Market Trend Analysis - Bitcoin historically sets a high in August or early September, followed by a low in September, setting up a rally into a market cycle top in Q4 [1] - The pattern observed in 2020, involving a low in Q1, sideways movement, a rally, and a pullback to the bull market support band, mirrors the current market behavior [7][8] - Altcoin liquidity is expected to flow back to Bitcoin in late September and early October [31] Technical Indicators and Key Levels - Bitcoin's cycle is considered intact as long as it maintains weekly closes above the 50-week Simple Moving Average (SMA), currently near 99,000, potentially reaching 100,000 soon [13][23] - A weekly close below the 50-week SMA would signal a potential end to the cycle [13][14] - The 20-week SMA serves as a bull market support band, and holding it through October would be the best-case scenario [26] Historical Patterns and Predictions - The number 124 (or multiples thereof, like 1244, 12400, 124K) has historically acted as a local top for Bitcoin [15][16] - The current cycle is showing similarities to the 2016-2017 cycle, based on the number of days since Bitcoin had a 50% drop [22] - Ethereum is expected to pull back to the 21-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) after sweeping the prior all-time high [27][28] Macroeconomic Factors - A 50 basis point rate cut last year resulted in a 26% rally for Bitcoin, while this time, a 25 basis point rate cut only led to a 10% rally [3] - If the Federal Reserve cuts rates and the economy is not imploding, the 10-year yield is likely to increase [5]

Market Analysis & Predictions - Ethereum is expected to reach new all-time highs within a few months [4][5] - A correction after sweeping the all-time high was always the most likely outcome [8] - Ethereum often peaks after Bitcoin in market cycles [10] - Altcoins are expected to rally against Ethereum until Ethereum tags the 21-week EMA, potentially in late September or early October [17][18][19] - Ethereum's rally to $5,000-$7,000 is contingent on checking in with the 21-week EMA [31] - ETH/Bitcoin valuation is likely to go to 005%, potentially after tagging its 21-week EMA against Bitcoin [34] Risk Management & Indicators - Two weekly closes below the 50-week SMA for Bitcoin (currently around $98,000) would signal the cycle's end [14][15] - October tends to be a strong month for Bitcoin dominance, with ETH/Bitcoin pair typically decreasing by 10% on average [36] - Ethereum is currently in a consolidation phase, similar to patterns observed in 2017 and 2021 [38][39] Investment Strategy - Buying Ethereum when it dips and selling gradually as it rises is considered a successful strategy [2][3] - The most likely outcome is that Ethereum will continue to bide its time, lulling the altcoin market into a false sense of security [30] - Waiting for Ethereum to tag its bull market support band is a likely indicator for when altcoins will start bleeding to Ethereum again [27]

Hey everyone and thanks for jumping back into the cryptoverse. Today we're going to talk about Bitcoin post FOMC. If you guys like the content, make sure you subscribe to the channel, give the video a thumbs up, and also check out the sale on into the cryptoverse premium at into the cryptoverse.com. Let's go ahead and jump in. So, Bitcoin is still doing what it needs to do, right.It's still holding above the bull market support band. Remember that's the big test for September is to just hold that 20we SMA. ...

Market Reaction to FOMC - The market tends to react to FOMC announcements, often with an initial reaction that is the opposite of the eventual trend [1] - The initial market reaction to FOMC news is often a liquidation event designed to clear the way for the true direction [2] - Observing the initial reaction to FOMC announcements may provide insight into the actual market direction [3] Bitcoin Trading Strategy - Bitcoin's price action often reverses after the initial reaction to FOMC announcements [2] - A Bitcoin rally into FOMC news may be followed by a dump, and vice versa [2]

Hey everyone and thanks for jumping back into the cryptoverse. Today we're going to talk about Bitcoin prefc. If you guys like the content, make sure you subscribe to the channel, give the video a thumbs up, and also check out the sale on into the cryptoverse premium at into the cryptoverse.com. Well, we are about to have the next FOMC and like always, it's the most important FOMC of our lives until the next one. Uh if you go to the to the uh CME Group watch toll, we're basically locked in for a 25 basis po ...

