Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights the continuous improvement in gross margin and expresses optimism regarding the dual resonance of general robotics and intelligent driving [1] - The company reported a revenue of 330 million yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 12.4% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 30.7% [7] - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 23.5%, an increase of 11.2 percentage points year-on-year and 1.3 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [7] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company is expected to achieve total revenue of 2,631 million yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 59.53% [1] - The forecasted net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025 is -232.76 million yuan, improving from -481.83 million yuan in 2024 [1] - The report adjusts the net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to -2.3 billion, 1.4 billion, and 4.6 billion yuan respectively [7] Product and Market Development - The company’s ADAS products generated revenue of 229 million yuan in Q1 2025, down 25.2% year-on-year and 42.3% quarter-on-quarter [7] - The general robotics segment saw revenue growth of 87.0% year-on-year in Q1 2025, reaching 73 million yuan [7] - The company has secured significant orders in the robotics sector, including a 1.2 million unit order for lawn mowing robots [7] Financial Metrics - The closing price on June 4, 2025, corresponds to a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 5.7 for 2025 [1] - The company’s projected gross margin is expected to improve to 24.00% in 2025 [8] - The asset-liability ratio is forecasted to be 34.24% in 2025 [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HK$41.10, representing a potential upside of 27% from the current price of HK$32.25 [1][7][13]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing a shift in product structure that is enhancing its gross margin, with a notable increase in demand for non-automotive applications, particularly in the robotics sector [5][6][11]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw a gross margin improvement to 25.5%, driven by a higher proportion of high-margin products in sales and cost reductions through self-developed technology [5][11]. - The company has established partnerships with over 90% of key global players in the Robotaxi and Robotruck sectors, indicating strong growth potential in these areas [6][11]. Summary by Sections Investment Rating - The target price is adjusted to HK$41.10 from HK$45.00, reflecting a 9% decrease, while the "Buy" rating remains unchanged [2][7]. Financial Performance - For 2025, the estimated EPS is revised to RMB (0.23), down 18% from the previous estimate, while the 2026 EPS is slightly increased to RMB 0.21 [2][12]. - Revenue projections for 2025 are set at RMB 2,211 million, a decrease of 2.7% from prior estimates, while 2026 revenue is expected to reach RMB 2,785 million [12][20]. Product and Market Analysis - The company sold 108,600 laser radars in Q1 2025, a 9.8% year-over-year decline, with a significant drop in ADAS radar sales due to reduced orders from a major automotive client [5][11]. - The demand for laser radars in non-automotive sectors, particularly robotics, is expected to be a key growth driver, with exclusive partnerships already established with leading companies in this field [6][11]. Valuation - The valuation methodology has shifted from a 2025 to a 2026 basis, applying a P/S multiple of 6x for 2026, which reflects the anticipated growth in the non-automotive laser radar market [13][18].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 328 million RMB in Q1 2025, a year-on-year decline of 9.2%, primarily due to reduced orders from new energy vehicle clients [1] - The company achieved a record high gross margin of 23.5% in Q1, the highest in three years [1] - A significant order was signed with Kuka Technology for the delivery of 1.2 million laser radars from 2025 to 2027, which is expected to boost the robotics business [1] - The company is expected to benefit from increasing demand for laser radars in intelligent driving and robotics, with revenue growth anticipated to accelerate starting in Q2 [1] Summary by Sections Laser Radar Business - In Q1 2025, the company shipped 96,700 ADAS laser radars, down from 116,000 in the same period last year, mainly due to order declines from major clients [2] - The company has secured contracts with 30 OEMs and over 100 vehicle models, with the EM4/EMX platforms launched in early 2025 gaining traction [2] - The improvement in semiconductor processes is expected to enhance ADAS gross margins [2] Robotics Business - The company shipped 11,900 units of robotic laser radars in Q1 2025, a significant increase from 4,000 units in the same period last year, driven by price reductions and broader applications [3] - Key clients in the Robotaxi sector include six major companies, and exclusive orders have been signed with leading clients in the lawnmower sector [3] - The company is focusing on humanoid robots and aims to enter mass production soon [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The revenue forecast for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is adjusted to 2.5 billion, 3.7 billion, and 4.9 billion RMB respectively, reflecting slight downward revisions of 4%, 5%, and 5% [4] - The target price is set at 47.58 HKD, based on a comparable company average of 8.5X PS for 2025 [4] - The company is