2025.05. 26 本文字数：2751，阅读时长大约4.5分钟 作者 | 第一财经 陈君君 今年以来，国内存款利率持续走低，多家银行1年期定期存款利率日前跌破1%，传统储蓄吸引力减 弱。与此同时，银行股的"类固收"属性凸显，截至5月23日，42家A股上市银行中，超七成近12个月 股息率超4%，部分银行股息率突破8%，远超存款及国债收益。 板块行情分化，区域银行占上风 这种收益差距引发"替代效应"，推动银行股表现强劲，年初以来涨幅达7.66%。险资和公募基金纷纷 加仓银行股，持仓比例显著提升。进一步来看，银行板块内部走势分化，区域银行表现更为突出。业 内人士认为，短期内高股息策略将继续推动银行股上涨，而中长期来看，息差水平和资产质量是关 键。 银行股的存款"替代效应"凸显 自2025年起，国内存款利率持续走低，各大商业银行纷纷开启"降息潮"。目前，1年期定期存款利率 最低已跌破1%，达到历史最新低点。在传统储蓄收益吸引力不断减弱的形势下，"存银行不如买银行 股"的讨论再度升温。 根据Wind数据，截至5月23日收盘，在42家A股上市银行中，有31家银行的近12个月股息率超过了 4%。其中，平安银行、民生银行 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - A-share market showed increased structural differentiation on May 22, with high-position thematic stocks retreating and the North China 50 Index dropping over 6% [2] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed down 0.22% at 3380.19 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell 0.72% to 10219.62 points, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.96% to 2045.57 points [2] Group 2: Bank Sector Performance - Bank stocks rose against the market trend, with several banks like Pudong Development Bank, Jiangsu Bank, and Chengdu Bank reaching historical highs, while others like Qingdao Bank and CITIC Bank increased by over 2% [3] - Major state-owned banks and several others lowered RMB deposit rates on May 20, which is expected to positively impact net interest margins and allow banks to increase government bond allocations to support the real economy [3][4] - The valuation recovery logic driven by bank stock dividends is expected to continue, with limited downward pressure on net interest margins and stable performance anticipated [3] Group 3: High-Position Stock Dynamics - High-position stocks have become a market focus amid fluctuations, with stocks like Nanjing Port experiencing significant volatility, including a 7.21% increase after a drop [4] - Over 80 stocks have doubled in price this year, primarily in sectors like restructuring, price increases, robotics, AI, and new consumption, although many of these are small-cap stocks with poor performance [4][5] Group 4: Valuation Concerns - Some doubling stocks, such as Zhongyida, have been flagged for high valuations despite significant price increases, with a cumulative rise of 252.61% while the company remains in a loss position [5] - The market is expected to continue a volatile trend with low trading volumes, and structural opportunities may arise in sectors like export industry chains, domestic demand expansion, high dividend yields, and mergers and acquisitions [5]

Market Overview - As of 10:28 AM, the Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.04% with a trading volume of 422.88 million shares and a turnover of 508.38 billion yuan, representing a decrease of 13.62% compared to the previous trading day [1] Industry Performance - The top-performing sectors included: - Defense and Military Industry: Increased by 1.87% with a turnover of 270.81 billion yuan, up 25.38% from the previous day, led by Guoke Tiancai with a rise of 20.00% [1] - Banking: Increased by 0.39% with a turnover of 85.78 billion yuan, down 16.15% from the previous day, led by Qingdao Bank with a rise of 3.07% [1] - Coal: Increased by 0.25% with a turnover of 32.42 billion yuan, down 52.51% from the previous day, led by Zhongmei Energy with a rise of 1.76% [1] - The sectors with the largest declines included: - Beauty and Personal Care: Decreased by 1.87% with a turnover of 66.24 billion yuan, down 1.28% from the previous day, led by Kexin Co. with a decline of 8.84% [2] - Basic Chemicals: Decreased by 0.79% with a turnover of 326.48 billion yuan, down 16.66% from the previous day, led by Ningxin New Materials with a decline of 10.35% [2] - Public Utilities: Decreased by 0.70% with a turnover of 168.97 billion yuan, down 12.43% from the previous day, led by Jinkong Electric Power with a decline of 6.19% [2] Summary of Key Stocks - Leading stocks in the defense sector included Guoke Tiancai with a significant increase of 20.00% [1] - In the banking sector, Qingdao Bank showed a modest increase of 3.07% [1] - In the coal sector, Zhongmei Energy rose by 1.76% [1] - The largest decline in the beauty sector was seen in Kexin Co. with a drop of 8.84% [2] - Ningxin New Materials in the basic chemicals sector fell by 10.35% [2] - Jinkong Electric Power in public utilities decreased by 6.19% [2]

