Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoint No clear core viewpoint presented in the given text. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Price - **Silicon Iron**: Spot prices in different regions showed various changes, e.g., Ningxia 72 remained at 5150 with no daily change and a -20 weekly change; Inner Mongolia 72 was at 5200 with no daily or weekly change. Futures prices also had different daily and weekly variations, such as the 01 - contract at 5506 with a 16 - point daily change and an - 80 - point weekly change [2]. - **Silicon Manganese**: Spot prices in different regions had different changes, like Inner Mongolia 6517 remained at 5600 with no daily change and a -20 weekly change; Ningxia 6517 was at 5550 with a -10 daily and weekly change. Futures prices also had corresponding fluctuations, e.g., the 01 - contract at 5756 with a -6 daily and -42 weekly change [2]. Supply - **Silicon Iron**: The production data of 136 silicon - iron enterprises in China from 2021 - 2025 were presented, including monthly production and weekly production with a 95% capacity share. The capacity utilization rates of these enterprises in Inner Mongolia, Ningxia, and Shaanxi were also shown [4]. - **Silicon Manganese**: The production data of silicon manganese in China from 2021 - 2025 were provided, including weekly production and the procurement volume and price of Hebei Iron and Steel Group [6]. Demand - **Silicon Iron**: The demand - related data included the production of crude steel, stainless - steel crude steel, and the procurement volume of Hebei Iron and Steel Group in China from 2021 - 2025 [4]. - **Silicon Manganese**: The demand data of silicon manganese in China from 2021 - 2025 were shown, including the estimated demand volume (Steel Union caliber) and the procurement volume of Hebei Iron and Steel Group [4][7]. Inventory - **Silicon Iron**: The inventory data of 60 sample enterprises in China from 2021 - 2025 were presented, including total inventory, inventory in different regions (Ningxia, Inner Mongolia, Shaanxi), and inventory - related indicators such as warehouse receipts, effective forecasts, and inventory - available days in different regions [5]. - **Silicon Manganese**: The inventory data of silicon manganese from 2021 - 2025 were provided, including warehouse receipts, effective forecasts, total inventory, and inventory - available days in China, as well as the inventory of 63 sample enterprises [7]. Cost and Profit - **Silicon Iron**: The cost - related data included electricity prices in different regions (Inner Mongolia, Qinghai, Ningxia, Shaanxi), the market price of semi - coke, and the market price of silica. The profit - related data included the production profit in Inner Mongolia and Ningxia, and the export profit of 75 - grade silicon iron [5]. - **Silicon Manganese**: The profit - related data included the profit in Inner Mongolia, Guangxi, and other regions, as well as the profit of silicon manganese converted to the main - contract price in Guangxi and Ningxia [7].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - On Thursday, the overall futures market showed a volatile trend, with contracts EC2512, EC2606, and EC2608 relatively strong, possibly due to a rebound from previous declines caused by geopolitical factors [1]. - The valuation of EC2512 is neutral and will gradually follow the delivery logic. The freight rates in late November will determine the implementation of price - holding in December, and it is expected to follow spot price changes and shipping companies' price - increase announcements [1]. - The valuation of EC2602 is difficult to determine, and it is expected to follow EC2512 in the short term. If the peak - season cargo - booking situation meets expectations, it may have greater upside potential as the freight rate usually peaks 4 - 5 weeks before the Spring Festival (mid - January next year) [1]. - EC2604 is a off - season contract. It will maintain a narrow - range volatile trend in the short - term under the peak - season logic. Given the expected greater supply pressure and the off - season in April next year, a short - selling strategy on rallies is recommended [1]. 3. Summary by Related Information Futures Contract Prices and Changes - **Single - Contract Prices**: For example, EC2512 had a closing price of 1782.3 with a change of 1.88%, and a position change of - 277.5; EC2602 had a closing price of 1632.0 with a change of - 127.2 [1]. - **Spread between Contracts**: The spread between FC2512 - 2504 was 612.0, and the spread between FC2512 - 2602 was 150.3 [1]. Index Data - **SCFIS (European Line)**: As of November 10, 2025, it was 1504.80, with a week - on - week increase of 24.50% and a two - week decrease of 7.92% [1]. - **SCEI (European Line)**: As of November 7, 2025, it was 1323, with a week - on - week decrease of 1.56% and a two - week increase of 7.87% [1]. - **CCFI**: As of November 1, 2025, it was 1366.85, with a week - on - week increase of 3.25% and a two - week increase of 2.37% [1]. - **NCFI**: As of November 1, 2025, it was 911.73, with a week - on - week decrease of 5.58% and a two - week increase of 17.43% [1]. Spot Freight Rate and Shipping Company Quotes - **46 - week Spot Freight Rate**: The average landed price was 2000 US dollars (equivalent to 1400 points on the futures market) [1]. - **Shipping Company Quotes for 48 - week**: MSK's opening quotes for the 48 - week were 1900 - 2000 US dollars, equivalent to 1340 - 1400 points on the futures market; ONE reduced its price to 1900 US dollars for the 48 - week [1][3]. News and Geopolitical Factors - On November 12, the Houthi armed forces announced the end of attacks on merchant ships in the Red Sea but threatened to resume if Israel continued its aggression in Gaza [1]. - On November 11, Hamas stated that it had completed the first phase of the cease - fire agreement, which was only a preliminary agreement, and the second - phase negotiation had not started yet [1].

