Core Viewpoint - Hengli Petrochemical announced that its controlling shareholder, Hengli Group, received a notification from its concerted action party, Hengneng Investment, regarding the release of a pledge on 44.982 million shares, which accounts for 3.00% of its holdings and 0.64% of the company's total share capital [1] Summary by Relevant Sections - **Shareholding Structure** - After the release of the pledge, Hengneng Investment will still hold 1.498 billion shares, representing 21.29% of the company [1] - The remaining pledged shares amount to 577 million, which is 38.52% of its holdings and 8.20% of the company's total share capital [1] - **Pledge Status** - Hengli Group and its concerted action parties currently hold a total of 5.311 billion shares, which is 75.45% of the company [1] - The cumulative pledged shares total 1.745 billion, accounting for 32.86% of their holdings and 24.79% of the company's total share capital [1]

Core Viewpoint - Hengli Petrochemical's stock price has shown fluctuations with a year-to-date increase of 12.82%, while recent trading periods indicate slight declines [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - On October 22, Hengli Petrochemical's stock rose by 2.08%, reaching 16.72 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 71.11 million CNY and a turnover rate of 0.06% [1]. - The company's market capitalization stands at 117.69 billion CNY [1]. - Year-to-date, the stock has increased by 12.82%, with a decline of 0.95% over the last five trading days and a 0.48% drop over the last twenty days [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Hengli Petrochemical reported a revenue of 103.94 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 7.68%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.05 billion CNY, down 24.08% year-on-year [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 26.14 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 7.60 billion CNY distributed over the last three years [3]. Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Hengli Petrochemical is 74,400, a decrease of 0.75% from the previous period [2]. - The average number of tradable shares per shareholder is 94,588, which has increased by 0.75% compared to the last period [2]. - Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited is the fifth-largest circulating shareholder, holding 239 million shares, an increase of 23.23 million shares from the previous period [3].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The price of ethylene glycol continued to decline this week. Although the fundamentals of ethylene glycol have not undergone significant adjustments, the intensification of Sino - US trade frictions has led to a significant increase in market risk - aversion sentiment. Polyester demand shows no outstanding performance, with stable operation and neutral pick - up. Yulong Petrochemical's supply has gradually entered the market, resulting in sufficient on - site spot liquidity. - Next week's prediction: On the cost side, the bearish fundamentals of crude oil will continue to suppress price performance and limit the rebound and repair space, with overall fluctuations. On the supply side, the operation rate remains high, but as coal prices rise and squeeze profits, the coal - based operation rate may decline later. On the demand side, the domestic market demand remains strong, but the issuance of new export orders is slow, and the weaving market lacks confidence in the future market. In terms of port inventory, there are more ethylene glycol vessel arrivals this month, the polyester operation rate is relatively stable, and the downstream pick - up volume from ports remains neutral. - Overall, it is expected that ethylene glycol will operate at a low level, in the range of 3950 - 4100 yuan/ton, and it is recommended to stay on the sidelines [6]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1盘面及现货情况 (Disk and Spot Conditions) - **Disk Trend**: Continued to decline. This week, the trading volume was 751,900 lots, and the open interest was 340,400 lots (- 87,000 lots). The closing price of the MEG main contract on October 20 was 4003 yuan/ton, a decrease of 108 yuan/ton compared to the closing price of 4111 yuan/ton on October 13, with an overall change of - 2.63%. The settlement price on October 20 was 4030 yuan/ton, a decrease of 82 yuan/ton compared to the settlement price of 4112 yuan/ton on October 13, with an overall change of - 1.99% [8][12][14]. - **Spot Market**: For domestic spot, the higher transaction price was 4196 (October 13), and the lower transaction price was 4071 (October 17). From October 12 - 18, the weekly price data showed that in Fujian it was 4171 yuan/ton (- 59), in Zhangjiagang it was 4130.5/ton (- 27.83), and in Dongguan it was 4171 yuan/ton (- 59). The foreign - market price was 488.2 US dollars/ton (- 3.47). This week's average basis was 91 yuan/ton, compared with last week's average of 90.33 yuan/ton. The domestic and foreign markets of ethylene glycol remained inverted, with an overall level of 70 - 100 US dollars/ton [15]. 