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研判2025!中国光伏检测设备行业相关政策、发展现状、企业分析及未来前景展望:光伏产业供过于求,导致行业内企业业绩短期承压[图]
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-12-26 01:17
Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic testing equipment industry is experiencing rapid growth driven by the expansion of photovoltaic cell and module production capacity, leading to increased demand for testing equipment and higher quality standards in production processes [1][3][6]. Industry Overview - Photovoltaic testing equipment is essential for assessing the performance, quality, safety, and reliability of photovoltaic components and systems, playing a crucial role in the development of the photovoltaic industry [3][4]. - The market size of China's photovoltaic testing equipment industry is projected to reach 2.101 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.9% [1][7]. Industry Policies - Recent government policies have been implemented to promote the development of the photovoltaic industry, including guidelines for updating and replacing equipment to improve efficiency standards [4][6]. - The 2024-2025 energy conservation and carbon reduction action plan emphasizes the construction of large-scale photovoltaic bases in desert areas, which will further drive the demand for testing equipment [4][6]. Market Dynamics - The cumulative installed capacity of photovoltaic systems in China increased from 204.2 GW in 2019 to 886.66 GW in 2024, with new installations rising from 30.1 GW to 277.17 GW during the same period [6]. - The rapid growth in installed capacity is expected to lead to increased demand for testing equipment to ensure quality control and operational efficiency [6][10]. Competitive Landscape - The photovoltaic testing equipment market is dominated by a few large manufacturers from Europe, the United States, and Japan, while domestic companies in China are rapidly improving their technology and quality [8][9]. - Key players in the Chinese market include Shanghai Optoelectronics Technology Co., Ltd., Shenzhen Huashengchang Technology Co., Ltd., and others, with varying performance and revenue trends [8][9]. Development Trends - The industry is moving towards greater automation and intelligence in testing processes, integrating visual defect detection systems to enhance production efficiency and reduce labor costs [10][11]. - As the focus shifts from quantity to quality, there is an increasing demand for high-performance testing equipment, prompting continuous technological innovation within the industry [11]. - Global expansion is accelerating, with Chinese companies establishing production bases in Southeast Asia and the Middle East to meet international market demands and comply with global testing standards [12].
上游材料价格上升 光伏组件厂商相继上调组件报价
Core Viewpoint - The recent price increase of photovoltaic (PV) modules is primarily driven by rising upstream material costs, particularly silver paste, which has seen significant price hikes due to surging silver prices [1][4]. Group 1: Price Increases and Market Dynamics - Major PV manufacturers like Longi Green Energy and JinkoSolar have raised module prices by 0.02 to 0.05 yuan per watt, citing increased costs of upstream materials [1]. - Silver futures and spot prices have reached historical highs, with increases of over 130% and 150% respectively this year [1]. - Despite the price increases in upstream materials, the price of PV modules has only risen by less than 2% this year, lagging behind other components like silicon wafers and battery cells, which have seen increases of over 19% and 15% respectively [4][6]. Group 2: Cost Structure Changes - The cost structure of PV modules has shifted, with silver paste now accounting for 17% of the total cost, surpassing silicon materials, which have decreased in cost share due to falling prices [3]. - The average transaction price of N-type multi-crystalline silicon has risen from 41,500 yuan/ton at the beginning of the year to 53,900 yuan/ton by December 24, marking a 29.88% increase [4]. Group 3: Investment Returns and Market Sentiment - The internal rate of return (IRR) for PV projects has been negatively impacted by declining feed-in tariffs, with current IRR expectations for domestic projects ranging from 6% to 7%, down from previous standards of 7% to 7.5% [5][6]. - There is a strong correlation between module prices and IRR, suggesting that rising module prices could deter investment in new installations [6]. Group 4: Future Outlook and Demand - The demand for PV modules is currently limited, and expectations for rapid market growth are diminishing, with the industry facing a potential inflection point in demand growth [8]. - The National Energy Administration reported that from January to October, China added 252.87 GW of new PV capacity, but the market is expected to stabilize rather than experience rapid growth in the future [8].
