Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy-A" investment rating with a 6-month target price of 2.1 HKD [5][7]. Core Insights - China Jinmao's sales amount increased by 20% year-on-year to 53.4 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, with an average contract price of approximately 26,000 RMB per square meter, primarily driven by the top ten core cities [1]. - The company has focused on acquiring land in core cities, securing 16 new projects with a total land price of 49.2 billion RMB, emphasizing a precise investment strategy [2]. - Total revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 25.11 billion RMB, a 14% increase year-on-year, with property development revenue growing by 17% [3]. - Financing costs have decreased significantly, with the average cost of new financing at 2.7%, down from the end of 2024 [4]. Sales Performance - The sales amount for the first half of 2025 was 53.4 billion RMB, with 74.5% of sales coming from the top ten core cities, particularly Shanghai and Beijing [1]. - The company achieved an opening rate of 81% for new projects launched within six months, indicating strong operational efficiency [1]. Land Acquisition Strategy - In 2025, China Jinmao acquired 16 projects with a total construction area of 1.45 million square meters, focusing on first and second-tier cities [2]. - The land acquisition strategy highlights a 66% investment concentration in Beijing and Shanghai, showcasing a targeted approach to growth [2]. Financial Performance - The total revenue for the first half of 2025 was 25.11 billion RMB, with property development revenue at 20.04 billion RMB, reflecting a 17% year-on-year increase [3]. - The profit, including fair value gains from investment properties, was 1.09 billion RMB, an 8% increase year-on-year [3]. Financial Structure - The company successfully issued low-interest bonds, with the cost of the "25 Jinmao Investment MTN001" at 2.30%, a reduction of 109 basis points [4]. - As of June 30, total debt stood at 123.3 billion RMB, with a balanced debt maturity structure [4].

Core Insights - The real estate market is showing signs of stabilization, with leading companies actively seeking investment opportunities in core cities [1][2][5] - Top 10 real estate companies accounted for 70% of the new value added in the first eight months, indicating a concentration of resources among leading firms [1][5] - Companies are focusing on high liquidity and high certainty land parcels to drive profitability recovery [1][6] Investment Trends - In the first eight months of 2023, the top 100 real estate companies invested a total of 605.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 28% [2][5] - Leading state-owned enterprises dominate land acquisition, with eight out of the top ten land acquirers being state-owned [5] - Green Town China, Poly Development, and China Overseas Property led in new value added, with 114.4 billion yuan, 99.6 billion yuan, and 92.3 billion yuan respectively [5][6] Strategic Focus - Companies are shifting their investment strategies to focus on first and second-tier cities, moving away from lower-tier markets [6][9] - The strategy includes a focus on high-quality land parcels to improve financial performance and reduce historical burdens from previous high-cost land acquisitions [6][9] - Companies like China Jinmao and China Overseas Property emphasize maintaining investment intensity while balancing risk [9][10] Market Outlook - Despite a seasonal decline in investment in August, the overall sentiment remains positive, with companies planning to maintain investment levels in core cities [8][9] - The market is expected to see further differentiation between cities, with first-tier and strong second-tier cities likely to stabilize first [9][10] - Companies are adopting a "宁缺毋滥" (prefer quality over quantity) approach, focusing on core cities and high-quality land [10]

