Core Viewpoint - In 2025, China Jinmao achieved a significant sales increase, ranking eighth in the national performance list, demonstrating resilience in a challenging real estate market [1] Group 1: Sales Performance and Market Position - China Jinmao's total sales reached 113.5 billion, marking a four-position rise from 2024 and solidifying its place in the top tier of the industry [1] - The report indicates a 7% year-on-year decline in new housing transaction area across 30 key cities, yet effective housing demand remains stable [1] - In Beijing, China Jinmao led the market with its products, achieving the highest sales in both units and area in the Chaoyang District [4] Group 2: Product Strategy and Launches - The launch of the "Jin Yu Man Tang" product series in 2024 served as a strategic upgrade, contributing to the sales growth and industry ranking in 2025 [3] - In 2025, multiple new projects under the "Jin Yu Man Tang" series were introduced in high-tier cities, maintaining market popularity [3] - The "Jin Yu Man Tang" product matrix has become widely recognized, with the Jinmao Mansion series emerging as a leading technology residential product line across 29 cities [13] Group 3: Investment Strategy and Future Outlook - China Jinmao's investment strategy focuses on high-energy and high-certainty regions, securing quality land resources in key cities like Beijing and Shanghai [16] - In 2025, the company acquired land worth 33.9 billion, ranking eighth in the industry, ensuring a stable supply for future products [16] - The average sales price of residential properties increased to 26,000 yuan per square meter, reflecting an 18.2% year-on-year growth, enhancing the company's profitability [16]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the real estate industry [8] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the financial attributes of real estate, highlighting its significant impact on the macro economy and the necessity for strong policy support from the central government [16][18] - It suggests that policies should be implemented in a decisive manner to stabilize market expectations, avoiding gradual measures that have proven ineffective [17] - The report anticipates a shift towards a new model of "affordable housing + quality housing + services," with an acceleration in the acquisition of existing properties to alleviate inventory pressure [18] Summary by Sections 1. Market Trends - The real estate market is expected to stabilize with policies that support both demand and supply, particularly in major cities where restrictions may be eased [16][18] - The report notes a significant decline in new and second-hand housing transaction volumes, with year-on-year decreases of 22.39% and 28.04% respectively [72] 2. Stock Market and Credit Bonds - The A-share real estate sector underperformed the market, with a weekly decline of 0.69%, trailing the broader market by 0.10 percentage points [21][22] - The issuance of real estate credit bonds totaled 1.514 billion yuan, with a net financing amount of -2.527 billion yuan [21] 3. REITs Market - The REITs index experienced a decline of 0.36%, with the property REITs index down 0.39% and the operating rights REITs index down 0.33% [41][54] - The total transaction volume for REITs was 0.551 billion yuan, reflecting a significant decrease of 59.30% compared to the previous period [56] 4. Land Market - The report indicates a decrease in land supply across major cities, with a 66.43% drop in supply and a 132.09% increase in transaction area, alongside a rise in premium rates [5] 5. Policy Outlook - The report outlines expectations for more robust housing policies in 2026, including the removal of restrictive measures and a focus on meeting diverse housing needs [18][19]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that a recent commentary in the magazine "Qiushi" has raised investor hopes for a shift in policy regarding the real estate market, suggesting that substantial policy measures are needed rather than incremental changes [1] - Morgan Stanley notes that since the second half of last year, housing prices and sales have continued to decline, making it logical for policymakers to consider a new direction in their approach [1] - The next key policy windows are identified as the March Two Sessions and the April Politburo meeting, indicating that the commentary alone is not sufficient to confirm a change in the official stance [1] Group 2 - Morgan Stanley's preferred stocks in the real estate sector include China Resources Land, China Resources Mixc Lifestyle, and China Jinmao, indicating a focus on these companies for potential investment opportunities [1] - The report suggests that Longfor Group offers the best risk-reward profile amid the anticipated rebound triggered by policy changes [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a collective rise in Hong Kong property stocks, driven by recent policy adjustments that are expected to enhance market activity [1] - Key property stocks such as Agile Group, Shimao Group, and Ronshine China saw increases of 9%, while Greentown China rose nearly 8% and China Jinmao increased by 6.5% [2] - The latest report from CICC indicates that the Ministry of Finance announced a new policy on the value-added tax for personal housing sales, and Beijing adjusted its purchase and loan restrictions, which are seen as positive developments for the market [1] Group 2 - Despite the recent policy improvements, the fundamental trends in the real estate market remain weak, necessitating ongoing observation of the interaction between policy and market fundamentals [1] - CICC suggests a cautious approach towards the real estate development sector in the short to medium term, while prioritizing investment in core assets within the commercial real estate sector that offer absolute returns [1] - If policy measures exceed expectations, there may be a more positive outlook for the real estate development sector, particularly for companies with high profit certainty and strong operational trends [1]

