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Oracle Stock To $126?
Forbes· 2026-01-21 12:00
Core Viewpoint - Oracle's stock has experienced significant volatility, dropping 50% from its peak due to concerns over its debt and geopolitical tensions, despite a strong cloud contract backlog of $523 billion [3][13]. Financial Performance - Oracle is a $515 billion company generating $61 billion in revenue with an 11% growth rate and a solid 32% operating margin [9]. - The company's debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.24, and its cash-to-assets ratio is only 0.1, indicating potential financial strain [9]. Market Reaction - The stock fell by 6% recently due to geopolitical concerns and a lawsuit from bondholders regarding losses from its debt-driven AI infrastructure expansion [2]. - Despite a strong backlog, Oracle's stock has dropped 26% over the past six months, reflecting market skepticism about its balance sheet stability [3]. Historical Context - During the 2008 financial crisis, Oracle's stock decreased by 41%, but it recovered fully in 16 months [5]. - In the 2020 COVID crash, Oracle's stock fell by 29%, rebounding in under four months [6]. - However, in 2022, Oracle's stock dropped by 41% compared to a 25% decline in the S&P 500, indicating vulnerability during inflationary periods [7]. Future Outlook - Analysts suggest a fair valuation of $295 for Oracle, indicating over 60% potential upside from current prices [13]. - The critical question remains whether Oracle can effectively monetize its $523 billion backlog while managing its debt without compromising profitability [10]. Investment Considerations - Investors who purchased Oracle at $180 may face concerns about further declines, with historical trends suggesting potential recovery if conditions mirror past crises [11]. - The prevailing pessimism around Oracle may be excessive, as the market has been penalizing the company for its debt concerns for months [13].
United Airlines, Like Delta, Just Saw A Week With Record Ticket Sales
Forbes· 2026-01-20 23:55
Core Insights - United Airlines reported strong fourth quarter results, exceeding analyst estimates, and provided optimistic guidance for 2026 [2][7] Financial Performance - In the fourth quarter, United Airlines achieved operating revenue growth of 4.8%, totaling $15.4 billion, and net income of $1.04 billion, up from $985 million the previous year [7] - Adjusted diluted earnings per share were reported at $3.10, surpassing analyst forecasts of $2.94 [7] - United's adjusted pre-tax margin was 8.5%, while Delta's was 9.5% [8] Demand and Growth Outlook - CEO Scott Kirby indicated strong demand, particularly in business travel, which is up well into the double digits [3] - United is set to take delivery of 20 widebody aircraft in 2026, marking the highest number for a U.S. airline in a single year since 1988 [3] - The week ending January 4th was noted as the highest flown revenue week in United's history, with the following week also setting records for ticketing and business sales [6] Competitive Landscape - United Airlines is focused on catching up with industry leader Delta, with both airlines expected to account for 100% of airline industry profits by 2025 [6] - Premium revenue for United increased by 9% in the fourth quarter and 11% for the full year, while the main cabin also performed well [5]
Walmart Investors Had A $130 Billion Decade
Forbes· 2026-01-20 18:25
Core Insights - Walmart has returned a total of $132 billion to its investors over the past ten years through dividends and buybacks, ranking it as the 13th highest in shareholder returns in history [2][3] - The company has achieved this while expanding revenue, investing in e-commerce, automation, and logistics, and maintaining a conservative balance sheet [3] - Dividends and share repurchases indicate management's confidence in financial stability and sustainable cash flows [4] Financial Metrics - Walmart's revenue growth stands at 4.3% for the last twelve months (LTM) and an average of 5.4% over the past three years [8] - The company has a free cash flow margin of approximately 2.2% and an operating margin of 4.1% LTM [8] - Walmart's stock trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 41.7 [8] Market Position - The total capital returned to shareholders as a percentage of market cap appears inversely related to growth potential for reinvestments, with companies like Meta and Microsoft showing faster growth but returning a smaller portion to shareholders [5] - High capital returns raise questions about potential compromises in growth and fundamentals [6]
Can Palantir Stock Jump 30%?