Core Insights - The land market in August experienced a significant decline in both transaction volume and prices, primarily due to a slowdown in the release of quality land parcels in key cities, with an average premium rate of 5.6%, marking the second-lowest point of the year [1][2][14] Group 1: Market Performance - The total area of commercially operated land sold nationwide reached 40.74 million square meters by August 25, a year-on-year decrease of 14%, with the transaction amount at 95.3 billion yuan, down 16% year-on-year [2] - The average floor price was 2,339 yuan per square meter, reflecting a 3% year-on-year decline, while the premium rate of 5.6% was the second-lowest this year [2] - The premium rate in first-tier cities remained high at 26.64%, reaching a new monthly high since 2025, while the average premium rate in second-tier cities dropped to 2%, the lowest this year [2] Group 2: Investment Trends - The investment pace of 30 monitored enterprises in August saw a dramatic decline, with land acquisition amounts halving month-on-month to approximately 25 billion yuan, the lowest in nearly a year [12][13] - Among these enterprises, 18 did not acquire any new land in August, with only a few companies like China Resources Land and China Merchants Shekou jointly acquiring over 8 billion yuan in Shenzhen [9][13] - The strategy of "preferring quality over quantity" is expected to continue, with investment levels dependent on the quality and frequency of land auctions in core cities [14] Group 3: Top Enterprises and Market Concentration - The threshold for the top 100 enterprises in terms of land value decreased by 6% year-on-year to 3.19 billion yuan, while the total price threshold increased by 12% to 1.54 billion yuan [4] - The top 10 enterprises accounted for 70% of the new land value among the top 100, indicating a further concentration of market power among leading firms [9] - The land acquisition-to-sales ratio for the top 100 enterprises was 0.27, with the top 10 firms having a significantly higher ratio of 0.39, showcasing a stark contrast in investment attitudes across different tiers of companies [9]

Core Viewpoint - China Jinmao is experiencing independent growth amidst a real estate market adjustment, achieving significant sales and profit increases in the first half of 2025, positioning itself among the top 10 in the industry [1][3]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, China Jinmao reported a revenue of 25.1 billion, a year-on-year increase of 13.34%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.09 billion, up 7.93% year-on-year [1][3]. - The company achieved a signed sales amount of 53.4 billion, maintaining a sales growth rate of 20%, the highest among the top 10 real estate companies [1][3]. Market Positioning - Despite a 5.5% year-on-year decline in new residential sales in the overall market, China Jinmao's sales grew by 20%, allowing it to rank first in growth among the top 10 companies [3][9]. - The overall gross profit margin reached 16.2%, an increase of 1.6 percentage points compared to 2024, indicating a trend of improving profitability [3][4]. Strategic Focus - Since 2022, China Jinmao has focused its investments on core urban areas, particularly first and second-tier cities, which are more resilient during market adjustments [6][7]. - In the first half of 2025, the company acquired 16 projects located in key cities such as Beijing, Shanghai, and Chengdu, with a significant profit margin advantage [6][7]. Operational Efficiency - The company has implemented strict cost control measures, resulting in a 15.9% reduction in management expenses in 2024 and an additional 5% decrease in 2025 [3][4]. - Sales and financial expenses also saw a decline of 15% in the first half of 2025, contributing to improved net profit margins [3][4]. Competitive Advantage - China Jinmao's brand strength and high-end product offerings, such as the Jinmao Mansion series, have solidified its market position, with new projects achieving an average sales rate of 81% [7][8]. - The company’s total land reserves reached 27 million square meters by mid-2025, with 88% located in first and second-tier cities, ensuring sufficient support for future development [9][10]. Future Outlook - Management anticipates a transition from merely surviving to thriving, with expectations of steady performance improvement from 2025 to 2027 [10].

Core Viewpoint - The investment pace of real estate companies has significantly slowed down, with a notable drop in land acquisition amounts in August, reaching a new low in nearly a year, as 18 out of 30 monitored companies reported no new land purchases [1][15]. Group 1: Land Market Trends - As of August 25, the total area of commercially available land sold nationwide was 4,074 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 14%, with a transaction amount of 95.3 billion yuan, down 16% year-on-year [19]. - The average premium rate for land auctions was 5.6%, marking the second-lowest point of the year, with significant variations between first and second-tier cities [19]. - The frequency of high-quality residential land entering the market has decreased, leading to a decline in market heat, particularly in key cities [15][19]. Group 2: Investment Thresholds - The threshold for the top 100 companies in terms of new land value decreased by 6% year-on-year to 3.19 billion yuan, while the threshold for total price increased by 12% to 1.54 billion yuan [21][23]. - The total new land value for the top 100 companies reached 1.4193 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 17.5% [24]. Group 3: Concentration of Investment - The top 10 real estate companies accounted for 70% of the new land value among the top 100, indicating a further concentration of market power among leading firms [26]. - The land acquisition-to-sales ratio for the top 100 companies was 0.27, reflecting a cautious investment approach, particularly among leading firms [28]. Group 4: Recent Investment Activity - In August, the land acquisition amount for 30 monitored companies was approximately 25 billion yuan, a 56.6% decrease month-on-month, marking a new low for the year [31]. - Only a few companies, such as China Resources Land and China Merchants Shekou, made significant land purchases, while the majority reported amounts below 2 billion yuan [31]. Group 5: Focus on Core Cities - The investment strategy has shifted towards a more rational and cautious approach, focusing on core cities and high-quality land parcels, with a continued emphasis on the quality and frequency of land auctions [33].

