Core Viewpoint - Lithium battery stocks are experiencing a rebound, with significant price increases observed in several companies, driven by optimistic industry forecasts and demand growth [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Ganfeng Lithium (01772) increased by 4.44%, reaching HKD 61.1 - Tianqi Lithium (09696) rose by 4.34%, reaching HKD 55.34 - Longpan Technology (02465) saw a 3.88% increase, reaching HKD 15 - Zhengli New Energy (03677) increased by 2.73%, reaching HKD 9.41 - CATL (03750) rose by 1.69%, reaching HKD 512.5 [1] Group 2: Industry Outlook - The 15th High-Performance Lithium Battery Conference is taking place in Shenzhen, with expectations of over threefold growth in China's lithium battery shipments from 2025 to 2035 [1] - GGII's latest analysis indicates that the period from 2027 (or 2028) to 2030 will be crucial for the large-scale construction of GWh-level solid-state lithium battery capacity [1] Group 3: Market Dynamics - CITIC Securities highlights that the ongoing strength in energy storage demand will lead to a price increase across the entire lithium battery supply chain, significantly improving the supply-demand fundamentals for lithium carbonate [1] - Static forecasts predict global lithium resource supply will reach 2.089 million tons and consumption will be 2.004 million tons in 2026, resulting in a surplus of only 85,000 tons, which is a reduction compared to 2025 [1] - Considering inventory adjustments, a structural shortage of lithium is expected in 2026, shifting the price driver from supply pressure to demand-driven increases [1]

Core Viewpoint - The strong demand for energy storage is driving the lithium carbonate market, leading to a supply shortage and increasing prices, with expectations of a structural shortage by 2026 [1][2]. Industry Summary - The domestic demand for energy storage is robust, with expectations of a surge in electric vehicle purchases due to the phasing out of tax incentives by 2026, resulting in increased production of lithium batteries and upstream lithium-ion cathode materials [1]. - Major lithium material manufacturers are operating at full capacity, causing orders to overflow to smaller manufacturers, indicating a high level of activity in the supply chain [1]. - The demand for lithium carbonate is rising, with a reported inventory reduction of nearly 10,000 tons entering the fourth quarter, contributing to a continuous increase in lithium prices [1]. - According to a report by CITIC Securities, the monthly supply of lithium carbonate in November was approximately 115,000 tons, while demand reached 128,000 tons, resulting in a shortage of about 13,000 tons [1]. - The consumption during the off-season remains strong, with order support expected to continue into the next year, shifting the supply-demand dynamic from supply pressure to consumption-driven growth [1]. - Long-term forecasts indicate that global lithium resource supply will reach 2.089 million tons and consumption will be 2.004 million tons by 2026, suggesting a structural shortage despite a slight surplus when not considering certain factors [1]. - The lithium carbonate market is expected to transition from supply-driven pressures to demand-driven price increases [1]. Company Summary - Companies involved in the lithium carbonate supply chain include Ganfeng Lithium (01772), Tianqi Lithium (09696), and Zhongwei New Materials (02579), which are positioned to benefit from the improving market dynamics [3].

Core Insights - On November 18, China Hongqiao made its first appearance on the Hong Kong Stock Connect active trading list in a month, with a trading volume of 2.42 billion HKD and a net buy of 0.83 billion HKD, despite a closing drop of 5.88% [2]. Trading Activity Summary - The total trading volume of active stocks on the Hong Kong Stock Connect reached 38.66 billion HKD, accounting for 39.31% of the day's total trading amount, with a net buying amount of 7.18 billion HKD [2]. - Alibaba-W led the trading volume with 9.28 billion HKD, followed by Tencent Holdings and Xiaomi Group-W with trading amounts of 5.85 billion HKD and 4.59 billion HKD, respectively [2]. - The most frequently listed stocks in the past month include Alibaba-W and Huahong Semiconductor, each appearing 21 times, indicating strong interest from Hong Kong Stock Connect funds [2]. Individual Stock Performance - China Hongqiao's trading details on November 18 included a trading volume of 2.42 billion HKD and a net buy of 0.83 billion HKD, with a closing price of 21.80 HKD and a daily decline of 5.88% [2]. - Other notable stocks included: - Tencent Holdings: Trading volume of 5.85 billion HKD, net sell of 0.19 billion HKD, closing price of 623.50 HKD, and a daily drop of 2.04% [2]. - Xiaomi Group-W: Trading volume of 4.59 billion HKD, net buy of 0.85 billion HKD, closing price of 40.78 HKD, and a daily decline of 2.81% [2]. - Huahong Semiconductor: Trading volume of 3.61 billion HKD, net buy of 0.37 billion HKD, closing price of 80.25 HKD, and a daily increase of 3.48% [2].

