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交通运输行业航空国际航线专题研究一:中国航司运力出海抢夺哪些市场?重拾增长的入境游
Guolian Minsheng Securities· 2026-02-11 15:19
Investment Rating - The report recommends a "Buy" rating for China Eastern Airlines, China Southern Airlines, and Air China, highlighting their potential to benefit from the growth in international travel demand [2][3]. Core Insights - The growth in inbound tourism demand is expected to become a long-term trend, with significant opportunities for Chinese airlines to expand their international capacity, particularly in Europe, the Middle East, and Central Asia [2][15]. - The report predicts a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of up to 15% for international passenger flow for Chinese airlines over the next three years, driven by the gradual recovery of inbound tourism and the slow recovery of foreign airlines' capacity [12][13][15]. Summary by Sections 1. Policy: Visa Relaxation and Local Support - The report discusses the expansion of visa-free entry policies, with China implementing unilateral visa exemptions for 48 countries and optimizing transit visa policies to enhance the convenience of inbound travel [11][24]. - The ongoing policy support is expected to significantly boost inbound tourism, with a focus on improving travel experiences and product offerings for foreign visitors [39][42]. 2. Market Potential: Growth Projections - The report estimates that there is over a 30% growth potential for inbound tourist flows in China, comparing the current contribution of inbound tourism to GDP (0.3%) with that of other major economies (1.2%) [12][13]. - The analysis indicates that the international passenger flow for Chinese airlines could see a CAGR of up to 15% due to the increasing demand from both outbound Chinese travelers and inbound foreign tourists [12][15]. 3. Airline Capacity and Passenger Flow Outlook - Chinese airlines are expected to capture a larger share of the inbound passenger flow, with significant increases in flight frequencies and new routes planned for 2025 [2][15]. - The report highlights that the recovery of international passenger traffic is primarily driven by the growth in inbound tourism, with foreign tourist entry numbers expected to increase significantly [12][39]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The report emphasizes the importance of positioning in the international market, recommending investments in leading airlines such as China Eastern Airlines, which has a strong base in Shanghai and is expected to benefit the most from international route expansions [2][15].
春运高峰将至:南航投运第九架国产大飞机 执飞航班增超四成
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2026-02-11 14:26
2026年春运高峰即将到来之际,又一架国产大飞机迎来投运! 南方财经记者从南方航空获悉,2月11日,南航最新接收的第九架C919国产大飞机正式投入运营,首航 航班执飞广州-西安航线。据悉,首航后此架飞机将交由南航湖南分公司执管,将在春运期间每日执飞 长沙-北京大兴航线2个往返。 航班具体时刻为:CZ3717/CZ3718,9:30从长沙黄花机场出发,12:00抵达北京大兴机场,13:10从 北京大兴机场出发,16:00抵达长沙黄花机场;CZ3147/CZ6137,17:30长沙黄花机场出发,20:00抵 达北京大兴机场,21:30北京大兴机场出发,次日00:10抵达长沙黄花机场。 整体来看,自2月2日春运启幕,南航正持续加大国产飞机运力投入,C919和C909飞机共执行航班近 1400班次,同比2025年春运同期增长49.1%,承运旅客超12.3万人次,同比增长60.3%。其中,南航 C919机型已执行航班275班次,承运旅客超3.8万人次,客座率达86.3%。 从航线布局上看,南航聚焦春运客流密集方向,将国产飞机主要投放在广州至南京、杭州、西安、延 安、泉州、柳州、芜湖、义乌;长沙至北京大兴、上海浦东;揭阳 ...
