芳烃橡胶早报 研究中心能化团队 2025/09/30 | | P T A | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | 原油 | 石脑油 日本 | PX CFR 台湾 | PTA内盘现 货 | POY 1 50D/4 8F | 石脑油裂 解价差 | PX加工差 | PTA加 工差 | 聚酯毛利 | PTA平衡 负荷 | PTA负 荷 | 仓单+有 效预报 | TA基差 产销 | | | 2025/0 9/23 | 67.6 | 598 | 803 | 4470 | 6620 | 101.77 | 205.0 | 125 | 209 | 80.6 | 76.8 | 32714 | -80 | 0.30 | | 2025/0 9/24 | 69.3 | 606 | 812 | 4525 | 6600 | 97.96 | 206.0 | 120 | 140 | 80.6 | 76.8 | 32714 | -75 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Report's Core View - This week, the high - sulfur cracking of Singapore 380cst fluctuated, the near - month spread fluctuated, the basis strengthened slightly, the EW spread rebounded again, and recently showed wide - range fluctuations. The FU internal - external near - month also fluctuated. The low - sulfur cracking rebounded slightly but was at a historically low level year - on - year, the spread was weakly sorted, the LU internal - external price rebounded slightly to $8 - 9 per ton, and the MF0.5 basis fluctuated [3][4]. - From a fundamental perspective, Singapore's residual oil decreased, floating storage fluctuated, ARA residual oil inventory decreased slightly, EIA residual oil decreased slightly, Fujairah inventory decreased, and Middle - East high - sulfur floating storage increased significantly. The high - sulfur Middle - East peak season has passed. Supported by logistics reshaping and Singapore's high - sulfur marine fuel demand, the EW spread has completed its repair. Recently, refinery feedstock procurement has supported the 380 cracking level, with limited short - term downside space. It is expected that the 380 cracking will maintain a fluctuating pattern, and a short - term internal - external bullish view is taken on domestic FU [4]. - This week, the LU market was still weak. The issuance of the third batch of export quotas met expectations, and the external MF0.5 basis fluctuated at a low level. In the fourth quarter, the LU internal - external spread can be enlarged on dips, and attention should be paid to quota usage [4]. Summary by Related Catalogs Rotterdam Fuel Oil Data - From September 23 to September 29, 2025, the prices of Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O swap M1 decreased by 17.08, Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO swap M1 decreased by 15.75, Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 increased by 0.03, Rotterdam 10ppm Gasoil swap M1 decreased by 30.16, Rotterdam VLSFO - Gasoil M1 increased by 14.41, LGO - Brent M1 decreased by 1.84, and Rotterdam VLSFO - HSFO M1 increased by 1.33 [1]. Singapore Fuel Oil Data - From September 23 to September 29, 2025, the prices of Singapore 380cst M1 decreased by 8.74, Singapore 180cst M1 decreased by 8.74, Singapore VLSFO M1 decreased by 7.92, Singapore Gasoil M1 decreased by 2.85, Singapore 380cst - Brent M1 increased by 0.24, and Singapore VLSFO - Gasoil M1 increased by 13.17 [1]. Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Data - From September 23 to September 29, 2025, the FOB 380cst price decreased by 2.30, the FOB VLSFO price decreased by 0.90, the 380 basis decreased by 0.40 [2]. Domestic FU Data - From September 23 to September 29, 2025, FU 01 increased by 1, FU 05 decreased by 3, FU 09 decreased by 9, FU 01 - 05 increased by 4, FU 05 - 09 increased by 6, and FU 09 - 01 decreased by 10 [2]. Domestic LU Data - From September 23 to September 29, 2025, LU 01 increased by 5, LU 05 decreased by 17, LU 09 decreased by 10, LU 01 - 05 increased by 22, LU 05 - 09 decreased by 7, and LU 09 - 01 decreased by 15 [3].

有色早报 研究中心有色团队 2025/09/30 铜 ： 日期 沪铜现货 升贴水 废精铜 价差 上期所 库存 沪铜 仓单 现货进口 盈利 三月进口 盈利 保税库 premium 提单 premium 伦铜 C-3M LME 库存 LME 注销仓单 2025/09/23 55 1248 105814 27727 -118.34 228.24 58.0 59.0 -73.11 144975 11875 2025/09/24 40 1273 105814 27419 -693.47 68.15 57.0 59.0 -31.37 144775 11775 2025/09/25 40 2382 105814 27662 -745.90 -123.95 53.0 58.0 -31.55 144425 11400 2025/09/26 -5 2337 98779 26557 -652.74 127.20 53.0 58.0 -38.91 144400 10325 2025/09/29 -15 2077 98779 25603 -898.28 192.48 53.0 57.0 -29.22 143900 9875 变化 -1 ...

| | | | | | | LPG早报 | | | | 研究中心能化团队 2025/09/30 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | L P G | | | | | | | | | | | | | 日期 | 华南液化气 | 华东液化 气 | 山东液化气 | 丙烷CFR华 南 | 丙烷CIF日 本 | MB丙烷现 货 | CP预测合 同价 | 山东醚后碳四 | 山东烷基 化油 | 纸面进口利 润 | 主力基差 | | 2025/09/2 3 | 4600 | 4385 | 4550 | 590 | 540 | 71 | 544 | 4670 | 7680 | -220 | 250 | | 2025/09/2 4 | 4600 | 4387 | 4550 | 587 | 538 | 72 | 544 | 4630 | 7680 | -209 | 242 | | 2025/09/2 5 | 4600 | 4387 | 4570 | 583 | 530 | 72 | 540 | 4620 | 76 ...

