Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Views - The company's core profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2025 is HKD 7.872 billion, a decrease of 15.9% compared to HKD 9.363 billion in the same period of 2024, primarily due to high base effects and weak coal production performance [2][6]. - The thermal power segment's core profit attributable to shareholders is HKD 2.641 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 2.7%, impacted by last year's high base from the acquisition of the Guangxi Hezhou thermal power project [2][6]. - The renewable energy segment achieved a core profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 5.637 billion, a year-on-year increase of 1.5%, despite facing impairment losses [2][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company's thermal power sales volume for the first half of 2025 is 71.1 billion kWh, a decrease of 1.4% year-on-year, with an average coal-fired electricity price of HKD 0.391 per kWh, down 6.1% [9]. - The average standard coal price is HKD 823.8 per ton, a decrease of 11.8% year-on-year, leading to a reduction in overall fuel costs to HKD 21.717 billion, down 12.2% [9]. - The renewable energy segment's installed capacity increased significantly, with wind power and solar power capacities growing by 33.6% and 159.2% respectively [9]. Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to maintain a stable dividend of HKD 0.356 for the first half of 2025, with projected earnings for 2025-2027 being HKD 12.763 billion, HKD 13.108 billion, and HKD 13.805 billion respectively [9]. - Corresponding EPS for these years are projected to be HKD 2.47, HKD 2.53, and HKD 2.67, with PE ratios of 7.51, 7.31, and 6.94 respectively [9].

Investment Rating - The report provides a positive investment outlook for the electricity and natural gas sectors, recommending specific companies for investment based on their performance and market conditions [4][16]. Core Insights - In July, the national electricity consumption exceeded 1 trillion kWh for the first time, reaching 10,226 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 8.6% [4][7]. - The increase in electricity consumption was primarily driven by urban and rural residents, contributing 38% to the total growth, with significant contributions from the secondary and tertiary industries as well [8][9]. - The report highlights the impact of high temperatures on electricity demand, noting that July was the hottest month since 1961, which significantly boosted residential electricity usage [8][9]. - Natural gas prices in Europe have rebounded due to geopolitical tensions, while prices in Asia and the US have decreased, indicating a mixed market environment [16][20]. - The report emphasizes the potential for improved profitability in the biomass energy sector following the introduction of new methodologies for carbon emissions reduction [4][16]. Summary by Sections Electricity - July's total electricity consumption reached 10,226 billion kWh, marking a historic milestone with an 8.6% year-on-year growth [4][7]. - The first, second, and third industries, along with urban and rural residents, contributed to the overall electricity consumption growth, with the second industry showing a recovery in electricity usage [8][9]. - Recommendations include investing in hydropower, green energy, nuclear power, and thermal power companies such as Guodian Power and Huaneng International [14][15]. Natural Gas - The report notes a stable supply-demand balance in the natural gas market, with US prices dropping to $2.76/mmBtu, while European prices have seen fluctuations due to geopolitical risks [16][20]. - Recommendations for investment include companies in the city gas sector and integrated natural gas traders, highlighting firms like Kunlun Energy and New Hope Energy [41][42]. Environmental Sector - The introduction of new methodologies for biomass energy projects is expected to enhance profitability, with a focus on companies like Evergreen Group and China Everbright [4][16]. Market Performance - The report reviews market performance from August 18 to August 22, indicating that the gas, public utility, electricity, and environmental sectors underperformed compared to the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index [43][44].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and profit for 1H25, with a focus on the performance of its thermal and renewable energy segments, while maintaining its growth targets for renewable energy installations [1][2] Financial Performance - Revenue for 1H25 decreased by 1.7% year-on-year to HKD 50.267 billion, while profit attributable to shareholders fell by 15.9% to HKD 7.872 billion, below the expected HKD 9.322 billion [1] - The core profit from the thermal power business decreased by 2.7% to HKD 2.641 billion, which was lower than expectations [1] - The renewable energy segment saw a core profit increase of 1.5% to HKD 5.637 billion [1] Dividend and Payout - The company declared a dividend of HKD 0.356 per share for 1H25, maintaining a payout ratio of 23.4%, which is consistent with the previous year [1] Renewable Energy Growth - The company added 4.8 GW of new renewable energy capacity in 1H25, aiming for a total of 10 GW of new installations by 2025 [1][2] - As of June 2025, renewable energy capacity is expected to account for 49.9% of the total installed capacity [2] Pricing and Cost Dynamics - The on-grid electricity prices for wind and solar energy decreased by 11.0% and 6.1% respectively, to HKD 0.3968 and HKD 0.3049 per kWh [2] - The unit fuel cost for coal-fired power generation decreased by 3.52 cents per kWh to HKD 0.2413 per kWh [1] Market Outlook and Valuation - The target price for the company's shares is set at HKD 25.49, with a "buy" rating maintained [2] - Adjustments were made to profit forecasts for 2025-2027, with a decrease of 13.7% to 15.7% in expected profits [2]