白银狂飙141%,硅料大涨,光伏组件想涨价却涨不动
21世纪经济报道· 2025-12-25 23:34
Core Viewpoint - The recent price increase of photovoltaic (PV) modules is primarily driven by rising upstream material costs, particularly silver paste, which has seen significant price hikes due to the surge in silver prices [1][5][6]. Group 1: Price Increases and Cost Structure - Major PV module manufacturers, including Longi Green Energy and JinkoSolar, have raised their module prices by 0.02 to 0.05 yuan per watt due to increased costs of upstream materials [1]. - Silver paste has become the largest cost component in PV modules, accounting for 17% of the total cost, followed by silicon materials at 14% and glass at 13% [5]. - The average price of N-type multicrystalline silicon has risen from 41,500 yuan/ton at the beginning of the year to 53,900 yuan/ton by December 24, marking a 29.88% increase [6]. - The spot price of silver has increased from 6.68 yuan/gram to 16.11 yuan/gram, reflecting a 141.17% rise [6]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Investment Returns - The price increase of upstream materials has not effectively translated to module prices due to concerns over the internal rate of return (IRR) for downstream solar power plant operators, which has been negatively impacted by recent policy changes [6][7]. - The IRR for domestic PV projects has decreased to a range of 6% to 7%, down from previous standards of 7% to 7.5% [6][7]. - There is a strong correlation between module prices and the IRR for solar power plants, indicating that any price increase in modules could dampen installation demand [7]. Group 3: Future Price Expectations and Market Demand - Industry experts suggest that module prices need to reach at least 0.8 yuan/W to ensure profitability for integrated module companies, with some estimates suggesting a target range of 0.88 to 0.99 yuan/W [9]. - The current average price for N-type TOPCon modules is 0.698 yuan/W, with a slight increase of 0.7% noted recently [9]. - Despite the desire for price increases, the limited market demand poses challenges for driving module prices higher in the short term [10]. - The newly released data indicates that China's newly installed PV capacity reached 252.87 GW from January to October, but the growth rate is expected to slow down, leading to uncertainty in future demand [10].
白银狂飙141%,硅料大涨,光伏组件想涨价却涨不动
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-25 23:31
Core Viewpoint - The recent price increase of photovoltaic (PV) modules is primarily driven by rising upstream material costs, particularly silver paste, which has seen significant price hikes due to soaring silver prices [1][3][4]. Group 1: Price Increases and Market Dynamics - Major PV manufacturers like Longi Green Energy and JinkoSolar have raised module prices by 0.02 to 0.05 yuan per watt due to increased costs of raw materials [1][3]. - Silver futures and spot prices have surged, with increases exceeding 130% and 150% respectively this year [1][3]. - The price increase of PV modules has lagged behind other components in the supply chain, with module prices rising less than 2% compared to significant increases in silicon wafers and battery cells [4][12]. Group 2: Cost Structure Changes - The cost structure of PV modules has shifted, with silver paste now accounting for 17% of the total cost, surpassing silicon materials which have decreased in cost share [11][12]. - The average transaction price of N-type multi-crystalline silicon has risen from 41,500 yuan per ton at the beginning of the year to 53,900 yuan per ton by December 24, marking a 29.88% increase [12]. - The price of silver has increased from 6.68 yuan per gram to 16.11 yuan per gram, reflecting a 141.17% rise [12]. Group 3: Investment Returns and Market Sentiment - The internal rate of return (IRR) for PV projects has been negatively impacted by declining electricity prices, with current IRR estimates for domestic projects ranging from 6% to 7% [4][13]. - There is a strong correlation between module prices and the IRR for solar power plants, suggesting that rising module prices could deter investment due to lower expected returns [5][13]. - Industry experts express skepticism about the sustainability of the recent price increases, questioning whether they can be maintained in the face of limited market demand [6][14]. Group 4: Future Market Outlook - The China Photovoltaic Industry Association has not provided forecasts for new installed capacity for 2026, indicating increased uncertainty regarding future demand [8][16]. - From January to October, China's newly installed PV capacity reached 252.87 GW, attributed to a surge in installations earlier in the year [8][16]. - The global PV market is expected to experience a slowdown in growth, with future demand projected to stabilize rather than increase rapidly [9][16].