expected to see continuous improvement in gross margins due to the increasing share of higher-margin robotics business [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [2][15]. Core Insights - The company's revenue in Q1 2025 was Rmb328 million, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 9.2% and a quarter-over-quarter decline of 36.2%. However, gross profit improved to Rmb77 million, with a gross profit margin of 23.5%, which is an increase of 11.17 percentage points year-over-year [3][13]. - The decline in revenue was primarily due to a drop in shipments of automotive ADAS LiDAR caused by a customer solution switch, while the overall margin improvement was driven by the high-margin Robotics segment [3][14]. - The company expects the EM series to reverse the growth slowdown in the automotive ADAS LiDAR segment, with new product launches anticipated to drive growth [4][14]. - The Robotics segment showed significant growth, with revenue increasing by 87.0% year-over-year in Q1 2025, indicating strong demand and potential for further expansion [5][14]. - The company forecasts revenues of Rmb2.366 billion, Rmb3.118 billion, and Rmb5.195 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with an expected EPS of -0.42, 0.18, and 1.36 for the same years [6][15]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue was Rmb328 million, down 9.2% YoY and 36.2% QoQ, with a gross profit of Rmb77 million and a gross margin of 23.5% [3][13]. - The net loss for the quarter was Rmb99 million, a decrease of 25.0% YoY and 24.3% QoQ, with a net margin of -30.1% [3][13]. Business Segments - The automotive ADAS LiDAR segment faced challenges with a revenue drop of 25.2% YoY, while the Robotics segment saw a revenue increase of 87.0% YoY [4][5]. - The company launched new products aimed at the Robotics market, which are expected to contribute significantly to revenue growth [5][14]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates a ramp-up in production for the EM series in Q4 2025, which is expected to help recover growth in the ADAS segment [4][14]. - The overall revenue growth is projected to accelerate, particularly in the Robotics segment, which is expected to see multiple-fold growth in 2025 [5][6].

Summary of RoboSense Conference Call Company and Industry Overview - **Company**: RoboSense (速腾聚创) - **Industry**: Automotive LiDAR and Robotics Key Points and Arguments Market Position - RoboSense holds the **number one market share** in the global passenger car LiDAR market for 2024, with the **highest annual sales** of ADAS LiDAR and cumulative sales from 2018 to 2024 [2][5] - The global passenger car LiDAR market is projected to reach **8.61 billion USD** in 2024, with a **60% year-on-year growth** [4] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, RoboSense reported a revenue of **328 million RMB**, with a **23.5% gross margin**, an increase of **11.2 percentage points** year-on-year [3][22] - The net loss narrowed by **24%**, improving from a loss rate of **36.2%** to **30.1%** [3][24] Product Development and Innovation - The company launched a new **digital vehicle LiDAR platform (EM platform)**, covering specifications from **96 lines to 2,160 lines** with a development cycle as short as **three months** [2][6] - RoboSense introduced the **EN Four**, the world's first **1,000-line long-range digital LiDAR**, and the **Emax** for L2+ driving assistance, showcasing significant technological advancements [2][6] Applications and Collaborations - LiDAR is widely used in **ADAS** and autonomous driving, with a **46% increase** in the number of vehicles equipped with LiDAR at the Shanghai Auto Show [2][7] - RoboSense collaborates with companies like **Didi Autonomous Driving** and **Pony.ai** to promote the development of **Robotaxi** services [2][10] International Expansion - As of March 2025, RoboSense has partnered with **30 global OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers**, securing over **100 model pre-installations** and achieving mass production for **38 models** [2][9] Robotics Market - The company has made significant strides in the **robotics market**, particularly in lawn care robots, with a strategic partnership with **Omate Technology** to deliver **1.2 million units** of automotive-grade solid-state digital LiDAR [2][12] - The global lawn mower robot market is expected to reach **3.9 billion USD** by 2029, with RoboSense positioned to capture a significant share [11][12] Future Outlook - The **Robotaxi market** is projected to reach approximately **480 billion RMB** by 2030, with RoboSense expected to see a **41% growth rate** in its Robotaxi business by 2026 [10][29] - The company anticipates a **doubling of ADAS shipments** in 2025, with a target of **3 million units** [28] Additional Important Insights - RoboSense's self-developed **SPAD SoC chip** significantly reduces costs by approximately **70%** compared to previous architectures, enhancing product competitiveness [4][33] - The company is focusing on integrating **AI with robotics**, launching products like the **AC One** camera for enhanced perception in robotic applications [15][35] - The company has established a robust ecosystem with over **2,800 clients** across various sectors, including logistics and industrial automation [13][14] This summary encapsulates the key developments and strategic directions of RoboSense as discussed in the conference call, highlighting its market leadership, financial performance, product innovations, and future growth prospects.