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Report's Core View - The domestic civil LPG market may show a pattern of stronger in the south and weaker in the north, with overall peak - season expectations. PDH profit contraction may lead to a decline in propane demand, and the current domestic market valuation is high and may decline. The international propane market is in a loose pattern, and attention should be paid to weather and US cold wave conditions [1] Group 3: Summary According to Related Content Price and Basis Information - On Thursday, for civil LPG, the price in East China was 4368 (-10), in Shandong was 4400 (+0), and in South China was 4490 (+0). The price of ether - post carbon four was 4630 (+0). The lowest delivery location was East China, with a basis of - 6, and the daily change was (+74). The 12 - 01 monthly spread was 98 (-3). FEI was 501 (+2) and CP was 480 (+6) dollars/ton [1] - The PG main contract fluctuated. The basis was 102 (+116), the 12 - 01 monthly spread was 72 (-8). The number of warehouse receipts was 4444 (+250). The cheapest delivery product was East China civil LPG at 4374; in Shandong it was 4380 (+80), in East China it was 4374 (+95), and in South China it was 4450 (+50). The price of Shandong ether - post carbon four was 4500 (+80) [1] Market Spread and Margin Information - The external market price declined; the internal - external spread strengthened. PG - CP reached 137 (+4), PG - FEI reached 113 (+15.6); FEI - MB was 153 (-1.8). The arrival discount of propane in East China was 85 US dollars (+6), and the freight was basically flat. The FEI - MOPI spread widened, and the switching window was still open, with the latest at - 73 (-6) [1] - The naphtha crack spread changed little and was at a relatively high level this year. The profit of Shandong PDH to produce propylene declined significantly (some plants shut down). The profit of alkylation plants rebounded. The MTBE production gross profit changed little, and the export profit fluctuated [1] Supply, Demand and Inventory Information - Domestic production decreased, and factory inventories were basically flat; the arrival potential was limited, terminal sales improved, and port inventories decreased. The PDH operating rate was 75.49% (+1.6), as Lihuayi Weiyuan started to full - load operation, while Binhua, Xintai, and Haiwei shut down successively [1]

油脂油料早报 研究中心农产品团队 2025/11/14 隔 夜 市 场 信 息 ： 9月25日止当周美国大豆出口销售合计净增87.05万吨 美国农业部（USDA）周四公布的出口销售报告显示，9月25日止当周，美国当前市场年度大豆出口销售净增87.05万 吨。当周，美国下一年度大豆出口销售净增0万吨。 当周，美国大豆出口装船61.13万吨。 当周，美国当前市场年度大豆新销售93.69万吨，下一市场年度大豆新销售0万吨。 9月25日止当周美国豆粕出口销售合计净增40.73万吨 美国农业部（USDA）公布的出口销售报告显示，9月25日止当周，美国当前市场年度豆粕出口销售净减21.62万吨， 较之前一周减少372%，较前四周均值减少718%。 当周，美国下一年度豆粕出口销售净增62.35万吨。 当周，美国豆粕出口装船28.93万吨，较之前一周增加27%，较前四周均值增加13%。 当周，美国当前市场年度豆粕新销售6.86万吨，下一市场年度豆粕新销售67.5万吨。 