Group 1 - The retail concept is rapidly gaining traction, with Sanjiang Shopping hitting the daily limit up [1] - Maoye Commercial has achieved two consecutive trading limit increases [1] - Other companies such as Jiajia Yue, Chongqing Department Store, Dazhong Shares, Shanghai Jiubai, and Xinhua Department Store are also experiencing upward movement [1]

Market Overview - The general retail sector experienced a decline of 0.36% on January 7, with Cuiwei Co. leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4085.77, up 0.05%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14030.56, up 0.06% [1] Stock Performance - Notable gainers in the general retail sector included: - Youa Co. (002277) with a closing price of 7.85, up 9.94% and a trading volume of 899,900 shares, totaling 6.91 billion yuan [1] - Shanghai Jiubai (600838) closed at 12.60, up 7.05% with a trading volume of 1,061,900 shares, totaling 13.37 billion yuan [1] - New World (600628) closed at 8.45, up 5.23% with a trading volume of 546,400 shares, totaling 4.55 billion yuan [1] Fund Flow Analysis - The general retail sector saw a net outflow of 346 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 145 million yuan [2] - The top stocks by net inflow from retail investors included: - Youa Co. with a net outflow of 91.06 million yuan from retail investors [3] - Shanghai Jiubai with a net outflow of 5.84 million yuan from retail investors [3] - New World with a net outflow of 3.12 million yuan from retail investors [3]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [4][31]. Core Insights - Xinhua Department Store is recognized as a leading retail company in the Ningxia region, with a significant market presence. The company has initiated a transformation of its supermarket operations since September 2025, which is expected to accelerate its fundamental performance [4][7]. - The company has maintained stable revenue and profit in the first three quarters of 2025, achieving a revenue of 4.707 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 108 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.3% [6][30]. - The supermarket business is the core revenue source for the company, and the ongoing transformation is anticipated to enhance future revenue and profit [6][25]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - As of Q3 2025, Xinhua Department Store operates 342 stores, including 14 department stores and 240 supermarkets, primarily located in Ningxia [7][10]. Financial Performance - The company forecasts revenues of 6.065 billion yuan for 2023, with a growth rate of 3%, and expects a net profit of 136 million yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 46% [4][30]. - The report projects net profits of 142 million yuan, 165 million yuan, and 213 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, indicating growth rates of 5%, 16%, and 29% [30][31]. Business Transformation - The company has begun a significant transformation of its supermarket operations, which is expected to improve its competitive position in the underdeveloped market segments [17][21]. - The introduction of high-quality products and optimization of the supply chain are key components of this transformation, which aims to enhance customer experience and drive sales [17][27]. Expansion Plans - Xinhua Department Store is set to expand into Beijing with a new project named "Xinhua Department Store CCmall," which is strategically located in a prime area of the city [20][22]. - The project is expected to contribute to the company's growth and is seen as a significant milestone in its expansion strategy [22][31].

Core Viewpoint - Xinhua Department Store (600785) is currently focused on its business operations primarily in Ningxia and surrounding northwest provinces, with no plans to expand into Fujian at this time [1] Company Summary - The company has confirmed its operational focus in Ningxia and nearby regions, indicating a strategic decision to concentrate resources and efforts in these areas [1]

Core Viewpoint - Xinhua Department Store (600785.SH) is currently focused on its business operations primarily in Ningxia and surrounding northwestern provinces, with no plans to expand into Fujian at this time [1] Company Summary - The company operates mainly in Ningxia and nearby northwestern provinces [1] - There are no current considerations for business expansion into Fujian [1]

Core Viewpoint - Xinhua Department Store (600785.SH) is currently focused on its business operations primarily in Ningxia and surrounding northwestern provinces, with no plans to expand into Fujian at this time [1] Company Summary - The company operates mainly in Ningxia and nearby northwestern provinces [1] - There are no current considerations for business expansion into Fujian [1]