Macro Insights - The economic growth rate in August is expected to be supported by exports and consumption policies, despite a significant slowdown in the real estate sector, with a target of 5% annual growth remaining achievable [1][15][12] - The industrial added value in July grew by 5.7% year-on-year, with the manufacturing sector showing resilience, particularly in high-tech products and equipment manufacturing [12][13] - Fixed asset investment growth slowed to 1.6% year-on-year in the first seven months, primarily due to a decline in real estate investment, which fell by 12% [13][14] Strategy Insights - Current channels for resident capital entering the market include increasing financing balances and active personal investor accounts, leading to a positive feedback loop in the market [2] - The "anti-involution" market trend can be analyzed through policy expectations and real-world transmission, indicating a shift from theme-driven to profit-driven market dynamics [2] - The technology and small-cap sectors are expected to continue outperforming as more external funds enter the market [2] Industry Reports - The consumer electronics sector is anticipated to see significant opportunities with the upcoming release of new products, particularly in AI-related applications [8] - The coal mining industry is experiencing a continuous improvement in fundamentals, with the price of thermal coal expected to rise [8] - The healthcare sector, particularly innovative drugs, is projected to maintain a positive outlook due to improved profitability [8]

转自：推广 文丨赵鑫原 吴晓琦 张阳阳 为深入学习贯彻习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想，推动党建工作与业务发展深度融合，8月22 日，"晋心向党 先锋筑梦"山西省党建品牌交流活动在山西省太原市举行。 中粮可口可乐饮料（山西）有限公司、华润电力忻州公司、山西省人民医院、山西教育音像出版社、山 西省甘肃商会、山西省环境评价与咨询协会、鹏飞集团、晋南钢铁集团、太原市原平商会、太原市苍南 商会、清徐县退役军人俱乐部等10余家单位代表齐聚一堂，通过品牌推介、经验分享、专题研讨等形 式，共话党建创新路径，共促党建水平提升。 党建品牌齐聚 展现多元实践风采 "晋心向党 先锋筑梦"山西省党建品牌交流活动x现场。（图片来源：杨晓飞/摄） 华 润电力北方大区党委委员、副总经理李伯华正在分享党建经验。（图片来源：界面山西） 活动现场，各单位立足行业特色，分享了党建品牌建设的鲜活实践。中粮可口可乐饮料（山西）有限公 司以"红立方驿站"为抓手，通过与上下游企业党建共建实现合作共赢，其"党建引领产业链协同"模式获 评"山西综改示范区先进基层党组织"；华润电力忻州公司打造"润欣"党建品牌，以"1+3+N"党建管理矩 阵推动能源保供、乡村振 ...

大和发布研报称，华润电力(00836)中期业绩逊于预期，纯利同比跌16%，中期息下降22%至0.356元， 派息率为23%。公司股价已在公布业绩后下挫。该行提到，华润电力今年的股息率已降至4.8%，很大程 度上落后于同业华能国际（600011）电力股份(00902)，后者今年股息率超过6%。同业中，该行继续偏 好华能国电，予其"跑赢大市"评级，但维持华润电力的"持有"评级，目标价由19.5港元下调至17.5港 元，降2025至27年盈测8%至9%。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，大和发布研报称，华润电力(00836)中期业绩逊于预期，纯利同比跌16%，中期息下 降22%至0.356元，派息率为23%。公司股价已在公布业绩后下挫。该行提到，华润电力今年的股息率已 降至4.8%，很大程度上落后于同业华能国际电力股份(00902)，后者今年股息率超过6%。同业中，该行 继续偏好华能国电，予其"跑赢大市"评级，但维持华润电力的"持有"评级，目标价由19.5港元下调至 17.5港元，降2025至27年盈测8%至9%。 ...

