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Fed minutes show officials were in tight split over December rate cut
CNBC· 2025-12-30 19:02
Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve has decided to lower interest rates by a quarter percentage point, reflecting a divided opinion among officials regarding the balance between supporting the labor market and managing inflation concerns [2][5]. Group 1: Interest Rate Decision - The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted 9-3 to cut the key funds rate to a range of 3.5%-3.75%, marking the most dissent since 2019 [2][5]. - Some officials indicated that further cuts may be appropriate if inflation decreases as expected, but there are concerns about the aggressiveness of future adjustments [3][4]. Group 2: Economic Outlook - Officials expressed confidence in moderate economic expansion but noted downside risks to employment and upside risks to inflation, leading to a divided perspective among policymakers [5]. - The committee anticipates another rate cut in 2026 and potentially one more in 2027, bringing the funds rate down to near 3%, which is considered neutral for economic growth [7]. Group 3: Inflation and Economic Data - There are concerns that progress towards the 2% inflation target has stalled, with some officials attributing inflationary pressures to President Trump's tariffs, although they expect these effects to be temporary [8]. - Recent economic reports indicate a slow labor market with hiring remaining sluggish, while inflation is easing but still distant from the Fed's target [9]. Group 4: Policy Changes and Future Actions - The FOMC has resumed its bond-buying program, acquiring $40 billion a month in short-term Treasury bills to alleviate pressures in short-term funding markets [13]. - The committee noted that without the resumption of this quantitative easing program, there could be significant declines in reserves, potentially falling below the Fed's "ample" regime for the banking system [14].
Tech startup Hyphen is bringing AI to the lunch line — with help from Cava and Chipotle
CNBC· 2025-12-30 18:42
Core Insights - Hyphen has raised $25 million in a Series B funding round to enhance its production capabilities and expand its rollout across U.S. restaurants [1] - Major restaurant chains like Chipotle and Cava are investing in Hyphen's automated makelines to improve efficiency and customer service [3][8] Funding and Investment - The Series B round included up to $10 million from Cava, with Chipotle investing a total of $25 million through its Cultivate Next venture fund by Q3 2025 [2] - The makelines cost between $50,000 and $100,000, with restaurant customers often seeing a return on investment in under a year [5] Technology and Operations - Hyphen's technology automates parts of the service process, addressing speed and labor challenges in the restaurant industry [4] - The makelines operate 95% of the time, and during downtime, workers can complete orders, minimizing disruption [5] - The technology tracks ingredients "down to the gram," helping restaurants reduce food costs and waste [6] Market Context - The restaurant industry is facing challenges, with shares of Cava and Chipotle down nearly 50% and 40% year-to-date, respectively [8] - Sweetgreen, a competitor, has seen a nearly 80% decline in shares and sold its robotics unit for $186.4 million earlier this year [9] Future Developments - Hyphen is in discussions with major brands and food service providers to evolve its makeline technology and develop software for food prep scheduling [10] - The company is focusing on high customization and high volume orders, rather than entering the fast food sector for now [11]
Home prices are getting slightly more affordable, but down payments are still holding buyers back
CNBC· 2025-12-30 15:35
Core Insights - The current housing market is showing improved affordability for homebuyers due to lower mortgage rates, easing home prices, and increased supply [1] Group 1: Home Prices - National home prices are essentially flat compared to a year ago, with a slight increase of 0.3% year over year [2] - The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller home price index indicates significant disparities among metropolitan markets, with cities like Chicago, New York, and Cleveland experiencing the largest gains, while Tampa, Phoenix, and Dallas saw the biggest losses [3] - National home prices are lagging behind consumer inflation, with October's CPI estimated at 3.1%, leading to a slight decline in inflation-adjusted home values over the past year [4] Group 2: Mortgage Rates - The average rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage has decreased to 6.19%, down from over 7% at the beginning of the year, resulting in substantial savings for homebuyers [5] - For a buyer putting down 20% on a $410,000 home, the monthly payment is currently $200 less than it was a year ago, indicating that lower rates and prices are making homes more affordable for first-time buyers [5]
These restaurant chains closed locations in 2025
CNBC· 2025-12-30 15:29
In this articleSBUXDENNWENJACKPZZANDLSBLMNDRIAs the restaurant industry endured another difficult year, many chains opted to close underperforming locations as they try to turn around their businesses.Inflation-weary consumers have pulled back their restaurant spending, choosing to eat at home or chasing deals when they go out for a meal. While some restaurants have won over reluctant diners, the industry has largely struggled with the sales slump. Traffic to restaurants open at least a year fell every mont ...
