证券之星消息，8月19日物流板块较上一交易日下跌0.06%，嘉诚国际领跌。当日上证指数报收于 3727.29，下跌0.02%。深证成指报收于11821.63，下跌0.12%。物流板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 603535 | 嘉诚国际 | 12.23 | -4.00% | 26.03万 | | 3.18亿 | | 002492 | 恒基达整 | 7.33 | -2.27% | 17.41万 | 1.28亿 | | | 001202 | 炬申股份 | 15.42 | -1.91% | 25.32万 | | 4.03亿 | | 002485 | ST雪发 | 3.79 | -1.30% | 2.95万 | 1126.25万 | | | 603056 | 德邦股份 | 16.72 | -1.12% | 20.21万 | | 3.39 Z | | 603713 | 密尔克卫 | 60.70 | -0.98% | 3.40万 | | 2.07亿 | ...

Overview - The dangerous goods warehousing industry in China has seen significant growth, with a market size reaching 392.4 billion yuan in 2022, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.28% [6][8] - However, the market is expected to slightly decline to 388.1 billion yuan in 2024 due to various factors such as global geopolitical conflicts, inflation pressures, and uneven economic recovery [6][8] Industry Chain - The upstream of the dangerous goods warehousing industry involves the production, processing, and supply of hazardous materials, including chemical raw materials and explosives [4] - The downstream consists of industries such as chemicals, pharmaceuticals, energy, and cosmetics, which are the primary demanders of dangerous goods warehousing services [4] Current Development - The industry plays a crucial role in the logistics system for hazardous materials, providing comprehensive storage and related services to ensure safe and efficient operations [6][8] - The demand for dangerous goods logistics is increasing due to the growth of high-risk industries in China [6][8] Competitive Landscape - The dangerous goods warehousing industry has high specialization and is subject to strict safety and environmental regulations, creating significant entry barriers [10][11] - The top ten companies in the hazardous goods warehousing sector include Milky Way Intelligent Supply Chain Service Group, Shanghai Changji Supply Chain Management, and others, with Milky Way leading in warehouse area at 679,000 square meters [12][14] Company Analysis - Milky Way Intelligent Supply Chain Service Group reported a total revenue of 12.12 billion yuan in 2024, with a significant portion coming from integrated logistics services [14] - Guangdong Hongchuan Smart Logistics Co., Ltd. achieved a total revenue of 1.45 billion yuan in 2024, primarily from comprehensive storage and transfer services [16] Development Trends - The future of the industry will see increased application of IoT technology and big data analytics to enhance monitoring and emergency response capabilities [18] - There will be a stronger focus on green development, with companies adopting environmentally friendly materials and optimizing logistics to reduce energy consumption and carbon emissions [18]

证券之星消息，8月18日物流板块较上一交易日上涨1.32%，炬申股份领涨。当日上证指数报收于 3728.03，上涨0.85%。深证成指报收于11835.57，上涨1.73%。物流板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 001202 | 炬申股份 | 15.72 | 10.01% | 5.06万 | | 7714.08万 | | 600233 | 圆通速递 | 17.83 | 6.00% | 49.96万 | | - 8.71亿 | | 002468 | 申通快递 | 17.28 | 5.43% | 55.86万 | | 9.46 亿 | | 002120 | 韵达股份 | 8.75 | 5.17% | 134.14万 | | 11.49亿 | | 603713 | 密尔克卫 | 61.30 | 4.02% | 4.99万 | | 3.06亿 | | 600119 | 长江投资 | 9.26 | 3.12% | 15.71万 | | 1.46亿 | | ...

证 券 研 究 报 告 密尔克卫（603713）2025 年半年报点评 推荐（维持） 25H1 归母净利 3.5 亿元，同比+13%，积极推动全 球化布局，静待周期景气回暖 公司公告 2025 年中报：1）业绩表现：25H1 营收 70.4 亿，同比+17.4%；归母 净利 3.5 亿，同比+13.1%。其中 25Q1 营收 33.4 亿，同比+15.4%；归母净利 1.7 亿，同比+14.0%。25Q2 营收 36.9 亿，同比+19.3%；归母净利 1.8 亿，同 比+12.3%。 2）分业务来看，全球移动、化工品分销增长亮眼。2025 上半年全球货代业务 营收 16.9 亿，同比+4.85%；毛利 1.8 亿，同比+5.3%；毛利率 10.86%，同比 +0.04pct。仓配一体化业务营收 12.2 亿，同比-1.9%；毛利 2.3 亿，同比-9.2%； 毛利率 18.67%，同比-1.5pct。全球移动业务营收 7.0 亿，同比+50.9%；毛利 0.88 亿，同比+37.9%；毛利率 12.49%，同比-1.2pct。化工品分销业务营收 33.8 亿，同比+27.1%；毛利 2.7 亿，同比+50. ...

