Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the aviation industry, indicating a "Look Favorably" rating for the sector [2][4]. Core Insights - The summer travel season has seen a steady increase in both capacity and passenger volume, with domestic flights up by 2.2% and international flights up by 14.1% year-on-year [4]. - The average daily aircraft utilization in July was 8.8 hours, reflecting a 13% increase month-on-month and a 0.6% increase year-on-year [4]. - The report highlights that the demand for air travel remains strong, with airlines increasing capacity to meet this demand [4]. Summary by Sections Capacity and Passenger Volume - In July, the overall capacity (ASK) increased by 3.5% year-on-year, with domestic passenger volume rising by 2.0% and international passenger volume increasing by 13.1% [4]. - The report provides detailed statistics for major airlines, showing varied growth rates in capacity and passenger turnover [5]. Airline Performance - Six listed airlines showed different performance metrics in July, with China Eastern Airlines and Spring Airlines leading in capacity growth [4]. - The report notes that Spring Airlines continues to have the highest passenger load factor at 91.9% [4]. Domestic and International Markets - The domestic market shows a balanced growth in supply and demand, with significant increases in capacity and passenger volume for China Eastern Airlines and Southern Airlines [4]. - In the international market, airlines have significantly increased capacity, with China Eastern Airlines and Spring Airlines recovering to pre-pandemic levels [4]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a continued positive outlook for the aviation sector, with expectations of a gradual increase in passenger volume and load factors over the next 3-5 years [4]. - Recommended stocks include China National Aviation, Spring Airlines, and China Eastern Airlines, among others, based on their strong performance and growth potential [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for several airlines, including China National Aviation, China Eastern Airlines, Southern Airlines, Spring Airlines, Juneyao Airlines, and Huaxia Airlines, indicating a positive outlook for these companies [5]. Core Insights - The aviation demand growth rate has slowed down year-on-year in July 2025, with the overall capacity growth limited. The six listed airlines in A-shares reported a year-on-year increase of 5.0% in Available Seat Kilometers (ASK) and 5.5% in Revenue Passenger Kilometers (RPK), with an overall load factor of 83.7%, up 0.4 percentage points [1][11]. - The industry is experiencing a price decline, with both domestic and international ticket prices dropping. The domestic economy class ticket prices fell by 7.4% year-on-year, while international ticket prices decreased by 16% [2][12]. - The international routes have recovered to 2019 levels, with ASK and RPK increasing by 12.5% and 12.7% year-on-year, respectively, indicating a strong recovery trend in international travel [1][16]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Demand and Supply Dynamics - In July 2025, the domestic aviation demand growth rate remained flat compared to June, with domestic ASK and RPK increasing by 3.1% and 2.3%, respectively, and a load factor of 85.0% [1][11]. - The international routes showed a significant recovery, with a year-on-year increase in ASK and RPK, reflecting a strong demand recovery driven by policy changes and market needs [16][19]. Section 2: Pricing Trends - The industry is characterized by a price-for-volume strategy, with high aircraft utilization and load factors not translating into revenue growth. The average aircraft utilization remained at 8.8 hours, unchanged from the previous year [2][12]. - The report highlights a significant drop in ticket prices, with domestic economy class prices down by 7.4% and international prices down by 16% year-on-year, indicating a challenging pricing environment [2][12]. Section 3: Fleet Expansion - The fleet of the six listed airlines increased by 0.3% month-on-month in July 2025, with a total of 3,315 aircraft managed. The report notes that the airlines are gradually receiving new Boeing aircraft, contributing to fleet growth [3][24]. - The report details the specific aircraft additions, including 12 narrow-body aircraft, primarily from the A320 series and B737 MAX, indicating a focus on modernizing the fleet [3][24][26]. Section 4: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests monitoring the recovery of business travel demand, as any marginal improvement could provide a basis for price increases in the fourth quarter, enhancing investor sentiment in the sector [4]. - The report emphasizes the importance of seasonal demand fluctuations and suggests that airlines like Huaxia Airlines, Juneyao Airlines, and Spring Airlines could benefit from improved business travel conditions [4].