这已经是张阿姨一家五口当天看的第二个项目了。 2026年1月3日上午约11时，成都下着小雨，鞋底还粘有门口工地泥土的张阿姨一家，已经在金茂晓棠样板间，拿着户型图一一对比了起来。 "主要看龙泉和成华两个区的新房，但我们只有300万元预算，各方面都满意的可选房源并不多。"张阿姨告诉《每日经济新闻》记者（以下简称每经记 者），价格和距离都是需要考虑的主要问题。 三天看了近10个项目 成都金茂晓棠 每经记者 陈利 摄 在张阿姨看来，一家人首选新房，但如果能在价格上有更合适的次新房也不排斥。"儿子、儿媳都是一般的上班族，家里还有孩子要养，不愿也不敢背负 太多房贷。" 但对于现在正居住的旧房，张阿姨一家并不急着卖掉。"一天一个价，但都低于我们的预期。"据其透露，"2025年初还能卖到150万元，现在最低120万 元。太低了，再等等吧"。 "看房也累，三天时间看了快10个楼盘了，新房、二手房都看过了。"在金茂晓棠136平方米样板间，张阿姨告诉每经记者，目前一家人在成都有一套 房，"10多年前买的，套内使用面积只有70多平方米，但随着儿子结婚又有了小孩，家里显得拥挤，所以就想换个面积大点的四房"。 金茂晓棠正好在张阿姨300 ...

2026年翩然而至。回顾2025年，房企销售哪家强？ 岁末年初，中指研究院、克而瑞深度咨询·普睿数智研究中心、亿翰智库三大机构分别发布销售额排行榜榜单， 2025年，保利发展蝉联销冠，与中海地产、华润置地、招商蛇口、绿城中国位居前五位，而万科跌出前五。 虽然2025年房企整体业绩延续筑底态势，但可喜的是，部分企业业绩呈现出回暖。据克而瑞深度咨询·普睿数智研 究中心统计，2025年累计业绩同比增长的房企占比为24%，其中同比增幅大于30%的企业数量占到12家。 保利发展蝉联销冠，金茂晋位、万科跌出前五 根据中指研究院和亿翰智库发布的百强房企销售榜单（全口径销售额）显示，保利发展、绿城中国的销售额为 2530亿元和2519亿元，分别位居冠军和亚军。中海地产销售额为2512亿元，华润置地销售额为2336亿元，分别位 居第三位和第四位，招商蛇口以1960亿元的销售额位居第五名。 | 排名 | ग्रह के बाद में बाद में बाद में बाद में बाद में बाद में बाद में बाद में बाद में बाद में कि में बाद में कि को में ब ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate industry [4][6] Core Views - The real estate market in 2025 is expected to remain sluggish, with new home transactions down by 15.8% year-on-year, while second-hand home transactions show a slight increase of 3.9% [11][22] - The report emphasizes that the policy environment is expected to become more stringent, similar to the conditions seen in 2008 and 2014, indicating that the current policy adjustments are still in progress [4] - The report suggests that the real estate sector serves as an early economic indicator, making it a valuable asset class for investment [4] - The competitive landscape in the industry is improving, with leading state-owned enterprises and select mixed-ownership and private companies expected to perform better in land acquisition and sales [4] - The report highlights a focus on first-tier and select second-tier cities for investment, as these areas are likely to see better performance during market rebounds [4] Summary by Sections New Home Transactions - In 2025, the cumulative new home transaction volume in 30 sample cities reached 98.217 million square meters, a decrease of 15.8% year-on-year [11] - First-tier cities accounted for 26.191 million square meters, down 12.0%, while second-tier cities saw a decline of 15.6% to 49.040 million square meters [11] - December 2025 saw a significant drop in new home transactions, with a total of 9.679 million square meters, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 40.0% [2][11] Second-Hand Home Transactions - The total area of second-hand home transactions in 2025 was 103.989 million square meters, marking a year-on-year increase of 3.9% [22] - First-tier cities recorded a total of 43.287 million square meters in second-hand home transactions, up 4.4% year-on-year [22] Market Performance - The report notes that the real estate index decreased by 0.7% this week, lagging behind the CSI 300 index by 0.10 percentage points, ranking 19th among 31 sectors [34] - The report identifies a total of 28 stocks that increased in value this week, while 82 stocks experienced declines [34] Credit Bond Issuance - In the week of December 29 to January 4, only one credit bond was issued by real estate companies, totaling 250 million yuan, a decrease of 44.82 million yuan from the previous week [45]