Core Insights - In 2024, three listed city commercial banks in Shandong presented differentiated performance, with Qingdao Bank leading in net profit growth at 20.16%, while Weihai Bank had the highest net interest margin at 1.77% [1][2]. - Qilu Bank achieved the largest net profit of 4.986 billion yuan, followed by Qingdao Bank at 4.264 billion yuan and Weihai Bank at 1.992 billion yuan [1]. Financial Performance - Qingdao Bank ranked first in revenue with 13.498 billion yuan, followed by Qilu Bank at 12.496 billion yuan and Weihai Bank at 9.316 billion yuan, with Qingdao Bank also showing a revenue growth of 8.22% [3]. - Qilu Bank led in asset scale growth at 14.01%, with Qingdao Bank and Weihai Bank at 13.48% and 12.65% respectively [4]. Asset Quality - Qilu Bank had the highest return on equity (ROE) at 12.52%, while Qingdao Bank followed at 11.51% and Weihai Bank at 8.47% [6]. - Weihai Bank reported the highest non-performing loan (NPL) ratio at 1.41%, with Qilu Bank and Qingdao Bank at 1.14% and 1.19% respectively [7]. Business Structure - Qilu Bank's corporate banking business accounted for over 56% of its revenue, while Qingdao Bank's retail banking contributed significantly, with 27.61% of its revenue [8]. - Weihai Bank had the highest proportion of corporate banking business at 62.45%, while Qingdao Bank excelled in retail banking [8]. Loan and Deposit Growth - Qingdao Bank's total loans reached 340.69 billion yuan, growing by 12.53%, while Qilu Bank's loans were 337.14 billion yuan, growing by 12.31% [3]. - All three banks maintained double-digit growth in loans and deposits, although deposit growth rates showed a decline compared to the previous year [3].

Group 1: Report Overview - The report is about a research on Qingdao Bank in the banking industry, with a research date of May 16, 2025 [1][2][16] Group 2: Research Participants - The participating research institutions include Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Wealth Management, Changjiang Securities, CITIC Securities, Huaxia Fund, Changxin Fund, etc [2] - The types of participating institutions and their proportions are: other financial companies 8%, securities companies 33%, fund management companies 42%, property - insurance companies 8%, and trust companies 8% [19] Group 3: Core Views - Qingdao Bank achieved good growth in revenue and net profit in Q1 2025. The bank expanded the scale of interest - earning assets, increased the proportion of high - yield assets such as loans, and achieved significant cost - reduction and efficiency - improvement results on the liability side. The net interest margin was flat year - on - year and increased by 0.04 percentage points compared to 2024. The bank also increased non - interest income through bond profit - taking operations. In Q1 2025, the company's operating revenue was 4.047 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 357 million yuan or 9.69%. The net profit attributable to the parent company's shareholders was 1.258 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 177 million yuan or 16.42% [22] - As of the end of March 2025, the bank's non - performing loan ratio was 1.13%, a decrease of 0.01 percentage points from the beginning of the year, and the provision coverage ratio was 251.49%, an increase of 10.17 percentage points from the beginning of the year. The bank will continue to strengthen credit asset quality management and is expected to maintain a stable and improving asset - quality trend [23]

证券代码：002948 证券简称：青岛银行 营业支出方面，在业务发展的同时，持续深化降本增效， 费用总体稳中略增；强化预期信用风险识别和计量，适度增 加信用减值准备计提。2025 年第一季度，本公司实现归属于 母公司股东的净利润 12.58 亿元，同比增加 1.77 亿元，增长 16.42%。 2、请问青岛银行资产质量情况如何？ 答：2025 年，在规模稳步增长的同时，信贷资产质量持 续稳中向好，截至 2025 年 3 月末，本行不良贷款 1.13%，较 年初下降 0.01 个百分点。拨备覆盖率 251.49%，较年初提升 10.17 个百分点，资产质量指标延续良好态势。 2025 年，本行将持续加强对信贷资产质量的管控，持续 稳固授信审批基础，持之以恒推进授信资产结构转型，适时 调整风险应对策略，深入推进产品创新，提升授信支持业务 发展力度；持续加强授信后管理，升级信用风险监测体系， 完善资产质量动态管理，加强对重点区域、重点业务领域还 本付息跟踪管控，定期开展信用风险排查，有效预防资产质 量劣变风险。 下一步，本行将聚焦山东省、青岛市经济社会高质量发 展，坚持强化优势，全力提升服务实体经济能力，强化风险 ...

