Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate industry [4] Core Insights - The report highlights the significance of Shanghai's new policy to acquire second-hand housing for affordable rental housing, indicating a strong signal in a declining market. The policy aims to link demand for affordable housing with improvement needs, potentially activating the market by directing purchasing power to higher-priced new and second-hand homes [11][12] - The report emphasizes that the real estate sector serves as an early economic indicator, suggesting that investing in real estate is akin to investing in economic trends. The competitive landscape is expected to improve, benefiting leading state-owned enterprises and quality developers [4] - The report suggests focusing on first-tier cities and select second- and third-tier cities, as this combination has shown better performance during market rebounds [4] Summary by Sections 1. Shanghai's Housing Acquisition Policy - Shanghai has initiated a program to acquire second-hand housing for affordable rental purposes, with pilot areas including Pudong, Jing'an, and Xuhui, each having distinct acquisition criteria and models [11] - The policy aims to match housing types with talent needs, focusing on low-priced, small-sized properties to stimulate market activity [12] 2. Market Review - The report notes that the real estate index has shown minimal change, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.34 percentage points. A total of 73 stocks in the real estate sector increased in value, while 40 stocks decreased [15] - The top-performing stocks included Jinglan Technology and Qianjing Garden, with significant weekly gains [21] 3. New and Second-Hand Housing Transactions - In the week leading up to February 6, new housing transactions in 30 cities totaled 131.2 million square meters, a 5.2% decrease from the previous week but a 138.2% increase year-on-year. First-tier cities saw a 4.0% increase week-on-week [26] - Second-hand housing transactions in 15 sample cities totaled 204.5 million square meters, reflecting a 3.5% decrease week-on-week but a 717.5% increase year-on-year [35]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate and property management sectors, highlighting the recovery potential of quality real estate companies and commercial real estate [2][31]. Core Insights - The report indicates that the real estate sector is approaching a bottom in its fundamentals after a deep adjustment, with recent central government policies aimed at stabilizing the market. The report emphasizes the importance of quality real estate companies, predicting that their profit recovery will occur sooner and be more resilient [2][31]. - The report recommends several quality real estate companies and commercial real estate firms, including Jianfa International, Binjiang Group, Greentown China, China Jinmao, and Poly Development, as well as commercial real estate firms like New City Holdings and China Resources Land [2][31]. Industry Data Summary New Home Transactions - In the week of January 31 to February 6, 2026, new home transactions in 34 key cities totaled 1.974 million square meters, a week-on-week decrease of 6.9%. The transaction volume in first and second-tier cities decreased by 3.1%, while third and fourth-tier cities saw a significant drop of 39.4% [3][4]. - Year-on-year, new home transactions in February increased by 327.2%, with first and second-tier cities up by 347.8% and third and fourth-tier cities up by 168.9% [4][10]. Second-Hand Home Transactions - In the same week, second-hand home transactions in 13 key cities totaled 1.198 million square meters, also down by 6.9% week-on-week. However, year-to-date transactions showed a 27.4% increase compared to the previous year [10][31]. Inventory and Supply - The report notes that 15 cities had a total of 290,000 square meters of new supply, with a sales-to-supply ratio of 2.62 times. The total available residential area in these cities was 88.525 million square meters, reflecting a slight decrease of 0.52% [21][31]. Policy and News Tracking - The report highlights significant policy developments, including the acceleration of commercial real estate REITs applications, with over 10 applications submitted to exchanges as of February 6, 2026. Additionally, Shanghai is advancing the acquisition of second-hand homes for rental housing, with pilot areas identified [31][32]. - Various regions, including Tianjin, Sichuan, and Hainan, have adjusted the minimum down payment ratio for commercial property loans to no less than 30% [31][32].

摩根大通发表研报指，现时断言内地楼市已回稳仍言之过早，相信内房板块在4月下旬中央政治局会议 举行前可能会保持韧性，但同时波动性预期仍较高，目前首选华润置地、华润万象生活及中国金茂，相 信其企业基本面能继续支持股价跑赢大市，全部给予"增持"评级，目标价分别为35港元、46.5港元及 1.75港元。该行又指，在政策推动的潜在反弹中，预期龙湖将能提供最佳的风险回报比率，同予"增 持"评级，目标价13港元。 ...

转自：推广 近日，中国金茂首入西安奥体板块的重磅力作正式公布案名——金茂・璞印云湾。作为金茂产品矩阵中的顶序"璞系"作品，此次落子不仅填补了奥体核心区 高端健康科技住宅的空白，更以封藏级土地资源与顶奢产品基因的双重赋能，为西安高端改善市场注入全新活力，开启奥体人居的新时代篇章。 逆势领跑 金茂以硬实力筑牢西安改善市场标杆 在房地产市场深度调整的当下，品牌实力与兑现能力成为购房者的核心考量。数据显示，2025年金茂西安以110.3亿元销售额首破百亿大关，网签备案口径 96.8亿元稳居全市第一，在3万+改善赛道中保持绝对领先地位，用实打实的业绩印证了市场认可度。 | | | | 2025年1-12月西安房企商品住宅备案口径 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 排名 | 企业名称 | 销售额 (亿元) | 排名 | 企业名称 | 销售面积 (万 m2) | | 1 | 中国会成 | 96.8 | | 绿城中国 | 57.6 | | 2 | 绿城中国 | 95.9 | 2 | 保利发展 | 49.4 | | રે | 保利发展 | 81.1 | ર | 中铁建房 ...