Conab：巴西2025/26年度大豆产量预估为1.776亿吨 巴西国家商品供应公司（CONAB）最新预测数据显示，2025/26年度大豆产量预估为创纪录的1 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - This week, the crack spread of high - sulfur fuel oil in Singapore fluctuated, the time spread strengthened slightly, and the basis weakened. The HSFO crack spread in Europe declined, and the EW spread strengthened this week. The 0.5% crack spread in Singapore rebounded, the time spread fluctuated, and the basis oscillated at a low level. In terms of inventory, the residue oil in Singapore decreased slightly, the residue oil in ARA and Fujairah increased, and the EIA residue oil inventory remained flat. The price spread between high - and low - sulfur fuel oil in the external market rebounded. High - sulfur fuel oil in Singapore was supported by EW and refinery purchases, but the spot basis weakened rapidly. In the short term, it is in a fluctuating pattern, and the short - term downward space for low - sulfur fuel oil is limited [3][4] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Rotterdam Fuel Oil Swap Data - From November 7th to 13th, 2025, the price of Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O swap M1 changed by 0.44, the Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO swap M1 changed by 0.57, the Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 changed by - 0.12, the Rotterdam 10ppm Gasoil swap M1 changed by - 4.28, the Rotterdam VLSFO - Gasoil M1 changed by 4.85, the LGO - Brent M1 remained unchanged (0.00), and the Rotterdam VLSFO - HSFO M1 changed by 0.13 [1] Singapore Fuel Oil Swap Data - During the same period, the price of Singapore 380cst M1 changed by - 13.01, the Singapore 180cst M1 changed by - 15.91, the Singapore VLSFO M1 changed by - 14.37, the Singapore Gasoil M1 changed by - 3.22, the Singapore 380cst - Brent M1 changed by - 0.16, and the Singapore VLSFO - Gasoil M1 changed by 9.46 [1] Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Data - From November 7th to 13th, 2025, the FOB 380cst price changed by - 13.78, the FOB VLSFO price changed by - 14.44, the 380 basis changed by - 0.02, the high - sulfur internal - external price spread changed by - 1.3, and the low - sulfur internal - external price spread changed by 1.0 [2] Domestic FU Fuel Oil Futures Data - During this period, the price of FU 01 changed by - 98, FU 05 changed by - 81, FU 09 changed by - 63, FU 01 - 05 changed by - 17, FU 05 - 09 changed by - 18, and FU 09 - 01 changed by 35 [2] Domestic LU Fuel Oil Futures Data - From November 7th to 13th, 2025, the price of LU 01 changed by - 147, LU 05 changed by - 124, LU 09 changed by - 103, LU 01 - 05 changed by - 23, LU 05 - 09 changed by - 21, and LU 09 - 01 changed by 44 [3]

| | | | | | 玻璃纯碱早报 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | | | | 研究中心能化团队 | | 2025/11/14 | | | | | | | | 玻 璃 | | | | | | | | | | | 2025/11/6 2025/11/12 2025/11/13 周度变化 日度变化 | | | | | | 2025/11/6 2025/11/12 2025/11/13 周度变化 日度变化 | | | | 沙河安全 5mm大 板 | 1138.0 | 1100.0 | 1104.0 | -34.0 | 4.0 | FG05合约 | 1227.0 | 1169.0 | 1173.0 | -54.0 | 4.0 | | 沙河长城 5mm大板 | 1126.0 | 1104.0 | 1104.0 | -22.0 | 0.0 | FG01合约 | 1101.0 | 1049.0 | 1056.0 | -45.0 | 7.0 | | 沙河5m ...

贸易商基差 300 200 100 12/1 10/1 -100 -200 华东基差(镇江库) 山东基差(+80) 华南基差(佛山库) 山东县差 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 21 3/1 10/1 11/1 -100 1 1 -200 -300 研究中心能化团队 2025/11/14 s 加安期货 周度变化 -2995 -3205 -3245 -4 -9 -3 1 R -146456 -2898 0 -0.7 -3030 -2980 -3190 -3230 7 -1401 沥青早报 | | 指标 | 10/14 | 11/7 | 11/10 | 11/11 | 11/12 | 日度变化 | 팀 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 基差&月差 | 山东基差(+80)(弘润) | 190 | 12 | -6 | -2970 | -2983 | -13 | - 1. | | | 华东基差(镇江库) | 60 | 142 | 134 | -3050 | -3063 | -13 | 1. | | | 华南县差 ...