Group 1 - The retail sector is showing active performance, with several companies in A-shares and Hong Kong stocks experiencing significant gains, indicating a positive market sentiment [1] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, along with other governmental bodies, has issued a plan to enhance the adaptability of supply and demand in consumer goods, aiming to stimulate consumption [2][3] Group 2 - The plan outlines goals for 2027, including the optimization of the consumer goods supply structure, the formation of three trillion-level consumption fields, and ten hundred-billion-level consumption hotspots [5] - By 2030, a high-quality development pattern characterized by positive interaction between supply and consumption is expected to be established, with a steady increase in consumption's contribution to economic growth [5] - The plan emphasizes the expansion of diverse interest consumption supplies, particularly in areas such as pet-related products, anime, and trendy toys, reflecting a shift in consumer preferences towards emotional and experiential purchases [5] - The emotional economy in China is projected to grow significantly, with the market size expected to reach approximately 23 trillion yuan in 2024 and exceed 45 trillion yuan by 2029, highlighting the importance of emotional consumption in driving market growth [6] - The pet economy is anticipated to reach a scale of 701.3 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 18.3%, and is expected to grow to 1.15 trillion yuan by 2028 [6] - The trendy toy industry in China is valued at around 60 billion yuan in 2023, with projections to reach 110.1 billion yuan by 2026, indicating a robust annual growth rate of over 20% [7] - The ongoing policy support and rapid market demand expansion in sectors like pet economy and trendy toys are expected to accelerate growth, presenting new opportunities for retail companies [7]

Group 1 - The company, Xinhua Department Store, confirmed on November 21 that it currently has a sales business for aquatic products but does not engage in aquaculture [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook for the retail industry, indicating an expectation of performance that exceeds the market benchmark by over 5% [5]. Core Insights - The report highlights a warming trend in high-end consumption, particularly benefiting offline department stores and supermarkets. It notes that the retail industry has undergone significant changes over the past decade, with a contraction in supply due to the rise of e-commerce and other retail formats. The report anticipates a recovery in offline retail driven by increased policy support and adjustments in supermarket operations [2][3]. Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations and Targets - The report suggests that the "Retail Wheel" theory reveals cyclical patterns in the retail industry. It identifies two main investment themes: 1. Accelerated adjustments in supermarkets, with resilient performance expected from leading regional retail companies such as Chongqing Department Store, Bubugao, Yonghui Supermarket, Huijia Times, Xinhua Department Store, and Jiajia Yue [3]. 2. Department stores with luxury goods operations are expected to benefit from the recovery in high-end consumption, including companies like Hangzhou Department Store and Wushang Group [3]. High-End Retail Market Signals - Several high-end retailers are showing signs of stabilization, with LVMH, Hermès, Prada, and Kering reporting positive revenue growth. For instance, Hermès and Prada saw revenue increases of 9.6% and 8%, respectively. LVMH has returned to positive growth after two quarters of decline, and Kering's losses have significantly narrowed [8]. - Notable sales growth was observed in Beijing and Shanghai's high-end retail locations, with sales increases of 7.8% and 41.9% respectively in the first three quarters [8]. Upcoming Consumer Trends - The extended Spring Festival in 2026 is expected to boost seasonal consumption, with a potential 10-day shopping period when combined with Valentine's Day. Historical data indicates that the first quarter's performance is crucial for annual revenue, suggesting a favorable outlook for 2026 [8]. - The implementation of a nationwide "immediate refund" policy for outbound travelers is anticipated to enhance consumer spending from foreign visitors, with significant increases in the number of travelers and refund amounts reported [8].

Core Points - The company announced a cash dividend distribution of 0.10 yuan per share for the first half of 2025, approved at the fourth extraordinary shareholders' meeting on September 10, 2025 [2][4] - The total cash dividend to be distributed amounts to 22,563,128 yuan based on a total share capital of 225,631,280 shares [4] Distribution Details - The distribution is applicable to all shareholders registered with the China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited, Shanghai Branch, as of the close of trading on the day before the dividend record date [3] - The cash dividends will be distributed through the clearing system of the China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited, with specific arrangements for shareholders who have completed designated transactions [5] Taxation Information - For individual shareholders holding shares for over one year, the cash dividend of 0.10 yuan per share is exempt from personal income tax. For those holding shares for one year or less, the company will not withhold tax at the time of distribution, but tax will be calculated based on the holding period upon transfer of shares [10] - Qualified Foreign Institutional Investors (QFII) will have a 10% withholding tax applied, resulting in a net cash dividend of 0.09 yuan per share [11] - For shareholders under the Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited account, a similar 10% withholding tax applies, also resulting in a net cash dividend of 0.09 yuan per share [11]