Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the public utility sector [8]. Core Insights - The introduction of the "Green Electricity Direct Connection" model is expected to enhance demand certainty and consumption levels compared to traditional projects, particularly benefiting distributed commercial solar, offshore wind, and integrated projects in certain western regions [2][12]. - The green electricity pricing mechanism has transitioned to a competitive bidding phase, marking a shift from a supply-driven growth phase to a mature market regulated by demand [12]. - The report emphasizes that the "carbon neutrality" initiative and electricity market reforms will reshape the intrinsic value of power operators throughout the 14th Five-Year Plan period [12]. Summary by Sections Green Electricity Direct Connection - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have established a framework for the "Green Electricity Direct Connection" model, allowing renewable energy sources to supply electricity directly to single users [12]. - Projects must have at least 60% of their generated electricity consumed on-site and a minimum of 30% of total electricity consumption from self-generated sources, with a gradual increase in self-consumption expected by 2030 [12]. - The model is anticipated to reduce price risks through long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs), enhancing project profitability [12]. Pricing Mechanism Transition - Starting June 1, new green electricity projects will no longer follow a benchmark pricing mechanism but will adopt a market-driven pricing model, with a competitive bidding process determining the final price [12]. - The report suggests that this transition may lead to a slowdown in new installations, which is viewed positively as it could alleviate pricing pressures and improve long-term growth prospects [12]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on quality power operators such as Huadian International, China Resources Power, and Huaneng International, as well as hydropower companies like Yangtze Power and Guotou Power [12][16][17]. - For the renewable energy sector, it highlights companies like Longyuan Power and China Nuclear Power as key investment opportunities due to their strong market positions and growth potential [12][18].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company is planning to spin off its renewable energy segment for a listing on the A-share market, which is expected to enhance its valuation significantly [5][10] - The company has demonstrated strong operational capabilities and management mechanisms, which are crucial for navigating through market cycles [10][27] - The company has a solid track record, having never reported a loss since its listing, and has maintained a stable return on equity (ROE) [7][16] Financial Performance and Valuation - The projected revenue for the company is expected to grow from 103,334 million HKD in 2023 to 131,238 million HKD by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 6.48% [6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to increase from 11,003 million HKD in 2023 to 16,635 million HKD in 2027, reflecting a significant growth trajectory [6] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to be 6.8, 6.6, and 6.3 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation compared to peers [8] Renewable Energy Segment - By the end of 2024, the company's renewable energy capacity is expected to account for nearly 50% of its total installed capacity, with significant investments planned for further expansion [7][27] - The company has a competitive edge in unit profitability for its renewable energy segment, outperforming major competitors in terms of net profit [35] - The planned IPO of the renewable energy segment is anticipated to raise 24.5 billion RMB for new projects, which could lead to a valuation exceeding 150 billion HKD post-listing [38][43] Market Position and Strategy - The company has a unique market position due to its historical roots and strategic focus on both traditional and renewable energy sectors [14][19] - The operational strategy emphasizes a balanced approach to energy generation, with a significant focus on renewable energy development in regions with higher electricity prices [27][32] - The company’s management has effectively navigated market challenges, maintaining a strong performance even during periods of industry downturns [20][24]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market has been on an upward trend since April 9, but showed signs of fatigue by the end of the month, with the Hang Seng Index dropping by 1.35% [1] - The U.S. is pushing for trade agreements with the EU and Japan, with Trump suggesting a 50% tariff on EU goods starting June 1, later postponed to July 9 to allow for further negotiations [1][2] - Japan's shipbuilding industry is facing a downturn, with new ship orders expected to decline significantly in 2024, making negotiations with the U.S. challenging [2] Industry Insights - The Chinese shipbuilding industry remains dominant, with China Shipbuilding Industry Group showing strong order volumes and profitability, leading to a stock price increase of over 6% [2] - Trump's tariffs on non-U.S. manufactured electronics, including a 25% tariff on Apple and Samsung, are expected to negatively impact the consumer electronics sector [2] - The automotive sector is experiencing intense price competition, particularly with BYD's aggressive discounting strategy, raising concerns about profit margins across the