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永安期货贵金属早报-20250910
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-10 03:05
Price Performance - The latest prices of London Gold, London Silver, London Platinum, London Palladium, WTI Crude Oil, and LME Copper are 3632.65, 41.19, 1392.00, 1130.00, 62.26, and 9924.50 respectively, with changes of 0.00, 0.00, 0.00, 0.00, 0.00, and 19.00 [2] - The latest values of the US Dollar Index, Euro to US Dollar, British Pound to US Dollar, US Dollar to Japanese Yen, and US 10 - year TIPS are 97.45, 1.18, 1.35, 147.52, and 1.70 respectively, with changes of 0.00, 0.00, 0.00, 0.00, 0.00 [2] Trading Data - The latest inventory of COMEX Silver, SHFE Silver, and SGE Silver are 16139.54, 1250.34, and 1281.86 respectively, with changes of 0.00, - 11.56, and 0.00 [3] - The latest holdings of Gold ETF and Silver ETF are 979.68 and 15193.85 respectively, with changes of 0.00 and 0.00 [3] - The latest deferred - fee payment directions of SGE Silver and SGE Gold are 1 and 2 respectively, with changes of 0.00 and 0.00 [3]
永安期货钢材早报-20250910
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-10 02:20
基 差 和 月 差 | | | | 钢材早报 | | 研究中心黑色团队 2025/09/10 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 现 货 价 格 | | | | | | | | 日期 | 北京螺纹 | 上海螺纹 | 成都螺纹 | 西安螺纹 | 广州螺纹 | 武汉螺纹 | | 2025/09/03 | 3160 | 3210 | 3250 | 3200 | 3260 | 3250 | | 2025/09/04 | 3200 | 3210 | 3250 | 3200 | 3260 | 3240 | | 2025/09/05 | 3200 | 3260 | 3300 | 3240 | 3300 | 3290 | | 2025/09/08 | 3200 | 3260 | 3260 | 3240 | 3300 | 3240 | | 2025/09/09 | 3200 | 3260 | 3260 | 3240 | 3300 | 3300 | | 变化 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 60 | | 日期 | 天津热卷 | 上海热卷 | 乐从热卷 | ...
永安期货纸浆早报-20250910
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-10 02:17
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Report's Core View No information provided. 3. Summary by Relevant Content 3.1 SP Main Contract Closing Price - The closing price of the SP main contract on 2025/09/09 was 4970.00, showing a -1.11421% decline from the previous day [3]. - The corresponding converted US dollar price was 608.62 [3]. - The basis of Shandong Yinxing was 720, and that of Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Shanghai Yinxing was 740 [3]. 3.2 Import Profit and Price Information - With a 13% VAT calculation, the import profits of Canadian Golden Lion, Canadian Lion, and Chilean Yinxing were -45.57, -518.29, and -172.83 respectively [4]. - The port US dollar prices of Canadian Golden Lion, Canadian Lion, and Chilean Yinxing were 780, 730, and 720 respectively, and the Shandong region RMB prices were 6300, 5410, and 5690 respectively [4]. 3.3 Pulp and Paper Price and Margin Information - From 2025/09/03 to 2025/09/09, the national average prices of softwood pulp, hardwood pulp, natural pulp, and chemimechanical pulp remained unchanged [4]. - The average prices in Shandong region also remained unchanged during the same period [4]. - The indices of cultural paper (double - offset index, double - copper index), packaging paper (white card index), and living paper (living index) remained unchanged from 2025/09/04 to 2025/09/09 [4]. - The estimated profit margins of double - offset paper, double - copper paper, white card paper, and living paper showed varying degrees of increase on 2025/09/09 compared to 2025/09/04, with changes of 0.1500, 0.1200, 0.0988, and 0.2674 respectively [4]. 3.4 Price Difference Information - The price differences between softwood and hardwood, softwood and natural, softwood and chemimechanical, and softwood and waste paper on 2025/09/09 were 1515.00, 290, 1865, and 4114 respectively [4].