Market Sentiment & Retail Participation - The Fear and Greed Index is at 52, indicating a lack of euphoria compared to previous all-time highs [2][5] - Social interest in crypto is low compared to typical post-halving years, suggesting limited new retail investor participation [3] - The Fear and Greed Index high in late November 2024 has not been surpassed despite Bitcoin's new all-time highs, further suggesting limited retail euphoria [6] Bitcoin Performance & Diminishing Returns - Bitcoin's rally from the 2024 high to the current August high is approximately 60%, significantly less than the over 500% rally in 2017 over a similar timeframe [7][8] - The analysis suggests being aware of diminishing returns, implying that future rallies may not match past percentage gains [8] - Speculation on a 300% rally from the August high to the cycle top is considered dubious, given Bitcoin's underperformance compared to previous cycles [9][10] Ethereum's Role & Altseason - A durable altseason is unlikely until Ethereum reaches durable new all-time highs [12] - The lack of Ethereum's new all-time highs may contribute to the absence of significant euphoria reflected in the Fear and Greed Index [11][13] Market Outlook - September is expected to be a dull month with limited market interest, with potential interest possibly starting in October [14]

Market Analysis & Predictions - The analysis suggests Bitcoin typically experiences a high in August followed by a low in September, a pattern observed in 2017 and 2021 [2][3] - The report anticipates that the August high could be surpassed in October, potentially mirroring trends from 2017, 2021, or even 2020 [6] - The analysis is monitoring Bitcoin dominance, suggesting a potential rally after rate cuts in late September and into October [15] Key Technical Levels - The 50-week Simple Moving Average (SMA) is currently around 98,000 [8] - The bull market support band ranges from 109,000 to 111,000, and Bitcoin is currently holding above this level [8] - Maintaining the bull market support band is crucial for a potential Q4 rally to new highs; failure to do so could lead to a muted rally [9] Risk Assessment - Multiple weekly closes below the 50-week moving average would signal a potential end to the current cycle [12] - A breakdown in September doesn't necessarily mean the cycle is over, as the 50-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) could provide support [11][12]

Hey everyone and thanks for jumping back into the cryptoverse. Today we're going to talk about Bitcoin dubious speculation. If you guys like the content, make sure you subscribe to the channel, give the video a thumbs up, and also check out the sale on into the cryptoverse premium at intothecryptoverse.com. Well, we are almost two weeks through the month of September and Bitcoin continues to hold the bull market support band, right. So, it bounced off the bull market sport band as we got into September.We t ...

Hey everyone and thanks for jumping back into the precious metalverse. Today we're going to talk about gold as it has now broken through 3600. If you guys like the content, make sure you subscribe to the channel, give the video a thumbs up, and check out the sale on into the cryptoverse premium at into the cryptoverse.com. We do maybe four or five video. We've done about four or five videos this year on gold and it seems like just about every few months the price of gold continues to go higher.We've talked ...

Market Analysis & Predictions - The analysis suggests Ethereum's price is slowly declining from around $4,900 in mid-August [2] - The industry expected Ethereum to rally to all-time highs after reaching the regression band [2] - The report anticipates a rejection of Ethereum's rally to all-time highs, citing the need for Ethereum to durably exceed $5,000 for altcoins to outperform Bitcoin [3] - Seasonality trends indicate that altcoin/Bitcoin pairs often peak around late August [3][4] - The analysis posits that Ethereum is unlikely to break $5,000 in September, aligning with the seasonality of altcoin/Bitcoin pairs [6] - The industry predicted an all-time high for Ethereum in August, followed by a pullback to the 21-week EMA (Exponential Moving Average) in September [7] Potential Price Correction - The report suggests a potential 30% drop for Ethereum from its local high to the 21-week EMA, which translates to approximately a 20% drop from current levels [10] - The analysis anticipates Ethereum dropping to the 21-week EMA by late September or early October before rallying back up [11][19] Altcoin Performance - Altcoins bottomed against Ethereum the week of August 18th, coinciding with Ethereum's all-time high [14][15] - Altcoins may rally against Ethereum because Ethereum is expected to drop more significantly to its 21-week EMA compared to altcoins [17][18]