Market Performance - On August 18, the aviation and airport sector rose by 0.47% compared to the previous trading day, with Huaxia Airlines leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3728.03, up 0.85%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 11835.57, up 1.73% [1] Stock Performance - Huaxia Airlines (002928) closed at 9.04, with a gain of 1.80% and a trading volume of 237,600 shares, amounting to a transaction value of 214 million yuan [1] - HNA Holding (600221) closed at 1.53, up 1.32%, with a trading volume of 4,299,600 shares [1] - China National Aviation (601111) closed at 7.45, gaining 1.09% with a trading volume of 1,050,700 shares [1] - Other notable performances include China Eastern Airlines (600115) at 4.03, up 0.50%, and Shanghai Airport (600009) at 31.87, up 0.22% [1][2] Capital Flow - The aviation and airport sector experienced a net outflow of 7.03 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 12.1 million yuan [2][3] - The capital flow for specific stocks showed that Shanghai Airport had a net inflow of 30.52 million yuan from institutional investors, while HNA Holding had a net inflow of 29.26 million yuan [3]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended" [2] Core Viewpoints - Continuous efforts to combat "involution" in the aviation industry are underway, with expectations for ticket prices to stabilize and improve [9] - The demand side remains resilient due to endogenous growth in domestic demand and ongoing recovery in international routes [9] - Supply constraints are expected to persist, and a decrease in oil prices will alleviate cost pressures [9] - Positive outlook on domestic regional market leader Huaxia Airlines and low-cost airline leader Spring Airlines, which leverage their core competitiveness to optimize "traffic-cost-price" dynamics [9] - Anticipation of elasticity release from major airlines represented by Air China, with a favorable recovery in international routes and efficient operation of wide-body aircraft expected to benefit Juneyao Airlines [9] Summary by Sections 1. Airline Data Analysis for July - In July, the overall ASK (Available Seat Kilometers) growth rates were led by Spring Airlines (10.4%), followed by Eastern Airlines (7.4%), Southern Airlines (6.7%), Air China (2.3%), and Juneyao Airlines (-3.0%) [2] - RPK (Revenue Passenger Kilometers) growth rates for July were highest for Eastern Airlines (9.4%), followed by Spring Airlines (8.6%), Southern Airlines (7.3%), Air China (2.2%), and Juneyao Airlines (-3.2%) [2] - Cumulative ASK growth from January to July showed Spring Airlines (9.6%) leading, followed by Eastern Airlines (7.5%) and Southern Airlines (5.7%) [2] - Cumulative RPK growth for the same period was highest for Eastern Airlines (11.8%) [2] 2. Passenger Load Factor - In July, the passenger load factor was highest for Spring Airlines at 91.9%, followed by Juneyao Airlines and Eastern Airlines both at 84.8% [4] - Cumulative load factor from January to July showed Spring Airlines at 90.7%, with Southern Airlines at 85.3% [4] 3. Fleet Size - As of July 2025, the five listed airlines collectively added 7 aircraft, with a year-on-year fleet size increase of 3.5% [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the airline transportation industry is "Positive" [2][6]. Core Insights - The industry has maintained a high passenger load factor, but ticket prices have shown weakness, particularly in July, attributed to limited travel demand and intense competition among airlines. The implementation of the "anti-involution" measures and the self-discipline agreement by the China Air Transport Association is expected to mitigate malicious competition and stabilize pricing [3][12]. - The average ticket price in the domestic market has decreased by 9.1% year-on-year as of mid-August 2025, with July's average ticket price down 8.8% year-on-year. However, the rate of decline in ticket prices has recently narrowed [4][25]. - The airline industry is experiencing a slowdown in capacity growth, with domestic airlines maintaining low growth rates in capacity deployment. The passenger load factor remains high, with significant year-on-year increases noted for major airlines [6][43]. Summary by Sections 1. Supply and Demand - The industry passenger load factor reached 84.6% in June 2025, up 1.3 percentage points year-on-year. The available seat kilometers (ASK) and revenue passenger kilometers (RPK) increased by 5.5% and 7.1% year-on-year, respectively [14][18]. - Domestic routes saw a 3.8% increase in turnover volume year-on-year, while international routes have nearly recovered to 97.7% of 2019 levels [23][24]. 2. Ticket Pricing - The average domestic ticket price was 867 CNY, down 9.1% year-on-year as of August 15, 2025. The average ticket price in July fell by 8.8% year-on-year, with a slight narrowing of the decline observed in early August [4][25]. - Recent weekly average ticket prices showed declines of -7.9%, -10.8%, -9.8%, and -8.4% in the four weeks leading up to mid-August [25][26]. 3. Fuel and Exchange Rates - The average price of aviation fuel decreased by 12.9% year-on-year in August 2025. The average ex-factory price of aviation kerosene was 5616 CNY per ton, with a significant decline noted in the first two quarters of 2025 [36][39]. - The exchange rate of the US dollar to the Chinese yuan remained stable, with a slight decrease of 0.71% from the end of 2024 to mid-August 2025 [36][42]. 4. Airline Operations - In the first seven months of 2025, domestic airlines showed varied capacity growth, with some airlines like Spring Airlines increasing capacity by 4.0%, while others like China United Airlines saw a decline [6][43]. - The passenger load factor for major airlines in July 2025 was as follows: China Southern Airlines at 84.38%, China Eastern Airlines at 84.76%, and Spring Airlines at 91.86% [46].

