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1 Reason I'm Never Selling Nvidia Stock
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-14 14:09
Core Viewpoint - Nvidia stock is being considered for purchase due to changing market sentiment and the potential for continued growth despite recent declines in stock value [1][4]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Market Sentiment - Nvidia shares have increased approximately 1,300% over the last five years, driven by the use of GPUs in Bitcoin mining and artificial intelligence applications [3]. - After reaching an all-time high in October, Nvidia's stock has dropped by 12% in a little over a month due to concerns about the sustainability of AI enthusiasm [4]. - Current stock price is $174.96, with a market cap of $4.3 trillion and a gross margin of 70.05% [8]. Group 2: Competitive Landscape - The Wall Street Journal highlighted Nvidia's 59% operating profit margins, which are significantly higher than those of competitors, potentially leading to increased competition in the AI chip market [5]. - Rivals such as AMD, Marvell, and Qualcomm may enter the market with lower-priced alternatives, which could challenge Nvidia's market position [5][6]. - Despite competition, major companies like Alphabet are still investing heavily in Nvidia's GPUs, indicating strong ongoing demand [8]. Group 3: Future Growth Potential - Analysts predict Nvidia's annual profit of $99.2 billion will grow nearly 44% per year over the next five years, potentially quadrupling by 2030 [8]. - Nvidia's current valuation of 45 times trailing earnings is considered fair given its growth rate, with a PEG ratio of 1.0 indicating a reasonable price for a growth stock [9].
VUG vs. VOOG: Which of These Vanguard Growth ETFs Is Best for Investors?
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-14 13:30
Core Insights - The Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF (VOOG) and the Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG) target U.S. growth stocks but differ in size, sector focus, and risk-return profiles [1][2] Cost & Size Comparison - VOOG has an expense ratio of 0.07% and AUM of $21.7 billion, while VUG has a lower expense ratio of 0.04% and AUM of $357.4 billion [3][10] - The one-year return for VOOG is 15.7%, compared to 14.4% for VUG, and VOOG offers a slightly higher dividend yield of 0.48% versus VUG's 0.42% [3] Performance & Risk Metrics - Over five years, VOOG has a max drawdown of -32.74%, while VUG has a max drawdown of -35.61% [4] - A $1,000 investment in VOOG would grow to $1,978, while the same investment in VUG would grow to $1,984 over five years [4] Portfolio Composition - VUG holds 160 stocks with 53% in technology, while VOOG holds 217 stocks with 45% in technology [5][6] - The top three holdings for both funds are Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft, but VUG's top three holdings account for 33.51% of its total assets, compared to 27.23% for VOOG, indicating greater diversification in VOOG [9] Diversification & Volatility - VOOG's larger number of holdings and lower concentration in technology may reduce its volatility, as indicated by its lower beta of 1.10 compared to VUG's beta of 1.23 [3][8] - VOOG's structure allows for less weight toward top stocks, which can help mitigate risk [9] Liquidity Considerations - VUG's significantly larger AUM provides better liquidity and trading flexibility for investors compared to VOOG [10]
Top 3 Fidelity Bond ETF Picks for 2026
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-14 13:25
Core Viewpoint - Fidelity's bond ETF lineup, while smaller than some competitors, offers strategic options for investors looking to capitalize on the improved bond market environment heading into 2026 [1][3]. Group 1: Bond Market Environment - The fixed income market has seen a resurgence, with yields of 4% or greater available across various points on the yield curve, and inflation is now contained, allowing for a more favorable investment climate [2]. - The bond market is recovering from a challenging period, including a poor performance in 2022, and is now positioned to be a more integral part of traditional asset allocation strategies [1][2]. Group 2: Fidelity's Bond ETFs - Fidelity currently offers 13 bond ETFs, providing a range of options for investors to navigate the current economic landscape [3]. - The Fidelity Total Bond ETF (FBND) provides broad exposure to the total bond market, including both investment-grade and junk bonds, with minimal exposure to non-investment-grade and non-U.S. bonds [5][6]. - The Fidelity Enhanced Yield ETF (FDHY) focuses on the junk bond sector, employing a factor-based approach to select bonds with optimal value and quality characteristics, which may benefit from a healthy U.S. economy and stable credit spreads [10][11]. - The Fidelity Tactical Bond ETF (FTBD) combines features of both FBND and FDHY, covering all areas of the fixed-income market while allowing for tactical rotation based on valuation and quality assessments [12][13]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The bond market in 2026 is expected to be influenced by various economic factors, including growth, inflation, and labor market conditions, making a strategic approach to fixed income essential [7]. - Active management in bond funds is anticipated to yield better results as central banks approach the end of their rate-cutting cycles, shifting the focus from yield capture to security selection [14].
