星展发布研报称，华润电力(00836)上半年发电量增长3.6%，低于预期;该行下调全年发电量增长预测8.4 个百分点，现料2025及26年发电量同比增长4%至9%。受惠于燃料成本节省，预期2025上半年盈利增长 6%。基于收益率及估值具吸引，该行维持润电"买入"评级;目标价由24港元降至22.6港元，并下调2025 及26年盈利预测4%，料盈利增长分别为7%及13%。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，星展发布研报称，华润电力(00836)上半年发电量增长3.6%，低于预期;该行下调全 年发电量增长预测8.4个百分点，现料2025及26年发电量同比增长4%至9%。受惠于燃料成本节省，预期 2025上半年盈利增长6%。基于收益率及估值具吸引，该行维持润电"买入"评级;目标价由24港元降至 22.6港元，并下调2025及26年盈利预测4%，料盈利增长分别为7%及13%。 ...

——华润电力（00836）2025 年中报点评 最近一年走势 | 相对恒生指数表现 | | 2025/08/26 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 华润电力 | -7.9% | -7.6% | -12.5% | | 恒生指数 | 0.5% | 9.6% | 43.4% | | 市场数据 | 2025/08/26 | | --- | --- | | 当前价格（港元） | 18.20 | | 周价格区间（港元） 52 | 16.64-23.10 | | 总市值（百万港元） | 94,222.45 | | 流通市值（百万港元） | 94,222.45 | | 总股本（万股） | 517,705.77 | | 流通股本（万股） | 517,705.77 | | 日均成交额（百万港元） | 552.34 | | 近一月换手（%） | 0.36 | 2025 年 08 月 27 日 公司研究 评级：买入(维持) 研究所： 证券分析师： 钟琪 S0350523080002 zhongq@ghzq.com.cn 相关报告 《华润电力（00836）20 ...

Core Viewpoint - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of HKD 50.267 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 1.7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 7.872 billion, down 15.9% year-on-year. The decline in revenue was mainly due to a decrease in the on-grid electricity price of subsidiary power plants, while the drop in net profit was attributed to significant declines in other gains [1][2][3] Financial Performance - The company's core net profit attributable to shareholders reached HKD 8.278 billion, a slight increase of 0.1% year-on-year. The renewable energy segment contributed HKD 5.637 billion to core net profit, up 1.5%, while the thermal power segment's core net profit was HKD 2.641 billion, down 2.7%. Excluding coal business, the pure thermal power segment achieved a core net profit of HKD 2.788 billion, a significant increase of 20.6% [1][2][3] Revenue Breakdown - The renewable energy business saw a revenue increase driven by a 10% rise in sales volume, reaching HKD 14.5 billion in the first half of 2025. The average benchmark coal price for subsidiary power plants was HKD 824 per ton, down 12% year-on-year, leading to a significant improvement in the cost of coal-fired electricity generation [1][2][3] Installed Capacity and Sales - As of June 2025, the company had a controlling installed capacity of 88.93 million kilowatts, with a rights-based capacity of 78.09 million kilowatts. The thermal power rights-based capacity was 39.14 million kilowatts, accounting for 50.1%. The company added 1.24 million kilowatts of wind power and 3.51 million kilowatts of solar power in the first half of 2025 [2][3] Market Dynamics - The decline in coal prices and the relatively loose power supply and demand led to a decrease in on-grid electricity prices. The on-grid electricity prices for coal, wind, and solar were HKD 391.2, HKD 396.8, and HKD 304.9 per megawatt-hour, respectively, representing year-on-year decreases of 6%, 11%, and 6% [3][4] Future Outlook - The company expects stable profitability in thermal power, with a forecasted net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 13.748 billion, HKD 13.798 billion, and HKD 14.667 billion for 2025 to 2027. The company maintains a stable dividend policy [4]

