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策略周观点2024年第12期:大规模设备更新以及消费品以旧换新将释放需求潜力
Wanlian Securities· 2024-03-31 16:00
Group 1 - The report highlights a significant decline in major A-share indices, with the ChiNext index dropping by 2.73% and the Sci-Tech 50 index falling by 3.96% during the week of March 25 to March 29 [30][46] - The report indicates that the media, computer, and electronics sectors experienced the largest declines, with respective drops of 9.52%, 6.47%, and 4.43% [9][30] - The report notes that the average daily trading volume in the two markets decreased to 940.86 billion yuan, a reduction of 13.07% compared to the previous week, with the electronics sector being the most active [14][15] Group 2 - The report states that as of March 29, the dynamic price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 index is at its highest historical percentile since 2010, currently at approximately 50.74% [21][50] - It mentions that the industrial equipment sector is expected to benefit directly from policies promoting large-scale equipment updates and the replacement of consumer goods, focusing on high-end, intelligent, and green development [47][26] - The report emphasizes the positive demand outlook for durable consumer goods, driven by the push for equipment upgrades and consumer goods replacement [47][26]
传媒行业周观点:3月107款游戏版号过审,中央广播电视总台上线国内首个AI频道
Wanlian Securities· 2024-03-31 16:00
[Table_RightTitle] 证券研究报告|传媒 行 [Table_Title] [Table_IndustryRank] 业 3 月 107 款游戏版号过审,中央广播电视总 强于大市 研 (维持) 究 台上线国内首个 AI 频道 [Table_ReportType] [Table_ReportDate] ——传媒行业周观点(03.25-03.31) 2024年04月01日 [行Ta业ble核_S心um观m点ar:y] [行Ta业ble相_C对ha沪rt] 深 300 指数表现 上周传媒行业(申万)下跌 9.52%,居市场第31 位,跑输沪深 300 指 数。3月107款游戏版号过审。3月29日,国家新闻出版署公布了2024 传媒 沪深300 20% 年3月份国产网络游戏审批信息,共有107款游戏过审,另有5款游戏 10% 变更了审批信息。其中值得注意的产品有:西山居《解限机》、悠星网 行 0% 络《星塔旅人》、巨人网络《无主王座》、快手弹指宇宙《诡秘之主》等 业 -10% 游戏。中央广播电视总台上线国内首个AI频道。中央广播电视总台举 -20% 周 行了央视频AI微短剧启播暨AI频道上线启动仪式。上 ...
传媒行业快评报告:3月游戏版号维持高位,大热网文IP同名游戏过审
Wanlian Securities· 2024-03-31 16:00
[Table_RightTitle] 证券研究报告|传媒 行 [Table_Title] [Table_IndustryRank] 业 3 月游戏版号维持高位,大热网文 IP 同名 强于大市 研 (维持) 究 游戏过审 [Table_ReportType] [Table_ReportDate] ——传媒行业快评报告 2024年04月01日 [行Ta业ble事_S件um:m ary] [行Ta业ble相_C对ha沪rt] 深 300 指数表现 2024年3月29日国家新闻出版署公告3月份游戏版号,共计 107款游戏 通过审批,环比减少4款,但维持高数量常态化发放节奏,包含有102款 传媒 沪深300 20% 移动端、3款同时获客户端和移动端版号、1款同时获得客户端和游戏机端 10% 行 版号以及1款获得游戏机端版号。包括星臻科技(快手)《诡秘之主》(移 0% 业 动、客户端版号)、西山居《解限机》(客户端、游戏机版号)、三七互娱《时 -10% 快 光大爆炸》、巨人网络《无主王座》、吉比特《异界原点传说:史莱姆不哭》、 -20% 评 竞技世界《军棋大作战》、哲信信息(汤姆猫)《汤姆猫闯乐园》《汤姆猫跑 -30% ...
点评报告:业绩小幅增长,高端产品表现亮眼
Wanlian Securities· 2024-03-28 16:00
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Add" [5][15]. Core Insights - The company reported a slight increase in performance with a revenue of 5.378 billion yuan in 2023, representing a year-over-year growth of 9.13%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 624 million yuan, up 4.22% year-over-year [3][4]. - The gross margin improved to 42.82%, while the net margin slightly decreased to 11.96%. Sales and management expense ratios increased marginally [4][11]. - High-end products showed strong performance, with revenue from high-end products reaching 3.426 billion yuan, a year-over-year increase of 15.12% [4][11]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2023, the company achieved a revenue of 5.378 billion yuan, with a net profit of 624 million yuan and a non-recurring net profit of 557 million yuan [3]. - The fourth quarter of 2023 saw a revenue of 827 million yuan, but the net profit was negative at -20 million yuan, indicating a significant decline [3]. Cost and Margin Analysis - The gross margin for 2023 was 42.82%, an increase of 0.39 percentage points year-over-year. However, the net margin decreased by 0.34 percentage points to 11.96% [4]. - The sales expense ratio was 15.19%, and the management expense ratio was 7.44%, both showing slight increases compared to the previous year [4]. Product and Channel Performance - Revenue from different channels in 2023 included 4.863 billion yuan from regular products, 135 million yuan from supermarkets, 92 million yuan from night venues, and 59 million yuan from e-commerce, with significant growth in supermarket and e-commerce channels [4]. - The company’s high-end products, primarily pure draft beer and snow fortress beer, accounted for 63.70% of total revenue, with a notable growth rate [4][11]. Regional and Distributor Insights - The company generated 5.110 billion yuan in revenue from the South China region, which constituted 95.02% of total revenue, while other regions saw a decline [4]. - The number of distributors increased by 453, with a net addition of 152 in Guangdong province [4]. Research and Development - In 2023, the company initiated 73 new research projects and received several patents, indicating a strong focus on technological advancement and product innovation [11]. - The company is also investing in green energy projects, contributing to significant carbon dioxide reduction [11]. Profit Forecast and Recommendations - The profit forecast for 2024-2026 has been adjusted to 715 million yuan, 791 million yuan, and 863 million yuan respectively, reflecting a growth rate of 14.59%, 10.74%, and 9.11% [11].