原油成品油早报-20250910
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-10 02:12
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the document 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - This week, oil prices declined. OPEC+ plans to increase production by 137,000 barrels per day in October and gradually increase production by 1.65 million barrels of oil per month until August 2026, worsening the fourth - quarter crude oil balance sheet. Brent and WTI crude oil calendar spreads weakened, while Dubai's near - month spread strengthened due to physical market factors. Refining margins in Europe and the US strengthened significantly, and gasoline and diesel cracks fluctuated upwards. Fundamentally, global oil inventories increased slightly. The US EIA commercial crude oil inventory increased by 2.415 million barrels, and the strategic reserve inventory increased by 509,000 barrels. US gasoline inventories decreased rapidly, diesel inventories increased slightly, and residue inventories decreased. European ARA port petroleum product inventories increased significantly, and Singapore's petroleum production inventories increased significantly. The crude oil balance sheet is expected to have a surplus of over 2 million barrels per day in the fourth quarter and 1.8 - 2.5 million barrels per day in 2026. It is estimated that global refinery maintenance in October will exceed previous years, pressuring crude oil calendar spreads. The absolute price of crude oil is currently weak, and the fundamental situation is transitioning between peak and off - peak seasons. The medium - term surplus pattern remains unchanged. The absolute price center in the fourth quarter is expected to fall to $55 - 60 per barrel. Attention should be paid to the impact of geopolitics and sanctions on the supply reduction of Iran and Russia [5]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Daily News - Trump has asked the EU to impose tariffs on countries importing Russian crude oil [3] - The API crude oil inventory in the US for the week ending September 5 was 1.25 million barrels, compared with an expected decrease of 1.869 million barrels and a previous value of 622,000 barrels [4] - Israel attacked a senior Hamas leader in Qatar with Trump's approval. Qatar condemned the attack as a violation of international law [4] - Iran and the International Atomic Energy Agency are expected to reach an agreement at the Cairo talks [4] - Saudi Aramco will reduce the price of its flagship Arab Light crude oil for October shipments to Asia by $1 per barrel, with a premium of $2.20 per barrel over the regional benchmark crude oil [4] - OPEC+ has received updated oil compensation plans from member countries. Voluntary production - cut countries in OPEC+ need to compensate for an excess production of 4.8 million barrels per day by July next year [4] 3.2 Regional Fundamentals - In the week ending August 29, US crude oil exports increased by 74,000 barrels per day to 3.884 million barrels per day [5] - In the week ending August 29, US domestic crude oil production decreased by 16,000 barrels to 13.423 million barrels per day [5] - Excluding strategic reserves, commercial crude oil inventories increased by 2.415 million barrels to 421 million barrels, a 0.58% increase [5] - The four - week average supply of US crude oil products was 21.282 million barrels per day, a 2.47% increase compared to the same period last year [5] - In the week ending August 29, the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) inventory increased by 509,000 barrels to 404.7 million barrels, a 0.13% increase [5] - In the week ending August 29, US commercial crude oil imports excluding strategic reserves were 6.742 million barrels per day, an increase of 508,000 barrels per day compared to the previous week [5] - From August 22 - 29, the operating rate of major refineries and Shandong local refineries increased slightly. Domestic gasoline production decreased while diesel production increased, and both gasoline and diesel inventories decreased. The comprehensive profit of major refineries fluctuated weakly, and the comprehensive profit of local refineries decreased month - on - month [5] 3.3 Weekly Price Data - **Price Changes from September 3 - 9, 2025**: - WTI crude oil price increased by $0.37, from $63.97 to $62.63 [3] - Brent crude oil price increased by $0.37, from $67.60 to $66.39 [3] - Dubai crude oil price increased by $0.47, from $70.03 to $69.50 [3] - SC price decreased by 7.70, from 493.20 to 482.80 [3] - Oman price increased by $1.77, from $69.63 to $69.14 [3] - Domestic gasoline price increased by 20.00, from 7890 to 7800 [3] - Domestic diesel price increased by 8.00, from 6470 to 6464 [3] - Japanese naphtha CFR price data for September 9 was not provided, with a change in the differential to Brent not clearly calculable due to the missing value [3] - Singapore fuel oil 380CST premium changed from - 1.45 to 0.25 [3] - The main contract price of SHFE FU decreased by 1, from 2840 to 2766 [3] - The main contract price of SHFE BU decreased by 20, from 3550 to 3420 [3] - HH natural gas price increased by 0.060, from 3.000 to 3.110 [3] - BFO price decreased by 0.57, from 67.52 to 65.66 [3]
永安期货焦煤日报-20250910
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-10 02:12
Report Information - Report Title: Coking Coal Daily Report - Research Team: Black Team of the Research Center - Report Date: September 10, 2025 [1] 1. Price Information - **Coal Types and Prices**: The latest price of Liulin Main Coking Coal is 1401.00, with a daily change of -9.00, a weekly change of -9.00, a monthly change of -3.00, and an annual change of 0.07%. The price of Peak Downs is 200.00, with a daily change of 1.00, a weekly change of 0.00, a monthly change of 2.00, and an annual change of 2.50. Other coal types such as raw coal port pick-up price, Shaheyi Meng 5, and Anze Main Coking Coal also have corresponding price changes [2]. - **Futures Prices**: The price of futures contract 05 is 1226.00, with a daily change of 2.50, a weekly change of 61.50, a monthly change of -86.50, and an annual change of -3.12%. The price of futures contract 09 is 950.50, with a daily change of 21.00, a weekly change of 12.50, a monthly change of -183.50, and an annual change of -23.04%. The price of futures contract 01 is 1139.00, with a daily change of -3.50, a weekly change of 22.50, a monthly change of -144.50, and an annual change of -8.18% [2]. 2. Inventory Information - **Total Inventory**: The total coking coal inventory is 3405.96, with a weekly change of -101.70, a monthly change of -32.02, and an annual change of -8.83% [2]. - **Sub - inventories**: Coal mine inventory is 268.08, with a weekly change of -15.54, a monthly change of 22.42, and an annual change of -18.32%. Port inventory is 275.35, with a weekly change of 13.86, a monthly change of -6.76, and an annual change of -24.01%. Steel mill coking coal inventory is 811.85, with a weekly change of -0.46, a monthly change of 8.06, and an annual change of 10.54%. Coking plant coking coal inventory is 961.27, with a weekly change of -5.14, a monthly change of -31.46, and an annual change of 12.87% [2]. 3. Capacity Utilization and Other Information - **Coking Capacity Utilization**: The coking capacity utilization rate is 73.14, with a weekly change of -0.22, a monthly change of -0.89, and an annual change of 5.27% [2]. - **Coking Coke Inventory**: The coking coke inventory is 84.31, with a weekly change of -0.68, a monthly change of -1.99, and an annual change of -1.51% [2]. - **Futures Spreads**: The 5 - 9 spread is 275.50, with a daily change of -18.50, a weekly change of 49.00, a monthly change of 97.00, and an annual change of 8.03%. The 9 - 1 spread is -188.50, with a daily change of 24.50, a weekly change of -10.00, a monthly change of -39.00, and an annual change of 33.27%. The 1 - 5 spread is -87.00, with a daily change of -6.00, a weekly change of -39.00, a monthly change of -58.00, and an annual change of 2.48% [2]. - **Basis Information**: The 05 basis is 11.59, with a daily change of -2.50, a weekly change of -61.50, a monthly change of 58.91, and an annual change of -286.94. The 09 basis is 287.09, with a daily change of -21.00, a weekly change of -12.50, a monthly change of 155.91, and an annual change of -0.13. The 01 basis is 98.59, with a daily change of 3.50, a weekly change of -22.50, a monthly change of 116.91, and an annual change of -0.70% [2]
永安期货沥青早报-20250910
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-10 02:11
示 沥青早报 研究中心能化团队 2025/9/10 | | 指标 | 8/11 | 9/1 | 9/5 | 9/8 | 9/9 | 日度变化 | 周度変化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | BU主力合约 | 3481 | 3540 | 3437 | 3440 | 3420 | -20 | -120 | | | BU06 | 3311 | 3430 | 3358 | 3358 | 3342 | -16 | -88 | | | BU09 | 3512 | 3547 | 3487 | 3449 | 3455 | 6 | -92 | | | BU12 | 3382 | 3466 | 3393 | 3393 | 3373 | -20 | -93 | | 学馆 | BU03 | 3326 | 3430 | 3362 | 3366 | 3354 | -12 | -76 | | | 成交量 | 239377 | 337174 | 400374 | 311673 | 181647 | -130026 | -155527 | | | 持仓量 ...