晶科能源:TOPCon技术持续深耕,N型TOPCon/钙钛矿叠层电池转化效率突破34.76%
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-12-25 09:40
有投资者在互动平台向晶科能源提问:"近日世界首富马斯克点赞贵公司光电转换效率新纪录:'令人印 象深刻'。考虑到马斯克旗下有特斯拉、The Boring Company、SpaceX等都有可能用上贵公司的产品, 贵公司应积极主动联系这些公司推广贵公司产品。名人效应的正面影响是很大的,比如某新能源轿车巨 头在推出轿车初期就总是宣传巴菲特投资该公司。贵公司也应利用好本次马斯克点赞的名人效应,甚至 可考虑联系马斯克投资贵公司。供参考。" 本文源自:市场资讯 针对上述提问,晶科能源回应称:"尊敬的投资者您好,感谢您的诚挚建议,公司将认真考虑。公司本 次基于TOPCon技术平台高效电池效率纪录的取得,源于在TOPCon技术上的持续深耕,且TOPCon技术 能够与下一代钙钛矿叠层技术无缝衔接,公司N型TOPCon/钙钛矿叠层电池的转化效率经认证已突破 34.76%。公司在光伏技术上的连续突破,为未来在题述更多场景的应用奠定了坚实的技术基础。感谢 您的关注!" 作者:公告君 声明:市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文为AI基于第三方数据生成,仅供参考,不构成个人投资建议。 ...
光伏产业如何通过技术与整合走出低价困局
Core Insights - The photovoltaic industry is facing a severe oversupply and price decline due to excessive capacity expansion without corresponding demand growth [2][4] - Major companies in the industry have reported significant losses, with a total loss of 26.068 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025 [2] - The industry must shift from a focus on scale expansion to technological innovation to break free from the current predicament [4][32] Industry Overview - From 2021 to 2024, the photovoltaic industry has been in a race to expand production capacity, driven by carbon neutrality goals [1] - However, demand has not kept pace, leading to a decline in production across key segments, including polysilicon and silicon wafers, with polysilicon production down 29.6% year-on-year [2] - Prices for polysilicon have plummeted from over 300,000 yuan per ton in 2022 to 34,700 yuan per ton in mid-2025, a nearly 90% drop [2] Technological Innovation - The industry is at a crossroads where reliance on scale expansion is no longer viable, and technological innovation is essential for survival [4][32] - The transition from P-type to N-type solar cells represents a critical technological evolution, with N-type TOPCon technology becoming increasingly competitive [5][6] - Setting rigid efficiency standards for solar products is crucial to encourage innovation and eliminate low-quality competition [7][10] Policy and Regulation - The government is encouraged to implement policies that support high-efficiency solar components and set efficiency benchmarks for market entry [7][21] - The "three red lines" financial metrics, similar to those used in the real estate sector, could be applied to the photovoltaic industry to manage financial risks and prevent over-leverage [22][23] - Establishing a clear regulatory framework is deemed necessary to guide the industry towards sustainable development [20][32] Market Dynamics - The current market is characterized by a lack of unified efficiency data, leading to confusion and inconsistency in performance claims among companies [9] - The industry must focus on high-quality, high-efficiency products to move away from price-based competition and towards value-based competition [8][32] - Collaboration across the supply chain is essential to balance profitability and ensure sustainable operations for all stakeholders [14][17] Future Outlook - The photovoltaic industry is expected to evolve towards a model centered on technological innovation and quality improvement, moving away from the previous focus on scale and low prices [32] - Companies that prioritize innovation, manage risks effectively, and engage in ecosystem development are likely to emerge as leaders in the future [32]
光伏设备板块12月25日涨1.18%,*ST金刚领涨,主力资金净流入6.76亿元
Group 1 - The photovoltaic equipment sector increased by 1.18% on December 25, with *ST Jinkang leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3959.62, up 0.47%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13531.41, up 0.33% [1] - Key stocks in the photovoltaic equipment sector showed significant price increases, with *ST Quannetwork rising by 5.90% and closing at 17.60 [1] Group 2 - The photovoltaic equipment sector saw a net inflow of 676 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 432 million yuan [3][4] - Major stocks with significant net inflows included Yangguang Electric Power with 778 million yuan and Maiwei Co. with 216 million yuan [4] - The trading volume and turnover for key stocks in the sector were substantial, with Dongfang Risen achieving a turnover of 2.262 billion yuan [1][4]
A股光伏巨头晶科能源,获马斯克“点赞”!公司回应
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-25 06:01
