Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the lithium sector, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in this industry [6]. Core Insights - The lithium price has shown continuous growth, rising from 59,000 CNY/ton to 64,000 CNY/ton, marking an increase of 8.1% since June 23 [10]. - Supply-side signals indicate a reduction in output from Australian mines, suggesting that the industry is in the later stages of capacity clearance [2]. - Demand remains robust, with significant growth in the lithium battery production and electric vehicle sales, supporting a favorable price transmission for lithium [3]. Supply Summary - Australian lithium mines are signaling reduced output, with production expected to remain flat at 740,000 tons in Q1 2025, down 17% from the previous quarter [2]. - The current pricing has reached a sensitive cost level for Australian producers, leading to operational adjustments and cost-cutting measures [2]. - The low lithium prices have resulted in a squeeze on capital expenditures, potentially leading to a slowdown in supply growth in the future [2]. Demand Summary - The lithium battery industry is experiencing high growth, with domestic battery production reaching 801 GWh in the first half of 2025, a 52% year-on-year increase [26]. - Electric vehicle sales in China reached 5.42 million units in the first half of 2025, reflecting a 32% increase compared to the previous year [26]. - The competitive landscape in the electric vehicle sector is prompting manufacturers to initiate a "de-involution" process to stabilize pricing and improve profitability across the supply chain [27]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that companies with low-cost resource supply and diversified non-lithium operations will have a competitive advantage in the current market [4]. - Recommended stocks include Zhongkuang Resources, Yongxing Materials, Salt Lake Co., Tianqi Lithium, and Ganfeng Lithium, which are expected to navigate the industry downturn effectively [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the non-ferrous metals industry [2]. Core Views - The report highlights that the "anti-involution" policy is guiding a short-term strength in energy metals, while gold is under pressure due to rising U.S. Treasury yields and a stronger dollar [1]. - The report suggests that despite short-term fluctuations, the long-term bullish trend for gold remains intact due to central bank purchases and fiscal concerns [1]. - Industrial metals are experiencing mixed trends, with copper facing supply disruptions and aluminum entering a potential inventory accumulation phase [1]. Summary by Sections Weekly Data Tracking - The non-ferrous metals sector showed mixed performance this week, with varying price movements across different metals [10]. - The report notes that the overall non-ferrous metals index increased by 1.0%, with energy metals up by 1.0% and industrial metals up by 1.5% [16]. Industrial Metals - **Copper**: Global copper inventory increased slightly to 518,000 tons, with supply disruptions from MMG and Hudbay Minerals affecting logistics [1]. The copper price has seen fluctuations due to macroeconomic factors and demand-side pressures [1]. - **Aluminum**: The report indicates a potential inventory accumulation cycle, with production recovering in some regions while demand remains subdued [1]. Energy Metals - **Lithium**: The report notes a continued strength in lithium prices, driven by supply constraints and robust demand from electric vehicle sales [1]. The price of battery-grade lithium carbonate rose to 64,000 yuan/ton, reflecting a 1.5% increase [26]. - **Metal Silicon**: The report discusses a short-term upward trend in silicon prices due to production cuts and recovery expectations in polysilicon plants [1]. Key Stocks - The report recommends several stocks for investment, including Zijin Mining, Shandong Gold, and Luoyang Molybdenum, all rated as "Buy" [5]. Company Announcements - Zijin Mining announced an asset acquisition of the RG gold mine project, with a valuation of 1.2 billion yuan [34]. - Ganfeng Lithium completed the acquisition of Mali Lithium, enhancing its lithium resource integration strategy [34]. Price and Inventory Changes - The report provides detailed price movements for various metals, indicating that gold prices increased by 4.2% over the week, while copper prices saw a slight decline [21][23]. Market Trends - The report emphasizes the ongoing supply-demand dynamics in the non-ferrous metals market, with particular attention to the impact of macroeconomic indicators on metal prices [1].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the non-ferrous metals industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4][106]. Core Views - The report highlights that copper prices are experiencing fluctuations due to the interplay of the 232 investigation and interest rate cut expectations, with recent price changes showing a mixed trend [5]. - The report emphasizes the importance of low inventory levels in supporting copper prices, while also noting the potential impact of the 232 copper import investigation and upcoming interest rate decisions by the Federal Reserve [5]. - The report suggests monitoring companies such as Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, Jincheng Mining, and Western Mining for investment opportunities [5]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The report provides insights into macroeconomic indicators, including U.S. employment data, which may influence market conditions [9]. - The non-ferrous metals sector's performance is analyzed, with the sector underperforming compared to the Shanghai Composite Index [11]. 2. Industrial Metals 2.1 Copper - Recent price movements show LME copper up by 0.25%, while SHFE copper is down by 0.24% [25]. - Inventory levels for copper have increased, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics [25]. 2.2 Aluminum - LME aluminum prices increased by 0.41%, with inventory levels also rising [35]. - The report notes a decrease in aluminum smelting profits, attributed to rising costs [35]. 2.3 Lead and Zinc - Lead prices have seen a slight increase, while zinc prices have decreased [48]. - Inventory levels for both metals are discussed, highlighting market supply conditions [48]. 2.4 Tin and Nickel - Tin prices have decreased slightly, while nickel prices have shown an upward trend [62]. - The report discusses profitability metrics for nickel producers in both domestic and international markets [62]. 3. Energy Metals 3.1 Lithium - Lithium prices have shown a slight rebound, with specific price changes noted for lithium carbonate and lithium spodumene [74]. - The report indicates that supply-side adjustments are anticipated, which may affect future pricing [74]. 3.2 Cobalt - Cobalt prices have increased domestically due to export bans from the Democratic Republic of Congo, which may create supply constraints [86]. - The report highlights the profitability of domestic cobalt refining operations [86].