Report Overview - The report is a non - ferrous metals arbitrage morning report released by the non - ferrous metals team of the research center on November 14, 2025, covering cross - market, cross - period, spot - futures, and cross - variety arbitrage tracking for multiple non - ferrous metals [1] Cross - Market Arbitrage Tracking Copper - On November 14, 2025, the domestic spot price was 87,210, the three - month price was 87,580, the LME three - month price was 10,963, and the ratio was 7.96 [1] Zinc - On November 14, 2025, the domestic three - month price was 22,785, the LME three - month price was 3,089, and the ratio was 5.75 [1] Aluminum - On November 14, 2025, the domestic three - month price was 22,050, the LME three - month price was 2,902, and the ratio was 7.58 [1] Lead - On November 14, 2025, the domestic three - month price was 17,670, the LME three - month price was 2,089, and the ratio was 10.85 [1][3] Nickel - On November 14, 2025, the profit from spot import was - 2,084.11 [1] Cross - Period Arbitrage Tracking Copper - On November 14, 2025, the spreads between the next - month, three - month, four - month, and five - month contracts and the spot - month contract were 770, 800, 840, and 810 respectively, with theoretical spreads of 536, 970, 1413, and 1856 [4] Zinc - On November 14, 2025, the spreads between the next - month, three - month, four - month, and five - month contracts and the spot - month contract were 130, 175, 210, and 235 respectively, with theoretical spreads of 216, 338, 460, and 582 [4] Aluminum - On November 14, 2025, the spreads between the next - month, three - month, four - month, and five - month contracts and the spot - month contract were 200, 250, 250, and 265 respectively, with theoretical spreads of 220, 341, 462, and 583 [4] Lead - On November 14, 2025, the spreads between the next - month, three - month, four - month, and five - month contracts and the spot - month contract were 50, 70, 70, and 85 respectively, with theoretical spreads of 213, 322, 431, and 540 [4] Nickel - On November 14, 2025, the spreads between the next - month, three - month, four - month, and five - month contracts and the spot - month contract were 630, 800, 1040, and 1220 [4] Tin - On November 14, 2025, the 5 - 1 spread was - 740, with a theoretical spread of 6161 [4] Spot - Futures Arbitrage Tracking Copper - On November 14, 2025, the spreads between the current - month and next - month contracts and the spot were - 380 and 390 respectively [4] Cross - Variety Arbitrage Tracking - On November 14, 2025, the ratios of copper/zinc, copper/aluminum, copper/lead, aluminum/zinc, aluminum/lead, and lead/zinc in Shanghai (three - continuous contracts) were 3.84, 3.97, 4.96, 0.97, 1.25, and 0.78 respectively [5]

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Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided 2. Core Viewpoints - No information provided 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Spot Market - **Australian Iron Ore**: Newman powder price is 780, down 1 from the previous day and up 2 for the week; PB powder price is 783, down 1 from the previous day and down 2 for the week; Macfarlane powder price is 776, down 2 from the previous day and down 4 for the week; Jinbuba powder price is 734, down 1 from the previous day and down 2 for the week; Super special powder price is 672, down 5 from the previous day and down 15 for the week; Carajás powder price is 883, down 1 from the previous day and down 10 for the week; Roy Hill powder price is 770, down 1 from the previous day and down 2 for the week; KUMBA powder price is 842, down 1 from the previous day and down 2 for the week [1] - **Brazilian Iron Ore**: Brazilian mixed ore price is 818, down 1 from the previous day and down 3 for the week; Brazilian coarse IOC6 price is 783, down 1 from the previous day and down 4 for the week; Brazilian coarse SSFG price is 788, down 1 from the previous day and down 4 for the week [1] - **Other Regions' Iron Ore**: Ukrainian concentrate price is 875, down 3 from the previous day and down 15 for the week; 61% Indian powder price is 723, down 1 from the previous day and down 2 for the week; Karara concentrate price is 877, down 3 from the previous day and down 15 for the week; 57% Indian powder price is 607, down 5 from the previous day and down 15 for the week; Atlas powder price is 720, down 8 from the previous day and down 12 for the week; Tangshan iron concentrate price is 1008, unchanged from the previous day and the week [1] Futures Market - **DCE Contracts**: i2601 contract price is 772.5, down 1.5 from the previous day and down 5.0 for the week; i2605 contract price is 745.5, down 2.0 from the previous day and down 10.5 for the week; i2609 contract price is 723.0, down 1.5 from the previous day and down 12.0 for the week [1] - **SGX Contracts**: FE01 contract price is 99.68, up 1.28 from the previous day and down 0.79 for the week; FE05 contract price is 97.39, up 1.29 from the previous day and down 0.79 for the week; FE09 contract price is 95.38, up 1.38 from the previous day and down 0.72 for the week [1] Spread and Premium - **Inter - monthly Spread**: For DCE contracts, i2601 - i2605 spread is - 49.5, up 0.4 from the previous day and up 2.8 for the week; i2605 - i2609 spread is 27.0, up 0.9 from the previous day and up 8.3 for the week; i2609 - i2601 spread is 22.5, up 0.4 from the previous day and up 9.8 for the week; For SGX contracts, FE01 - FE05 spread is - 4.30, up 0.7 from the previous day and up 5.6 for the week; FE05 - FE09 spread is 2.29, up 0.2 from the previous day and up 1.1 for the week; FE09 - FE01 spread is 2.01, down 3.6 from the previous day and down 2.5 for the week [1] - **Premium**: Information on U - ball/ pellet premium, PB block/ block premium is presented in the form of historical data charts, but specific current premium values are not clearly summarized in the text [1]