China SMid Insurance Key investor feedback post the initiation; ZhongAn remains top investor focus See page 4 for analyst certification and important disclosures, including non-US analyst disclosures. J.P. Morgan does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as onl ...

Summary of India-US Trade Deal Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the potential contours of a trade deal between India and the United States, focusing on various sectors including manufactured goods, agriculture, and services. Key Points and Arguments Trade Deal Framework - A pre-July 09 trade deal could serve as a broad framework until a comprehensive agreement is finalized before the QUAD summit in October/November [1] - The deal aims to reinforce India-US trade ties and target a bilateral trade volume of USD 500 billion by 2030 [3] Tariffs on Manufactured Goods - Uncertainty exists regarding whether the deal will feature "zero-for-zero" tariffs or retain the current 10% baseline US tariff on Indian exports [9] - The weighted average tariff on US goods in India is approximately 11%, with significant variations across categories, such as food attracting tariffs of 30-80% [4] Agricultural Products - Negotiations on agricultural products are expected to be complex, with India's tariffs on US agricultural goods averaging 30-80% [12] - The US seeks greater market access for its agricultural products, while India aims to protect its agricultural sector, which supports about 60% of its population [12] Energy and Defense Imports - India is expected to increase its imports of energy and defense products from the US, with mineral oil and fuel imports from the US already surging by 67% in value terms [13] - The deal may also facilitate US private sector participation in India's nuclear energy sector [13] Services Trade - Discussions related to services trade are ongoing but are likely to be part of a broader Free Trade Agreement (FTA) rather than the immediate tariff deal [16] - Digital trade issues and technology partnerships are anticipated to be sensitive topics, particularly concerning American tech companies [16] Non-Tariff Barriers - The US may request India to remove some non-tariff barriers to provide better access for US firms in Indian markets [14] - India's existing trade agreements, such as with the UK, have included reductions in non-tariff barriers, which may set a precedent for the US deal [14] Currency Considerations - Currency issues are unlikely to be a significant part of the trade deal due to India's negative Net International Investment Position (NIIP) and the volatility of the Indian Rupee [22] Future Outlook - The initial trade deal is expected to be a broad framework, with more detailed negotiations to follow [19] - A comprehensive version of the deal could be finalized before the QUAD leaders' summit, with India aiming to convert it into a Bilateral Trade Agreement for greater certainty over tariff rates [19] Additional Important Points - The potential impact of the trade deal on India's macroeconomic environment will depend on whether the US imposes lower tariffs than those on India's Asian peers [22] - The complexity of agricultural negotiations may also involve specific products like maize, soybeans, and dairy, which have significant implications for Indian farmers [18] This summary encapsulates the critical aspects of the India-US trade deal discussions, highlighting the complexities and potential outcomes of the negotiations.

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Company and Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses **Google** and its sustainability efforts, particularly in relation to electricity and water usage in the context of the **hyperscaler** industry, which includes major tech companies like **Microsoft** and **Meta** [2][8]. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Electricity Usage Growth**: Google's electricity use surged by **27% year-over-year** in 2024, reaching approximately **32 terawatt-hours (TWh)**, with a **25% increase in North America** and a **32% increase internationally** [2][8]. 2. **Hyperscaler Demand**: The report indicates that hyperscalers are on track for their **7th consecutive year** of **25%+ year-over-year electricity demand**, driven by increasing AI inference demand [2][8]. 3. **Data Center Capacity**: Assuming an **85% average data center utilization**, the collective increase in electricity usage by Google, Microsoft, and Meta implies an additional **2.3 gigawatts (GW)** of data center capacity needed [2][8]. 4. **Carbon-Free Energy Goals**: Google aims to achieve **100% 24/7 carbon-free energy** by **2030**. In 2024, it managed to meet **66%** of its electricity demand with carbon-free energy, a slight increase from **64%** in 2023 [8][11]. 5. **Regional Performance**: In 2024, **9 out of 20 grid regions** achieved over **80% carbon-free energy**, with the U.S. at **70%**, while the Middle East/Africa and Asia Pacific lagged at **5%** and **12%**, respectively [8][9]. 6. **Water Usage Increase**: Google's water withdrawal and consumption rose by **28%** and **27% year-over-year**, totaling approximately **11 billion gallons** and **8 billion gallons**, respectively [15][17]. 7. **Power Use Effectiveness (PUE)**: Google's global average PUE ratio remained low at **1.09x** in 2024, compared to **1.10x** in 2023, indicating efficient energy use in data centers [14][17]. Additional Important Insights 1. **Challenges in Achieving Carbon-Free Energy**: Google acknowledged various market barriers to sourcing carbon-free energy, particularly in Asia Pacific and parts of the U.S., including constrained transmission grids and higher costs for clean energy [11][12]. 2. **Trade-offs in Cooling Methods**: Google emphasized the balance between water use and electricity use in cooling data centers, noting that water is the most efficient cooling method in many regions [17][18]. 3. **Future Projections**: The U.S. Department of Energy forecasts that direct water use by data centers could increase by **17-33% annually** by **2028**, excluding indirect water use related to electricity generation [17][18]. This summary encapsulates the critical points discussed in the conference call, highlighting Google's sustainability efforts and the broader implications for the hyperscaler industry.

