股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 | | | 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 穎通控股有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年10月3日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 06883 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 7,000,000,000 | HKD | | 0.001 | HKD | | 7,000,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | HKD | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 7,000,000,000 | HKD | | 0.001 | HKD | | 7,000,000 | 本月底法定/註冊股本總額： HKD 7,000,000 FF ...

Group 1: Core Investment Logic - The company is a key beneficiary in the rapidly growing Chinese perfume market, which is projected to grow at a rate of 9-14% over the next 4-5 years, driven by increased penetration rates and rising consumer spending [1] - The company holds a third market share in retail sales in China (including Hong Kong and Macau), with 81% of its revenue coming from the perfume business in FY2025 [1] Group 2: Multi-Brand Operations - The company manages over 70 international brands and more than 2000 SKUs, providing a one-stop solution for core channels, significantly reducing communication costs [2] - The company has nearly 40 years of experience in addressing the challenges of bringing overseas brands into China, effectively shortening inspection processes and utilizing a 2 million member data system for localized product modifications [2] Group 3: Investor Concerns - Concerns regarding the potential loss of core brand operating rights are considered to be overstated, as most suppliers have permanent contracts with brands contributing 70% of sales [3] - The threat from domestic brands is limited, as the perfume market is in a phase of incremental expansion, with significant differences in pricing and target demographics between domestic and international high-end brands [3] Group 4: Valuation and Rating - The initial coverage rating is "Buy," with a target price of 3.49 HKD, corresponding to a 14.2 times FY26E price-to-earnings ratio, reflecting a 30% valuation discount based on a 1.07 times comparable industry forward PEG [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that 招银国际 initiates coverage of 颖通控股 (06883) with a "Buy" rating and sets a target price of HKD 3.49, corresponding to a 14.2 times price-to-earnings ratio for the fiscal year 2026 [1] - The report highlights that the Chinese perfume market is recognized as the fastest-growing segment in the cosmetics industry, with multiple institutions predicting a growth rate of 9-14% over the next 4-5 years [1] - 颖通控股's multi-brand operation is seen as a strategic advantage that enhances its control over both upstream and downstream partnerships [1] Group 2 - There are concerns among investors regarding the revenue gap caused by the retraction of core brand operations and the impact of rising domestic brands on market share [1] - The report suggests that these investor concerns may be overstated [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that 招银国际 initiates coverage of 颖通控股 (06883) with a "Buy" rating and sets a target price of HKD 3.49, corresponding to a 14.2 times price-to-earnings ratio for the fiscal year 2026 [1] - The report highlights that the Chinese perfume market is recognized as the fastest-growing segment in the cosmetics industry, with multiple institutions predicting a growth rate of 9-14% over the next 4-5 years [1] - 颖通控股's multi-brand operation is seen as a strategic advantage that enhances its control over both upstream and downstream partnerships [1] Group 2 - There are concerns among investors regarding the revenue gap caused by the retraction of core brand operations and the impact of rising domestic brands on market share [1] - The report suggests that these investor concerns may be overstated, indicating a more optimistic outlook for the company [1]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage on the company with a "Buy" rating [6][27]. Core Insights - The company is a pioneer in luxury fragrance management in China, having introduced high-end perfumes systematically since 1980. It operates through a brand authorization model, providing comprehensive services from market access to consumer education [6][10]. - The Chinese perfume market is projected to be the fastest-growing segment in the cosmetics industry, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9-14% over the next 4-5 years. The company is positioned as a key beneficiary of this growth, with 81% of its revenue derived from fragrance sales [6][10][15]. - The company has a strong market presence, ranking third in market share in China (including Hong Kong and Macau) with 9.3% [9][11]. Financial Overview - The company’s projected financials indicate a steady increase in sales revenue from RMB 1,864 million in FY24A to RMB 3,134 million in FY28E, reflecting a CAGR of 15% [6][8]. - Net profit is expected to grow from RMB 206.5 million in FY24A to RMB 370.3 million in FY28E, with a notable increase of 32% in FY26E [6][8]. - The target price is set at HKD 3.49, representing a potential upside of 72.8% from the current price of HKD 2.02 [2][6]. Market Dynamics - The report highlights the increasing penetration of perfumes in China, with per capita spending on perfumes significantly lower than in developed markets. In 2023, the per capita spending in China was RMB 16 compared to RMB 423 in the US [15][17]. - The growth in the perfume market is supported by rising consumer demand in lower-tier cities and a significant increase in male fragrance spending, which saw a 1151% year-on-year growth in 2023 [18][19]. Business Model and Strategy - The company operates a multi-brand strategy, managing over 70 international brands and providing a wide range of products across various price points, which enhances its negotiation power with distribution channels [22][25]. - The company has established a robust supply chain and distribution network, covering 400 cities and 7,800 sales terminals, which allows for precise matching of brands to sales channels [24][25]. Competitive Landscape - The company faces competition from both international luxury brands and emerging domestic brands. However, the report suggests that the threat from domestic brands is currently limited as they primarily serve to cultivate potential customers for high-end brands [27]. - The company has long-term contracts with key suppliers, reducing the risk of losing core brand operating rights, which is a concern among investors [27].