Group 1 - The company China Jinmao (00817) announced that it will distribute an interim dividend of HKD 0.03 per share for the six months ending June 30, 2025, on October 31, 2025 [1]

智通财经APP讯，中国金茂(00817)发布公告，该公司将于2025年10月31日派发截至2025年6月30日止6个 月的中期股息每股0.03港元。 ...

第 1 頁 共 2 頁 v 1.1.1 | 股息派發日 | 2025年10月31日 | | --- | --- | | 股份過戶登記處及其地址 | 香港中央證券登記有限公司 | | 皇后大道東183號 | | | 合和中心 | | | 17樓1712-1716號舖 | | | 灣仔 | | | 香港 | | | 代扣所得稅信息 | | | 股息所涉及的代扣所得稅 | 不適用 | | 發行人所發行上市權證/可轉換債券的相關信息 | | | 發行人所發行上市權證/可轉換債券 | 不適用 | | 其他信息 | | | 其他信息 | 不適用 | | 發行人董事 | | | 本公司董事為執行董事陶天海先生（主席）、張輝先生及喬曉潔女士；非執行董事崔焱先生、劉文先生、陳一江先生及王葳女士； | | | 以及獨立非執行董事劉峰先生、孫文德先生、高世斌先生及鍾偉先生。 | | EF003 免責聲明 | 香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其準確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不對因 | 公告全部或任何部份內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 | | --- ...

China Jinmao Holdings Group Limited 中國金茂控股集團有限公 司 （於香港註冊成立的有限公司） （股票代號：00817） 公告 支付中期股息及暫停辦理股份過戶登記手續期間 香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其準確性 或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不對因本公告全部或任何部份內容而產生或因倚 賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 茲提述中國金茂控股集團有限公司（「本公司」）日期為2025年8月26日之公告，內 容有關（其中包括）本公司擬派發中期股息每股3港仙（「中期股息」）。 本公司謹此宣佈，為確定有權收取中期股息的股東名單，本公司將於2025年9月 17日（星期三）至2025年9月19日（星期五）止（包括首尾兩天）期間暫停辦理股份 過戶登記手續。股東如欲收取中期股息，最遲須於2025年9月16日（星期二）下午 4時30分前，將所有正式填妥的過戶表格連同有關股票送達本公司股份過戶登記 處香港中央證券登記有限公司，地址為香港灣仔皇后大道東183號合和中心17樓 1712-1716號舖，以辦理股份過戶登記手續。中期股息預期於202 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a general increase in Hong Kong real estate stocks, driven by the relaxation of housing purchase restrictions in Beijing and Shanghai, which are the strictest cities in terms of these policies [1][1][1] - Major real estate companies such as China Jinmao, New World Development, and Sunac China saw significant stock price increases, with China Jinmao rising over 4% [1][1][1] - Analysts suggest that if the real estate market continues to show weakness, cities like Beijing and Shanghai are likely to further ease purchase restrictions, indicating a potential shift in national housing policy [1][1][1] Group 2 - The China Index Academy anticipates that September will be a period of intensive real estate policy announcements, with new supportive measures expected to accelerate under the goal of stabilizing the market [1][1][1] - As the market anticipates a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September, there is an expectation for increased domestic monetary policy flexibility, which could further benefit the real estate sector [1][1][1] - The real estate market is entering the "Golden September and Silver October" sales season, with expectations that property companies will accelerate their sales efforts in core cities, leading to a potential short-term increase in market activity [1][1][1]