Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Optimistic" rating for the chemical industry [2][3] Core Insights - The report highlights an upward trend in the dye, PVA, and vitamin sectors, with price increases expected post-holiday. It emphasizes the importance of positioning in the spring chemical sector [2][3] - Oil prices are expected to remain in a relatively loose range, supported by a stronger bottom, with Brent crude projected between $55-70 per barrel. Coal prices are stabilizing, and natural gas costs are anticipated to decline due to increased export facilities in the U.S. [2][3] - The report suggests focusing on specific sectors such as textiles, agriculture, exports, and beneficiaries of "anti-involution" policies for investment opportunities [2][3] Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - Current macroeconomic judgment indicates that oil supply is slowing due to OPEC+ production delays and peak shale oil output. Demand is stabilizing with global economic improvements, leading to a forecast of stable oil demand [3][4] - The chemical industry is experiencing a recovery phase, with PPI showing a slight increase and manufacturing PMI at 49.3%, indicating some volatility in manufacturing operations [4] Investment Analysis - The report recommends investments in the textile chain, agricultural chain, export chain, and sectors benefiting from anti-involution policies. Specific companies to watch include: - Textiles: Lu Xi Chemical, Tongkun Co., Rongsheng Petrochemical, Hengli Petrochemical - Agriculture: Hualu Hengsheng, Baofeng Energy, Yuntianhua, Xingfa Group - Exports: Juhua Co., Sanmei Co., Wanhu Chemical, and others [2][3] - Key materials for growth include semiconductor materials, panel materials, and biobased materials, with specific companies highlighted for each category [2][3] Key Company Valuations - The report provides a valuation table for key companies, indicating their market capitalization and projected earnings for 2024-2027, with recommendations for "Increase" or "Buy" ratings for several firms [15][16]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Optimistic" rating for the chemical industry [2][3] Core Insights - The chemical macroeconomic outlook indicates a stable increase in oil demand due to global economic recovery, with Brent crude oil expected to remain in the range of $55-70 per barrel [2][3] - The dye, PVA, and vitamin sectors are experiencing upward trends, with price increases anticipated post-holiday, highlighting the importance of positioning in the spring chemical sector [2][3] - The report suggests focusing on specific companies within the textile, agricultural, export, and "anti-involution" sectors for investment opportunities [2][3] Summary by Relevant Sections Chemical Macro Outlook - Oil supply is constrained due to OPEC+ production delays and peak shale oil output, while demand is stabilizing with tariff adjustments and economic improvements [2][3] - Coal prices are expected to stabilize at a long-term bottom, and natural gas costs may decrease as the U.S. accelerates export facility construction [2][3] Price Trends and Recommendations - Dye prices are expected to rise significantly, with companies like Zhejiang Longsheng and Runtu Co. recommended for investment [2][3] - PVA prices have increased from 9,530 CNY/ton to 10,244 CNY/ton, indicating further upward potential, with a focus on Anhui Wuhua [2][3] - Vitamin E prices are projected to rise post-holiday due to production halts during the Chinese New Year, with New Hope Liuhe recommended [2][3] Investment Strategy - The report recommends a diversified investment approach across four main chains: textile, agricultural, export, and sectors benefiting from "anti-involution" policies [2][3] - Key companies to watch include: - Textile: LUXI Chemical, Tongkun Co., and Hengli Petrochemical - Agricultural: Hualu Hengsheng, Baofeng Energy, and Yuntianhua - Export-related chemicals: Juhua Co., Wanhua Chemical, and leading titanium dioxide producers [2][3] Growth Focus - Emphasis on self-sufficiency in key materials, particularly in semiconductor and panel materials, with companies like Yake Technology and Dingsheng Co. highlighted [2][3]

2月10日，浙江龙盛大宗交易成交38.92万股，成交额626.22万元，占当日总成交额的0.31%，成交价16.09元，较市场收盘价16.09元持平。 | 交易日期 | 证券简称 | 证券代码 | 成交价(元) 成交金额(万元) 成交量( * ) 买入营业部 | | | 卖出营业部 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2026-02-10 | 浙江龙盛 | 600352 | 16.09 626.22 | 38.92 | 国泰海通证券股份 有限公司总部 | 国泰海通证券股份 有限公司总部 | ...

证券研究报告：基础化工|行业周报 发布时间：2026-02-10 行业投资评级 强于大市 |维持 | 行业基本情况 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘点位 | | 4825.85 | | 52 | 周最高 | 4988.89 | | 52 | 周最低 | 3081.91 | ⚫ 本周化工行情概述 本周基础化工行业指数收 4729.08 点，较上周下降 4.35%，跑输 沪深 300 指数 2.59%。细分子行业看，截至本周五（2 月 6 日），申万 化工三级分类中 2 个子行业收涨，23 个子行业收跌。其中，合成树 脂、其他橡胶制品、食品及饲料添加剂、膜材料、其他化学制品行业 领涨、周涨幅分别为 1.34%、0.80%、-0.22%、-1.73%、-2.22%;粘胶、 煤化工、磷肥及磷化工行业走跌，周跌幅分别为-8.09%、-7.85%、- 7.55%。 行业相对指数表现 -8% -2% 4% 10% 16% 22% 28% 34% 40% 46% 2025-02 2025-04 2025-07 2025-09 2025-11 2026-02 基础化工 沪深300 资料来源：聚源，中 ...