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The analysis focuses on seven significant global manufacturing industries in China, including air conditioners, solar modules, lithium batteries, electric vehicles, power semiconductors (IGBT), steel, and construction machinery, which collectively represent 25% of China's GDP growth in 2024 and 7% of exports [1][15][57]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Capacity Imbalance**: The state of overcapacity in China remains largely unchanged, with five out of the seven industries holding more capacity than global demand. This has led to challenging supply structures characterized by fragmentation and flattened cost curves [1][16]. - **Domestic Demand Stimulation**: A sizable stimulatory domestic demand has temporarily alleviated the capacity imbalance, particularly in electric vehicles, where pulled-forward consumption represented 16% of the domestic market [1][26][27]. - **Cyclical Risks**: The "Rule-of-Three" framework indicates a delayed trough inflection and negative cyclical risks ahead, primarily dependent on the pace of demand stimulation exhaustion [2][31]. - **Sector-Specific Insights**: - **Solar**: Currently at a cyclical bottom, closest to an inflection point, but negative demand outlook suggests inflection is not imminent [3][32]. - **Electric Vehicles**: Weakest profit profile and steepest cost curve, requiring consolidation during the downcycle [3][32]. - **Top Producers**: In sectors like air conditioners, lithium batteries, and construction machinery, the relative cost position of top producers remains strong compared to others [3][32]. Additional Important Content - **Capacity Utilization**: Average capacity utilization across the seven sectors is projected to be 63% in 2025, which is 4-5% higher than previous estimates. However, a decline of 3-6% is expected by 2026-28 due to supply-demand imbalances [23][24]. - **Capex Trends**: Significant cuts in capital expenditures (capex) have been observed, particularly in the solar industry (45-52% cuts for 2025-2026) and power semiconductors (30% cuts). In contrast, lithium batteries and electric vehicles have seen mild upward revisions in capex [45][49]. - **Global Supply Position**: China maintains a dominant position in global supply, accounting for 86% of solar modules, 80% of lithium batteries, and 74% of air conditioners as of 2024. However, the expansion of ex-China capacity may lead to redundant supply risks [57][58]. Conclusion - The overall outlook indicates that while temporary demand stimulation has provided some relief, the underlying issues of overcapacity and fragmented supply structures persist. The cyclical risks remain negative, and the path to long-term consolidation is complicated by the current market dynamics and the need for further capacity exits [16][31][32].

Summary of Planet Labs (PL) Update / Briefing July 01, 2025 Company Overview - **Company**: Planet Labs (PL) - **Industry**: Geospatial services and satellite imaging Key Points Industry Dynamics - The global geopolitical landscape is increasing demand for sovereign access to geospatial services, with governments recognizing the importance of timely and comprehensive earth data for security and strategic decision-making [4][19] - There is a growing need for advanced analytics to support peace and security efforts globally [4][19] Contract Wins and Partnerships - Planet Labs announced a significant contract with the German government valued at EUR 240 million, aimed at enhancing European peace and security through dedicated satellite services [5][17] - This contract includes access to PlanetScope and high-resolution data, along with AI-enabled solutions for improved situational awareness [5][6] - The company has secured four major awards since the last earnings call, including expansions with the U.S. Department of Defense and the U.S. Navy [11][12] - Planet's partnerships with Japan and Germany highlight its long-standing relationships and trust built over more than ten years [6][33] Product Offerings - Planet's solutions include Maritime Domain Awareness (MDA) and Global Monitoring Service (GMS), which provide critical intelligence and situational awareness for defense and intelligence customers [13][15] - MDA is rapidly adopted for its ability to monitor vast ocean areas daily, while GMS offers comprehensive insights into strategic locations worldwide [13][15] AI Integration - The integration of AI with Planet's daily scan capabilities is transforming the analysis of geospatial data, enabling proactive vigilance and anomaly detection at an unprecedented scale [12][37] - AI is expected to democratize access to geospatial capabilities, enhancing the value derived from satellite data [38][39] Financial Outlook - All five contracts discussed are expected to generate annual contract values in the eight figures, with two contracts reaching nine-figure scales [17][18] - The company is focused on delivering exceptional value and systematically expanding its market presence [17][18] Manufacturing and Capacity - Planet Labs is building satellites in-house, leveraging its expertise in scaling satellite production to meet customer demands [21][22] - The company has launched over 600 satellites to date, positioning itself uniquely to fulfill large-scale contracts [22][33] Future Growth and Strategy - Planet aims to expand its footprint with existing customers while exploring new opportunities with other government clients [34][35] - The company is well-positioned to support European countries as they enhance their defense capabilities in response to geopolitical pressures [32][33] Collaboration and Innovation - Planet is collaborating with Anthropic to fine-tune AI models using satellite data, enhancing the accuracy and scalability of satellite image analysis [46][49] - The partnership aims to protect proprietary image archives while leveraging AI to unlock new capabilities [49][50] Conclusion - Planet Labs is strategically positioned to meet the increasing demand for geospatial services amid a changing geopolitical landscape, with a strong focus on AI integration and expanding its customer base [52][53]