机构：长江证券 研究员：张韦华/司旗/宋尚骞/刘亚辉 得益于成本端的持续改善，2025 年上半年公司煤电厂点火价差0.1499 元/千瓦时，同比增加0.0096 元/千 瓦时，公司整体燃料成本217.17 亿港元，同比减少12.2%。因此，公司2025 年上半年纯火电业务（不含 煤炭）实现拥有人应占核心利润27.88 亿港元，同比增长20.6%。但由于内蒙古煤电一体化西一矿由试 运行阶段转入正式生产阶段、已关停拟处置煤矿在清算过程中产生一次性损益等因素的影响，上半年公 司煤炭生产业务拥有人应占核心利润亏损1.47 亿港元，较去年同期业绩贡献减少5.51 亿港元。综合来 看，公司火电板块实现拥有人应占核心利润26.41 亿港元，同比减少2.7%，除煤炭生产业务表现偏弱 外，去年同期公司收购广西贺州火电项目取得收益8.76 亿港元，偏高基数也限制了公司火电板块的业绩 表现。 产能扩张电量高增，减值限制业绩增速。2025 年上半年，公司风电及光伏新增并网装机合计约483.9 万 千瓦，截至2025 年6 月底，公司风电权益并网装机容量2554.9 万千瓦，光伏权益并网装机容量1296.6 万 千瓦，风电及光伏权益装 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decrease in profit for the first half of 2025, with a profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 7.872 billion, down 15.9% year-on-year, while core business profit slightly increased by 0.1% to HKD 8.278 billion [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company plans to distribute an interim dividend of HKD 0.356 per share for the first half of 2025 [1] - The average on-grid electricity price for the company's coal-fired power plants was HKD 391.2 per MWh, a decrease of 6.1% year-on-year, while the average coal price was HKD 823.8 per ton, down 11.8% [2] - The core profit before tax from the renewable energy business was HKD 71.48 billion, an increase of 7.4% year-on-year, while the profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 56.37 billion, up 1.5% [3] Group 2: Capacity and Production - The company added approximately 4,839 MW of new wind and solar capacity and 894 MW of new coal-fired capacity in the first half of 2025 [1] - As of the end of June, the company had a total coal-fired power capacity of 39.14 GW, wind power capacity of 25.55 GW, and solar power capacity of 12.97 GW [1] - The company plans to add a total of 10,000 MW of new wind and solar capacity by the end of the year, consistent with its initial target [1] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The increase in core profit from pure coal-fired power operations was 21% year-on-year, driven by a relaxed power supply-demand balance and declining fuel prices [2] - The price difference for coal-fired power plants increased by HKD 9.6 per MWh year-on-year, primarily due to the larger decline in coal prices compared to electricity prices [2] - The average on-grid electricity price for the company's wind power plants was HKD 396.8 per MWh, down 11.0% year-on-year, and for solar power plants, it was HKD 304.9 per MWh, down 6.1% [3]

制作：产品中心 《策略|"十五五"前瞻初探——"十五五"研究系列》 1、"十五五"规划展望。自 1953 年开始制定第一个"五年计划"以来， 我国已发布十四个"五年规划"。完善统一大市场：推进统一大市场建设 重点在于打破地方保护和市场分割，促进资源的高效配置流动，激发各类 市场主体活力与创造力。2、促进民生消费："十五五"规划可能在以下几 方面进一步对消费进行支持：1.财政支出从投资进一步转向民生；2.大力 支持消费结构升级。3、深化国有企业改革：整体来看，预计"十五五" 中，国有企业改革整体思路或依旧延续精细化区分、"一企一策"的思路， 同时要积极探索尝试有利于创新的国有企业经营机制和公司治理模式。4、 健全资本市场稳定机制："十五五"期间资本市场改革思路或转向"构建 内在稳定、韧性强的现代化资本市场生态系统"。整体来看，"十五五"期 间的资本市场稳定机制建设将是一个系统性的工程，完成从"政策驱动" 到"制度驱动"、从"单一维度"到"生态系统"的转型，推动资本市场 高质量发展,助力加快建设金融强国。 证券研究报告 | 2025 年 08 月 27 日 $$\overline{{{\prod_{\mathrm ...

港股公司报告 | 公司点评 华润电力（00836） 证券研究报告 纯火电权益核心利润保持增长，一次性因素扰动业绩 事件： 公司发布 2025 年中期业绩。上半年公司持有人应占利润为 78.72 亿港元， 同比减少 15.9%；持有人应占核心业务利润 82.78 亿港元，同比增加 0.1%。 公司 2025 年中期拟每股派息 0.356 港元。 点评 风光全年并网容量 10GW 规划不变，预计下半年投产火电权益装机 6GW 上半年公司新增风光并网装机约 4,839 兆瓦，新增火电项目权益并网装机 894 兆瓦。截至 6 月底，公司火力发电权益并网装机容量为 39.14GW，风 电权益并网装机容量为 25.55GW，光伏权益并网装机容量为 12.97GW；公 司风电在建管理装机容量为 8,679 兆瓦，光伏在建管理装机容量为 6,515 兆瓦。上半年公司获得可再生能源开发建设指标 5,874 兆瓦，其中风电项 目 3,996 兆瓦，光伏项目 1,878 兆瓦。展望后续，公司规划全年新增风电 和光伏项目并网容量 10,000 兆瓦，与年初目标一致；下半年公司预计投产 的火电机组权益装机容量约 5,982.5 兆瓦。 ...