Group 1: Price Adjustments - Zhejiang Longsheng announced a price increase of 5000 yuan/ton for certain disperse dye products due to rising prices of reducing agents [1] - Lun土股份 also reported a similar price increase of approximately 5000 yuan/ton for disperse black dye, attributing it to the rising costs of reducing agents [1] - Fulaient has issued a price adjustment notice for multiple disperse dye products, with increases ranging from 2000 to 3000 yuan per ton, expected to be around 10% [1] Group 2: Industry Overview - The disperse dye sector has seen a recent surge, with companies like Haixiang Pharmaceutical and Jihua Group experiencing significant stock performance [2] - China is the largest producer, trader, and consumer of dyes globally, accounting for approximately 70%-75% of the world's total dye production [2] - Major production areas for dyes in China include Zhejiang, Jiangsu, and Shandong, with a high industry concentration [2] Group 3: Market Trends - The disperse dye industry has faced a downward trend over the past five years, but a turning point is emerging as the core intermediate, reducing agents, has started to increase in price [3] - The price of reducing agents rose over 50% from 25,000 yuan/ton to 38,000 yuan/ton by the end of January [3] - Disperse dye prices have also been on the rise, with increases noted in January, indicating a potential price turning point [3] Group 4: Future Outlook - The production of reducing agents is subject to high environmental standards and complex processes, leading to the exit of smaller producers unable to meet these standards [4] - The supply structure is highly concentrated, with major capacities held by integrated giants, which may lead to sustained price increases for reducing agents [4] - The traditional peak season for the printing and dyeing industry in March and April may exacerbate supply-demand tensions as downstream manufacturers stock up in anticipation of price hikes [4]

经济观察网分散染料概念近期反复走强，海翔药业（002099）3连板，此前吉华集团（603980）走出4天 3板，善水科技（301190）、雅运股份（603790）、闰土股份（002440）、亚邦股份（603188）跟涨。 消息面上，浙江龙盛（600352）分散染料部分品种，2月8日再度调价，其中主要产品分散黑报价近期累 计上涨5000元/吨。因近期还原物价格上涨，闰土股份分散染料黑价格近期已每吨累计上涨约5000元。 ...

正如柠檬醛之于VA，还原物优异的供给格局决定了其行业协同一旦达成，下游染料格局将被瞬时优化，原材料供 给的不足或价格压力将迫使染料迅速进入供需紧张状态。 历史上柠檬醛扰动带来VA价格曾上涨超过10倍，染料属性与维生素趋同，下游对其价格敏感度低，此轮高度值得 期待。 （浙江龙盛）为什么我们看好此轮染料涨价的持续性和高度？ 正如柠檬醛之于VA，还原物优异的供给格局决定了其行业协同一旦达成，下游染料格局将被瞬时优化，原材料供 给的不足或价格压力将迫使染料迅速进入供需紧张状态。 历史上柠檬醛扰动带来VA价格曾上涨超过10倍，染料属性与维生素趋同，下游对其价格敏感度低，此轮高度值得 期待。 头部企业态度的坚决，一体化叠加规模化 （浙江龙盛）为什么我们看好此轮染料涨价的持续性和高度？ 我们认为很难，这一方面来自多年的价格战已清退大量中小产能，目前格局高度集中，且还原物的品质将较大程 度影响染料品质，另一方面来自还原物生产工艺中涉及到的硝化及加氢环节危险性较高，重启需漫长审批。 我们看好此轮头部企业主导的染料新一轮涨价行情，高度及持续性或超市场预期，建议关注浙江龙盛、闰土股 份、锦鸡股份、吉华集团、安诺其，雅运股份，部分标 ...