industry [3] Energy Sector Developments - The U.S. plans to initiate the construction of 10 large nuclear power plants by 2030, aiming to quadruple nuclear capacity by 2050, which has positively impacted related stocks in Hong Kong [4] - Domestic coal prices have decreased, benefiting thermal power companies, with major players like Datang Power and Huadian International seeing stock price increases of nearly 3% [4] Aviation Industry Performance - Major airlines in China reported increased passenger turnover and capacity in April, with the Civil Aviation Administration noting significant year-on-year growth in transport metrics [6] - The decline in international oil prices is improving the cost structure for airlines, enhancing profit margins [6][7] Company-Specific Highlights - China Resources Power reported a 7.9% increase in electricity sales in April 2025, with significant growth in renewable energy sales, although its renewable energy core profit saw a slight decline [9] - The company aims to add 10 GW of wind and solar capacity by 2025, with ongoing projects expected to contribute to future growth [10]

丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨行业周报丨公用事业 [Table_Title] 国际认可加速绿证消费扩容，价改推进重视绿电 长期价值 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 国际绿色电力消费倡议组织（RE100）宣布无条件认可中国绿证，明确企业使用中国绿证不需 要再提供额外证明。标志着我国绿证体系的制度完善与国际互认取得里程碑式突破，助推我国 绿证需求侧加速扩容。长期低位运行的市场需求和绿证价格将得到显著催化，为新能源项目实 现合理收益提供重要支撑。在新能源价格改革持续持续推进的背景下，我们认为各省配套细则 也将承接 136 号文保护存量项目、稳定增量项目收益预期的原则，有助于长远角度新能源发电 的合理健康发展，同时随着绿电消费的加速扩容，绿电公司有望迎来价值重估。 分析师及联系人 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Author] SFC：BQT627 SAC：S0490517080003 SAC：S0490520120001 SAC：S0490520110001 SAC：S0490523080003 张韦华 司旗 宋尚骞 刘亚辉 [T ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that China Resources Power (00836) has signed a cooperation agreement with China Resources Sanjiu (000999) for renewable energy projects, effective from May 14, 2025, to December 31, 2027 [1][2] - The 2025 cooperation agreement aims to enhance the profitability of the company's renewable energy business and aligns with the government's "carbon peak and carbon neutrality" policies [2] - The collaboration with China Resources Sanjiu is expected to facilitate the smooth execution of projects and improve land quality to meet national requirements for composite photovoltaic projects [2] Group 2 - The agreement allows the company to continue procurement under the main terms and pricing policies without extensive negotiation time and costs, following the expiration of the 2024 cooperation agreement on December 31, 2024 [2] - The partnership leverages the strengths of both companies, benefiting their respective business areas [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the utility sector is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Viewpoints - The new regulations for public funds are expected to lead to an increased allocation towards the utility sector, which is anticipated to benefit from a shift in investment strategies focusing on the "risk-return ratio" [6][4] - The utility sector, particularly hydropower, is projected to be one of the biggest beneficiaries of the new policies, as they are characterized by low covariance with the market, leading to potential valuation increases [6][4] - Historical data shows that major hydropower companies have consistently ranked in the top percentiles for risk-return ratios, indicating strong performance relative to market volatility [6][7] Summary by Sections Sector Performance - The report highlights the underallocation of public funds in the utility and environmental sectors compared to their index weights, suggesting a significant opportunity for investment [6][7] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends prioritizing investments in resilient hydropower companies and undervalued thermal power companies that benefit from declining coal prices [6] - Specific stock recommendations include: 1. Hydropower: Guotou Power, Changjiang Power, Chuanwei Energy 2. Wind Power: Longyuan Power (H), Xintian Green Energy, Datang Renewable, CGN New Energy 3. Thermal Power: Waneng Power, Shanghai Electric, China Resources Power, Huadian International, Sheneng Co [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the power and natural gas sectors, indicating a favorable investment environment for renewable energy and gas companies [2][10]. Core Insights - The Shandong provincial government has introduced its first local guidelines for the marketization of renewable energy pricing, which is expected to stabilize returns for existing projects and provide a model for other provinces [5][7]. - Global natural gas prices have seen a slight rebound due to tightening supply and increased demand for LNG exports, with specific price movements noted in various regions [10][19]. - The report highlights the potential for LNG import prices to decrease further in the second half of 2025, benefiting downstream gas companies [11][29]. Summary by Sections 1. Power Sector: Shandong's New Energy Market Guidelines - Shandong's new energy pricing reform outlines that existing projects will participate in market pricing at a rate of 0.3949 yuan per kWh, aligning with the provincial coal benchmark price [5][6]. - The guidelines emphasize strong connectivity with existing policies, ensuring stability for existing projects while introducing competitive elements for new projects [6][7]. - The implementation of these guidelines is expected to serve as a model for other provinces, enhancing the operational efficiency and market strategies of renewable energy companies [7][8]. 