3.2 MEG装置、库存及生产利润情况 (MEG Device, Inventory, and Production Profit Situation) - **Device Operation Rate**: The overall operation rate from October 14 - 20 was 70.93%, compared with 70.22% from October 9 - 13. The oil - based operation rate was 76.31%, the coal - based operation rate was 62.95%, and the methanol - based operation rate was 62.43%. There were various device changes during the week, including maintenance of Zhonghai Shell and Tongliao Jinmei devices, restart of Satellite, Tianye, Guoneng Yulin, and Meijin devices, and Yulong Petrochemical's device resumed operation after a short - term shutdown. Hengli and Far Eastern Union slightly increased their device loads [19][22][24]. - **Production Profit**: Due to the significant rebound in thermal coal prices, the profit of coal - based ethylene glycol production has dropped significantly. The current profits of MTO, coal - based, and ethylene - based production routes are - 1687.74 yuan/ton, 90.26 yuan/ton, and - 124.34 US dollars/ton respectively, compared with the previous period's - 1607.16 yuan/ton, 261.94 yuan/ton, and - 122.23 US dollars/ton [31][33]. - **Port Inventory**: As of October 16, the MEG port inventory was 475,500 tons, an increase of 70,000 tons compared with the previous period, with a month - on - month change of 15.51%. Among them, Zhangjiagang had 194,500 tons (an increase of 9,000 tons), Jiangyin had 60,000 tons (an increase of 10,000 tons), Taicang had 136,000 tons (an increase of 71,000 tons), Ningbo had 82,000 tons (an increase of 2,000 tons), and Shanghai and Changshu had 3,000 tons (a decrease of 22,000 tons). The polyester operation load was generally stable, and the port pick - up was neutral [35][37][38]. 3.3 Fundamental Analysis - **Cost Side**: Oil prices still lack substantial positive factors, and the bearish fundamentals will continue to suppress price performance and limit the rebound and repair space. The polyester operation rate has a narrow fluctuation range, and there is no new production capacity in the market, so the market supply is mostly stable [44][46]. - **Polyester Product Situation**: The average weekly load of polyester factories was 89.38%, and the average weekly load of Jiangsu and Zhejiang looms was 68.22%. The market average prices of semi - bright POY150D/48F, DTY150D/48F, and FDY150D/96F were 6571 yuan/ton, 7804 yuan/ton, and 6754 yuan/ton respectively, down 1.47%, 0.82%, and 1.13% compared with the previous period. The average price of polyester staple fiber in the East China market this period was 6326 yuan/ton, down 93 yuan/ton or - 1.45% compared with the previous period. The negotiation range of polyester bottle chips in the East China region was 5600 - 5730 yuan/ton, with an average price of 5710.00 yuan/ton this week, down 2.14% compared with the previous period [48]. - **Weaving Market**: New export orders are issued slowly, and the weaving market lacks confidence in the future market. With the drop in temperature in the north, the online sales of autumn and winter textile and clothing have accelerated, driving the sales of thick fabrics such as autumn and winter fleece and woolen fabrics. The operating rates of warp - knitting enterprises have steadily increased. As of October 16, the operating rates of water - jet looms in Wujiang, Changxing, Xiaoshao, and the warp - knitting operating rates in Haining and Changshu have shown different changes [52][54]. - **Polyester Downstream**: The raw material inventory of polyester downstream is at a low level, and the rigid demand is gradually increasing. From October 13 - 17, the average weekly polyester sales were estimated to be 70%. The filament production enterprises have continued to accumulate inventory, and the end - of - month shipment pressure is gradually increasing. As of October 16, the filament inventory decreased, with the average inventory days of POY, FDY, and DTY being 16.80 days, 26.10 days, and 31.50 days respectively [55][57][59].