Important Matters - Evert plans to acquire 100% of Shengpu shares, with stock resuming trading on February 10 [1] - Hainan Mining intends to acquire 69.9% stake in Fengrui Fluorine Industry, with stock resuming trading on February 10 [1] - Runtou Co., which has seen its core product disperse dye prices rise by approximately 5000 yuan per ton recently, has achieved two consecutive trading limit increases [1] - Zhejiang Longsheng has announced another price adjustment for certain types of disperse dyes on February 8, with price sustainability dependent on supply and demand [1] - Taisheng Wind Power's rocket fuel storage tank production line is designed for an annual capacity of 60 tanks, expected to be operational by mid-2026 [1] - Dingsheng Technology has signed a cooperation framework agreement with Huineng Technology for solid-state batteries and the new energy industry [1] - Microelectrophysiology has received EU MDR certification for its magnetic navigation ablation catheter and star high-density mapping catheter [1] - Yuandong Bio has completed the first dosing of the Phase I clinical trial for the EP-0210 monoclonal antibody injection [1] - Xinyi Sheng has mass-produced and delivered 1.6T optical modules, while advancing the development of 3.2T, 6.4T, and 12.8T products [1] Investments, Contracts, and Collaborations - Mengguli plans to invest 929 million yuan to build a project for an annual production of 30,000 tons of lithium-ion battery cathode materials [1] - Zhiguang Electric's subsidiary has signed a 1.004 billion yuan contract for energy storage systems [1] - Daily Interaction's wholly-owned subsidiary intends to increase capital by 10 million yuan in Yuntong Shuda [1] - Jinhui Co. plans to acquire 100% of Fusheng Mining for 210 million yuan, which holds a gold mining right with an annual production capacity of 50,000 tons [1] - Yuanjie Technology intends to invest 1.251 billion yuan to build a second-phase research and production base for optoelectronic communication semiconductors, focusing on high-speed optical chips [1] - Zhongke Shuguang plans to issue convertible bonds to raise no more than 8 billion yuan for advanced computing cluster systems aimed at artificial intelligence [1] Share Buybacks - Huitai Medical plans to repurchase shares worth 150 million to 200 million yuan for employee stock ownership plans or equity incentives [2] - Kaiying Network intends to repurchase shares worth 100 million to 200 million yuan [2] - Dianzhi Technology plans to repurchase shares worth 100 million to 200 million yuan [2]

Group 1 - Xi Jinping emphasized the importance of technological self-reliance for building a modern socialist country during his visit to the National Innovation Park in Beijing, where he observed advancements in AI and robotics [1] - The Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock exchanges announced a package of measures to optimize refinancing processes for high-quality listed companies, aiming to enhance refinancing efficiency [2] - The Ministry of Commerce plans to implement a vehicle trade-in program by 2026 to boost automotive consumption, alongside other reforms in the automotive circulation sector [3] Group 2 - Zhongke Shuguang announced plans to issue convertible bonds to raise up to 8 billion yuan for advanced computing cluster projects focused on AI [5] - Efort plans to acquire 100% of Shengpu shares, with stock resuming trading on February 10; Hainan Mining intends to acquire 69.9% of Fengrui Fluorine Industry shares, also resuming trading [6] - Jinhui shares announced a 210 million yuan acquisition of 100% of Fusheng Mining, which holds a gold mining license with an annual production capacity of 50,000 tons [6] Group 3 - Mengguli announced an investment of 929 million yuan to build a project for producing 30,000 tons of lithium-ion battery cathode materials annually [7] - Yuanjie Technology plans to invest 1.251 billion yuan in the second phase of a semiconductor chip and device R&D production base, focusing on high-speed optical chips [7] - Cuihua Jewelry is under investigation by the CSRC for suspected violations of information disclosure regulations [8] Group 4 - The transportation regulatory office conducted a meeting with Gaode Dache, highlighting issues such as inadequate management of partner ride-hailing platforms and improper emergency responses [13] - The U.S. stock market saw gains, with major indices rising, particularly Oracle, which increased by over 9% [14] - COMEX gold futures rose by 2.1% to $5084.2 per ounce, while silver futures increased by 8% to $83.05 per ounce [15]

Industry News - The Ministry of Transport's new regulatory meeting addressed issues with Gaode Taxi, highlighting management shortcomings and requiring immediate corrective actions to protect driver rights [41] - The Ministry of Commerce held a meeting with automotive companies to discuss strategies for enhancing automotive consumption, including the implementation of a vehicle trade-in program and industry management improvements by 2026 [41] - Apple plans to launch a new iPhone Flip model following the iPhone Fold, prompting Samsung Display to evaluate expanding OLED panel production capacity for Apple [41] - Rare earth product prices have increased, with praseodymium-neodymium oxide averaging 798,800 yuan/ton, up 41,300 yuan/ton; neodymium metal averaging 976,300 yuan/ton, up 61,900 yuan/ton; dysprosium oxide averaging 1,400,800 yuan/ton, up 16,500 yuan/ton; and terbium oxide averaging 6,214,300 yuan/ton, up 77,200 yuan/ton [41][42] Company News - Zhiguang Electric announced a contract for the sale of energy storage systems worth 1.004 billion yuan [43] - Zhejiang Longsheng reported a price increase of 5,000 yuan/ton for certain disperse dyes as of February 8 [43] - Source Technology plans to invest 1.251 billion yuan in the second phase of its optical communication semiconductor chip and device R&D production base [48] - Jinwei Co. intends to acquire 100% of Fusheng Mining for 210 million yuan, with the target company holding mining rights for a production scale of 50,000 tons/year [48]