2. Natural Gas: Global Demand and Price Rebound - As of May 9, 2025, the Henry Hub spot price in the U.S. was $3.22/mmBtu, reflecting a weekly increase of 3.84%, while European prices also saw a rise due to supply constraints and seasonal demand [10][19]. - The report notes that the overall LNG import cost in China has remained below 4000 yuan per ton, with a significant decrease of 18.4% from the year's peak [11][29]. - The anticipated decline in international oil prices is expected to further lower LNG import prices in China, benefiting city gas companies [11][29]. 3. Weekly Market Review - The public utilities, environmental protection, power equipment, and gas sectors outperformed the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index during the review period [35]. 4. Company and Industry Dynamics - Recent developments include the issuance of competitive configuration announcements for renewable energy projects in various provinces, indicating ongoing investment and growth in the sector [44][46]. - The report also highlights significant corporate announcements, including financing and profit distribution plans from key players in the energy sector, reflecting a proactive approach to capital management and shareholder returns [48][49].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the public utility sector is "Positive" and is maintained [8]. Core Insights - The new public offering regulations are expected to drive capital inflows into the long-underweighted public utility sector, which has a current allocation of only 0.94% in actively managed public funds, significantly lower than the weights in the CSI 300 and CSI A500 indices [2][10]. - The sector's earnings have shown signs of recovery, with expectations for continued performance improvement in the second quarter and throughout the year [2][10]. Summary by Sections Public Offering Regulations - The implementation of new public offering regulations is likely to provide marginal support for the public utility sector, which has been significantly underweighted in fund allocations. The sector's weight in the CSI 300 index is 3.53%, while the allocation in actively managed funds is only 0.94%, indicating a shortfall of 2.59 percentage points compared to the index [2][10]. Earnings Recovery - The public utility sector's earnings recovery has been validated by first-quarter performance, with expectations for continued improvement. Specific insights include: - Coal prices have decreased, alleviating pressure on thermal power generation, which is expected to enhance earnings in the second quarter [10]. - Hydropower assets are becoming increasingly attractive due to declining interest rates, with companies like Yangtze Power showing a high dividend yield compared to government bond yields [10]. - Nuclear power is anticipated to recover as new units come online, mitigating previous earnings pressures [10]. - Green energy companies are expected to benefit from policy support and asset value reassessment [10]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on quality thermal power operators such as Huadian International, China Resources Power, and Huaneng International, as well as hydropower leaders like Yangtze Power and Guotou Power. In the renewable energy sector, companies like Longyuan Power and China Nuclear Power are highlighted as potential investment opportunities [10][13][15].

Group 1 - The total installed power generation capacity in the country reached 3.43 billion kilowatts, with a year-on-year increase of 14.6% [1] - By March 2025, the total electricity consumption was 828.2 billion kilowatt-hours, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4.8% [1] - The Central Committee and the State Council issued opinions on improving the pricing governance mechanism, emphasizing the establishment of pricing policies to promote green and low-carbon transitions [1] Group 2 - According to a report by Galaxy Securities, the energy consumption target assessment for the end of the 14th Five-Year Plan is expected to catalyze the demand for green electricity, with clearer future revenue expectations following the establishment of a sustainable pricing settlement mechanism for renewable energy [1] - The recent sharp decline in coal prices is expected to reverse the market's pessimistic outlook on thermal power for 2025, suggesting a focus on companies with significant market coal exposure and smaller reductions in annual long-term contract electricity prices [1] - In a declining interest rate cycle, hydropower and nuclear power, which have strong dividend attributes, possess long-term investment value, with nuclear power also having high growth potential [1] Group 3 - A report from Guotai Junan indicates that the electricity price for thermal power is better in the northern regions, where the proportion of renewable energy is high, and the scarcity of thermal power is evident [2] - The annual long-term contract electricity price in the southern regions has decreased this year, putting pressure on thermal power plants, which are shifting focus from quantity to price and efficiency [2] - There is a strong possibility of witnessing two historical firsts: an increase in spot electricity prices in 2025 and an increase in annual long-term contracts in 2026 [2] Group 4 - Related Hong Kong-listed companies in the power and electricity grid sector include Huadian International (600027), Huaneng International (600011), China Power International Development (02380), China Resources Power (00836), Datang Power (601991), and CGN Power (01816) [3]