南航第九架C919国产大飞机正式投入运营
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2026-02-11 14:10
南航第九 架C919国产大飞机正式投入运营。南方航空 供图 随着国产飞机规模化、常态化运营,南航聚焦春运客流密集方向,将国产飞机主要投放在广州至南京、 杭州、西安、延安、泉州、柳州、芜湖、义乌,长沙至北京大兴、上海浦东,揭阳至郑州、长沙、淮 安、徐州、贵阳,以及武汉至重庆、珠海、惠州等80余条航线上,为旅客春运出行提供了更加多元、优 质的选择。 春运至今,南航C919机型已执行航班275班次,承运旅客超3.8万人次,客座率达86.3%。南航接收的第 九架C919国产大飞机首航后,将交由南航湖南分公司执管,并在春运期间每日执飞长沙-北京大兴航线2 个往返。(完) 中新网广州2月11日电 (记者 郭军)中国南方航空公司最新接收的第九架C919国产大飞机11日正式投入运 营,首航航班执飞广州-西安航线。 据悉,自2月2日春运启幕,南航持续加大国产飞机运力投入,C919和C909飞机执行航班近1400班次, 同比增长49.1%;承运旅客超12.3万人次,同比增长60.3%。 ...
南航新入列国产大飞机C919正式投运首航
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-02-11 12:16
据央视新闻,从中国南方航空了解到,2月11日,南航最新接收的第九架国产大飞机C919正式投入运 营,首航航班执飞广州-西安航线。 ...
南方航空:公司在资产负债表日均会对递延所得税资产进行审慎评估
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Zhi Sheng· 2026-02-11 10:07
(编辑 楚丽君) 证券日报网讯 2月11日,南方航空在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示,递延所得税资产是公司根据企业 会计准则与税法规定的暂时性差异确认的、未来可抵减企业所得税的资产,其构成不仅包含税务亏损, 还涵盖其他可抵扣暂时性差异的项目。公司在资产负债表日均会对递延所得税资产进行审慎评估,并从 2025年半年度报告开始,根据企业会计准则的规定对前期确认的递延所得税资产予以部分转回,全年情 况请参阅后续披露的2025年年度报告。 ...
超40家旅行大牌率先与阿里千问、飞猪合作 AI预订机票酒店至高减300元
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2026-02-11 08:09
Group 1 - Alibaba's Qianwen and Fliggy have partnered with over 40 global travel brands to provide exclusive subsidies and value-added benefits for AI users [1] - Initial partners include major airlines such as China Eastern Airlines, China Southern Airlines, and Emirates, as well as hotel brands like Wanda Hotels and Shanghai Disneyland [1] - The AI collaboration aims to enhance the travel experience by enabling users to easily identify their needs and match them with travel services through natural language interactions [1][2] Group 2 - The integration of AI is expected to transform consumer behavior in the travel industry, with 2026 being highlighted as a pivotal year for AI-driven consumption [3] - Airlines are encouraged to leverage platforms like Qianwen and Fliggy to optimize supply-side offerings and capture AI-driven traffic opportunities [3] - The rapid development of AI is anticipated to significantly impact the entire cultural and tourism industry, potentially serving as a critical turning point for hotel and travel enterprises [3]
航空运输板块迎春运红利 多只基金“提前介入”航司股
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Zhi Sheng· 2026-02-10 15:36
股价走强的背后,是多家航司业绩明显改善。例如,中国东航预计2025年实现扭亏为盈,利润总额预计 2亿元至3亿元,全年运输总周转量、旅客运输量分别同比增长10.82%和6.68%;南方航空预计归母净利 润与扣非净利润双双扭亏为盈,经营效益持续优化;华夏航空预计2025年归母净利润5亿元至7亿元,同 比增长86.59%至161.22%,受益于国内因私出行需求旺盛,该公司通过优化支线网络、提升干支衔接效 率,实现航班量与客座率双升。 提前布局 本报记者 彭衍菘 2026年的春运大幕已开启。根据今年有关放假安排,此次春节假期被称为"史上最长春节假期"。长假的 预热带动了出行航运订单的增长。与此同时,近期航空运输板块迎来需求复苏与业绩改善的双重利好, 相关个股表现活跃,提前布局的公募基金也收获颇丰。 Wind资讯数据显示,截至2月10日,开年以来,多只航司个股业绩预喜。整体上,万得航空运输指数上 涨3.28%,中证全指航空运输指数上涨2.55%。此前在2025年第四季度提前布局航空板块的多只公募基 金,凭借精准的"左侧布局"收获颇丰,多只产品开年以来的净值增长率超8%。 春运需求放量 航司业绩向好 2026年春运自2月 ...