点评报告:总体业绩稳步增长,产品结构持续优化


Wanlian Securities· 2024-03-28 16:00
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Add" [10] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 33.937 billion yuan in 2023, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.49%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.268 billion yuan, up 15.02% year-on-year [2][3] - Despite a decline in sales volume due to fluctuations in the domestic beer market, price increases have driven performance growth, with an average price per ton increasing by 6.34% to 4,238.42 yuan/ton in 2023 [3] - The company is focusing on optimizing its product structure, with a notable performance in mid-to-high-end products, which saw a sales volume increase of 10.50% year-on-year [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2023, the company reported total beer sales of approximately 8.007 million kiloliters, a decrease of 0.81% year-on-year, with Q4 sales down 10.09% to 713,000 kiloliters [3] - The gross margin for 2023 was 38.66%, an increase of 1.81 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 12.81%, up 0.98 percentage points [3] - The company’s sales expense ratio increased slightly to 13.87% in 2023, attributed to increased brand promotion and employee compensation [3] Product Development - The company is enhancing its product lineup with the "1+1+1+2+N" strategy, focusing on flagship products and high-end offerings, including the launch of new premium products [3][7] - The main brand achieved a sales volume of 4.56 million kiloliters in 2023, with mid-to-high-end products contributing significantly to revenue growth [3] Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery in on-premise consumption and a decrease in raw material costs, with projected net profits for 2024-2026 of 4.991 billion, 5.545 billion, and 6.183 billion yuan respectively [7][8] - The company maintains a leading position in brand value within the Chinese beer industry, with a brand value of 240.689 billion yuan in 2023 [7]
万联证券万联晨会
Wanlian Securities· 2024-03-28 16:00
核心观点 【市场回顾】 周一 A 股三大股指全部上涨,上证指数收涨 0.99%,报 3084.93 点; 深证成指收涨 1.46%,报 9752.83 点;创业板指收涨 2.25%,报 1926.40 点。A 股两市全天成交额 11,376.16 亿元人民币,北向资金净买入 28.25 亿元人民币,其中,沪股通净买入 17.67 亿元人民币,深股通 净买入 10.58 亿元人民币;南向资金净买入 29.31 亿港元。A 股两市 个股多数上涨,上涨个股数为 4445。申万行业方面,传媒、电子、电 力设备领涨,煤炭、家电、银行领跌;概念板块方面,低空经济、AI 手机、AI PC 概念指数涨幅居前,送转填权、特钢概念、黄金概念指 数跌幅居前。港股方面,恒生指数收涨 0.10%,恒生科技指数收涨 1.25%;海外方面,美国三大股指全线收涨,道指收涨 0.20%,报 38,790.43 点,标普 500 指数收涨 0.63%,报 5149.42 点,纳指收涨 0.82%,报 16,103.45 点。欧洲股市、亚太股市涨跌互现。 【重要新闻】 【中国 1-2 月份经济运行起步平稳,为全年发展奠定了较好基础】从 生产看,工 ...
万联证券万联晨会
Wanlian Securities· 2024-03-27 16:00
[Table_MeetReliefTip] 免责声明 本报告由万联证券股份有限公司(以下简称"本公司")制作及发布。 本晨会纪要仅供本公司的客户使用。本公司不会因接收人收到本报告而视其为本公司的当然客户。 本晨会纪要是基于本公司认为可靠的且目前已公开的信息撰写,本公司力求但不保证该信息的准确性和完 整性,客户也不应该认为该信息是准确和完整的。同时,本公司不保证文中观点或陈述不会发生任何变 更,在不同时期,本公司可发出与本晨会纪要所载资料、意见及推测不一致的研究报告。本公司会适时更 新我们的研究,但可能会因某些规定而无法做到。除了一些定期出版的报告之外,绝大多数研究报告是在 分析师认为适当的时候不定期地发布。 在任何情况下,本晨会纪要中的信息或所表述的意见并不构成对任何人的投资建议,也没有考虑到个别客 户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需求。客户应考虑本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况,若有 必要应寻求专家意见。本晨会纪要所载的资料、工具、意见及推测只提供给客户作参考之用,并非作为或 被视为出售或购买证券或其他投资标的的邀请或向人作出邀请。 本晨会纪要中提及的投资价格和价值以及这些投资带来的收入可能会波动。过 ...