Forbes· 2026-01-20 17:50
Core Viewpoint - Adding to PLTR stock may be sensible at this stage, with a target price of $223 achievable if execution remains strong, though the stock's very high valuation suggests potential volatility [1][3] Valuation - PLTR's valuation appears very high compared to the broader market, indicating limited margin for error [5][4] Growth - The company has experienced an average growth rate of 29.3% over the past three years, with revenues increasing by 47% from $2.6 billion to $3.9 billion in the last 12 months [7] - Quarterly revenues rose by 62.8% to $1.2 billion from $726 million a year earlier [7] Profitability - PLTR's operating income over the last 12 months was $850 million, reflecting an operating margin of 21.8% [7] - The company generated nearly $1.8 billion in operating cash flow, with a cash flow margin of 46.6% [7] - Net income for the same period was almost $1.1 billion, indicating a net margin of approximately 28.1% [7] Financial Stability - PLTR's debt stood at $235 million, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.06% [8] - The company has $6.4 billion in cash, comprising 79.3% of its total assets of $8.1 billion [8] Downturn Resilience - PLTR experienced a greater impact than the S&P 500 during economic downturns, with significant declines and recovery times noted [9] - The stock decreased by 84.6% from a peak of $39.00 on January 27, 2021, to $6.00 on December 27, 2022, while the S&P 500 saw a peak-to-trough drop of 25.4% [11] - PLTR fully rebounded to its pre-crisis peak by October 3, 2024, and reached a high of $207.18 on November 3, 2025, currently trading at $170.96 [11]
How AMD Stock Can Surge In 2026
Forbes· 2026-01-20 17:11
Core Viewpoint - AMD has a history of rapid stock rallies, with increases over 50% in short periods, suggesting potential for future growth driven by upcoming catalysts [1] Group 1: Catalysts for Growth - Catalyst 1: AI Accelerator Market Share Shift, with potential acquisition of up to 20% market share by 2027 [4][11] - Catalyst 2: Activating OpenAI Strategic Revenue, with a definitive agreement to utilize AMD GPUs for OpenAI infrastructure [5][11] - Catalyst 3: Broadening Enterprise and Edge AI Presence, including new revenue pathways in AI PCs and Automotive through strategic partnerships [6][11] Group 2: Financial Performance - Revenue Growth: 31.8% for the last twelve months (LTM) and a three-year average of 12.9% [12] - Cash Generation: Nearly 17.0% free cash flow margin and 9.4% operating margin LTM [12] - Valuation: AMD stock trades at a P/E multiple of 114.0 [12]
What Is Happening With Micron Stock?
Forbes· 2026-01-20 16:40
Core Viewpoint - Micron Technology has seen a significant increase in trading volume due to the groundbreaking of its New York megafab, alongside strong insider purchases and a positive outlook on an AI-driven memory cycle [1][3]. Group 1: Company Developments - The official groundbreaking of the $100 billion New York megafab is set for January 16, 2026, and is viewed as a major de-risking event that symbolizes anticipated growth [3]. - Insider purchases, including over 23,000 shares acquired by Director Mark Liu, indicate strong internal confidence in the company's future trajectory [11]. - Positive feedback from major clients like Meta, Google, and Apple during the groundbreaking reinforces the long-term demand narrative for Micron's products [11]. Group 2: Market Performance - Micron's stock experienced a 7.8% increase, reflecting a strengthening fundamental story rather than just a reaction to a single event [3]. - The stock closed at $362.75, approaching its 52-week high of $365.81, with trading volume approximately 41% higher than the average daily volume, indicating strong institutional engagement [12]. - The stock's decisive price action surpassed recent consolidation levels, suggesting an aggressive accumulation phase by institutional investors [5][6]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The next critical level to monitor is the $400 threshold; a consolidation above recent peaks and a breakthrough of this level would confirm the start of a new sustained uptrend [8]. - The combination of a tangible growth catalyst (megafab), strong insider purchases, and a favorable industry cycle positions Micron as a high-conviction long investment [8]. - Micron's high institutional ownership of approximately 80% suggests that the recent movement reflects additional accumulation by these large investors [13].