油脂油料早报 研究中心农产品团队 2025/09/30 隔 夜 市 场 信 息 ： USDA：截至9月28日当周美国大豆收割率符合预期，优良率高于预期 美国农业部（USDA）在每周作物生长报告中公布称，截至2025年9月28日当周，美国大豆收割率为19%，符合市场预 期，前一周为9%，去年同期为24%，五年均值为20%。 截至2025年9月28日当周，美国大豆优良率为62%，高于市场预期的60%，前一周为61%，上年同期为64%。 截至当周，美国大豆落叶率为79%，上一周为61%，上年同期为79%，五年均值为77%。 USDA：9月25日止当周美国大豆出口检验量为593,956吨，符合预期 美国农业部公布的周度出口检验报告显示，截至2025年9月25日当周，美国大豆出口检验量为593,956吨，此前市场 预估为45-90万吨，前一周修正后为565,630吨，初值为484,116吨。 截至2024年9月26日当周，美国大豆出口检验量为683,341吨。 本作物年度迄今，美国大豆出口检验量累计为2,246,104吨，上一年度同期为1,929,770吨。 美国大豆的市场年度自9月1日开始。 AgRural：巴西大豆 ...

研究中心黑色团队 焦煤日报 1900/1/4 免责声明 以上内容所依据的信息均来源于交易所、媒体及资讯公司等发布的公开资料或通过合法授权渠道向发布人取得的资讯，我们力求分析及建议内容的客观、公正，研究方法专业审慎，分 析结论合理，但我司对信息来源的准确性和完整性不作任何保证，也不保证所依据的信息和建议不会发生任何变化。我们提供的全部分析及建议内容仅供参考，不构成对您的任何投资 建议及入市依据，您应当自主做出期货交易决策，独立承担期货交易后果，凡据此入市者，我司不承担任何责任。我司在为您提供服务时已最大程度避免与您产生利益冲突。未经我司 授权，不得随意转载、复制、传播本网站中所有研究分析报告、行情分析视频等全部或部分材料、内容。对可能因互联网软硬件设备故障或失灵、或因不可抗力造成的全部或部分信息 中断、延迟、遗漏、误导或造成资料传输或储存上的错误、或遭第三人侵入系统篡改或伪造变造资料等，我司均不承担任何责任。 50.00 100.00 150.00 200.00 250.00 300.00 350.00 400.00 450.00 500.00 550.00 1月 2月 3月 4月 5月 6月 7月 8月 9月 ...

īs ​ 沥青早报 | | | | | | | | HIST. LA HOLO FARS ALAA | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 指标 | 8/29 | 9/19 | 9/25 | 9/26 | 9/29 | 日度变化 | 周度变化 | | | BU主力合约 | 3507 | 3421 | 3440 | 3450 | 3466 | 16 | 45 | | | BU10 | 3507 | 3420 | 3460 | 3469 | | 16 | ર | | | | | | | | 3485 | | | | | BU11 | 3489 | 3421 | 3440 | 3450 | 3466 | 16 | 45 | | | BU12 | 3433 | 3374 | 3382 | 3412 | 3418 | 6 | 44 | | 播 | BU01 | 3399 | 3353 | 3360 | 3396 | 3402 | 6 | 49 | | | | | | | | | 7 | | | | BU03 | 3408 | 336 ...

1000.00 1500.00 2000.00 2500.00 3000.00 3500.00 4000.00 1月 2月 3月 4月 5月 6月 7月 8月 9月 10月 11月 12月 1月 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 230家焦化产能利用率 230家焦炭产量 全样本焦化焦炭库存 焦炭日报 研究中心黑色团队 2025/9/30 | | 最新 | 日变化 | 周变化 | 月变化 | 同比 | 最新 | 日变化 | 周变化 | 月变化 同比 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 山西准一湿熄 | 1427.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -108.16 | -17.12% 高炉开工率 | 90.86 | | 0.51 | 0.84 | 8.09% | | 河北准一干熄 | 1680.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -110.00 | 1.20% 铁水日均产量 | 242.36 | | 1.34 | 2.23 | 7.78% | | 山东准一干熄 | 1605.00 | ...

跨期套利跟踪 2025/09/30 铜 次月-现货月 三月-现货月 四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 -100 -110 -150 -130 理论价差 514 927 1348 1769 锌 次月-现货月 三月-现货月 四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 -150 -120 -75 -40 理论价差 213 332 450 569 铝 次月-现货月 三月-现货月四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 -25 -30 -20 -25 理论价差 215 331 446 562 铅 次月-现货月 三月-现货 月 四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 -215 -185 -165 -150 理论价差 210 317 423 529 镍 次月-现货月 三月-现货月 四月-现货 月 五月-现货月 价差 0 170 340 620 锡 5-1 价差 1010 理论价差 5645 期现套利跟踪 2025/09/30 铜 当月合约-现货 次月合约-现货 价差 295 195 理论价差 346 787 锌 当月合约-现货 次月合约-现货 价差 330 180 理论价差 159 285 铅：跨市套利跟踪 2025/09/30 国内价格 LME ...

库存 成本利润 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 80000 90000 100000 110000 01/01 01/24 02/16 03/11 04/03 04/26 05/19 06/11 07/04 07/27 08/19 09/11 10/04 10/27 11/19 12/12 硅铁：60家样本企业：库存：中国（周） 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 01/01 01/26 02/20 03/17 04/11 05/06 05/31 06/25 07/20 08/14 09/08 10/03 10/28 11/22 12/17 硅铁：60家样本企业：库存：宁夏（周） 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 01/01 01/26 02/20 03/17 04/11 05/06 05/31 06/25 07/20 08/14 09/08 10/03 10/28 11/22 12/17 硅铁：60家样本企业：库存：内 ...