Market Overview - On November 18, the Hang Seng Index fell by 1.72%, with southbound trading totaling HKD 983.54 billion, comprising HKD 529.10 billion in buying and HKD 454.44 billion in selling, resulting in a net buying amount of HKD 74.66 billion [2][3]. Southbound Trading Details - The southbound trading through Stock Connect (Shenzhen) had a total trading amount of HKD 366.04 billion, with net buying of HKD 47.21 billion, while the trading through Stock Connect (Shanghai) totaled HKD 617.50 billion, with net buying of HKD 27.45 billion [2][3]. Active Stocks - Alibaba-W was the most actively traded stock with a total trading amount of HKD 92.79 billion and a net buying amount of HKD 32.97 billion, despite a closing price drop of 0.19% [2][3]. - Other notable stocks included Tencent Holdings with a trading amount of HKD 58.48 billion and a net selling of HKD 1.91 billion, and Xiaomi Group-W with a trading amount of HKD 45.92 billion and a net buying of HKD 8.54 billion [2][3]. Continuous Net Buying - Three stocks experienced continuous net buying for more than three days, with Xiaomi Group-W leading at 15 days, followed by Alibaba-W and Huahong Semiconductor at 4 days each. The total net buying amounts were HKD 106.60 billion for Xiaomi Group-W and HKD 89.99 billion for Alibaba-W [3][4].

Core Insights - The Chinese lithium battery industry has experienced significant growth over the past 15 years, expanding from less than 2 GWh to over 2000 GWh, showcasing its robust development and global competitiveness [1][2]. Industry Development - The industry has produced several leading companies that rank among the top globally, highlighting China's strong industrial capabilities in lithium batteries [2]. - The future of the lithium battery sector involves facing new technological challenges, such as solid-state batteries, and establishing a global ecosystem focused on technology standards and innovative business models [3]. Event Overview - The 2025 (15th) High-Performance Lithium Battery Annual Conference was held in Shenzhen, gathering over 400 companies and more than 1200 industry leaders [4][5]. - The event featured keynote speeches from prominent figures in the lithium battery industry, discussing the future trajectory and innovations within the sector [8]. Keynote Highlights - The chairman of High-Performance Lithium Battery, Zhang Xiaofei, emphasized that the lithium battery industry is the fastest-growing sector globally, with expectations for significant growth in battery shipments by 2025 [10]. - Solid-state batteries are projected to dominate over 80% of the global market share in the next 15 years [11]. - Zhao Shengyu, chairman of Haimuxing Laser, discussed the shift from scale-driven growth to high-quality, sustainable development, emphasizing the need for improved equipment quality and service [14]. Company Innovations - Companies like Dazhu Lithium and EVE Energy are focusing on high-quality development cycles, with innovations in laser technology and battery manufacturing processes to enhance efficiency and precision [23][26]. - EVE Energy's chairman highlighted the importance of long-term strategies in battery technology, advocating for a diversified approach to meet evolving market demands [29][30]. Market Trends - The demand for lithium batteries is expected to continue rising, leading to increased prices for materials and equipment, as well as a significant expansion in production capacity [10][14]. - The industry is witnessing a transition towards high-quality, sustainable practices, with companies investing in advanced technologies and global expansion strategies [26][49]. Future Outlook - The lithium battery sector is poised for further growth, with companies like Ganfeng Lithium and Guoxuan High-Tech focusing on building comprehensive ecosystems that encompass resource extraction, battery production, and recycling [45][49]. - The emphasis on innovation and collaboration within the industry is expected to drive advancements in battery technology and contribute to the global energy transition [48][50].