AI Is A Distraction. This 7.2% Dividend Is The Real Deal For 2026
Forbes· 2026-01-20 16:02
Core Viewpoint - The financial sector is presenting attractive investment opportunities with a growing 7.2% dividend, despite being overshadowed by technology news [3][5][10]. Financial Sector Performance - The financial sector returned 15% in 2025, making it the fourth-best performer among sectors, trailing behind technology, industrials, and communication services [3][4]. - Financials have not outperformed the broader S&P 500, which returned 17.7% last year, indicating that the sector is not overcrowded [6]. Future Outlook - Industry insiders predict a "supercycle" in which banks could invest over $182 billion, suggesting a robust pipeline for potential deals and increased profits in 2026 [7][8]. - The financial sector is starting to close the performance gap with the S&P 500, indicating potential for future growth [6]. Investment Opportunities - The John Hancock Financial Opportunities Fund (BTO) is highlighted as a strong investment option, offering a 7.2% dividend and focusing on regional banks and investment-bank specialists [10]. - BTO has raised its payout by 75.6% over the last decade, demonstrating resilience and consistent income generation [12]. - BTO has outperformed the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) significantly, returning over 800% since the late 1990s compared to XLF's less than 400% [13]. Valuation and Market Position - BTO has historically traded at a premium to net asset value (NAV), but this premium has recently turned into a discount, presenting a contrarian investment opportunity [14]. - The expectation is that the discount will not last as investors shift focus from high-priced tech stocks to more undervalued sectors like financials [14].
Why Rocket Lab Stock Jumped 50%?
Forbes· 2026-01-20 16:02
CHONGQING, CHINA - AUGUST 7: In this photo illustration, a smartphone displays the logo of Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (NASDAQ: RKLB), a U.S.-based aerospace manufacturer and launch service provider, in front of a screen showing the company's latest stock market chart on August 7, 2025 in Chongqing, China. (Photo illustration by Cheng Xin/Getty Images)Getty ImagesRocket Lab (RKLB)’s stock surged 45%, in the past three months, driven not only by a robust 10% increase in revenue but also by a significant 36% uplift ...
Gold And Silver Hit Record Highs Amid U.S.-Europe Tension Over Greenland
Forbes· 2026-01-20 15:45
Core Insights - The prices of gold and silver have reached new highs, driven by geopolitical tensions, particularly related to President Trump's push to acquire Greenland [1][2][3] Price Movements - As of 10 a.m. EST, silver is priced at approximately $94.57, reflecting a nearly 7% increase, although it is slightly below its all-time high of $95.78 [1] - Gold is priced at 4,742.60, up more than 3%, and just below its morning high of 4,756.60 [2] Geopolitical Influences - The recent surge in gold and silver prices is attributed to increased demand for safe-haven assets amid international uncertainty, particularly due to Trump's Greenland acquisition demands [2][4] - Trump's threats to impose tariffs on European nations opposing his Greenland acquisition have further fueled the rally in precious metals [3][4] Future Projections - Analysts predict that gold could exceed $5,000 per ounce and silver could surpass $100 by 2026, driven by rising demand in technological industries and ongoing global uncertainties [5] - Concerns regarding the independence of the Federal Reserve, highlighted by an investigation into its chair, may also contribute to the upward trend in gold and silver prices as they are viewed as safe-haven assets [5]
Wall Street's ‘Fear Gauge' Spikes To Highest Level Since November As Trump Escalates Greenland Threats
Forbes· 2026-01-20 15:40
Core Viewpoint - The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) surged nearly 28% to around 20.30, indicating heightened market fear due to President Trump's tariff threats against European countries and his push for U.S. control over Greenland [2][3]. Market Reactions - The S&P 500 index fell approximately 1.5%, losing 107 points to around 6,869, despite nearing the 7,000-point milestone in recent sessions [3]. - The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 737 points (1.4%) to 48,648, with significant losses from major companies such as 3M (down 5.5%), Amazon (2.8%), and Amgen (2.4%) [4]. - The tech-heavy Nasdaq also fell 1.4%, with declines from companies like Shopify (3.2%), Broadcom (2.6%), and Tesla (2.4%) [4]. - European markets reacted negatively, with the STOXX Europe 50 down 1.3%, the FTSE 100 declining 1%, Germany's DAX falling 1.4%, and France's CAC 40 decreasing 1.1% [4]. Tariff Details - Trump's proposed tariffs will affect Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, the UK, the Netherlands, and Finland, starting at 10% on February 1 and increasing to 25% by June 1 [5]. - The tariffs are a response to these countries deploying military personnel to Greenland, with Trump asserting that China and Russia are seeking control over the territory [5].