Investment Rating - The report recommends "Buy" for the logistics sector, specifically highlighting SF Holding in the express delivery segment and Hecun Co., Ltd. in the smart logistics space [2][3]. Core Insights - The express delivery sector saw a 15% year-on-year increase in business volume in July, but the average revenue per ticket decreased by 5.3%. The report anticipates a potential increase in ticket prices due to seasonal demand and price adjustments in production areas [2]. - The logistics sector is experiencing a stabilization in hazardous chemical water transport prices, with a recommendation for Hecun Co., Ltd. as it focuses on smart logistics and benefits from improving demand [3]. - The aviation sector is responding to regulatory changes aimed at curbing unhealthy competition, with a noted increase in flight operations and a recommendation for major airlines like Air China and China Southern Airlines due to expected profit elasticity from supply-demand optimization [4]. Summary by Sections Transportation Market Review - The transportation index decreased by 0.5% from August 9 to August 15, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index increased by 2.4%, indicating underperformance in the transportation sector [12]. Industry Fundamentals Tracking Shipping and Ports - The report indicates that the shipping sector is under pressure, with the China Export Container Freight Index (CCFI) at 1193.34 points, down 0.6% week-on-week and down 40.9% year-on-year. The Shanghai Export Container Freight Index (SCFI) is at 1460.19 points, down 2.0% week-on-week and down 52.9% year-on-year [20]. - Domestic shipping is showing a slight improvement, with the Domestic Container Freight Index (PDCI) at 1068 points, up 1.7% week-on-week and up 7.9% year-on-year [28]. Aviation and Airports - The report notes a slight increase in domestic flight operations, with an average of 17,225 flights per day, up 2.76% year-on-year. The report also highlights the release of a self-regulatory charter by the China Air Transport Association to combat unhealthy competition [4][49]. - The domestic air passenger volume in June 2025 was 54.01 million, a 3% increase year-on-year, while international passenger volume increased by 17% [52]. Rail and Road - The report indicates a stable upward trend in road transport, with a 2.44% year-on-year increase in truck traffic on highways. The railway sector also shows positive signs, with a 5.4% year-on-year increase in freight volume for the Daqin Railway in July [73][78].

Core Viewpoint - The establishment of the joint venture company for the Nantong New Airport indicates a strategic move to enhance Shanghai's international aviation hub status, with significant involvement from Shanghai Airport Group and local government [4][6]. Group 1: Company Formation and Structure - The newly formed Nantong New Airport Construction Investment Co., Ltd. is primarily engaged in civil airport operations and construction, with Shanghai Airport Group holding a 51% stake and Nantong Urban Construction Group holding 49% [3][4]. - The joint venture's establishment highlights Shanghai Airport's leading role in the development of the Nantong New Airport, often referred to as "Shanghai's third airport" [4][6]. Group 2: Airport Development and Planning - The Nantong New Airport is planned to have two long-distance runways and a terminal capable of handling 40 million passengers annually, with future expansion potential to accommodate 80 million passengers [9]. - The airport's location is approximately 100 kilometers from both Shanghai Hongqiao and Pudong airports, necessitating effective transportation network planning to integrate the three airports [6][9]. Group 3: Strategic Importance and Market Potential - Major airlines, including Air China, China Eastern Airlines, and China Southern Airlines, are proactively planning operations at the Nantong New Airport, recognizing its potential for local passenger traffic and spillover from Shanghai [9]. - The Long Triangle region already has seven major airports, and the development of Nantong New Airport is part of a broader strategy to optimize airport operations and enhance regional aviation competitiveness [10]. Group 4: Regional Collaboration and Integration - The establishment of the Nantong New Airport aligns with the Yangtze River Delta regional integration plan, which aims to create a coordinated airport system to avoid redundancy and improve efficiency [10]. - The East Airport Group's acquisition of several regional airports indicates ongoing efforts to streamline airport management and enhance service capabilities across the region [10].