Core Viewpoint - RoboSense (02498) reported a strong Q1 2025 performance with significant improvements in profitability and revenue growth, driven by advancements in product structure and increased sales in its laser radar products [1][8] Financial Performance - Total revenue reached 330 million yuan, with a gross profit of 77 million yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 73% and a gross margin of 23.5%, up 11.2 percentage points [1] - Net loss narrowed significantly to 98.786 million yuan, improving by 24.4% year-on-year [1] Product Performance - The company saw a substantial increase in sales of its robotic laser products, with 11,900 units sold, representing a year-on-year growth of 183.3% and revenue of 73 million yuan, up 87.2% [1] - The gross margin for core products improved, with ADAS product gross margin at 15.1%, up 4.5 percentage points, and robotic and other products' gross margin increasing by 23.1 percentage points [1] Market Position - RoboSense maintains a leading position in the ADAS laser radar market with a 26% global market share, recognized as the annual sales champion from 2018 to 2024 [3] - The company has secured over 100 mass production orders from 30 automotive manufacturers and tier-one suppliers, with 38 models achieving SOP [3] Growth Drivers - The ADAS laser radar product line has driven the company's growth over the past three years, with expectations for continued high growth due to increasing penetration of advanced driving assistance systems (ADAS) and the rapid development of Robotaxi services [4][5] - The company has established partnerships with over 2,800 robot clients across various applications, including industrial warehousing and delivery robots [5] Technological Advancements - RoboSense leads in patent filings, holding the top position in both the intelligent connected vehicle laser radar and robot perception system sectors [2] - The company is advancing its embodied intelligence strategy, collaborating with over 20 firms to promote the development and application of humanoid robots [6] Product Matrix - The launch of the EM platform has positioned RoboSense as a leader in the digital laser radar market, offering a comprehensive product matrix that can be customized to meet diverse market needs [7] - The company has received orders for 17 models from five global automotive manufacturers, showcasing its flexibility and responsiveness to market demands [7] Overall Outlook - RoboSense's robust performance in Q1 2025, coupled with its leadership in ADAS laser radar and rapid growth in new markets like humanoid robots, positions the company for scalable profitability and sustained growth [8]

Sales Performance - In Q1 2025, the company sold approximately 108,600 units of lidar products for ADAS applications, a decrease of 9.8% compared to Q1 2024, while sales for robotics and other lidar products increased by 183.3% to 11,900 units[4]. - Revenue from product sales decreased by 12.4% to RMB 302.3 million in Q1 2025 from RMB 345.1 million in Q1 2024, primarily due to a decline in sales of ADAS-related products[16]. - Sales revenue from ADAS-related LiDAR products dropped 25.2% to RMB 228.9 million in Q1 2025, with unit sales decreasing from approximately 116,200 units to 96,700 units[16]. - Revenue from robotics and other applications increased to RMB 73,403 thousand, up 87.2% from RMB 39,246 thousand in the prior year[45]. Financial Performance - The company's revenue for Q1 2025 was RMB 327,842,000, a decrease of 9.2% from RMB 360,969,000 in Q1 2024, while gross profit increased to RMB 77,010,000, resulting in a gross margin of 23.5% compared to 12.3% in the previous year[6]. - The company reported a net loss of RMB 98,786 thousand for Q1 2025, an improvement from a net loss of RMB 130,671 thousand in Q1 2024[14]. - Adjusted net loss for Q1 2025 was RMB 90.7 million, compared to RMB 84.1 million in Q1 2024, reflecting an increase of 8.5% year-over-year[26]. - Basic and diluted loss per share for Q1 2025 was RMB 0.22, an improvement from RMB 0.31 in Q1 2024[30]. - The group reported a net loss attributable to shareholders of RMB 99,593 thousand for the three months ended March 31, 2025, compared to a loss of RMB 131,786 thousand in the same period of 2024[49]. Research and Development - R&D expenses for Q1 2025 were RMB 144.9 million, a decrease of 2.5% from RMB 148.6 million in Q1 2024, with R&D expenses (excluding share-based compensation) rising to 42.7% of revenue[21]. - The