Group 1 - The tourism retail sector increased by 0.44% compared to the previous trading day, with China Duty Free Group leading the gains [1] - On the same day, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3765.88, down 1.25%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12118.7, down 2.83% [1] - The main capital flow into the tourism retail sector was a net inflow of 57.43 million yuan, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 31.41 million yuan [1] Group 2 - China Duty Free Group's closing price was 67.75 yuan, reflecting a gain of 0.44% [1] - The trading volume for China Duty Free Group was 299,500 hands, with a transaction amount of 203 million yuan [1] - The overall capital flow in the tourism retail sector showed a mixed trend, with institutional funds flowing in while retail and speculative funds flowed out [1]

Group 1 - The event "Big Consumption Investment Summit and 2025 Zhitong Xingyao Autumn Joint Strategy Meeting" was held in Hangzhou, focusing on the theme "New Consumption Species: The Evolution of Hong Kong Stocks" [1] - In 2025, China's consumption market is witnessing a blend of tradition and innovation, with electric vehicle penetration exceeding 47%, smart home sales growing in double digits, and rural consumption growth outpacing urban by 0.8 percentage points [1] - The Hong Kong stock market is becoming a witness to consumer power, with a 100-fold subscription for consumer IPOs in the first half of the year and 71% of new stocks closing higher on their first day [1] Group 2 - The main venue will feature keynote speeches and roundtable discussions on trends, while the sub-venue will showcase opportunities from 30 top companies [2] - Keynote speakers include executives from Tencent, GF Securities, and various leading companies, sharing insights and practical experiences [4] - The sub-venue will host presentations from 30 leading companies, including China Duty Free Group, Maogeping, and others, focusing on their business opportunities [5]

FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年8月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.1.1 FF301 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | | H | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01880 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 | | 庫存股份數目 | | 已發行股份總數 | | | 上月底結存 | | | | 116,383,500 | | 0 | | 116,383,500 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | | | | 本月底結存 | | | | 116,383,500 | | 0 | | 116,383,500 | 公司名稱: 中國旅遊集團中免股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年9月3日 I. 法 ...

FF301 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國旅遊集團中免股份有限公司 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年8月31日 狀態: 新提交 本月底法定/註冊股本總額： RMB 2,068,859,044 呈交日期: 2025年9月3日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01880 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 116,383,500 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 116,383,500 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | RMB | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 116,383,500 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 116,383,50 ...

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley has downgraded the earnings per share (EPS) estimates for China Duty Free Group (601888)(01880) by 13%, 7%, and 2% for this year, next year, and 2027 respectively, while also reducing revenue forecasts for 2025 to 2027 by 6% to 8% [1] Group 1 - The target price for China Duty Free Group has been raised from 55 yuan to 60 yuan, maintaining a "market perform" rating [1] - The demand for duty-free products has been weaker than expected due to a sluggish macroeconomic environment and intense channel competition, particularly on e-commerce platforms [1] - The gross margin for China Duty Free Group remains weak, especially in online sales [1] Group 2 - Morgan Stanley has lowered its operating profit forecast for this year by 12% due to weak gross margins and economic deleveraging [1] - The company is expected to see improved offline sales and profit margins after the Hainan Free Trade Port opens in mid-December this year, leading to a lighter downgrade in earnings estimates for the next two years [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley has downgraded the earnings per share (EPS) estimates for China Duty Free Group (01880) for this year, next year, and 2027 by 13%, 7%, and 2% respectively, while also reducing revenue forecasts for 2025 to 2027 by 6% to 8% [1] Group 1: Earnings and Revenue Forecasts - The operating profit forecast for this year has been reduced by 12% due to weak gross margins and economic deleveraging [1] - Target price has been raised from 55 yuan to 60 yuan, maintaining a "market perform" rating [1] Group 2: Market Conditions - The demand for duty-free products has fallen short of expectations, particularly on e-commerce platforms, amid a weak macroeconomic environment and intense channel competition [1] - Gross margins remain weak, especially in online sales [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - The opening of the Hainan Free Trade Port in mid-December is expected to improve offline sales and profit margins [1] - The downgrades for the next two years are relatively minor, indicating a cautious but optimistic outlook [1]