Core Viewpoint - The industrialization of solid-state batteries requires a collaborative innovation across the entire material system, focusing on the reconstruction of the electrochemical environment within the battery [1] Group 1: Solid-State Battery Materials - The iteration of cathode materials is crucial for achieving performance breakthroughs in solid-state batteries, with companies like Rongbai Technology advancing their first-generation 8-series ternary materials to ton-level verification, matching the cost of liquid batteries [2] - The second-generation 9-series ultra-high nickel materials with a capacity greater than 230mAh/g have been shipped to major clients, while the third-generation lithium-rich manganese-based materials (capacity > 300mAh/g) are in joint development, aiming for small batch shipments by 2025 [2] - Xiamen Tungsten's new "NL" cathode material structure shows significant improvements in energy density and rate performance due to its stable structure and wider interlayer spacing [2] Group 2: Cost Reduction and Production Capacity - The use of inexpensive metals instead of precious metals in materials presents significant long-term cost reduction potential, with current production capacity at the kiloton level, primarily targeting low-altitude economy and 3C consumer sectors [3] - Hunan Enjie, a subsidiary of Enjie Co., is innovating in the solid-state battery sector by adopting a "one-step" carbon thermal reduction process to produce high-purity lithium sulfide, with a hundred-ton production capacity established [3] - Enjie predicts that the price of lithium sulfide may drop to 500,000 yuan per ton within the next 3-5 years [3] Group 3: Electrolyte Development - Enjie is building a full-chain advantage from "electrolyte powder" to "electrolyte film," with a high ionic conductivity of 6mS/cm for its nanometer-level sulfide electrolyte powder and plans for a kiloton production line [4] - Xiamen Tungsten is developing a unique lithium sulfide synthesis process, claiming significant advantages in purity and cost, and is preparing to promote it to domestic and international clients [4] - Rongbai Technology is also actively developing optimized particle size distribution for sulfide electrolytes, with pilot verification planned for the fourth quarter of the same year [4] Group 4: Supporting Materials and Integration - BlueTing New Energy has introduced metal-organic framework (MOF) materials, which enhance lithium-ion conduction and extend the cycle life of solid-state batteries by 30-50% [4] - BlueTing has combined MOF with inorganic electrolytes to define a "super solid-state electrolyte (SSE)" and has formed strategic partnerships with electrolyte companies to provide interface solutions for mainstream technology routes [5] - Ganfeng Lithium, as a "full-stack integrator," has achieved milestone breakthroughs in battery cells, realizing small batch production of lithium metal batteries with an energy density of 500Wh/kg [6] Group 5: Market Applications - Ganfeng is expanding the application of semi-solid and solid-state batteries from electric vehicles to low-altitude economy aircraft and high-end consumer electronics, showcasing a complete closed-loop from materials to commercialization [6]