Core Insights - The Chinese perfume market is poised for significant growth, with projections indicating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8%, leading to a market size exceeding 33.9 billion yuan by 2028 [1] Market Dynamics - The global perfume market is expected to grow at a rate of 4% to 6% over the next four years, with China showing a high single-digit growth rate [1] - International brands dominate the all-channel perfume market, particularly in online platforms like Taobao and JD, while domestic brands are gaining traction on Douyin, where they hold a significant share of the top 20 rankings [2][3] - The competition landscape reveals two growth paths for brands: one focuses on deep cultural expression and product value, while the other relies on quick responses to emerging consumer needs [2] Domestic Brand Growth - The number of registered fragrance companies in China has exceeded 200 annually for five consecutive years, with local brands like Guanya and Wenxian gaining recognition and investment [3] - Domestic beauty companies are entering the perfume sector, with notable launches and revenue growth in the fragrance category [3] - Local brands benefit from a complete beauty supply chain, allowing for efficient production and cost control, although they still lag behind international brands in research and development [3] Consumer Trends - There is a shift in consumer demand from functional products to those that offer emotional connections, indicating a high growth potential in the Chinese market [4] - The penetration rate in lower-tier cities presents significant growth opportunities, as these markets are awakening and showing higher sales growth compared to first-tier cities [4][5] - The male fragrance market is identified as a substantial growth area, with consumers increasingly purchasing complementary products like home fragrances and body lotions [5] Technological Advancements - AI technology is transforming the fragrance industry by enhancing research and development processes, improving consumer experience, and streamlining retail operations [6] - AI can analyze vast amounts of data to predict trends and consumer preferences, aiding perfumers in creating popular scents [6] - Intelligent fragrance recommendations through AI can significantly boost online purchasing confidence by addressing the challenge of trying scents virtually [6]

Core Viewpoint - The global fragrance market is expected to maintain a growth rate of 4% to 6% over the next four years, with China's fragrance market projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8% from 2024 to 2028, indicating a strong trend in the fragrance sector despite overall pressure on the beauty industry [2][6]. Industry Overview - The fragrance segment has shown resilience, with companies like Estée Lauder and L'Oréal reporting growth in their fragrance businesses amidst declines in other product lines [6]. - The Chinese fragrance market is anticipated to exceed 33.9 billion yuan by 2028, with a 3.6% year-on-year growth in fragrance sales in the offline market for 2024, contrasting with a 7.9% decline in overall beauty sales [6]. Company Insights - Ying Tong Holdings, listed in Hong Kong, has faced market skepticism since its IPO, primarily due to its heavy reliance on brand agency agreements, with a significant portion of its brand authorizations expiring within a year [3][4]. - As of May 31, Ying Tong managed 72 external brands, with its own brand revenue accounting for less than 1% in Q1 of this year [4]. - The CEO of Ying Tong indicated plans to enhance their own brand, Santa Monica, through product refinement and potential partnerships or acquisitions to scale up [4]. Market Dynamics - The fragrance market is increasingly influenced by the "scent economy," with a notable rise in male fragrance consumption, which is expected to grow from 37.1% in 2023 to 40.1% in 2024 [5][7]. - The competition among brands is intensifying, with international brands still dominating the market, while domestic brands are beginning to emerge [8][9]. Future Trends - The white paper indicates that the consumer base for fragrances is shifting, with a significant increase in the proportion of fragrance users in first-tier cities [7]. - Ying Tong's strategy for introducing new brands focuses on proven success in foreign markets, product quality, and the willingness of brand owners to adapt to the Chinese market [9].

Core Insights - The global perfume market is expected to maintain a growth rate of 4% to 6% over the next four years, with China's market projected to grow even faster at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8% from 2024 to 2028 [2][7]. Company Overview - Ying Tong Holdings (06883.HK) became the "first stock" in the perfume sector after its IPO in June, but has faced market skepticism due to its heavy reliance on brand agency and low revenue from self-owned brands [2][5]. - As of March 31, Ying Tong Holdings had 22 brand authorizations expiring within a year, raising concerns as many luxury brands are shifting to self-operated models [5]. Market Trends - The perfume segment has shown resilience amid overall pressure on the beauty industry, with companies like Estée Lauder and L'Oréal reporting growth in their fragrance divisions despite declines in other product lines [6]. - The Chinese market is expected to surpass 33.9 billion yuan by 2028, with a 3.6% year-on-year growth in perfume sales, contrasting with a 7.9% decline in overall beauty sales [7]. Competitive Landscape - International brands continue to dominate the market, with Ying Tong Holdings introducing up to 10 new brands annually while evaluating over 100 potential brands each year [10][11]. - Domestic brands like "Guanxia" and "Wenxian" are emerging, but they have yet to make a significant impact in the top perfume rankings [11]. Consumer Behavior - The "scent economy" is on the rise, with increasing opportunities in second-tier and lower-tier markets, as well as a growing demand for men's fragrances [6][7]. - By 2025, over 50% of fragrance consumers in first-tier cities are expected to be part of the advanced consumer group, indicating a shift in market demographics [7].

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 | 截至月份: | 2025年8月31日 | 狀態: 新提交 | | --- | --- | --- | | 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 | | | | 公司名稱: | 穎通控股有限公司 | | | 呈交日期: | 2025年9月3日 | | I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 06883 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 7,000,000,000 | HKD | | 0.001 | HKD | | 7,000,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | HKD | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 7,000,000,00 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong IPO market is active, with 57 new listings and a total fundraising amount of 131.9 billion HKD as of August 25. However, many companies face challenges in meeting both domestic and Hong Kong regulatory requirements for listing [1]. Group 1: Hong Kong IPO Overview - As of August 25, 2023, there have been 57 new IPOs on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, raising a total of 131.9 billion HKD [1]. - There are currently 211 companies that have submitted applications for listing in Hong Kong [1]. Group 2: Listing Challenges - Companies looking to list in Hong Kong must comply with both domestic laws and Hong Kong's regulatory framework, making the IPO preparation process complex and demanding [1]. Group 3: Resources for Companies - A compilation of Hong Kong listing rules and disclosure documents for domestic companies planning to list in Hong Kong has been organized to assist businesses in understanding the latest regulatory dynamics [1].