近段时间，金融板块整体表现亮眼，成为市场关注的焦点。 Wind 资讯数据显示，截至 5 月 15 日收盘，Wind 银行行业指数报 7072.61 点，创历史新高。 而前一日，银行、保险、券商等板块齐发力，带动上证指数站上 3400 点，提振了市场情绪。在此背景 下，金融板块后续配置价值如何，成为投资者的关注点。 在业内人士看来，中国人民银行降准降息、公募基金改革方案发布、险资权益投资力度持续加大等积极 因素叠加，有望为包括银行板块在内的金融板块带来增配机遇，推动更多资金流入。 华泰证券认为公募改革落地有望驱动银行板块估值。 智通财经APP获悉，证监会最近发布《推动公募基金高质量发展行动方案》，显著强化业绩比较基准约 束力，预计未来基金配置或向业绩基准靠拢。2025 年一季度主动权益深度欠配银行，较沪深 300 偏离 度近 10pct，改革驱动下或有较大增配空间。近期一揽子政策落地，驱动经济修复。华泰证券最新研报 认为，被动基金持续扩容，险资加速入市，增量资金持续流入可期，有望进一步支撑板块行情。个股关 注：1）2025 年一季度公募低配的股份行；2）稳健大行仍有配置价值；3）质优个股。 内银相关港股企业： ...

Core Viewpoint - Qingdao Bank is actively supporting the real economy through targeted financial services, focusing on local development and innovative financing solutions to enhance the growth of various industries [1][5]. Group 1: Financial Support and Growth - As of the end of Q1, Qingdao Bank's corporate loan balance reached 279.56 billion yuan, an increase of 6.56% from the end of the previous year [1]. - The bank's technology finance loan balance was 27.30 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 5.67% compared to the previous year [1]. Group 2: Case Studies of Financial Impact - The 5 million yuan credit line provided to Pusu Hotel Management has enabled the transformation of abandoned farmhouses into cultural-themed inns, boosting local consumption and increasing handmade craft orders by 60% and rural tourism revenue by 35% [2]. - Qingdao Bank's innovative "live collateral" model allowed Longming Cattle Industry to secure a loan of 288 million yuan for a cattle breeding project, marking the largest single credit in Shandong's livestock sector [3]. - Northqi Industrial received a credit line of 200 million yuan to expand production capacity in response to increased demand for high-quality milk powder cans, achieving a market share of 25% in the domestic milk powder can segment [4]. Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - Qingdao Bank is developing a dual-driven system of "industry mapping + financial modeling" to integrate deeply into Shandong's key industry clusters, aiming to enhance credit support and financial innovation for high-quality regional economic development [5].

Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Qingdao Bank's net interest margin (annualized) was 1.77%, an increase of 0.04 percentage points compared to 2024, remaining stable year-on-year [2] - As of the end of Q1 2025, the total customer loans amounted to 3,591.18 billion yuan, an increase of 184.28 billion yuan, representing a growth of 5.41% compared to the end of the previous year [3] Group 2: Strategic Measures - The bank implemented a high-quality development strategy, focusing on optimizing resource allocation and enhancing the assessment of interest rate spreads [2] - Efforts were made to optimize the asset structure, increasing the proportion of high-yield assets and boosting loan issuance to support local economic development [2] - On the liability side, the bank aimed to reduce costs by optimizing the structure of major liabilities and lowering deposit costs through various strategies [3] Group 3: Future Lending Direction - In 2025, Qingdao Bank plans to continue optimizing its asset-liability structure and steadily expand its loan issuance to support the real economy [3] - The bank will align its corporate lending with national macro-control policies and focus on key industries and major projects, targeting eight major sectors including technology finance and green finance [3] - Retail lending will focus on meeting personal customer needs, enhancing the structure of housing loans, consumer loans, and business loans to achieve balanced development [3]

Core Viewpoint - Bank stocks have shown resilience and have risen against the market trend, with the China Securities Bank Index reaching a new high since February 2018, driven by multiple favorable policies and market conditions [1][2][3]. Market Performance - On May 13, the China Securities Bank Index rose by 1.53% to close at 7629.55 points, marking a new high since February 2018, with many individual stocks hitting historical highs [1][2]. - Over the last five trading days, the bank sector has increased by 5.76%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which rose by 1.77% [2]. - Notable individual stock performances include Chongqing Bank and Shanghai Bank, both rising over 3%, with Chongqing Bank leading with a 10.9% increase [2]. Policy Impact - Recent monetary policies, including interest rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio reductions, are expected to have a neutral impact on banks' net interest margins, with adjustments on the liability side helping to mitigate pressures [1][6][7]. - The establishment of Financial Asset Investment Companies (AIC) is seen as a significant opportunity for banks to enhance their comprehensive benefits and support technology enterprises [3][4][5]. Earnings and Profitability - Despite the pressure on profitability, bank stocks remain attractive due to their stability and dividend yields, especially as regulatory measures encourage long-term capital inflows [3][4]. - The average net interest margin for listed banks is projected to be 1.52% by the end of 2024, continuing a five-year decline, with a notable decrease in interest income reported for the previous year [6][8]. Strategic Adjustments - Banks are adapting to the low-interest-rate environment by diversifying their income sources and optimizing their operational structures to maintain profitability [8][9]. - The focus on non-interest income generation is becoming increasingly critical for banks to navigate the challenges posed by a shrinking net interest margin [8][9].