Benjamin Cowen
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Bitcoin Bull Market Support Band
Benjamin Cowen· 2025-06-30 02:42
Market Analysis & Trends - Bitcoin experienced a 7% increase last week [1] - Bitcoin is currently trading around $108,000-$109,000, not far from its all-time high [2] - The bull market support band, consisting of the 20-week SMA and 21-week EMA, ranges from approximately $95,600 to $98,400 [2] - Historically, the 50-week SMA has been a reliable indicator of the bull market [3] - Q3 pullbacks below the bull market support band have occurred in the past, specifically in Q3 2023 and Q3 2024 [3][4] - The integrity of the bull market remains intact as long as the 50-week SMA holds as support, currently around $86,000 [8][12] Investment Strategy & Risk Management - The industry suggests Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) for long-term investments [5] - Bitcoin is considered a better investment than altcoins due to its potential for upside and minimized downside risk [5][16][17] - Maintaining a portfolio primarily in Bitcoin is favored due to the expectation that altcoins will continue to decline relative to Bitcoin [17] Technical Indicators & Future Outlook - If Bitcoin does not fall below the 2024 high, the next rally could lead to a new all-time high [7] - Prior Bitcoin peaks have often coincided with the 200-week SMA crossing the previous all-time high [10][11] - Market volatility is expected this week due to upcoming data releases, including hires, job openings, unemployment rate, and inflation data [18][19]
Bitcoin Social Interest: Where is Everyone?
Benjamin Cowen· 2025-06-29 03:44
Market Sentiment & Social Interest - The crypto industry observes that despite Bitcoin's price reaching $107,000 and hitting new all-time highs recently, social interest remains surprisingly low compared to the euphoria of 2021 [1] - The social risk indicator, comprising YouTube subscribers/views, Twitter followers/exchanges, and layer ones on X, is near zero, indicating minimal interest in the crypto space [1] - Historically, social interest above 8.9% has indicated retail arrival, but current levels suggest a lack of new entrants despite rising prices [1] - YouTube channels that averaged 4 million views a day in 2021 are now only averaging around 700,000 views a day, reflecting decreased engagement [16] Monetary Policy & Economic Factors - The analysis draws parallels between the current market and the quantitative tightening phase of the previous cycle, noting that social interest remained low until rate cuts and quantitative easing occurred [1] - The industry suggests that a combination of monetary policy, inflation impacting individuals, and negative connotations associated with crypto scams contribute to the low social interest [8][10] - The report mentions that monetary policy isn't really that supportive, macro risks with inflation and the unemployment rate that we haven't really dealt with much in prior cycles with the exception of the pandemic [37] Bitcoin vs Altcoins - The report indicates that social interest is largely driven by movements in the altcoin market, not Bitcoin [4] - The analysis suggests that many crypto participants are primarily focusing on Bitcoin, with altcoins struggling to maintain momentum against Bitcoin's dominance [12][38] - The industry notes that altcoins did not outperform Bitcoin during the quantitative tightening phase of 2019, and a durable alt season requires a return of retail interest [33][21] Future Outlook & Potential Catalysts - The report identifies potential catalysts for increased social interest, including accelerating Bitcoin prices, the industry focusing on more important things than scams, and supportive monetary policy [35][36] - The industry believes that until monetary policy changes and all Bitcoin pairs go to the range lows, altcoins will likely continue to struggle against Bitcoin [39] - The analysis emphasizes that all Bitcoin pairs going to the range lows is a necessary but not sufficient condition to see the durable outperformance of altcoins on their Bitcoin pairs [20]
Why Has Alt Season Not Happened Yet (Part 2)?
Benjamin Cowen· 2025-06-27 15:23
Let's talk about the main reasons why #ALT season has not happened this market cycle so far, and what things might need to happen in order for #ALT season to happen again. Into The Cryptoverse Premium SALE: https://intothecryptoverse.com Into The Cryptoverse Newsletter: https://newsletter.intothecryptoverse.com/ LIFETIME OPTION: https://intothecryptoverse.com/product/subscription-to-the-premium-list-lifetime/ Alternative Option: https://www.patreon.com/intothecryptoverse Merch: https://store.intothecryptove ...
If Bitcoin stays above the 50-week moving average then...