Core Viewpoint - China Duty Free Group (中国中免) experienced a decline in stock price, dropping over 3% to HKD 59.1, with a trading volume of HKD 128 million [1] Financial Performance - For the first half of the year, China Duty Free Group reported revenue of RMB 28.151 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 9.96% [1] - Gross profit was RMB 8.99 billion, down 12.23% year-on-year [1] - Profit attributable to equity shareholders was approximately RMB 2.622 billion, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 20.68% [1] Analyst Insights - Morgan Stanley revised its earnings per share estimates for China Duty Free Group for 2025 to 2027 down by 13%, 7%, and 2% respectively [1] - Revenue forecasts were adjusted down by 6% to 8%, while the target price was raised from HKD 55 to HKD 60, maintaining a "market perform" rating [1] - The firm noted that demand for duty-free products was weaker than expected, particularly on e-commerce platforms, and that the company's gross margin remains weak [1] Future Outlook - With the launch of the Hainan Free Trade Port in mid-December this year, there are expectations for improved offline sales and potential margin recovery [1]

Core Viewpoint - China Duty Free Group (中国中免) experienced a decline in stock price, dropping over 3% to HKD 59.1, with a trading volume of HKD 128 million [1] Financial Performance - For the first half of the year, the company reported revenue of RMB 28.151 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 9.96% [1] - Gross profit was RMB 8.99 billion, down 12.23% year-on-year [1] - Profit attributable to equity shareholders was approximately RMB 2.622 billion, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 20.68% [1] Analyst Insights - Morgan Stanley revised its earnings per share estimates for China Duty Free Group for 2025 to 2027 down by 13%, 7%, and 2% respectively, and lowered revenue forecasts by 6% to 8% [1] - The target price was adjusted from HKD 55 to HKD 60, maintaining a "market perform" rating [1] - The firm noted that demand for duty-free products was weaker than expected, particularly on e-commerce platforms, and that the company's gross margin remains weak [1] Future Outlook - With the launch of the Hainan Free Trade Port in mid-December, there are expectations for improved offline sales and potential margin recovery [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley has revised its earnings per share forecasts for China Duty Free Group down by 13%, 7%, and 2% for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively, while also lowering revenue forecasts by 6% to 8%. The target price has been adjusted from HKD 55 to HKD 60, maintaining a "Market Perform" rating. The report indicates that demand for duty-free products has been weaker than expected, particularly on e-commerce platforms, and that the company's gross margin remains weak. However, with the launch of the Hainan Free Trade Port in mid-December this year, offline sales are expected to improve, leading to better profit margins [1]. Group 1 - Earnings per share forecasts for China Duty Free Group have been reduced by 13%, 7%, and 2% for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [1] - Revenue forecasts have been lowered by 6% to 8% [1] - Target price adjusted from HKD 55 to HKD 60, with a "Market Perform" rating maintained [1] Group 2 - Demand for duty-free products is weaker than expected, especially on e-commerce platforms [1] - The company's gross margin remains weak [1] - Anticipated improvement in offline sales and profit margins following the Hainan Free Trade Port launch in mid-December [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley has revised its earnings per share forecasts for China Duty Free Group down by 13%, 7%, and 2% for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively, while also lowering revenue projections by 6% to 8% [1] Group 1: Earnings and Revenue Forecasts - The earnings per share estimates for China Duty Free Group have been adjusted downward for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 by 13%, 7%, and 2% respectively [1] - Revenue forecasts have been reduced by 6% to 8% [1] Group 2: Target Price and Rating - The target price for China Duty Free Group has been increased from 55 HKD to 60 HKD [1] - The rating has been maintained at "in line with the market" [1] Group 3: Market Conditions - Demand for duty-free products has been weaker than expected, particularly on e-commerce platforms [1] - The gross profit margin for China Duty Free Group remains weak [1] - An improvement in offline sales and profit margins is anticipated following the launch of the Hainan Free Trade Port in mid-December this year [1]