Group 1 - BlackRock's stake in Li Auto-W decreased from 5.00% to 4.93% on May 6 [1]

Group 1 - The central bank and relevant departments have issued a document to support the launch of cross-border cooperation products at the Guangzhou Futures Exchange with the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [1] - The initiative aims to establish convenient trading rules for the spot and futures market, facilitating internal and external market interactions [1] - There is a focus on exploring new models for international cooperation in futures products [1] Group 2 - The Guangzhou Futures Exchange is encouraged to apply for specific futures and options products to allow participation from foreign traders in an orderly manner [1] - Support is provided for the construction of a commodity futures delivery center in Nansha, enhancing the integrated service system covering the spot and futures market [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [5][39]. Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance shows significant growth driven by the buoyancy of the Hong Kong stock market, with revenue reaching HKD 6.831 billion, a year-on-year increase of 31.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8.2%. Net profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 4.077 billion, up 37.3% year-on-year and 7.9% quarter-on-quarter [1][8]. - The revenue structure is dominated by trading fees and transaction system usage fees, which accounted for 46.1% and 29.0% of total revenue, respectively, totaling over 75% [1][8]. - The company exhibits a high EBITDA margin of 76.6% in Q1 2025, reflecting significant scale effects [1][8]. - The effective tax rate has increased significantly due to the OECD's "Pillar Two" rules, which may keep the tax rate above 15% in the future, slightly impacting net profit [1][12]. Summary by Sections Company Performance - In Q1 2025, the average daily trading volume (ADT) for cash securities reached HKD 225.4 billion, a remarkable year-on-year increase of 153.0% [2][20]. - The company has a light asset model with high gross margins, where operating expenses were HKD 1.516 billion, with personnel costs making up 64.4% of total expenses [3][35]. - The company maintains a stable dividend payout ratio of around 90%, with a historical dividend yield of 2%-3% over the past decade [3][35]. Market Dynamics - The report highlights that southbound capital is a key driver of trading volume, with the southbound trading ADT for Q1 2025 being HKD 1.099 billion, accounting for 24.4% of the total ADT [2][20]. - The number of mainland companies listing in Hong Kong has become dominant, contributing to a rich pool of quality investment targets [2][26]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for the company show a steady growth trajectory, with expected revenues of HKD 26.237 billion in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 17.3% [4][47]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to reach HKD 15.428 billion in 2025, with a growth rate of 18.2% [4][47]. - The report anticipates a slight downward adjustment of 5.56% in net profit estimates for 2025-2027 due to the increased tax rate [3][39].

Group 1 - BlackRock's stake in AIA increased from 5.99% to 6.03% on May 5 [1]

Group 1 - FIL Limited increased its stake in Li Ning from 4.92% to 5.05% as of May 2 [1] - The average share price for this transaction was 15.2253 HKD [1]

Group 1 - Citigroup's stake in China Pacific Insurance has decreased from 8.07% to 7.98% as of April 30 [1]

Group 1 - BlackRock's stake in Meituan-W increased from 5.77% to 6.02% as of May 1 [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (0388.HK) [2][9]. Core Views - In the medium to long term, the report anticipates that a series of connectivity policies will enhance the basic conditions for recovery in the capital market, leading to sustained liquidity in the Hong Kong stock market and an increase in overall market activity and valuation [2][6]. - The company is projected to achieve revenues and other income of HKD 266.63 billion, 285.26 billion, and 304.86 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 160.57 billion, 172.00 billion, and 184.36 billion for the same years, corresponding to PE ratios of 26.91, 25.12, and 23.44 [2][6]. Summary by Sections Q1 Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenues and other income of HKD 68.57 billion, a year-on-year increase of 31.84%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 40.77 billion, up 37.3% year-on-year [6][9]. - Revenue growth was driven by strong performance across various fee structures, with trading and trading system usage fees increasing by 60.29%, listing fees by 11.78%, and settlement and clearing fees by 56.32% [6][9]. Market Activity - The report highlights a significant increase in trading activity in the cash, derivatives, and commodities markets, with daily average turnover in the cash market rising by 153.0% year-on-year and daily average turnover in the Stock Connect increasing by 43.7% [6][9]. - The increase in trading activity led to a 69.9% year-on-year growth in settlement and clearing fee income [6][9]. Future Projections - The report projects that the company will continue to benefit from enhanced market conditions and connectivity policies, with expected revenue growth and profitability over the next few years [2][6]. - Specific revenue and profit forecasts for 2025 to 2027 indicate a positive outlook for the company's financial performance [10].

Core Insights - Hong Kong's IPO fundraising has significantly increased, with 17 new listings raising approximately HKD 177 billion (around USD 20 billion) in the first quarter of 2025, more than doubling the amount from the previous year [1] - The follow-on market has also become more active, raising over USD 18 billion in the first quarter of 2025, a 20-fold increase year-on-year, with notable transactions from BYD and Xiaomi [1] - There is a growing trend of A+H listings, with around 30 companies planning to list in Hong Kong, particularly in the technology and biotech sectors [2] Market Trends - The new economy, artificial intelligence, renewable energy, and tech unicorns are key focus areas for new listings in Hong Kong [2] - Increased dialogue with ASEAN companies has led to successful listings from several firms in the region, indicating a strong interest in the Hong Kong market [2] - Hong Kong is also targeting the Middle East, with plans to open an office in Riyadh and strengthen ties with the Saudi stock exchange [3] Regulatory and Structural Developments - Hong Kong has completed consultations on IPO pricing, aiming to enhance the pricing process and distribution structures [4] - The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission and the exchange have announced measures to improve the transparency of the new listing application process [4] - Initiatives like the "REIT Connect" and a dedicated line for tech companies are in preparation to further optimize the listing environment [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company achieved record high performance in Q1 2025, with total revenue of HKD 68.6 billion, a year-on-year increase of 31.8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7.5%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 40.8 billion, up 37.3% year-on-year and 7.9% quarter-on-quarter [4][5] - The increase in revenue and profit is primarily driven by heightened trading activity in the Hong Kong stock market, supported by innovations in artificial intelligence and other developments [5] - The report anticipates that the return of Chinese concept stocks to Hong Kong could inject new trading volume into the market [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company's main business revenue reached HKD 63.2 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 35.6% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 5.0% [4] - The trading fees, system usage fees, and settlement fees totaled HKD 41.3 billion, accounting for 60.2% of total revenue, with a year-on-year increase of 58.7% [5] - Investment income netted HKD 13.3 billion, representing 19.4% of total revenue, with a slight year-on-year decrease of 0.7% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.2% [5] Market Activity - The average daily trading volume for Hong Kong stock securities reached HKD 2,427 billion, a year-on-year increase of 144.2% [5] - The number of new listings in Q1 2025 was 17, a year-on-year increase of 41.7%, raising a total of HKD 187 billion, which is a 289.6% increase year-on-year [7] Future Outlook - The report maintains profit forecasts for 2025-2027 at HKD 150 billion, HKD 156 billion, and HKD 165 billion respectively, with a corresponding PE ratio of 29X, 28X, and 26X [7][9]