Softbank has fully funded $40 billion investment in OpenAI, sources tell CNBC
CNBC· 2025-12-30 14:18
Core Insights - Softbank has completed its $40 billion investment commitment to OpenAI, with a final investment of $22 billion to $22.5 billion sent last week [1] - The total investment includes a previous $10 billion syndicated and $8 billion directly invested in OpenAI [1] - The investment values OpenAI at a pre-money valuation of $260 billion [1] Funding Details - The funding will be disbursed over a 12 to 24 month period [2] - Part of the investment is intended to support OpenAI's artificial intelligence infrastructure through the Stargate joint venture with Oracle and Softbank [2]
Here's what to expect for commercial real estate in 2026
CNBC· 2025-12-30 14:17
Core Insights - The commercial real estate (CRE) outlook for 2026 is shaped by a slower-than-expected economy, rising unemployment, and a pause in construction across most sectors [3][10] - Despite challenges, there is a growing optimism in the CRE sector, with capital beginning to flow again and interest rates decreasing [11][17] General Investment - Various reports indicate a "new equilibrium" in the CRE market, with terms like "firmer fundamentals" and "ongoing recovery" being used [5] - A Deloitte survey shows that 83% of global executives expect revenue improvement by the end of 2026, down from 88% the previous year, with 68% anticipating higher expenses [6][7] Capital Markets - Colliers predicts a 15% to 20% increase in sales volume in 2026 as institutional and cross-border capital reenters the market [15] - CoStar reports a 40% year-over-year increase in third-quarter sales volume, with banks easing back into commercial real estate lending [16][17] Specific Sectors - The office market is believed to have bottomed, with vacancy rates expected to drop below 18% as tenants return [19] - Industrial construction has decreased by 63% since 2022, but net absorption is projected to rise to 220 million square feet due to reshoring and data center demand [21] - Retail is shifting towards smaller footprints, with the average retail lease falling below 3,500 square feet for the first time since 2016 [23] - Multifamily rents are easing due to a record level of new supply, although multifamily has led investment sales volume since 2015 [25] - Data centers are experiencing high demand, with 100% of new construction in nine major markets already pre-leased, but face financing and local political challenges [26][27] REITs - Public-to-private REIT transactions and portfolio mergers are expected to dominate as listed valuations lag behind private market pricing [28] - REIT stocks, which underperformed in 2025, may outperform in 2026 due to a divergence between stock market valuations and REIT valuations [29][30]
Silver's big swing, another AI acquisition for Meta, GM's banner year and more in Morning Squawk
CNBC· 2025-12-30 13:01
Group 1: Silver Market - Silver experienced significant volatility, with a record high earlier this year followed by an 8% drop, falling below $71 per ounce after reaching over $80 for the first time [8] - The metal's price fluctuated 15% within a single day, marking its largest one-day move since August 2020, but it remains up over 140% year-to-date despite the recent decline [8] - Early trading showed a recovery for silver, with prices increasing by more than 7% [8] Group 2: General Motors - General Motors (GM) is projected to outperform its competitors in 2025, with its stock on track for its largest annual gain since emerging from bankruptcy in 2009 [2][3] - The stock reached new all-time highs this month, driven by a 13% increase in December alone, and is set for its fifth consecutive month of gains [3] Group 3: Meta's AI Acquisitions - Meta has acquired Manus, a developer of artificial intelligence agents, to enhance its AI innovation and product automation [4][5] - The acquisition is reported to have closed at over $2 billion, although specific terms were not disclosed [5] - This acquisition follows Meta's earlier investments in AI, including a $14.3 billion investment in Scale AI and the purchase of wearables startup Limitless [6]
Copper on pace for best year since 2009 as AI demand, supply fears fuel record price rally
CNBC· 2025-12-30 11:55
Core Viewpoint - Copper is experiencing its largest annual price increase in over a decade, influenced by supply disruptions, a weakening U.S. dollar, positive expectations for Chinese economic growth, and significant investments in artificial intelligence [1] Group 1: Price Trends - Three-month copper prices on the London Metal Exchange (LME) increased by 1.5% to $12,405 per metric ton, following a record high of $12,960 [2] - The benchmark copper contract has risen approximately 41% this year, marking its best performance since 2009, when it gained over 140% [3] - In New York, copper prices have surged more than 40% since the beginning of 2025, positioning it for its largest annual increase since 2009, when the contract rose 137.3% [3] Group 2: Demand Drivers - Copper demand is viewed as an indicator of economic health and is essential for the energy transition, electric vehicle manufacturing, power grids, and wind turbines [4] - The electrification process, grid expansion, and the construction of data centers require substantial amounts of copper for wiring, power transmission, and cooling systems [4]
Silver soars after tumbling on Monday, capping 2025 with another wild ride
CNBC· 2025-12-30 09:44
Silver bars are stacked in the safe deposit boxes room of the Pro Aurum gold house in Munich, Germany, January 10, 2025.Silver futures for March delivery were up 7.2% to last trade at $75.54 an ounce at 7:52 a.m. ET, bringing year-to-date gains to 158%.Silver futures hit a record high overnight on Monday, reaching $80 an ounce for the first time. However, gains quickly evaporated and the metal logged its largest single-day drop since February 2021, closing the session down 8.7%."This is a historic move," sa ...
European markets set to open flat to higher as 2025 draws to a close
CNBC· 2025-12-30 06:23
City workers in the La Defense business district of Paris, France, on Thursday, Oct. 9, 2025.The pan-European Stoxx 600 index was 0.4% higher by 11:30 a.m. London time (6.30 a.m. ET) to break through 590 points – a new record.European stocks picked up steam and moved further into green territory on Tuesday, in a holiday-shortened trading week.Mining stocks topped the blue-chip index, with Fresnillo gaining 5.3%. Peer miners Anglo American, Antofagasta, and Glencore rose between 2.3% and 2%. Gains came as go ...