Group 1 - The 2025 (19th) China Brand Festival was held in Shenzhen from August 7 to 11, focusing on "AI and Going Global" [1] - China Southern Airlines (CSA) won multiple honors at the festival, including the "Top Brand 2025 China Brand Festival Huapu Award" [1] - The Huapu Award represents the highest honor for China's independent brands, with 25 brands selected from 40 nominees based on online voting [1] Group 2 - CSA was also included in the "Top Brand 2025 World Brand 500," alongside notable companies like Microsoft, Nvidia, Tencent, and Huawei [1] - The "Top Brand 2025 World Brand 500" list, first published in 2022, evaluates brands based on a mature brand value assessment model, covering nearly 40,000 global brands [1] - CSA Media was recognized in the "Top Brand 2025 China Innovation Brand 500," which assesses innovation capabilities of over 15,000 outstanding brands in China [1] Group 3 - The "Top Brand 2025 China Brand Festival Jinpu Award" was awarded to the "Southern Airlines" magazine, which evaluates brands based on industry position, purchasing power, consumer influence, and social responsibility [2] - The 40th anniversary forum of "Southern Airlines" magazine was held during the festival, discussing the role of aviation media in brand communication and the application of AI technology in global brand dissemination [2][4]

Core Insights - China Southern Airlines (600029) reported a 6.66% year-on-year increase in passenger capacity input (measured in available seat kilometers) for July 2025, with domestic, regional, and international segments increasing by 5.69%, 1.01%, and 9.97% respectively [1] - The passenger turnover (measured in revenue passenger kilometers) rose by 7.29% year-on-year, with domestic, regional, and international segments increasing by 6.54%, 2.97%, and 9.85% respectively [1] - The passenger load factor reached 84.38%, an increase of 0.50 percentage points year-on-year, with domestic and regional segments rising by 0.67 and 1.56 percentage points, while international load factor decreased by 0.09 percentage points [1] - In cargo operations, the cargo capacity input (measured in available ton kilometers) increased by 0.22% year-on-year, and the cargo turnover (measured in revenue ton kilometers) rose by 3.60% [1] - The cargo load factor was 50.89%, up by 1.66 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The company introduced 8 new aircraft in July 2025, including 2 A321NEO, 3 A320NEO, 2 B737-8, and 1 B787-9, while retiring 1 B737-700 aircraft, bringing the total operational fleet to 950 aircraft by the end of July 2025 [1]

Core Viewpoint - China Southern Airlines (600029.SH) reported an increase in passenger capacity and turnover for July 2025, indicating growth in both domestic and international markets [1] Passenger Operations - The group's passenger capacity (measured in available seat kilometers) increased by 6.66% year-on-year, with domestic, regional, and international segments rising by 5.69%, 1.01%, and 9.97% respectively [1] - Passenger turnover (measured in revenue passenger kilometers) rose by 7.29% year-on-year, with domestic, regional, and international segments increasing by 6.54%, 2.97%, and 9.85% respectively [1] - The passenger load factor was 84.38%, up by 0.50 percentage points year-on-year, with domestic and regional segments increasing by 0.67 and 1.56 percentage points, while international load factor decreased by 0.09 percentage points [1] Cargo Operations - In July 2025, cargo capacity (measured in available ton kilometers) increased by 0.22% year-on-year [1] - Cargo turnover (measured in revenue ton kilometers) rose by 3.60% year-on-year [1] - The cargo load factor was 50.89%, up by 1.66 percentage points year-on-year [1]