Benjamin Cowen· 2025-06-25 03:05
Market Cycle Analysis - Bitcoin's cycle historically ends when it closes two weekly candles below the 50-week moving average [1][2] - A rally potentially starting in Q4 could lead to an all-time high if Bitcoin stays above the 50-week moving average [2] Key Indicator - The 50-week moving average is a key level to watch in Q3 to determine the future trend of Bitcoin [2]
A Little Crypto
Benjamin Cowen· 2025-06-24 14:55
Big Bang Theory Parody Of: https://www.youtube.com/shorts/c6rG9w8JKsQ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AEIn3T6nDAo Feat. @thedanahowell as Penny X (Twitter): @thedanahowell Feat. Ben Cowen as ShelBen --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Into The Cryptoverse Premium: https://intothecryptoverse.com Into The Cryptoverse Newsletter: https://newsletter.intothecryptoverse.com/ LIFETIME OPTION: ...
Bitcoin Bull Market Support Band
Benjamin Cowen· 2025-06-23 05:40
Hey everyone and thanks for jumping back into the cryptoverse. Today we're going to talk about Bitcoin and we're going to be proiding an update to the bull market support band. If you guys like the content, make sure you subscribe to the channel, give the video a thumbs up, and also check out the sale on into the cryptoverse premium at into the cryptoverse.com. Let's go ahead and jump in. So, it seems like this would be a good week to provide an update on the bull market sport band. As I mentioned, with the ...
Bitcoin Dominance Hits a New Cycle High!
Benjamin Cowen· 2025-06-22 02:58
Hey everyone and thanks for jumping back into the cryptoverse. Today we're going to talk about Bitcoin dominance that has now hit a new cycle high and likely very shortly heading to 66%. If you guys like the content, make sure you subscribe to the channel.Give the video a thumbs up and also check out the sale on Into the Cryptoverse Premium at into the cryptoverse. com. This is the first video I've recorded in over a week. I've been out of town and I told you guys that and that all the videos that I was goi ...
ETH/BTC
Benjamin Cowen· 2025-06-20 18:33
Market Analysis of ETH/Bitcoin Valuation - The analysis focuses on the ETH/Bitcoin market cap ratio as a key indicator [1] - The report suggests that the altcoin market on its Bitcoin pair may need to decline further [5] - The analysis considers the potential for ETH/Bitcoin to drop in Q3, which could help altcoin Bitcoin pairs reach range lows [8] - The report highlights the historical rallies of ETH/Bitcoin around May in 2023 and 2024, followed by declines later in the year [3][24] Technical Analysis and Predictions - The analysis is cautious about ETH/Bitcoin breaking through the bull market support band [4] - The report suggests that if ETH/Bitcoin fails to break through the bull market support band in the coming weeks, a drop to find a higher low in Q3 is likely [4] - The analysis considers scenarios where ETH/Bitcoin goes sideways or slightly lower, allowing altcoins to decline on their Bitcoin pairs [25] - The report mentions that ETH dominance wicked below the low from 2019 and had a rally, questioning whether it will break through after rejections [22] - The analysis suggests that a bullish setup would be ETHUSD going lower while ETH/Bitcoin puts in a higher low [33] - The report considers the possibility of ETH/Bitcoin repeating the pattern of the last cycle, with a rally followed by a period of struggle and then renewed strength [36]
S&P 500: Year-To-Date Returns
Benjamin Cowen· 2025-06-19 20:42
Hey everyone, and thanks for jumping back into the Equityverse. Today we're going to talk about the year-to- date ROI of the S&P 500. If you guys like the content, make sure you subscribe to the channel, give the video a thumbs up, and also check out the sale on into the cryptoverse premium at into the cryptoverse.com. Making a lot of short videos. As I said, I'll be traveling uh for the next week or so.Uh so, by the time you see these videos, you know, who knows how old they're going to be, but I just want ...
Bitcoin's 4 Year ROI: Sticking Around For 4 Years
Benjamin Cowen· 2025-06-18 23:13
What's really interesting, if you look at a 4-year ROI, there's never been a time in Bitcoin's history where it wasn't up four years later. Now, eventually that probably won't be true. You can see it has put in lower highs and lower lows, but all in all, I mean, Bitcoin over a four-year time horizon has been a pretty good investment over the last, you know, more than decade.At some point it might not always be above one, but it does go to show you, you know, why a lot of people say if you're in crypto, just ...