Summary of Chemical Logistics Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The chemical logistics sector is cyclical and closely tied to macroeconomic trends, particularly in consumption, real estate, and automotive industries [1][2][3] - From 2000 to 2024, the average annual growth rate of chemical production is approximately 7% [1][3] - The third-party chemical logistics market is nearing 1 trillion, representing a small portion of the total market size of 2.4 trillion, indicating low industry concentration with leading companies holding less than 1% market share [1][6] Key Insights - The industry is currently at a low point, awaiting a reversal, with companies like Michal Wei and Hongchuan Zhihui showing signs of recovery [2] - The demand for chemical products is expected to remain strong for exports, while domestic demand is currently weak [5][10] - The Chemical Commodity Price Index (CCPI) indicates a low state for the chemical industry, but prices are expected to recover with the implementation of macroeconomic policies [9][10] Company Performance - Michal Wei's revenue and net profit are significantly influenced by industry beta, with a forecasted revenue of approximately 6.5 billion in 2025, 7.6 billion in 2026, and 8.6 billion in 2027 [11][12] - New Tong Co. is expected to double its export capacity by adding over 100,000 tons of carrying capacity from 2025 to 2027, which will significantly boost revenue and profit [14] - Both companies are expanding through acquisitions, with Michal Wei acquiring a Shanghai chemical company to enhance distribution capabilities [7] Market Dynamics - The industry is characterized by a fragmented structure, with leading companies like Michal Wei and New Tong Co. expanding against the trend [10] - The current domestic demand is under pressure, as indicated by the CCPI, which has not shown significant signs of recovery [8][9] - The logistics sector is expected to benefit from a potential economic recovery and interest rate cuts in late 2025 [5][10] Future Outlook - The valuation for Michal Wei is projected at 14 times in 2025, 12 times in 2026, and 10 times in 2027, suggesting it is not overly expensive for a company at the bottom of the cycle [12][13] - The importance of forward-looking strategies in the chemical logistics sector is emphasized, particularly in identifying companies with significant elasticity like Michal Wei and New Tong Co. [17] Additional Considerations - The trend of third-party chemical logistics is growing due to lower costs and improved safety measures, which may lead to increased market penetration [6] - The performance of New Tong Co.'s domestic business is expected to remain stable due to regulatory challenges, while its export business is anticipated to drive growth [15][16]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Minghe Investment has conducted research on a listed company, Milkwell, focusing on its overseas management team and local recruitment strategies [1] - Milkwell has over 300 employees in Southeast Asia, with most being locally hired middle management and staff, emphasizing cultural alignment with local core management [1] - The company is actively expanding its recruitment of senior management talent in overseas markets [1] Group 2 - Minghe Investment, established in April 2010 with a registered capital of 10 million RMB, adheres to a "steady, long-term, and win-win" investment philosophy [2] - The company emphasizes a professional and standardized approach, aiming to provide top-tier investment management services through a robust operational philosophy and scientific research system [2] - The management team consists of experienced professionals from core positions in fund management, operating under a partner management model with incentives for core employees [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the well-known private equity firm, Shanghai Hosheng Asset Management Co., recently conducted research on a listed company, Milkewei, focusing on its overseas management team and local recruitment strategies [1] - Milkewei has over 300 employees in Southeast Asia, with most being locally hired middle management and staff, emphasizing cultural alignment with local core management [1] - The company is actively expanding its recruitment of senior management talent in overseas markets [1] Group 2 - Shanghai Hosheng Asset Management Co., established in 2011, is one of the first private fund managers registered with the Asset Management Association of China in 2014 [2] - The firm is recognized as a leading institution in credit bond research and investment, with a team possessing strong educational backgrounds and extensive experience in the domestic capital market [2] - Hosheng Asset adheres to a value investment philosophy, focusing on research to create value and striving to generate excess returns for clients through dynamic portfolio optimization [2]