Before the Crisis: How You and Your Relatives Can Prepare for Financial Caregiving
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-14 13:12
Core Insights - The podcast discusses the importance of financial preparedness for families, particularly in the context of caregiving and managing finances during emergencies [3][6][22] Employment and Economic Indicators - The unemployment rate in the U.S. rose to 4.4% as of November 20, the highest since 2021, with private sector employment declining for five consecutive months, excluding healthcare and leisure sectors [3][4] - In November, private companies laid off 32,000 workers, primarily affecting small businesses, with year-over-year pay increases slightly declining to 4.4% from 4.5% in October [3][4] - Employers announced over 70,000 layoffs in November, adding to 150,000 cuts in October, marking the highest total for that month in 22 years, with total layoffs for 2025 reaching 1.17 million, a 54% increase from the previous year [3][4] Bond Market Performance - Bond prices have increased due to rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, resulting in a total return of over 7% from bonds in 2025, positioning it for one of the best years in two decades [4][5] - The total amount held in money market funds reached $8 trillion, the highest ever, with average yields of 3.8% compared to 0.6% for average savings accounts [4][5] Financial Caregiving Insights - The podcast emphasizes the need for individuals to organize their financial documents and create a "death file" to ease the burden on family members during emergencies [12][22] - A durable power of attorney is highlighted as a crucial document, allowing designated individuals to manage financial affairs if one becomes incapacitated [13][18] - The importance of having clear communication with family members about financial matters is stressed, as many individuals procrastinate on these discussions [24][23]
The Smartest Mining Stock to Buy With $100 Right Now
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-14 12:45
Core Insights - MP Materials has experienced a significant increase in stock value, achieving a triple-digit gain over the past year, distinguishing it from typical mining stocks [1] - The company operates the Mountain Pass mine in California, which is one of the only scalable rare earth metal mines in the U.S., positioning it strategically in the domestic supply chain [2][3] Company Overview - MP Materials has a current market capitalization of $10 billion and its stock price has fluctuated between $15.56 and $100.25 over the past year [2] - The Mountain Pass mine is the only large-scale rare earth mine and processing facility currently operating in the U.S., extracting ore rich in neodymium and praseodymium, essential for high-performance magnets [6] Market Opportunity - The Nd-Pr oxide market is projected to grow 11-fold by 2035, driven by demand for permanent magnets used in various applications, including fighter jets and electric vehicle motors [6] - MP Materials is not only involved in mining but also in the production of high-performance magnets, enhancing its value proposition [7] Strategic Partnerships - The Department of Defense became MP's largest shareholder through a $400 million deal, indicating strong governmental support [7] - MP has also secured a $500 million supply agreement with Apple, further solidifying its market position and growth potential [7] Investment Considerations - Despite the impressive stock performance and high valuation, the company’s current market position leaves limited room for error, suggesting that investment in MP Materials may be speculative [8]
There Is 1 Big Thing to Watch With CELH Stock in 2026
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-14 12:37
Core Insights - Celsius Holdings has experienced significant stock performance in 2025, with shares up 37%, outperforming the S&P 500's 16% return [1] - The company made a strategic acquisition of Alani Nu for $1.8 billion, which has positively impacted its revenue growth [4][5] - The upcoming quarters in 2026 will be critical for Celsius as they will reflect the true impact of the Alani Nu acquisition on sales and profitability [9][10] Financial Performance - The acquisition of Alani Nu closed at a net price of $1.65 billion, which was advantageous given Alani Nu's rising popularity and the demographic expansion it offers [4][5] - Following the acquisition, Celsius reported an 84% increase in revenue in the second quarter and a 173% surge in the latest report, defying initial expectations [6] - Analysts project a 114% revenue increase in the first quarter of 2026 due to the addition of Alani Nu, with a consolidated revenue forecast of $3.2 billion for the year, reflecting a 32% increase [8][9] Market Outlook - The second quarter of 2026 is anticipated to be pivotal, as it will provide a clearer picture of growth on a comparable basis with Alani Nu [9][10] - The momentum suggests potential for continued stock price appreciation, contingent on the performance metrics in 2026 [10]
Should You Buy Shares of Intuitive Surgical in December?
