朋友們大家好，大家早上中午晚上好 這裏是提阿非羅 現在是2025年 7月21日華爾街午盤時間 我們來更新比特幣的行情 這個是比特幣的周線圖 從周線級別來看 我們發現比特幣上周的周線 好像是一根到紡錘 而且上影線好像還略微有那麼一點點的長 那麼如果說是在一個階段性的相對高處 出現這樣的k線形態 通常意味著說有可能要回調那麼一下 那麼你可以看一下周線級別 其他的在相對高的地方 如果說出現這樣的k線 通常都是有一個小回調的好不好 我們可以看到目前的成交量 好像也還算是比較的多 表明著說來到這個上方 有比較多的多空爭奪 但是最後好像還是收了一根陰線 那麼這樣的一根k線形態 以及下面比之前 都要多一些的成交量 這兩個因素給我一個整體的感覺 就是周線級別來說 它是中性偏弱勢一點的好吧 這個是周線級別我對它的一個判斷 我們看到日線級別從日線級別來看 我們發現比特幣就在這邊盤整對不對 那麼第一次往上面沖高了之後 然後我是覺得下面有可能會來補充一下 尤其這一帶有一個缺口對不對 那麼目前來說就在這邊盤整 每一次往上面走 有很多朋友都在擔心 自己是不是又錯過了什麼 但目前來看你錯過什麼你一個都沒有錯過 或者說你錯過的只是一些 可能 ...

Market Analysis - Bitcoin is consolidating, facing resistance due to high funding rates, indicating many are longing, potentially weighing down upward movement [1] - Ethereum has broken through resistance, but shows signs of selling pressure on the 4-hour chart, suggesting a period of consolidation before further upward movement [1] - Altcoins may present opportunities while Ethereum consolidates, but high volatility and risk require caution [1] Technical Analysis - Bitcoin's inability to break higher despite significant volume suggests potential for a pullback to clear late longs before further ascent [1] - Ethereum's potential five-wave structure suggests a possible top in the future, prompting consideration of profit-taking on long positions based on technical analysis rather than news [1] - Ethereum tested the 0618%-066% retracement level and failed to sustain above it, indicating a possible downward move based on 1:1 symmetry [1] Trading Strategy - The speaker advises against chasing Bitcoin longs at current levels, favoring a consolidation phase to shake out weak hands [1] - The speaker would consider buying Bitcoin if it dips, consolidates, and then recovers [1] - The speaker is not considering shorting Ethereum, anticipating further upward movement after a period of consolidation [1]

朋友們大家好，大家早上中午晚上好 這裏是提阿非羅，現在是2025年 7月17日華爾街午盤時間 我們來更新比特幣的行情 這個是比特幣的日線圖 從日線級別來看 我們發現昨天是比較小的一根陽線 但是上面還是有一點點上影線的 那麼它在原先這一帶的盤整換手區 似乎受到了一點阻礙 然後就往下面跌 下面的成交量來說 其實也是超過這種均值的表 明著說比較多的成交量 依然是有一點上不去的感覺 那麼我仍然是認為 這邊有可能會進入到一個盤整階段 然後下方的缺口 如果說你用期貨這邊來看 那麼也確實沒有補上 如果說它下來把期貨缺口補一下 那麼同時也就是把下面的 這樣的一個低點 出現跌破收回 我會認為它有可能 才會 繼續開啟下一波的上漲 否則的話在這邊確實有那麼一點困難 好吧 我們這時候看一下 baby的b本位的資金費率 我們可以看到日線級別來說 下面的資金費率率仍然是比較的高 那麼在這邊盤整的時候 都有那麼高的資金費率 在我看來並不是一個特別好的情況 如果說那麼高的資金費率 還蹭蹭蹭的往上面漲 除非說確實有非常強勢的那種利好 否則的話是有一點困難的好吧 這個是比日線級別我們來看到更小的級別 這個是一小時級別 從一小時級別來說 好像就在 ...