Core Insights - Despite industry challenges, four real estate companies are expected to exceed 200 billion yuan in sales by 2025, with the top 10 maintaining a threshold of 100 billion yuan [1][2] - The companies achieving over 200 billion yuan in sales include Poly Developments (253 billion yuan), Greentown China (251.9 billion yuan), China Overseas Property (251.2 billion yuan), and China Resources Land (233.6 billion yuan) [1][2] Group 1: Sales Performance - In December 2025, nearly 70% of 105 typical real estate companies reported a month-on-month increase in total sales, with almost 50% experiencing a month-on-month growth rate exceeding 20% [3] - Notable performers include Yuexiu Property, China State Construction, and Renheng Real Estate, with some companies achieving month-on-month sales growth exceeding 100% [3] - China Resources Land and China State Construction reported year-on-year sales growth rates exceeding 15% [3] Group 2: Market Trends and Future Outlook - The real estate sector is expected to continue its adjustment phase in 2026, with debt restructuring accelerating and the completion of housing delivery tasks [1][9] - The market is anticipated to seek a new supply-demand balance, with structural recovery possible while overall prices are expected to remain stable [9] - The importance of community amenities and services is expected to increase, with a focus on green, smart, healthy, and safe products gaining premium pricing [9] Group 3: Company Resilience and Strategy - 53 companies have maintained their position in the top 100 for five consecutive years, with firms like Binjiang Group and Longfor Group demonstrating stable operations while maintaining investment levels [8] - Some struggling private companies, such as Country Garden and Sunac, remain in the top rankings due to prior land reserves that support sales and debt restructuring efforts [8] - Regional private companies are focusing on local high-capacity cities through precise strategies and partnerships to mitigate financial pressures [8]

Core Insights - The performance of major real estate companies in Xi'an for 2025 shows a decline in sales compared to previous years, with only four companies exceeding sales of 10 billion yuan [1][3]. Group 1: Company Performance - Poly Development, China Railway Construction, and Greentown China topped the sales rankings in Xi'an with sales of 134.8 billion yuan, 131.2 billion yuan, and 129.5 billion yuan respectively [1]. - China Jinmao achieved its first 10 billion yuan sales milestone in Xi'an, ranking fourth with 110.3 billion yuan [4]. - The total sales of the top 10 real estate companies in Xi'an for 2025 amounted to 818.3 billion yuan, a 30.07% decrease from 1,170.3 billion yuan in 2024 [3]. Group 2: Market Trends - The number of companies achieving over 10 billion yuan in sales decreased compared to 2023 and 2024, indicating a challenging market environment [1][2]. - The threshold for entering the top 10 sales rankings dropped from 45.1 billion yuan in 2024 to 39.3 billion yuan in 2025 [3]. - The dominance of state-owned enterprises in the top 10 is notable, with eight out of ten companies being state-owned or having state-owned enterprises as their largest shareholders [5]. Group 3: Local Company Dynamics - Local companies in Xi'an were absent from the top 10 rankings in 2025, with Tiandi Source being the highest-performing local company at 30.6 billion yuan, ranking 13th [7][8]. - The entry of new players like Bangtai, which achieved 22.3 billion yuan in its first year in Xi'an, indicates a shift in the competitive landscape [8]. Group 4: Single Project Sales - The era of high-tech and port areas dominating single project sales in Xi'an has ended, with a more even distribution of successful projects across different regions [12][14]. - The top three single project sales in 2025 were Jinmao Puyi Dongfang, Poly Tianjun, and Qujiang Jinmao Fu, with sales of 35.5 billion yuan, 31.4 billion yuan, and 30.6 billion yuan respectively [15]. - There were no projects exceeding 4 billion yuan in sales in 2025, a significant drop from four such projects in 2024 [17].

Core Viewpoint - The overall performance of real estate companies in 2025 continues to show a bottoming trend, with some companies experiencing significant recovery in their performance. The proportion of companies with year-on-year performance growth is 24%, with 12 companies achieving growth rates exceeding 30% [1][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - The real estate market in 2025 maintains a bottoming trend, with overall sales remaining at low levels. There are 10 companies with sales exceeding 100 billion yuan, 13 companies with sales between 30-100 billion yuan, 42 companies with sales between 10-30 billion yuan, and 35 companies with sales below 10 billion yuan [2]. - Among the 10 companies with sales over 100 billion yuan, only one company, China Jinmao, reported performance growth. In the 13 companies with sales between 30-100 billion yuan, three companies reported growth: Greenland Holdings, China State Construction East, and Bangtai Group [8]. Group 2: Company Performance - A total of 224 companies reported year-on-year performance growth, with 24 companies showing growth. Notably, Bangtai Group's performance surpassed 30 billion yuan for the first time, with a significant year-on-year increase of 79.7% [4][5]. - The companies with the highest sales and their respective year-on-year growth rates include: - Kerry Properties: 227.87 billion yuan, 1646.5% - Jiangshan Wanli Real Estate: 174.50 billion yuan, 731.3% - Fuzhou Jianfa: 88.90 billion yuan, 92.9% - Shanghai Construction: 92.75 billion yuan, 80.6% - Bangtai Group: 303.54 billion yuan, 79.7% [5]. Group 3: State-Owned vs. Private Enterprises - Central state-owned enterprises performed relatively well, with 42.9% of them reporting performance growth. In contrast, only 15.2% of private enterprises and 12.5% of mixed-ownership enterprises reported growth [9][13]. - The proportion of performance growth among various types of real estate companies shows a clear differentiation, with state-owned enterprises leading in growth rates compared to private and mixed-ownership enterprises [13].