万联证券万联晨会
Wanlian Securities· 2024-03-26 16:00
[Table_Title] 万联晨会 [Table_Summary] 概览 【市场回顾】 周一 A 股三大股指全部上涨,上证指数收涨 0.99%,报 3084.93 点; 深证成指收涨 1.46%,报 9752.83 点;创业板指收涨 2.25%,报 1926.40 点。A 股两市全天成交额 11,376.16 亿元人民币,北向资金净买入 28.25 亿元人民币,其中,沪股通净买入 17.67 亿元人民币,深股通 净买入 10.58 亿元人民币;南向资金净买入 29.31 亿港元。A 股两市 个股多数上涨,上涨个股数为 4445。申万行业方面,传媒、电子、电 力设备领涨,煤炭、家电、银行领跌;概念板块方面,低空经济、AI 手机、AI PC 概念指数涨幅居前,送转填权、特钢概念、黄金概念指 数跌幅居前。港股方面,恒生指数收涨 0.10%,恒生科技指数收涨 1.25%;海外方面,美国三大股指全线收涨,道指收涨 0.20%,报 38,790.43 点,标普 500 指数收涨 0.63%,报 5149.42 点,纳指收涨 0.82%,报 16,103.45 点。欧洲股市、亚太股市涨跌互现。 【重要新闻】 【中国 1- ...
房地产行业周观点:广州拟优化商品房预售审批,二手房成交环比延续涨幅
Wanlian Securities· 2024-03-25 16:00
[Table_RightTitle] 证券研究报告|房地产 行 [Table_Title] [Table_IndustryRank] 业 广州拟优化商品房预售审批,二手房成交环 强于大市 (维持) 研 究 比延续涨幅 4533 [Table_ReportType] [Table_ReportDate] ——房地产行业周观点(03.18-03.24) 2024年03月26日 [Table_Summary] [行Ta业ble相_C对ha沪rt] 深 300 指数表现 ⚫ 投资要点: 上周行情回顾:2024/3/18-2024/3/22,申万一级行业房地产指数下跌 房地产 沪深300 10% 1.33%,沪深300指数下跌0.70%,板块表现弱于大市。2024年以来,截至 5% 0% 3 月 22 日,房地产行业下跌 7.92%,沪深 300 指数上涨 3.32%,板块表现 行 -5% -10% 弱于大市。 业 -15% -20% 周 ⚫ 重点政策要闻:(1)3月18日,国家统计局公布了1-2月房地产行 -25% -30% 观 业数据。1—2 月份,全国房地产开发投资 11,842 亿元,同比下降 -35% -40 ...
点评报告:CHC业务稳健增长,昆药融合工作稳步推进
Wanlian Securities· 2024-03-25 16:00
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [4][15]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 24.739 billion yuan in 2023, representing a year-on-year growth of 36.83%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.853 billion yuan, up 16.50% [2][4]. - The CHC (Consumer Health Care) business reported a revenue of 11.707 billion yuan, growing by 2.83%, with a gross margin of 60.60%, an increase of 3.89 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - The prescription drug business saw a revenue decline of 12.64% to 5.220 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 52.15%, down 0.68 percentage points [3]. - The integration with Kunming Pharmaceutical Group is progressing steadily, with the group generating a revenue of 7.703 billion yuan, a decrease of 6.99% [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2023, the company reported a revenue of 6.131 billion yuan, a growth of 2.72%, but a net profit of 450 million yuan, down 9.29% [2]. - The operating cash flow for 2023 was 4.192 billion yuan, an increase of 39.43% [2]. - The overall gross margin for 2023 was 53.24%, a decrease of 0.78 percentage points, and the net profit margin was 12.83%, down 0.98 percentage points [2]. Business Segments - The CHC business is driven by strong growth in OTC (Over-the-Counter) products, particularly the 999 brand, which includes products like 999 Cold Medicine and 999 Anti-Virus Oral Liquid [3]. - The professional brand business experienced a slight decline due to adjustments in generic drug varieties, while the children's health segment focused on digital marketing strategies [3]. - The prescription drug segment faced challenges due to national standard changes and the initiation of collective procurement in 15 provinces, leading to lower-than-expected performance [3]. Future Outlook - Revenue forecasts for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are projected at 29.191 billion yuan, 33.509 billion yuan, and 37.284 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 3.390 billion yuan, 3.845 billion yuan, and 4.263 billion yuan [4][11]. - The company is expected to maintain its leading position in the OTC market and achieve steady growth through the ongoing integration with Kunming Pharmaceutical Group [11].