华润电力中期盈利同比下跌15.9%，核心盈利同比持平，逊于市场预期的增长5%。该行认为期内润电火 电业务表现较佳，主要源于煤炭成本及煤耗较低，点火价差同比升6.5%，而同期风电及光伏上网电价 分别同比下降11%及6%，部分抵销售电量增长所带来的利润贡献，加上税负影响，可再生能源核心盈 利仅同比增1.5%，逊预期。 交银国际发布研报称，维持华润电力(00836)的"买入"评级，认为公司2025及2026年预测股息回报率约 达到5.6%及6.3%，仍属吸引水平，但将今明两年核心盈利预测下调1.5%及0.7%，以反映上网电价降幅 较预期高，目标价降至21.82港元。 ...

智通财经8月22日讯(编辑 童古 汤赞淇)以下为各家机构对港股的最新评级和目标价： 美银证券：升名创优品评级至中性 目标价上调至46.9港元 摩根士丹利就快手-W(01024.HK)发布研报称，将公司今年资本支出指引由100亿元上调至120亿元人民 币，显示可灵和其他AI应用的需求强劲。该行表示，将快手2025年至27年各年每股盈测上调3%至6%之 间，其目标价上调至76港元，维持其评级为与大市同步。 国证国际：维持小米集团买入评级 目标价62.3港元 民生证券就小鹏汽车(09868.HK)发布研报称，该行看好公司在车型周期、组织革新和智能化Beta驱动下 迎来业绩和估值的双重提升。预计公司2025-2027年收入分别为888.3/1406.4/1925.1亿元，归母净利润分 别为-5.3/71.2/125.9亿元，维持推荐评级。 交银国际：维持中国生物制药买入评级 交银国际就中国生物制药(01177.HK)发布研报称，公司在创新药和生物类似药的放量驱动下，上半年收 入录得双位数增长；受益于投资收益，公司整体利润实现高增长，但在研发投入加大的影响下，核心制 药业务的分部利润在短期内略有承压。交银国际上调中生制 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of HKD 25.49 [2][9]. Core Views - The company's 1H25 performance showed a revenue decline of 1.7% year-on-year to HKD 50.267 billion, and a net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 15.9% to HKD 7.872 billion, which was below expectations [6]. - The renewable energy segment's core profit increased by 1.5% year-on-year to HKD 5.637 billion, indicating growth potential despite challenges in the thermal power sector [6][8]. - The company aims to add 10GW of new renewable energy capacity in 2025, with 4.8GW already connected to the grid in 1H25 [6][9]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for the upcoming years are as follows: - 2024: HKD 105.284 billion - 2025E: HKD 102.846 billion - 2026E: HKD 110.355 billion - 2027E: HKD 112.074 billion [5]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted as: - 2024: HKD 14.388 billion - 2025E: HKD 12.507 billion - 2026E: HKD 13.430 billion - 2027E: HKD 13.818 billion [5]. - The company’s EPS (Earnings Per Share) for 2025E is projected at HKD 2.42, with a PE ratio of 7.66 [5]. Operational Insights - The core profit from the thermal power business decreased by 2.7% to HKD 2.641 billion in 1H25, while the pure thermal power business (excluding coal) saw a core profit increase of 20.6% to HKD 2.788 billion [7]. - The average utilization hours for wind power increased by 3.7% to 1268 hours, outperforming the national average [8]. - The company’s coal power generation price (excluding tax) decreased by 2.55 cents per kWh to HKD 0.3912 per kWh, while the unit fuel cost dropped by 3.52 cents per kWh to HKD 0.2413 per kWh [7]. Valuation Metrics - The target market capitalization is set at HKD 131.97 billion, reflecting a 25% discount to account for the potential impact of the renewable energy spin-off [9]. - The company’s PB (Price to Book) ratio for 2025E is estimated at 0.82, while the PE ratio is projected at 17.4x [9].