永安期货焦炭日报-20250910
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-10 02:11
焦炭日报 研究中心黑色团队 2025/9/10 | | 最新 | 日变化 | 周变化 | 月变化 同比 | | 最新 | 日变化 | 周变化 | 月变化 | 同比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 山西准一湿熄 | 1482.39 | 0.00 | -53.55 | 55.68 | -11.13% 高炉开工率 | 85.79 | | -4.23 | -4.30 | 3.41% | | 河北准一湿熄 | 1725.00 | 0.00 | -55.00 | 75.00 | -4.43% 铁水日均产量 | 228.84 | | -11.29 | -11.48 | 2.80% | | 山东准一干熄 | 1660.00 | 0.00 | -55.00 | 55.00 | -10.03% 盘面05 | 1744 | 10.50 | 48.50 | -74.50 | -6.41% | | 江苏准一干熄 | 1700.00 | 0.00 | -55.00 | 55.00 | -9.81% 盘面09 | 1512.5 ...
永安期货大类资产早报-20250910
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-10 02:11
| 11 76 2011 | UNI ATT SA | | --- | --- | | SOURCE POINT | PAUSAP IN | | -- | | 研究中心宏观团队 2025/09/10 | | 全 球 资 产 市 场 表 现 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主要经济体10年期国债收益率 | | | | | | | | | | | 美国 | 英国 | 法国 | 德国 | 意大利 | 西班牙 | 瑞士 | 希腊 | | 2025/09/09 | 4.088 | 4.622 | 3.468 | 2.658 | 3.478 | 3.246 | 0.210 | 3.319 | | 最新变化 | 0.047 | 0.017 | 0.060 | 0.017 | 0.008 | 0.019 | -0.012 | 0.010 | | 一周变化 | -0.174 | -0.177 | -0.114 | -0.126 | -0.197 | -0.152 | -0.091 | -0.174 | | 一月变 ...
永安期货铁合金早报-20250910
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-10 01:42
铁合金早报 | | | | | | | | | | 2025/9/10 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 品种 | 项目 | | 现货 | | 仓单 | | 盘面 | | | | | | 最新 | 日变化 | 周变化 | 出厂价折盘面 | 最新 | | 日变化 | 周变化 | | | 宁夏#72 内蒙#72 | 5280 5310 | 80 30 | 80 60 | 5580 5660 | 主力合约 01合约 | 5620 5578 | -4 -6 | 92 90 | | 硅铁自然块 | | | | | | | | | | | 产区汇总价 | 青海#72 | 5250 | 50 | 0 | 5580 | 05合约 | 5682 | -6 | 60 | | | 陕西#72 | 5280 | 80 | 80 | 5580 | 09合约 | 5434 | -6 | 82 | | | 陕西#75 | 5950 | 0 | 0 | | 主力月基差 | -40 | 84 | -12 | | 硅铁合格块 | 江苏#72 | 5 ...
永安期货有色早报-20250910
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-10 01:41
有色早报 研究中心有色团队 2025/09/10 铜 : 日期 沪铜现货 升贴水 废精铜 价差 上期所 库存 沪铜 仓单 现货进口 盈利 三月进口 盈利 保税库 premium 提单 premium 伦铜 C-3M LME 库存 LME 注销仓单 2025/09/03 195 1320 79748 19471 -62.04 192.71 56.0 58.0 -66.89 158575 13525 2025/09/04 175 1114 79748 19829 -163.54 382.18 57.0 60.0 -67.16 158375 16100 2025/09/05 165 910 81851 18927 -23.57 406.77 57.0 60.0 -68.04 157950 15825 2025/09/08 130 1088 81851 18926 63.54 396.65 58.0 61.0 -81.07 155825 22200 2025/09/09 80 1118 81851 19081 -171.01 242.55 58.0 61.0 -78.02 155275 21950 变化 -50 30 ...