Summary of China Resources Power Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: China Resources Power - **Industry**: Renewable Energy and Power Generation Key Financial Metrics - **Revenue**: Decreased by 1.7% year-on-year to HKD 50.27 billion [2][4] - **Net Profit**: Decreased by 15.9% year-on-year to HKD 7.87 billion; core profit increased by 0.1% to HKD 8.278 billion after excluding one-off items [2][4] - **Operating Cash Flow**: Increased by 36.1% year-on-year to HKD 14.12 billion [2][4] - **Earnings Per Share**: HKD 1.52 [4] Renewable Energy Performance - **Wind Power Sales**: Increased by 15.5% year-on-year to 25.9 billion kWh [2][3] - **Solar Power Sales**: Increased by 31.3% year-on-year to 4.1 billion kWh [2][3] - **Renewable Energy Market Transaction Volume**: 50.8% of total sales, up by 11.9 percentage points year-on-year [2][3] Capacity Pricing and Future Outlook - **Expected Capacity Revenue**: Projected to reach HKD 4 billion to HKD 4.5 billion for the year; current pricing is HKD 100 per kW, expected to rise to HKD 165 per kW next year, with some provinces potentially reaching HKD 330 per kW [2][11] - **Wind and Solar Curtailment Rate**: Approximately 6% in the first half of 2025; measures taken to reduce this include enhanced marketing and energy storage systems [2][7] Taxation and Financial Challenges - **Tax Rate**: Increased to 18.7% due to the expiration of tax incentives and increased withholding tax on dividends, impacting approximately HKD 90 million in income tax and HKD 160 million in withholding tax [3][9] - **Inner Mongolia Coal-Electricity Integration Project**: Transitioned from trial operation to formal production, resulting in short-term losses due to unaccounted costs during the trial phase; expected improvement in the second half of the year [3][10] Market Dynamics and Competitive Landscape - **Wind Power Pricing Decline**: Average decrease of about 6% due to new projects and increased marketization; however, the overall impact is manageable due to competitive advantages in various provinces [9] - **Government Policies**: No direct government intervention in pricing; market mechanisms are preferred to ensure fair competition and stability [14][15] Future Investment Considerations - **Investment Models for New Energy Projects**: Consideration of market price changes and supply-demand uncertainties; stress testing conducted before investment decisions [5] - **Focus Areas for Profit Forecasting**: Capacity pricing revenue, Inner Mongolia coal mine operations, and impairment losses [11][12] Renewable Energy Sector Outlook - **Long-term Confidence**: The company remains optimistic about the renewable energy sector's growth potential, driven by national carbon neutrality goals and the importance of acquiring quality resources [8] - **Different Renewable Energy Types**: Wind power is favored over solar due to its competitive advantages; offshore wind power shows significant potential due to location and demand [16] Conclusion China Resources Power is navigating a challenging financial landscape with a focus on renewable energy growth, capacity pricing improvements, and strategic investments while managing tax implications and market dynamics. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on future opportunities in the renewable energy sector.

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [6] Core Views - The company is expected to commission 7 new coal power units in the second half of the year, with a total target of 10GW in new energy capacity for the year. The company's strong management capabilities and new installations are anticipated to contribute positively to profit growth [7] - The company forecasts capital expenditures of HKD 56.8 billion for 2025, with HKD 42 billion allocated for renewable energy projects and HKD 9.5 billion for thermal power construction [7] - The company achieved a core profit of HKD 82.78 billion in the first half of 2025, a slight increase of 0.1% year-on-year, while the net profit decreased by 15.9% due to non-recurring gains from the previous year and increased impairments this year [9] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The closing price of the stock is HKD 18.43, with a market capitalization of HKD 95,413.17 million [4] Financial Data - The company’s projected revenues for 2025 are HKD 109.93 billion, with a year-on-year growth rate of 4.41%. The net profit for 2025 is estimated at HKD 14.42 billion, reflecting a slight increase of 0.2% [8] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 13.1% in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 6.6 [8] Operational Highlights - As of June 30, 2025, the company’s installed capacity was 78.09 million kW, with significant contributions from thermal, wind, and solar power [9] - The company’s electricity sales volume in the first half of 2025 was 102 billion kWh, representing a year-on-year increase of 3.8% [9]