Group 1 - The core transaction on October 20 involved a block trade of 13.3976 million shares of Hengli Petrochemical, with a transaction value of 220 million yuan, at a price of 16.41 yuan, representing a premium of 0.86% over the closing price of the day [2][3] - In the last three months, Hengli Petrochemical has recorded a total of 10 block trades, with a cumulative transaction value of 1.77 billion yuan [2] - The closing price of Hengli Petrochemical on the day of the transaction was 16.27 yuan, reflecting a decline of 0.85%, with a daily turnover rate of 0.20% and a total trading volume of 235 million yuan [2] Group 2 - The latest margin financing balance for Hengli Petrochemical stands at 2.968 billion yuan, having increased by 153 million yuan over the past five days, marking a growth rate of 5.45% [3] - The company was established on March 9, 1999, with a registered capital of approximately 7039.10 million yuan [3]

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the recent trading activity of Hengli Petrochemical, which saw a decline of 0.85% in its stock price, closing at 16.27 yuan [1] - On October 20, a significant block trade occurred involving 13.3976 million shares, with a total transaction value of 220 million yuan [1] - The first transaction price was 16.41 yuan per share, with a premium rate of 0.86%, and the buyer was Huatai Securities' Nanjing branch while the seller was Huatai Securities' Shanghai branch [1] Group 2 - Over the past three months, Hengli Petrochemical has recorded a total of 10 block trades, amounting to 1.77 billion yuan [1] - In the last five trading days, the stock has experienced a cumulative decline of 5.30%, with a net outflow of 32.9088 million yuan in principal funds [1]

Group 1 - A total of 56 stocks in the A-share market experienced block trading today, with a total transaction value of 1.168 billion yuan [1] - The top three stocks by transaction value were Hengli Petrochemical (220 million yuan), Wantong Development (99.9929 million yuan), and Chuangye Huikang (68.4 million yuan) [1] - Among the stocks, 7 were traded at par, 4 at a premium, and 45 at a discount; the highest premium rates were for Aidi Precision (4.02%), Hengli Petrochemical (0.86%), and Lier Technology (0.06%) [1] Group 2 - The stocks with the highest discount rates included Boliview (29.35%), Yuxin Electronics (21.36%), and Zhongji Xuchuang (21.09%) [1] - The ranking of institutional buy amounts showed Chuangye Huikang leading with 66.24 million yuan, followed by Jinlong Co. (51.3405 million yuan) and Baiwei Storage (46.98 million yuan) [1] - The top three stocks by institutional sell amounts were Longqi Technology (13.008 million yuan),招商公路 (6.156 million yuan), and Dize Pharmaceutical-U (4.3532 million yuan) [2]

Group 1 - On October 20, Hengli Petrochemical executed a block trade of 13.3976 million shares, with a transaction value of 220 million yuan, accounting for 48.37% of the total transaction value for the day [1] - The transaction price was 16.41 yuan, which represents a premium of 0.86% compared to the market closing price of 16.27 yuan [1] - The block trade was facilitated by Huatai Securities Co., Ltd., Shanghai Branch [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the petrochemical industry, highlighting potential recovery in polyester profitability and favorable conditions for leading refining companies [15]. Core Views - IEA has raised its crude oil production forecast, while OPEC's production has significantly increased, indicating a continued oversupply in the market despite low demand [3][12]. - The upstream sector is experiencing a decline in oil prices, but day rates for self-elevating drilling rigs are on the rise, suggesting a potential for increased profitability in oil services [18]. - The refining sector is facing mixed results, with overseas refined oil crack spreads declining, while olefin price spreads show variability [49]. Summary by Sections Upstream Sector - Brent crude oil prices fell to $61.29 per barrel, a decrease of 2.30% week-on-week, while WTI prices also saw a similar decline [18]. - As of October 10, U.S. commercial crude oil inventories increased by 3.524 million barrels, indicating a growing supply [20]. - The number of U.S. drilling rigs remained stable at 548, with a slight increase of 1 rig from the previous week [31]. Refining Sector - The Singapore refining margin for major products decreased to $19.58 per barrel, down by $0.47 from the previous week [51]. - The U.S. gasoline RBOB-WTI spread increased to $17.19 per barrel, reflecting a slight upward trend despite historical averages being higher [56]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading polyester companies such as Tongkun Co. and Wankai New Materials due to expected recovery in profitability [15]. - It also recommends high-quality refining companies like Hengli Petrochemical and Sinopec, anticipating improved competitive dynamics in the refining sector [15]. - For upstream exploration and development, companies like CNOOC and China National Petroleum are highlighted for their resilience against declining oil prices [15].