Financial Performance - For the fiscal year 2024, CR Power reported a turnover of HK$105,284 million, representing a slight increase of 1.9% from HK$103,334 million in 2023[11]. - The profit attributable to owners of the Company for 2024 was HK$14,388 million, a significant increase of 30.5% compared to HK$11,003 million in 2023[11]. - Basic earnings per share rose to HK$2.97 in 2024, up from HK$2.29 in 2023, marking an increase of 29.5%[11]. - The total assets of CR Power increased to HK$362,464 million in 2024, up from HK$322,396 million in 2023, indicating a growth of 12.4%[11]. - The company's attributable equity increased to HK$99,151 million in 2024, up from HK$84,974 million in 2023, representing a growth of approximately 16.3%[20]. - The core profit contribution from the renewable energy business was HK$9,228 million, showing a year-on-year decrease of 5.1%[63]. - Revenue from strategic emerging businesses increased by 12.6% year-on-year, enhancing overall operational performance[69]. - The asset-liability ratio decreased by 0.7 percentage points year-on-year, enhancing risk management capabilities[69]. Installed Capacity and Renewable Energy - The total attributable grid-connected installed capacity reached 72,433 MW in 2024, an increase of 21.2% from 59,764 MW in 2023[11]. - Renewable energy capacity accounted for 34,188 MW, which is approximately 47.2% of the total installed capacity, up from 22,597 MW in 2023[11]. - The attributable installed capacity reached 72,433 MW in 2024, compared to 59,764 MW in 2023, indicating an increase of about 21.2%[24]. - Renewable energy attributable installed capacity was 34,188 MW in 2024, a significant rise from 15,441 MW in 2023, reflecting a growth of approximately 121.5%[26]. - The company secured construction quotas for 13,584 MW of renewable energy projects, enhancing resource reserves for sustainable development[68]. - A total of 7,788 MW of renewable energy projects were connected to the grid during the year, supporting national energy supply guarantees[68]. - Key projects included the 6,100 MW "Xinjiang-to-Chongqing Power Transmission" base project and a 900 MW offshore wind power project, which progressed steadily[68]. Dividend and Shareholder Returns - The Company plans to recommend a final dividend of HK$0.691 per share for 2024, totaling HK$3,577 million, with a payout ratio of 40%[12]. Strategic Focus and Future Guidance - The company is focusing on integrated energy services, including distributed photovoltaic solutions, to diversify its energy offerings[33]. - The operational strategy includes increasing the share of renewable energy in the overall energy mix, aligning with global sustainability trends[26]. - Future guidance indicates a continued emphasis on capacity expansion and technological advancements in renewable energy sectors[27]. - The company aims to strengthen its core competitiveness and advance towards becoming a world-class clean energy supplier[60]. - CR Power plans to increase investment in strategic emerging industries to continuously advance the construction of a new energy system[85]. - The company will implement China's new energy security strategy with higher standards, driving the development of new productive forces through technological innovation[85]. - In 2025, CR Power aims to achieve breakthroughs in both scale and profitability, ensuring the successful completion of strategic objectives during the final year of the "14th Five-Year Plan"[84]. Governance and Leadership - Mr. Zhou Bo appointed as Non-executive Director and member of the Audit and Risk Committee in October 2023[105]. - Mr. Zhang Yingzhong appointed as Non-executive Director and member of the Nomination Committee in October 2023[110]. - Mr. Li Chuanji appointed as Non-executive Director and member of the Audit and Risk Committee in October 2024[114]. - Mr. Zeng Jun appointed as Non-executive Director and member of the Audit and Risk Committee in February 2025[119]. - Ms. Elsie Leung Oi-sie has been an Independent Non-executive Director since April 2010 and is the chairperson of the Remuneration Committee[124]. - The company has appointed independent non-executive directors with diverse backgrounds in finance, law, and public administration, enhancing its governance structure[146]. - The leadership team includes members with significant public service experience, which may positively influence the company's reputation and stakeholder relations[150]. Sustainability and Environmental Commitment - The Group is committed to environmental sustainability, focusing on resource conservation and the development of clean and renewable energy projects[199]. - The Group's development in promoting ESG initiatives is discussed in the Chairman's Statement on pages 20 to 26[200]. - The company emphasizes the importance of optimizing energy structures and reinforcing high-quality energy development to support steady economic growth[84]. - CR Power is committed to high-quality and high-level development, empowering green progress and fostering a low-carbon future[86]. Operational Strategy and Market Expansion - The company plans to expand its service areas across multiple provinces, including Guangdong, Fujian, and Hainan, enhancing its market presence[29]. - The company is focusing on expanding its wind and solar energy projects across various provinces, enhancing its renewable energy portfolio[36]. - The company maintains a diverse portfolio of renewable energy projects across several provinces, enhancing its market presence[50][52].