Core Viewpoint - Ganfeng Lithium has successfully completed the acquisition of Mali Lithium, gaining 100% ownership, which enhances its lithium resource supply and profitability [2]. Group 1 - Ganfeng Lithium delivered the full payment for the acquisition of Mali Lithium shares and completed the equity transfer [2]. - Mali Lithium's Goulamina lithium spodumene project has commenced production with an annual capacity of 506,000 tons of lithium concentrate [2]. - The establishment of a shipping route for lithium ore exports from Mali to China marks a significant step in Ganfeng Lithium's resource layout in Africa, leading to stable and high-quality lithium resource supply [2].

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market for photovoltaic and lithium battery concept stocks opened high, with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited (宁德时代) rising over 4% [1] - Ganfeng Lithium Co., Ltd. (赣锋锂业) opened with an increase of over 1% [1]

三、备查文件 股份质押和解除质押登记证明。 特此公告。 | | 证券代码：002460 | | | 证券简称：赣锋锂业 | | | | 编号：临2025-084 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 江西赣锋锂业集团股份有限公司 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 本公司及其董事会全体成员保证公告内容真实、准确和完整，无 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏。 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 江西赣锋锂业集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于近日接到 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 公司股东王晓申先生将其持有的公司部分股份质押和解除质押的通 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 知，具体情况如下： | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 一、股东股份质押和解除质押的基本情况 | | | | | | | | | ...

一、股东股份质押和解除质押的基本情况 | 股东 | 是否为第 | 质押股 | 占其所 | 占公司 | 是否 | 是否为 | 质押开始 | 质押解 | 质权 | 资金 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 名称 | 一大股东 及一致行 | 数（万 | 持股份 | 总股本 | 为限 | 补充质 | 日期 | 除日期 | 人 | 用途 | | | 动人 | 股） | 比例 | 比例 | 售股 | 押 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 办理解 | 中信 | | | | | | | | | | | | 证券 | 个人 | | | | | | | 否 | 否 | 2025年7月 | 除质押 | 股份 | 资金 | | | | 1,300 | 9.19% | 0.64% | | | 1日 | 手续之 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 有限 | 需求 | | | | | | | | | | 日 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 公司 | | | 王晓申 | 否 | ...

就"网传公司财务造假即将爆雷"的问题，赣锋锂业（002460）7月3日在互动平台表示，该信息为不实信 息，目前公司的经营及财务情况稳定。(人民财讯) ...

在当下中国经济新旧动能转换的关键时期，产业格局正经历深刻变革，新产业蓬勃兴起，传统产业加速 升级。然而，"内卷式"竞争这一顽疾却在部分行业悄然滋生。部分光伏、储能等领域企业为争夺市场份 额，不惜低价倾销，扰乱市场秩序。 多位受访的业内人士对中国证券报记者表示，"内卷式"竞争的深层次原因主要是技术创新不足、专利保 护缺失、市场信号不清等。面对这一困境，国家发改委、国家市场监管总局等多部门密集出台整治举 措，力求斩断"内卷"枷锁。与此同时，业内头部企业纷纷探索破局之道，以模式创新、技术革新及强化 专利保护为利刃，在激烈竞争中开辟差异化发展路径，引领行业从"价格内卷"向"价值创造"转型。 以模式创新走差异化之路 在市场供求关系变化的背景下，光伏、储能行业的上市公司逐渐从"供给侧创新"向"需求侧创新"转变， 挖掘贴近市场需求的发展新模式。 "未来靠单独生产组件来'卷'产品，已经不能满足客户的需求，未来光伏产品要从过去的'单一性'向'系 统性'转变，以模式创新实现差异化发展。"天合光能战略、产品与市场负责人张映斌在接受中国证券报 记者采访时表示，随着不同细分场景需求的日渐多元，为客户提供综合解决方案将是光伏行业破除"内 ...