Core Insights - On November 18, 2025, Alibaba-W (09988), Tencent Holdings (00700), and Xiaomi Group-W (01810) were the top three companies by trading volume in the Southbound Stock Connect, with trading amounts of 5.863 billion, 3.912 billion, and 3.075 billion respectively [1] - In the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect, Alibaba-W (09988), Tencent Holdings (00700), and SMIC (00981) also ranked as the top three, with trading amounts of 3.416 billion, 1.935 billion, and 1.640 billion respectively [1] Southbound Stock Connect - Top Active Companies - Alibaba-W (09988) had a trading amount of 5.863 billion with a net buying amount of +1.678 billion [2] - Tencent Holdings (00700) recorded a trading amount of 3.912 billion with a net selling amount of -0.831 billion [2] - Xiaomi Group-W (01810) achieved a trading amount of 3.075 billion with a net buying amount of +0.633 billion [2] - SMIC (00981) had a trading amount of 2.588 billion with a net selling amount of -0.128 billion [2] - Other notable companies included Huahong Semiconductor (01347) with a trading amount of 2.252 billion and a net buying amount of +29.105 million [2] Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect - Top Active Companies - Alibaba-W (09988) had a trading amount of 3.416 billion with a net buying amount of +1.618 billion [2] - Tencent Holdings (00700) recorded a trading amount of 1.935 billion with a net buying amount of +0.639 billion [2] - SMIC (00981) achieved a trading amount of 1.640 billion with a net buying amount of +0.502 billion [2] - Xiaomi Group-W (01810) had a trading amount of 1.518 billion with a net buying amount of +0.220 billion [2] - Other significant companies included Huahong Semiconductor (01347) with a trading amount of 1.361 billion and a net buying amount of +0.338 billion [2]

Group 1 - The lithium carbonate market is experiencing a new surge driven by demand, contrasting with previous price increases that were primarily supply-driven [2] - As of November 17, lithium carbonate main contract prices have surpassed 90,000 yuan/ton, with a maximum intraday increase of 8.5%, and a price increase of over 20,000 yuan per ton within a month [2] - Strong demand from the power terminal and continuous inventory depletion are contributing to a favorable lithium carbonate market outlook, with expectations of a reversal in the fundamental landscape [2] Group 2 - Ganfeng Lithium's chairman, Li Liangbin, predicts global lithium carbonate demand will reach 1.55 million tons by 2025, with supply at 1.7 million tons, and a potential 30% growth in demand by 2026 [3] - If demand growth exceeds 30% next year, prices could potentially break through 150,000 yuan/ton or even 200,000 yuan/ton due to supply constraints [3] - Ganfeng Lithium has extended its industrial chain downstream, establishing a complete solid-state battery integration layout and commercial capabilities, with ongoing development of solid-state batteries showing significant advantages over traditional liquid batteries [3]

Core Viewpoint - The energy metals sector experienced a significant decline of 3.71% on November 18, with Ganfeng Lithium leading the drop [1][2]. Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3939.81, down 0.81% - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13080.49, down 0.92% [1]. Individual Stock Performance - Notable stock movements include: - Shengxin Lithium Energy (002240) rose by 4.12% to 37.41 - Ganfeng Lithium (002460) fell by 5.56% to 69.92 - Tianqi Lithium (002466) decreased by 3.63% to 59.94 - Other companies like Huayou Cobalt (603799) and Rongjie Co. (002192) also saw declines of 4.88% and 3.10% respectively [1][2]. Capital Flow Analysis - The energy metals sector saw a net outflow of 3.281 billion yuan from major funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 1.999 billion yuan [2][3]. - Specific stock capital flows include: - Ganfeng Lithium had a net outflow of 922 million yuan from major funds - Tianqi Lithium experienced a net outflow of 745 million yuan from major funds [3].

每经AI快讯，11月18日，港股锂电池股盘初回落，赣锋锂业跌近6%，中创新航跌超5%，天齐锂业跌超 4%，天能动力跌超3%，宁德时代跌超2%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Daiwa maintains a "Underperform" rating for Ganfeng Lithium (01772) and raises the target price from HKD 23 to HKD 53, reflecting a 22% discount for Ganfeng's A-shares, based on improved liquidity in the H-share market [1] Group 1: Company Performance - The company is expected to record net profits from 2025 to 2027, in contrast to a net loss in 2024 [1] - Daiwa has revised its lithium price forecasts for Ganfeng, expecting average prices of RMB 73,000 and RMB 79,000 per ton for the next two years, up from previous estimates of RMB 70,000 [1] Group 2: Industry Outlook - According to the latest supply-demand analysis, global lithium supply is projected to be in surplus by 76,000 tons and 54,000 tons in the next two years, down from a surplus of 124,000 tons last year [1] - The firm believes that lithium prices in China will stabilize between RMB 75,000 and RMB 90,000 per ton next year, which is higher than earlier predictions [1]