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the petrochemical industry, indicating a favorable investment rating for key companies within the sector [3][17]. Core Insights - The IEA has raised its crude oil production forecast, while OPEC's production significantly increased in September, leading to an anticipated oversupply in the market [4][5]. - The upstream sector is experiencing a decline in oil prices, with Brent crude futures closing at $61.29 per barrel, a decrease of 2.30% week-over-week [20]. - The refining sector shows mixed results, with overseas refined oil crack spreads declining, while olefin price spreads vary [4][17]. - The polyester sector is expected to see a recovery in profitability as supply and demand improve, with a focus on leading companies in the industry [17]. Summary by Sections Upstream Sector - Brent crude oil prices fell to $61.29 per barrel, down 2.30% from the previous week, while WTI prices also decreased [20]. - As of October 10, U.S. commercial crude oil inventories rose to 424 million barrels, an increase of 3.524 million barrels week-over-week [22]. - The number of active oil rigs in the U.S. remained stable at 548, with a year-over-year decrease of 37 rigs [35]. Refining Sector - The Singapore refining margin for major products decreased to $19.58 per barrel, down $0.47 from the previous week [4]. - The price spread for gasoline in the U.S. increased slightly to $17.19 per barrel, while olefin price spreads showed mixed trends [4][17]. Polyester Sector - PTA prices have declined, with the average price in East China at 4407.5 RMB per ton, down 3.41% week-over-week [4]. - The report anticipates a gradual improvement in the polyester industry as new capacities come online and demand recovers [17]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading companies in the polyester sector such as Tongkun Co. and Wankai New Materials, as well as refining companies like Hengli Petrochemical and Sinopec [17]. - It also highlights the potential for improved profitability in the oil and gas sector, suggesting investments in companies with high dividend yields like PetroChina and CNOOC [17].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Optimistic" rating for the chemical industry [3][4]. Core Insights - The report highlights a recovery opportunity at the bottom of the chemical cycle, particularly in the titanium dioxide sector, with major companies expanding globally and focusing on asset acquisitions [3][4]. - Global oil supply is expected to increase significantly, driven by non-OPEC production, while demand remains stable with a projected global GDP growth of 2.8% [4][5]. - The report emphasizes the importance of various chemical chains, including textiles, agriculture, and exports, as well as the potential for recovery in profitability for titanium dioxide due to easing trade tensions and improved overseas real estate conditions [3][4]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - Oil supply is anticipated to rise, with OPEC+ expected to increase production, while demand is stable but may slow due to tariffs [4]. - Coal prices are expected to stabilize at a low level, and natural gas exports from the U.S. are likely to increase, reducing import costs [4]. Chemical Product Prices and Trends - The report notes that the PPI for all industrial products fell by 2.3% year-on-year in September, indicating a narrowing decline compared to August [5]. - Manufacturing PMI rose to 49.8%, suggesting a continued recovery in manufacturing activity [5]. Investment Analysis - The report suggests focusing on four key areas for investment: textiles, agriculture, export-related chemicals, and sectors benefiting from reduced competition [3]. - Specific companies to watch include Lu Xi Chemical, Tongkun Co., and Huafeng Chemical in the textile chain, and various firms in the agricultural sector such as Hualu Hengsheng and Baofeng Energy [3][4]. Key Company Valuations - The report provides a valuation table for key companies, indicating their market capitalization and projected earnings for the coming years [14].