company is focusing on AI algorithms and hardware technology innovation to strengthen its leading position in the ADAS and robotics industries[13]. - The company has established partnerships with over 20 embodiment robotics companies to promote the development and commercialization of embodied intelligence[13]. Product Development - The company launched the world's first 1080-line ultra-long-range digital lidar EM4 in January 2025, capable of detecting distances up to 600 meters[4][7]. - In April 2025, the company introduced the new generation digital lidar EMX, featuring 192 lines and a detection range of 300 meters, with a point cloud output of 2.88 million points per second[8]. - The company launched two new solid-state digital LiDAR products, E1R and Airy, specifically designed for robotic applications[11]. - The company has developed a comprehensive digital lidar product matrix, allowing for customization based on market needs, with a development cycle of approximately three months[7]. Market Position and Partnerships - As of March 31, 2025, the company secured mass production orders for over 100 vehicle models from 30 automotive manufacturers and tier-one suppliers, achieving SOP for 38 models from 12 customers[4][8]. - The company has established partnerships with over 90% of key players in the Robotaxi and Robotruck markets, with six companies signing formal mass production cooperation agreements[9]. - The company secured exclusive partnerships with two leading global lawn mower robot clients, aiming to deliver 1.2 million automotive-grade solid-state LiDAR units over the next three years[10]. - The total number of clients surpassed 2,800, with over 90% market share in the unmanned delivery sector, collaborating with top companies in the industry[12]. Asset and Liability Management - The total assets of the company as of March 31, 2025, amounted to RMB 4,899,432,000, an increase from RMB 4,139,138,000 as of December 31, 2024[6]. - The total current assets increased to RMB 4,416,178 thousand as of March 31, 2025, compared to RMB 3,644,015 thousand at the end of 2024[15]. - The company’s total liabilities decreased to RMB 1,008,192 thousand as of March 31, 2025, down from RMB 1,065,959 thousand at the end of 2024[15]. - Trade receivables increased to RMB 445,070 thousand as of March 31, 2025, from RMB 410,611 thousand as of December 31, 2024, representing a growth of 8.4%[52]. Cash Flow and Expenses - Operating cash outflow for Q1 2025 was RMB 462.9 million, compared to RMB 219.8 million in Q1 2024, indicating a worsening cash flow situation[27]. - Cash and cash equivalents, along with restricted cash and time deposits, totaled RMB 3.2 billion as of March 31, 2025, up from RMB 2.8 billion at the end of 2024[27]. - General and administrative expenses increased by 6.0% to RMB 40.6 million in Q1 2025, with the percentage of these expenses to revenue rising to 11.9%[23]. - Sales and marketing expenses for Q1 2025 were RMB 28.1 million, a slight decrease of 0.9% from RMB 28.4 million in Q1 2024[22]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to see growth in the Robotaxi market as it transitions from testing to large-scale production, driven by increased demand for digital lidar products[9]. - The company anticipates continued growth in its financial performance, driven by strategic initiatives and market expansion efforts[60].

5月28日恒生指数下跌0.53%，南向资金全天合计成交金额为752.05亿港元，其中，买入成交393.91亿港 元，卖出成交358.13亿港元，合计净买入金额35.78亿港元。具体来看，港股通（深）累计成交金额 252.33亿港元，买入成交124.43亿港元，卖出成交127.89亿港元，合计净卖出金额3.46亿港元；港股通 （沪）累计成交金额499.72亿港元，买入成交269.48亿港元，卖出成交230.24亿港元，合计净买入金额 39.24亿港元。 | 代码 | 简称 | 成交金额（万港元） | 成交净买入（万港元） | 今日涨跌幅（%） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 03690 | 美团-W | 241440.24 | 107449.67 | -0.53 | | 00941 | 中国移动 | 79179.78 | 59705.14 | 0.11 | | 00883 | 中国海洋石油 | 108233.96 | 56416.13 | 0.78 | | 09660 | 地平线机器人-W | 35702.86 | 18197.81 | -5.68 | | 09992 | ...

5月28日恒生指数下跌0.53%，报收23258.31点，全天南向资金通过港股通渠道合计净买入35.78亿港 元。 | 代码 | 简称 | 类型 | 成交金额（万港元） | 成交净买入（万港元） | 日涨跌幅（%） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 01810 | 小米集团-W | 港股通(沪) | 431631.26 | -71556.87 | 0.39 | | 09992 | 泡泡玛特 | 港股通(沪) | 252859.42 | -10544.44 | -7.12 | | 01810 | 小米集团-W | 港股通(深) | 197727.00 | 578.74 | 0.39 | | 09988 | 阿里巴巴-W | 港股通(沪) | 184967.12 | -22810.05 | -1.95 | | 00700 | 腾讯控股 | 港股通(沪) | 180853.04 | 12058.43 | -1.17 | | 03690 | 美团-W | 港股通(沪) | 161587.08 | 77979.37 | -0.53 | | 00981 | 中芯国际 | ...

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