朋友們大家好，大家早上中午晚上好 這裡是提阿非羅，現在是2025年 7月16日華爾街午盤時間 我們來更新比特幣的行情 這個是比特幣的日線圖，從日線級別來看 昨天是一根陰線 那麼下影線還是有那麼一點點 還算是可以 但是你可以留意 這個下面的成交量 真的是有一點點的多 那麼你可以看到原先在這樣的一些地方 成交量是比較的多 我是有點擔心來到這個上面 為什麼有那麼多的拋壓呢 我是覺得從這樣的很多拋壓來看 好像比較難 馬上就上去 我是有這樣的一個感覺 如果說那麼大的拋壓一天就消耗完了 我覺得可能有一點不太現實 有可能會在這邊進行一段時間的盤整 那麼我在這邊還畫了一個低點 如果說這一帶跌破一下可能會比較的好 因為這個下面你可以看日線級別來說 是直接漲上去 還沒有經過充分的換手 我會覺得它有可能來獵殺一下多頭的止損 這個是日線級別 我們來看一小時級別，這個是一小時級別 我們可以看到好像來到前面的次前高 因為我昨天也標注出來這個次前高 有很多的人設定止損 那麼會來到一下 但是好像要這樣子漲上去嗎 我個人是覺得 如果說再下來一些 可能會比較好 那是為什麼 因為我是覺得你可以看到 如果說畫一個小波浪的感覺 一個兩個三個 然後就這 ...

Market Analysis - Bitcoin's daily chart shows a less-than-ideal close followed by a continued downward trend, cautioning against chasing highs at $120,000 due to potential pullbacks [1] - High trading volume during pullbacks, rather than a healthy reduction in volume, suggests significant selling pressure [1] - A large trading volume accompanying a failed breakout from a consolidation zone indicates potential large-scale selling [1] - Negative funding rates on Bybit Bitcoin USD perpetual contracts often signal a relative low point, while high funding rates suggest over-eagerness to chase highs, potentially leading to corrections [1] - The analyst is closely monitoring a specific level for a potential dip below followed by a quick recovery, which could present a long opportunity; failure to recover would raise concerns about market structure [1] Trading Strategy - The analyst suggests that a drop below a key low point, followed by a swift recovery, could be a buying opportunity, indicating a continuation of the upward trend [2] - The analyst is wary of shorting Bitcoin unless a clear breakdown and confirmation occur, preferring to wait for a confirmed bearish signal before taking a short position [2] - The analyst notes that many traders are currently shorting Bitcoin, and suggests that a break below a significant low could trigger more short selling, presenting an opportunity to take a contrarian long position [2] Altcoin Analysis - Ethereum appears slightly stronger than Bitcoin, with decent trading volume, but the analyst cautions that Ethereum outperforming Bitcoin while Bitcoin struggles is a potentially dangerous sign [2] - The analyst suggests that if Ethereum continues to rise, some altcoins may experience a rally, but the analyst is closely monitoring Bitcoin's ability to continue its upward trend [2]

Market Analysis & Bitcoin (BTC) - The analyst notes Bitcoin's (BTC) price surge, breaking the $100,000 - $110,000 resistance level, suggesting a potential support zone at that range if the market adapts to the $120,000 level [1] - Concerns arise regarding the lack of volume supporting the breakout, potentially leading to a MACD divergence on the weekly chart [1] - The analyst points out the high funding rates on Bybit's BTC perpetual contracts, indicating a crowded long position, which historically precedes corrections or consolidation [1][2] - The analyst suggests potential buying opportunities when funding rates are negative or when there is strong negative sentiment [1] Trading Strategy & Risk Management - The analyst expresses reluctance to chase the rally without a clear entry point, citing concerns about a potential "volume-less" surge [1] - The analyst anticipates a consolidation phase for Bitcoin (BTC), potentially testing lower support levels, and identifies a possible pullback target [1] - The analyst suggests that a break below the previous high point of 2878.54% on the Ethereum (ETH) chart would trigger a short position [2] - The analyst emphasizes the importance of monitoring order book data on Bybit's BTC perpetual contracts to identify potential bearish divergences [2] Ethereum (ETH) Analysis - Ethereum (ETH) has touched the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level, and its ability to hold above the previous high is crucial for further upside [2] - The analyst notes a successful sweep of lows on Ethereum (ETH) during the weekend, creating a potential long opportunity [2]