大摩:看好中资三大航空股上行周期 大幅上调目标价
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-10 07:09
摩根士丹利发表研究报告指出,始于2025年第四季度的航空业多年周期性改善,很可能在2026至2027年 获得动力,并受需求推动。投资者仓位和信心仍处于低位,但该行认为定价上涨将提振市场情绪,因此 将航空板块目标价平均上调42%,并将三大航空公司A股评级上调至"增持"。 大摩对中国国航(601111)(00753)H股目标价从8.11港元上调至10港元;中国东方航空股份(00670)H股 从4.31港元上调至8.10港元;中国南方航空(600029)股份(01055)H股从5.33港元上调至8.5港元。大摩 予内地三大航空公司H股评级均为"增持"。 该行预计每年客座率将改善1至2个百分点,意味着航空公司拥有更强的定价能力。对中国航空公司多年 供应驱动的上行周期持乐观看法,并且认为,如果定价表现强于预期,利润率有上行空间。该行预计 2026年客公里收益基本持平,随后在2027年提价3%至4%。对2027年的盈利预测较市场一致预期高出 17%。大摩估计,客公里收益每超出预期1个百分点,可能为三大航平均带来约15亿至17亿元人民币的 营业利润增长,因此对2026年的税前利润预测上调介乎14%至20%,并对2027年税 ...
春运出入境需求增长 湖南长沙新开加密多条国际及地区航线
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2026-02-09 12:35
中新社长沙2月9日电 (付敬懿)由泰国狮子蒙特里航空执飞的湖南长沙至泰国普吉航班,9日正式开通; 泰国狮子航空长沙至泰国曼谷航线加密至每日一班。至此,2026年春运期间,长沙黄花国际机场已新开 或加密近10条国际及地区航线,为旅客搭建便捷高效的"空中通道"。 据悉,为满足旅客出境旅游的多样化需求,湖南今年新增了长沙至缅甸仰光、泰国普吉、越南胡志明 市、印度尼西亚雅加达等国际航线,以及至香港地区航线,加密长沙至新加坡、马来西亚吉隆坡、泰国 曼谷航线。 随着中国签证政策的持续优化和免签范围扩大,入境旅游市场迎来新春热潮。今年春节期间,来自韩 国、马来西亚、越南、新加坡、菲律宾等周边国家的游客数量显著攀升,湖南正成为越来越多国际旅客 的出行选择。 2026年春运,中国南方航空在执飞长沙至内罗毕、首尔、吉隆坡、河内等航线基础上,新开长沙至新加 坡、胡志明市航线各每周三班。中国南方航空湖南分公司透露,节前一周,首尔、河内、胡志明市等至 长沙航线客座率均超70%,长沙至内罗毕航线客座率超85%,内罗毕、新加坡、吉隆坡至长沙航线客座 率超80%。 2月7日起,厦门航空新开长沙至曼谷、吉隆坡两条国际直飞航线,均计划在春运期间 ...
A股免税股走强,珠免集团涨停,中国中免涨超5%
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2026-02-09 05:36
Group 1 - The A-share market saw a strong performance in the duty-free sector, with Zhu Mian Group hitting the daily limit, China Duty Free rising over 5%, and Wangfujing and Haixia shares increasing by over 2% [1] Group 2 - Zhu Mian Group's stock rose by 9.96%, with a total market capitalization of 15.6 billion and a year-to-date increase of 21.59% [2] - China Duty Free's stock increased by 5.52%, with a total market capitalization of 201.6 billion and a year-to-date increase of 3.06% [2] - Wangfujing's stock rose by 2.69%, with a total market capitalization of 16.7 billion and a year-to-date decrease of 4.19% [2] - Haixia shares increased by 2.29%, with a total market capitalization of 23.9 billion and a year-to-date decrease of 12.00% [2] - Hainan Development's stock rose by 1.94%, with a total market capitalization of 14.2 billion and a year-to-date decrease of 29.45% [2] - Southern Airlines' stock increased by 1.82%, with a total market capitalization of 151.7 billion and a year-to-date increase of 4.49% [2] - Lingnan Holdings' stock rose by 1.34%, with a total market capitalization of 8.632 billion and a year-to-date increase of 7.42% [2]