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郭明錤 (Ming-Chi Kuo)
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X @郭明錤 (Ming-Chi Kuo)
Strategic Collaboration & Technological Advancement - Elon Musk and Tesla have a significant opportunity to engage in wafer fabrication at a very low cost, enhancing chip design capabilities and future bargaining power with foundries [1] - Mastering core chip manufacturing technologies is a strategic advantage for Elon Musk's ventures in the long term, given the increasing demand for advanced chips [1] - Tesla's AI6 chip, expected to be in mass production in 2027, will utilize Samsung's 2nm (SF2) advanced process [1] - Samsung's new Texas fab will be dedicated to making Tesla's next-generation AI6 chip, highlighting its strategic importance [2] Manufacturing & Production Risks - Samsung's SF2 process currently has a yield of 40-45%, lower than TSMC's N2 (over 70%) and Intel's 18A (50-55%) [1] - It is difficult to predict whether Samsung can smoothly mass-produce AI6 with SF2 as scheduled, despite the use of GAA technology similar to SF3 [1] - The worst-case scenario for Tesla if AI6 production is not as expected is to transfer orders back to TSMC and bear the impact of AI6 delays [2] Competitive Advantages & Business Models - If AI6 can be mass-produced smoothly, chip design and manufacturing will be a core competitive advantage for Elon Musk's ventures, allowing for more flexible planning and lower costs [2] - Samsung has identified a new business model that allows customers to participate in manufacturing, even if it cannot fully catch up with TSMC in advanced processes [2] - TSMC will manufacture AI5, which has just finished design, initially in Taiwan and then Arizona [3]
X @郭明錤 (Ming-Chi Kuo)
Investment & Capacity Expansion - Fine M-Tec announced an investment of approximately KRW 175 billion (approximately USD 13 million based on current exchange rates) to support the growing foldable device market and increased demand for ultra-precision laser processing capacity [1] - The investment period spans from July 17, 2025, to January 20, 2027 [1] Competitive Landscape & Market Dynamics - Apple's stricter crease-free requirements for the foldable iPhone are expected to accelerate the adoption of laser drilling for display metal plate production [1] - Samsung's new 2H26 Galaxy Z Fold 8 will also adopt higher-ASP laser-drilled display metal plates to better compete with the foldable iPhone [2] Supplier Relationships & Revenue Implications - Fine M-Tec will serve as the exclusive supplier for Samsung's Fold 8 (vs primary supplier for Fold 7), suggesting a significant increase in ASP and profit contribution from Samsung in 2026 [2] - Additional investments related to the foldable iPhone are expected from Fine M-Tec [3]
X @郭明錤 (Ming-Chi Kuo)
Investment and Production Expansion - Fine M-Tec plans to invest approximately ₩175 billion (approximately $130 million USD) from July 17, 2025, to January 20, 2027, to expand production capacity for precision laser technology due to the growing foldable phone market [1] - The investment is partly driven by anticipated demand from Samsung for Galaxy Z Fold 8, which is expected to use higher-priced, laser-drilled display metal plates to compete with the foldable iPhone [2] Competitive Landscape and Supplier Dynamics - The industry anticipates that foldable iPhones will utilize laser drilling technology for display metal plates to meet Apple's high standards for crease-free screens [1][2] - Fine M-Tec is expected to be the exclusive supplier of laser-drilled display metal plates for Samsung's Galaxy Z Fold 8, potentially increasing the company's ASP (Average Selling Price) and profits significantly in 2026 [2] - Fine M-Tec is also expected to benefit from the adoption of SDC (Samsung Display Corporation) display solutions for foldable iPhones [3] Future Outlook - Further investments from Fine M-Tec related to the foldable iPhone are expected in the future [3]
X @郭明錤 (Ming-Chi Kuo)
Industry Trend - Fine M-Tec is positioned as a leading beneficiary of Samsung Display Corporation's (SDC) crease-free display solution for foldable iPhones [1]
X @郭明錤 (Ming-Chi Kuo)
Industry Focus - Fine M-Tec is positioned as a leading beneficiary of SDC display solutions for foldable iPhones, specifically addressing the crease issue [1]
X @郭明錤 (Ming-Chi Kuo)
Production & Workforce - Foxconn's India iPhone facility had few Chinese employees [1] - Market rumors about Foxconn asking Chinese employees to return home from its India iPhone plant have negligible impact [1] Industry Dynamics - Reports explain why Foxconn relies on Taiwanese employees rather than Chinese employees for building iPhone factories in India [1]
X @郭明錤 (Ming-Chi Kuo)
Production & Workforce - Foxconn's reliance on Chinese employees in its India iPhone factory is minimal [1] - The production capacity of Foxconn's India iPhone factory is primarily established by Taiwanese employees, including those from FIH Mobile (富智康的民生廠), rather than Chinese employees [1] Market Impact - The impact of Foxconn requesting Chinese employees to return home from its India iPhone factory is negligible [1]
X @郭明錤 (Ming-Chi Kuo)
Production & Workforce - Market rumors regarding Foxconn asking Chinese employees to return home from its India iPhone plant have negligible impact [1] - There were already few Chinese employees at Foxconn's India iPhone facility [1] - Production capabilities at Foxconn's India iPhone facilities were established by Taiwanese employees, not Chinese employees [2] - The gradual return of Chinese employees had been planned for some time [3] Transparency & Communication - Apple was fully informed about the planned return of Chinese employees [3]
X @郭明錤 (Ming-Chi Kuo)
Production & Workforce - The impact of Foxconn's reported request for Chinese employees to return home from its India iPhone factory is negligible [1] - The number of Chinese employees at the India iPhone factory was originally small [1] - Foxconn's Taiwan employees (e.g., from FIH Mobile's Minsheng factory) established the production capacity at the India iPhone factory, not Chinese employees [1] - The gradual return of Chinese employees from Foxconn's India iPhone factory was a long-planned arrangement, fully known to Apple [1]
X @郭明錤 (Ming-Chi Kuo)
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