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-14 12:18
Company Overview - Intuitive Surgical specializes in surgical robots, being a pioneer in robotic-assisted surgery (RAS) systems with a global installed base of 10,763 da Vinci surgical robots as of Q3 2025 [1] Market Opportunity - The surgical robotics market presents significant growth potential, evidenced by a 13% year-over-year increase in da Vinci systems and a 20% rise in surgeries performed using these robots [3] Integration of AI - The company is incorporating artificial intelligence into its products, with future possibilities of robotic systems performing surgeries independently, which aligns Intuitive Surgical with AI-focused exchange-traded funds (ETFs) [4] Revenue Streams - The installed base of RAS systems generates a recurring revenue stream from services and sales of instruments and accessories, contributing approximately 75% to the company's total revenue [5] Stock Performance - Following a strong Q3 earnings report, Intuitive Surgical's stock price surged over 20% after hitting a 52-week low, indicating a recovery in investor confidence [6] Valuation Metrics - Current valuation metrics show the stock is trading at a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 21, a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 73.5, and a price-to-book-value (P/B) ratio of 11.6, all of which are above their respective five-year averages [7][8] Investment Considerations - Despite the company's strong product quality and recurring revenue potential, the high valuation suggests that it may only be suitable for aggressive growth investors, who should carefully consider the stock's price before investing [10]
VUG vs. IWO: Is Large-Cap Growth or Small-Cap Diversification a Better Choice for Investors?
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-14 12:15
Core Insights - The Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG) and iShares Russell 2000 Growth ETF (IWO) represent two distinct strategies in targeting U.S. growth stocks, with VUG focusing on large-cap companies and IWO on small-cap firms [1][2] Cost & Size Comparison - VUG has a significantly lower expense ratio of 0.04% compared to IWO's 0.24%, which can benefit cost-conscious investors over time [3] - As of December 14, 2025, VUG has a one-year return of 14.52%, outperforming IWO's 9.83% [3] - VUG's assets under management (AUM) stand at $357.4 billion, while IWO has an AUM of $13.2 billion [3] Performance & Risk Metrics - Over the past five years, IWO experienced a maximum drawdown of -42.02%, while VUG had a lower drawdown of -35.61% [4] - An investment of $1,000 in VUG would have grown to $1,984 over five years, compared to $1,212 for IWO [4] Portfolio Composition - VUG allocates over 50% of its portfolio to technology stocks, with top holdings including Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft, indicating a concentration risk [5] - IWO has a more balanced sector allocation across technology, healthcare, and industrials, with its top holdings representing less than 2% of assets, thus reducing company-specific risk [6] Investment Implications - VUG's focus on large-cap industry leaders may result in less risk but also greater volatility due to its concentration in a few stocks [7][10] - IWO's broader diversification across over 1,000 small-cap stocks may lead to higher volatility but offers potential for explosive growth if any of its holdings perform exceptionally well [8][9]
Bitfarms Stock: The Bitcoin Mining Play to Watch
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-14 12:07
Core Viewpoint - Bitfarms is transitioning from Bitcoin mining to focus on energy and digital services, particularly to meet the demands of AI data centers, resulting in significant stock performance compared to Bitcoin [1][4][6]. Company Transition - Bitfarms has shifted away from Bitcoin mining since late last year, closing some Bitcoin positions at high prices and converting its mining centers to new uses [4][6]. - The CEO indicated that the company expects to earn more from a single site offering GPUs as a service than from its previous Bitcoin mining operations [4]. Market Context - The Bitcoin mining sector is facing challenges due to volatile prices and increased competition, making it less profitable [5]. - Other Bitcoin miners are also adapting their facilities to serve the energy needs of AI data centers, indicating a broader industry trend [5]. Future Prospects - Bitfarms plans to completely wind down its mining operations and is focusing on energy services, which are gaining traction as investments related to AI [6]. - The company has a $128 million deal lined up with a large American multinational for data center infrastructure, with ongoing development plans in Quebec and Pennsylvania [7].
Will the Stock Market Rise in 2026? Investors Who Ignore This Historical Pattern Do So at Their Own Risk.
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-14 11:37
Market Overview - The S&P 500 has historically increased about 10% annually on average, with a year-to-date gain of 17% in 2025, indicating a potential for above-average returns for the third consecutive year [1][2] - Historical data suggests that the stock market tends to rise two out of three years, implying a high probability of another strong year in 2026 [5][7] Investment Strategy - Investors are encouraged to maintain a long-term investment strategy, as the average bear market lasts only 15 months and is infrequent, while market downturns of 10% to 20% are short-lived [7] - The S&P 500 is statistically likely to increase in value in 2026, and even if a market crash occurs, it is expected to be brief, leading to a new bull market [7][14] Company Focus: Sandisk - Sandisk has been the top performer in 2025 so far, with a year-to-date increase of over 500%, and is expected to outperform the S&P 500 again in 2026 [9][10] - The company reported a 10% revenue increase for fiscal 2025, with a significant surge of 23% year-over-year in the first quarter of 2026, and management anticipates over 40% growth for Q2 [12][13] - Sandisk's memory products are crucial for data centers, with demand from major hyperscalers driving revenue and profit margins, suggesting a favorable operating environment for the foreseeable future [13]