Market Analysis - Bitcoin's weekly chart suggests a strong bullish trend, potentially forming a continuation head and shoulders pattern, currently testing the neckline [1] - The analyst notes a VCP (Volatility Contraction Pattern) formation in Bitcoin, characterized by decreasing downward回调幅度 and shrinking成交量, indicating potential upward breakout [1] - Ethereum shows an AMD pattern (likely referring to a specific technical analysis pattern), with a three-stage upward expectation, currently approaching the 0.06% level [2] - Trump Coin (川普币) is showing a potential shift from a downtrend to an uptrend, but its stability is questionable due to its reliance on the former president's actions [2] Trading Strategy - The analyst suggests holding long positions if already in profit, and waiting for consolidation and potential stop-loss hunting before re-entering [1] - For Ethereum, the analyst advises against shorting unless it falls back below a certain level, suggesting a potential 5:1 or 4:1 profit-loss ratio for short positions if the pattern fails [2] - The analyst suggests caution due to high funding rates, indicating a potential pullback before further upward movement [2] Risk Management - The analyst emphasizes the importance of clear stop-loss levels, particularly for Ethereum trades [2] - The analyst advises against chasing the price at current levels, suggesting potential consolidation and better entry opportunities later [1][2] - The analyst suggests that if Bitcoin falls below a certain level without a quick rebound, it would be prudent to exit the position [2]

Cryptocurrency Exchange Platforms - Bybit is highlighted as a platform suitable for technical analysis [1] - Binance is mentioned as the largest global exchange, offering a 40% fee reduction [1] - OKX is noted as an established exchange with commission waivers [1] - Pionex is recommended for grid trading [1] Community and Resources - A Discord community is available for user support, with a dedicated helper [1] - The document promotes a Twitter account for updates [1] - Online courses are offered [1] - A Telegram channel provides announcements [1] Cryptocurrency Topics and Keywords - The document includes a range of cryptocurrency-related hashtags, such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin, and others [1] - Technical analysis concepts like Dow Theory, Elliott Wave Theory, Fibonacci, and Gann Theory are mentioned [1] - Terms related to trading strategies, such as "抄底 (dip buying)", "做多 (long)", "做空 (short)", and "套保 (hedging)" are included [1] - Mentions of "比特幣減半2024 (Bitcoin halving 2024)" suggest focus on future events [1]

Cryptocurrency Market Analysis - Bitcoin is consolidating within a range, with low trading volume, suggesting a potential downward move before a rally or a breakout after a period of accumulation [1] - Negative funding rates during consolidation indicate that a majority of retail traders are shorting Bitcoin, potentially leading to a short squeeze [1] - Ethereum (ETH) shows a potential AMD three-stage structure, targeting a higher price level, possibly reaching a 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level [1] - A larger harmonic pattern suggests a potential resistance area for ETH, but a break above could lead to further gains [1] Bybit Exchange and Market Expansion - Bybit now allows trading of US stocks, potentially opening new opportunities for users [1] - US stock token trading on Bybit is not fully available to mainland China users yet, but is expected to be in the future [1] Disclaimer - The analysis provided is not financial advice [1]

Market Analysis - Bitcoin is currently in a narrow consolidation phase with low trading volume, indicating a lack of clear directional movement [1] - The analyst suggests that a breakout to the upside would likely involve taking out previous highs with significant volume, which hasn't occurred yet [1] - The analyst notes the potential for Bitcoin to rise, driven by liquidity around previous highs where short positions' stop losses are concentrated [1] - Ethereum shows a positive trend with expectations of further upward movement, especially breaking through previous highs [1] Trading Strategy - The analyst advises against opening positions in Bitcoin within the current range due to low volatility [1] - For Bitcoin, a preferred strategy is to consider long positions after a dip below support levels followed by a recovery, or short positions after a bearish engulfing pattern at higher levels [1] - For Ethereum, the analyst suggests adding to long positions on dips and taking profits near previous highs, with a potential short opportunity if a bearish engulfing pattern appears alongside a false breakout in Bitcoin [1] Potential Risks - The analyst mentions the possibility of Bitcoin breaking below a parallel bottom before potentially breaking the triangle pattern upwards [1] - The analyst points out the potential for a false breakout in Bitcoin at previous highs, coinciding with a bearish engulfing pattern in Ethereum, which could signal a shorting opportunity [1]