Group 1: Nandu Power (南都电源) - Nandu Power focuses on the energy storage sector, providing lithium-ion and lead batteries, with a global presence in over 160 countries [1] - In the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of approximately 3.923 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.8 billion yuan, and a net profit of approximately -230 million yuan [1] - The company achieved a quarterly profit of approximately 34 million yuan in Q2, driven by high-margin orders in the global energy storage market and rapid growth in data center business [1] - Nandu Power has a current lithium battery cell capacity of 10 GWh and is expanding its new power storage integration capacity [1] - The company has secured multiple high-pressure lithium battery data center projects, with an unfulfilled order backlog of approximately 0.8 GWh [1] Group 2: Milkway (密尔克卫) - Milkway has over 300 employees in Southeast Asia, primarily hiring local mid-level management and staff [2] - The company emphasizes cultural alignment with local management while continuously expanding its recruitment of senior management talent [2] Group 3: Xinqianglian (新强联) - Xinqianglian anticipates growth in domestic demand for tapered roller bearings (TRB) driven by the wind power industry, particularly in large megawatt units [3] - The company is focusing on international expansion, starting with regions where it has existing partnerships [3] - To enhance profitability, Xinqianglian is increasing R&D investment and optimizing its product structure [3] Group 4: Zhenhua (振华股份) - Zhenhua's metal chromium demand is growing, with significant contributions from domestic markets, while exports are also increasing at double-digit rates annually [4] - The company maintains a cost-plus pricing strategy and has achieved historically high gross margins in Q2 [4] - Cash flow has decreased due to accounts receivable and inventory, but the company is expanding its production of ultra-fine aluminum hydroxide [4] Group 5: Penghua Fund (鹏华基金) - Penghua Fund, established in 1998, has an asset management scale of 944.834 billion yuan, ranking 10th among 210 firms [1] - The fund manages 708 public funds, ranking 8th, and has 83 fund managers, ranking 11th [1] - The best-performing fund in the past year is the Penghua Carbon Neutral Theme Mixed A, with a net value growth of 149.91% [1]

调研纪要：关于海外管理团队，密尔克卫在东南亚已有超过300名员工，除几位外派的管理层外，大部 分都是当地招聘的中层管理人员和员工。在海外人才管理方面，我们注重与当地核心管理人员的文化认 同，同时不断扩充高级管理人才的招聘。 调研纪要：南都电源成立于1994年，专注储能领域，提供锂离子电池和铅电池为核心的系统化产品及服 务，覆盖全球160多个国家和地区。2025年上半年，公司营业收入约39.23亿元，同比下降18亿，归母净 利润约-2.3亿元，二季度单季度盈利约3400万元，经营活动现金净流量5.9亿元。二季度扭亏为盈得益于 深耕全球储能市场，获得高毛利率订单，数据中心市场业务规模快速增长，中标多个重大项目。公司现 有锂电电芯产能10GWh，新型电力储能集成产能10GWh，华拓二期和扬州项目有序推进，再生铅板块 减产，加大磷铁资源化研发。公司开发783Ah、587Ah单体超大容量铁锂储能电芯，完成314Ah半固态 电芯的长电箱5MWh液冷储能系统开发，发布20尺6.25MWh储能系统。海外大储市场加速扩张，公司在 手未发订单7.8GWh，其中海外2.3GWh，主要市场为澳洲、欧洲、英国、中东等。公司连续中标多个 ...

Fixed Income - The report maintains a bullish outlook on the bond market, citing that the recent bond market pullback is primarily due to systematic duration reduction by bond funds and broker proprietary trading, rather than economic fundamentals [2][11][19] - Economic data from July shows significant weakness, with credit experiencing rare negative growth, indicating increased downward pressure on the economy in the second half of the year [2][10][14] - The central bank's continued easing and the expectation of low funding rates are expected to support bond carry, with a potential resumption of government bond purchases to stabilize issuance costs [11][12][19] Metals and New Materials - The report highlights a significant increase in lithium prices, with carbonate lithium rising by 15.0% to 83,000 yuan/ton and spodumene concentrate increasing by 20.98% to 940 USD/ton [3][20][23] - Copper prices are experiencing fluctuations due to Fed rate cut expectations, while aluminum prices are expected to remain stable amid rising inventories [20][21] - The cobalt market is anticipated to see price increases due to a temporary export ban from the Democratic Republic of Congo, which may lead to raw material shortages in Q4 [24] North Exchange - The North Exchange is progressing towards the "920" era, with the first nationwide test for stock code switching completed, indicating a move towards a more streamlined market structure [6][26][27] - 26 companies listed on the North Exchange reported positive mid-year results, with a median revenue growth of 17% and net profit growth of 27%, suggesting a healthy market environment [26][28] - The North Exchange market is expected to gradually become more optimistic, focusing on high-growth companies as the market stabilizes after a period of consolidation [26][28] New Consumption - The opening of the WuShang WS Jiangtun membership store has received a positive response, indicating strong consumer interest in innovative retail formats [30][31] - A strategic partnership between Rongtai Health and Meituan aims to enhance consumer health services through smart therapy solutions, reflecting a trend towards integrating technology in health and wellness [30] - The upcoming price adjustment by Laopu Gold is expected to generate significant consumer interest, potentially leading to a surge in sales [31][32] Transportation - The report on Meikewai (603713.SH) indicates strong performance in distribution services, with a 17.40% year-on-year revenue increase to 7.035 billion yuan in the first half of 2025 [34][35] - The company is expanding its logistics network and enhancing its service capabilities, particularly in the chemical distribution sector, which is expected to drive future growth [35][36] - The overall profitability of the company has improved, although there are short-term pressures on expenses due to increased sales and exchange losses [36][37]