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 | 截至月份: | 2026年1月31日 | 狀態: 新提交 | | --- | --- | --- | | 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 | | | | 公司名稱: | 中國金茂控股集團有限公司 | | | 呈交日期: | 2026年2月4日 | | | I. 法定/註冊股本變動 不適用 | | | FF301 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.2.0 FF301 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動及足夠公眾持股量的確認 1. 股份分類 普通股 股份類別 不適用 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) 是 證券代號 (如上市) 00817 說明 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 庫存股份數目 已發行股份總數 上月底結存 13,512,466,348 0 13,512,466,348 增加 / 減少 (-) 0 0 本月底結存 13,512,466,348 0 13,512,466,348 足夠公眾持股量的確認(註4) | 根據《主板上市規則》第13.32D(1)條或第19A.28D(1)條 / 《GEM上市規則》第17.37D(1)條或第 ...

来源：滚动播报 截至发稿， 融创中国(01918.HK)涨8.77%、龙光集团(03380.HK)涨6.67%、中国金茂(00817.HK)涨 5.92%、万科企业(02202.HK)涨5.28%。 ...

| 代码 | 名称 | | 涨跌幅 ▽ | 最新价 | 总市值 | 年初至今涨跌 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 01918 | 融创中国 | 0) | 6.14% | 1.210 | 195.93 Z | -7.63% | | 03380 | 龙光集团 | | 5.93% | 1.430 | 81.3亿 | -20.11% | | 01109 | 华润置地 | | 5.21% | 31.880 | 2273.34 Z | 17.21% | | 00123 | 越秀地产 | | 4.68% | 4.700 | 189.19亿 | 18.69% | | 01030 | 新城发展 | | 3.92% | 2.650 | 187.24亿 | 29.27% | | 00688 | 中国海外发展 | | 3.79% | 14.520 | 1589.2 Z | 18.53% | | 02202 | 万科企业 | | 3.37% | 3.680 | 439.05 Z | 12.20% | | 03900 | 绿城中国 | | 3.27% | 11.370 | ...

Core Insights - The report discusses the implementation of the "Tax Law Principle" and its implications for service industries such as internet and finance, indicating that current tax arrangements are unlikely to change significantly in the short term [2][3][12] - The real estate sector is experiencing a favorable shift in financing policies, with REITs and private placements opening new equity financing channels to alleviate financial pressures on real estate companies [3][13] Tax Law Implementation - The State Council approved the "Implementation Regulations of the Value-Added Tax Law of the People's Republic of China" on December 19, 2025, and subsequent announcements have clarified tax details, suggesting stability in tax arrangements for service industries [2][3][12] - The definition of "basic services" in telecommunications is evolving, with mobile data and internet broadband still classified as "value-added services" subject to a 6% VAT rate, while traditional voice services are recognized as "basic services" with a 9% VAT rate [2][3][12] Real Estate Sector Analysis - The financing environment for the real estate industry is improving, with a shift from debt financing to equity financing, including the introduction of REITs and private placements [3][13] - Recent regulatory changes, such as the gradual retreat from the "three red lines" policy, indicate a more supportive financing environment for real estate companies [13] - The report maintains a "positive" rating for the real estate sector, highlighting the potential for recovery in the industry as financing policies become more favorable [3][13] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several quality real estate companies for investment, including China Jinmao, Poly Developments, and China Resources Land, among others, due to their potential for recovery and attractive valuations [13] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the evolving financing landscape and the impact of government policies on the real estate market [3][13]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the real estate sector, indicating a potential investment return that exceeds the market benchmark index by 5% to 15% over the next 6-12 months [7]. Core Insights - As of early 2026, multiple regions have initiated old housing acquisitions, significantly accelerating the "old-for-new" program, supported by a reduction in the central bank's one-year relending rate from 1.5% to 1.25% [1][3]. - Local governments are actively engaging in funding through various means, including fiscal support and bank loans, to facilitate the acquisition and renovation of old housing, thereby enhancing the supply of affordable rental housing [3]. - The report highlights that the government's direct acquisition of second-hand old houses is an effective measure to streamline the housing exchange process, reduce the exchange cycle, and simplify procedures, ultimately promoting the sales of new homes [3]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Old Housing Acquisition - The "old-for-new" service has been launched in various cities, with Shanghai and Hangzhou being notable examples where initial registrations have been completed and dynamic waiting lists established for families wishing to participate [1][2]. - Specific focus areas include older properties in urban centers, with clear ownership and reasonable pricing, aimed at facilitating housing exchanges for those in need [2]. Section 2: Market Dynamics - By the end of 2025, public funds held a mere 0.43% of their stock investment value in the real estate sector, indicating a significant underweight compared to standard industry allocation [4]. - The report suggests that high-energy cities are likely to benefit from urban renewal initiatives, leading to structural optimization and gradual stabilization of the market [5]. Section 3: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on three main investment lines: 1. Real estate companies with strong credit advantages and high product reputation in core cities, such as China Merchants Shekou and China Jinmao [5]. 2. Public REITs with rich existing resources and strong operational brand competitiveness, such as China Resources Land and Shanghai Lingang [5]. 3. Long-term growth potential in property services, recommending companies like China Merchants Jiyu and Greentown Service [5].

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，港股内房股再度走高。截至发稿，绿城中国(03900.HK)涨6.45%，报11.22港元；融创中国 (01918.HK)涨6.19%，报1.2港元；中国金茂(00817.HK)涨6.71%，报1.75港元；新城发展(01030.HK)涨 4.44%，报2.59港元。 ...