Core Viewpoint - JinkoSolar has achieved a new world record for solar cell efficiency, reaching a maximum photoelectric conversion efficiency of 27.79% based on its TOPCon technology platform, certified by the German Institute for Solar Energy Research (ISFH) [1][3][9] Group 1: Technological Advancements - The record-breaking efficiency is attributed to a series of forward-looking layouts and deep cultivation in the core technology of TOPCon, which employs new passivation contact technology and ultra-low optical parasitic absorption techniques to enhance light utilization [6][15] - The integration of these technological breakthroughs has significantly improved the collection efficiency of photogenerated carriers, contributing to the new efficiency milestone [7][15] - JinkoSolar's Chief Technology Officer, Jin Hao, emphasized that this achievement reflects the company's long-term commitment to R&D in the TOPCon technology route, which will be gradually introduced into mass production [15] Group 2: Future Prospects - The company is also developing perovskite-TOPCon tandem solar cells, which can achieve even higher photoelectric conversion efficiencies [8][16] - JinkoSolar believes that the continuous exploration of efficiency potential in the TOPCon platform is crucial for reducing the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) and promoting global energy transition [7][15] - Elon Musk has shown interest in energy technology advancements, linking solar energy to future space computing capabilities, which may further enhance the relevance of solar technology in various applications [11][16]
晶科能源涨2.02%,成交额1.96亿元,主力资金净流入1354.21万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-25 05:45
Core Viewpoint - JinkoSolar's stock has shown volatility, with a year-to-date decline of 21.80% but a recent uptick of 3.73% over the last five trading days, indicating potential recovery signals in the market [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of December 25, JinkoSolar's stock price was 5.56 CNY per share, with a market capitalization of 55.629 billion CNY [1]. - The stock experienced a trading volume of 196 million CNY, with a turnover rate of 0.36% [1]. - The net inflow of main funds was 13.5421 million CNY, with large orders accounting for 36.27% of total purchases [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, JinkoSolar reported a revenue of 47.986 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 33.14% [2]. - The company recorded a net profit attributable to shareholders of -3.92 billion CNY, a significant decline of 422.67% compared to the previous year [2]. Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, JinkoSolar had 77,300 shareholders, an increase of 4.14% from the previous period [2]. - The average number of tradable shares per shareholder was 129,456, which decreased by 3.97% [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 3.355 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 3.125 billion CNY distributed over the last three years [3]. Group 4: Institutional Holdings - As of September 30, 2025, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited was the second-largest circulating shareholder, holding 306 million shares, a decrease of 132 million shares from the previous period [3]. - E Fund's SSE STAR 50 ETF and Huaxia's SSE STAR 50 Component ETF were also among the top ten circulating shareholders, with respective holdings of 147 million shares and 141 million shares, both showing reductions from previous holdings [3].
晶科能源TOPCon电池效率达27.79%创世界纪录,马斯克称确实如此
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-12-25 05:33
Core Viewpoint - JinkoSolar has achieved a record photovoltaic conversion efficiency of 27.79% for its high-efficiency batteries based on the TOPCon technology platform, certified by the German Institute for Solar Energy Research (ISFH) [1] Group 1: Technological Advancements - The TOPCon technology is recognized as the next-generation mainstream battery technology, with significant potential to reduce the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) for solar power and promote global energy transition [1] Group 2: Market Developments - JinkoSolar has recently secured multiple supply agreements for its Tiger 3 high-efficiency photovoltaic modules with distributors in various countries, including France, Poland, Uzbekistan, the Netherlands, Switzerland, and Jordan [1]