计算机/软件开发 经纬恒润（688326.SH） 业绩短期承压，新客户新项目多点开花 2025 年 05 月 12 日 投资评级：买入（维持） | 日期 | 2025/5/9 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 77.63 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 114.88/54.95 | | 总市值(亿元) | 93.13 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 69.90 | | 总股本(亿股) | 1.20 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 0.90 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 95.59 | 股价走势图 数据来源：聚源 -30% 0% 30% 60% 90% 120% 2024-05 2024-09 2025-01 经纬恒润 沪深300 相关研究报告 《Q3 环比亏幅收窄，新客户持续拓展 长期发展可期—中小盘信息更新》 -2024.10.31 《盈利能力小幅承压，全栈式布局下 业绩修复可期—中小盘信息更新》 -2024.8.29 赵旭杨（分析师） 王镇涛（联系人） zhaoxuyang@kysec.cn wangzhentao@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790124070021 公司发 ...

| 日期 | 2025/5/9 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 77.63 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 114.88/54.95 | | 总市值(亿元) | 93.13 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 69.90 | | 总股本(亿股) | 1.20 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 0.90 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 95.59 | 股价走势图 数据来源：聚源 -30% 0% 30% 60% 90% 120% 2024-05 2024-09 2025-01 经纬恒润 沪深300 计算机/软件开发 经纬恒润（688326.SH） 业绩短期承压，新客户新项目多点开花 2025 年 05 月 12 日 投资评级：买入（维持） 相关研究报告 《Q3 环比亏幅收窄，新客户持续拓展 长期发展可期—中小盘信息更新》 -2024.10.31 《盈利能力小幅承压，全栈式布局下 业绩修复可期—中小盘信息更新》 -2024.8.29 赵旭杨（分析师） 王镇涛（联系人） zhaoxuyang@kysec.cn wangzhentao@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790124070021 公司发 ...

Core Insights - The automotive industry experienced stable revenue growth in Q1 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 6.8%, while total profit decreased by 8.9% to 946.5 billion yuan [11][12] - The report highlights that leading companies in the automotive sector, particularly those with efficient management, have shown better-than-average performance in terms of net profit and operating cash flow [3][8] - The anticipated release of new models and the impact of local consumption promotion policies are expected to support a gradual recovery in automotive company performance in Q2 2025 [3][12] Revenue and Profit Analysis - In 2024, the automotive industry generated a total revenue of 10.65 trillion yuan, reflecting a 5.4% year-on-year growth, while total profit fell by 9.1% to 462.26 billion yuan [11][12] - The Q1 2025 revenue for the automotive industry was 2.40 trillion yuan, with a profit total of 946.5 billion yuan, indicating a continued decline in profitability [11][12] Profitability Comparison - The profitability of passenger vehicle companies showed significant differentiation in Q1 2025, with some companies like BYD and Seres maintaining strong growth, while others like GAC Group and JAC Motors faced challenges [17][18] - In 2024, the overall profit margin for the automotive industry was 12.4%, down 0.9 percentage points year-on-year, and further decreased to 12.1% in Q1 2025 [12][27] Inventory Management - Inventory levels in the automotive sector showed improvement for bus and parts companies, while passenger vehicle companies faced slight increases in turnover pressure [8][12] - By the end of Q1 2025, the inventory of the automotive industry accounted for 20.9% of current assets, a 1.2 percentage point increase year-on-year [8][12] Cash Flow Analysis - The overall cash flow in the automotive industry faced pressure, with the net cash flow from operating activities for the vehicle sector turning negative at -22.19 billion yuan in Q1 2025 [8][12] - The cash flow for parts companies showed a decline, with a total of 123.05 billion yuan in Q1 2025, down 1.4% year-on-year [8][12] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading automotive companies and those involved in the Huawei and Xiaomi supply chains, as well as companies in the humanoid robot and intelligent driving sectors [3][8] - Recommended companies include SAIC Motor, JAC Motors, BYD, Changan Automobile, and several parts manufacturers such as New Spring Co., Silver Wheel Co., and Top Group [3][8]

中信证券股份有限公司 一、本次现场检查的基本情况 （一）保荐人 中信证券股份有限公司 （二）保荐代表人 宋永新、刘晓 （三）现场检查人员 刘晓、张昊昕 关于北京经纬恒润科技股份有限公司 2024 年度持续督导工作现场检查报告 根据《上海证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 11 号——持续督导》等有 关法律、法规的规定，中信证券股份有限公司（以下简称"中信证券"或"保荐 人"）作为正在对北京经纬恒润科技股份有限公司（以下简称"经纬恒润""公司" "上市公司"）进行持续督导工作的保荐人，对 2024 年度（以下简称"本持续督 导期间"）的规范运作情况进行了现场检查，现就现场检查的有关情况报告如下： （四）现场检查时间 2025 年 4 月 28 日-2025 年 4 月 30 日 （五）现场检查内容 现场检查人员对本持续督导期内发行人公司治理和内部控制情况、信息披露 情况、公司的独立性以及与控股股东、实际控制人及其他关联方资金往来情况、 募集资金使用情况、关联交易、对外担保、重大对外投资情况、经营状况等方面 进行了现场检查，具体检查内容详见本报告"二、本次现场检查主要事项及意见"。 （六）现场检查手段 1 本次现场 ...

基于 2024 年度现场检查，本保荐人提请贵公司关注以下事项： 2024 年度，公司经营业绩下滑并出现亏损情形。保荐人提请公司关注未来 宏观经济环境变化、所属行业市场变化、下游客户需求变化以及对公司的经营业 绩可能带来不利影响的其他因素。建议根据自身实际情况合理调整经营策略，进 一步加强经营管理，防范相关经营风险。对于公司未来业绩波动的情况，公司应 当及时做好相关信息披露工作，及时、充分地揭示相关风险，切实保护投资者利 益。 中信证券股份有限公司 关于北京经纬恒润科技股份有限公司2024年持续督导工作 现场检查结果及提请公司注意事项 北京经纬恒润科技股份有限公司： 中信证券股份有限公司（以下简称"本保荐人"）作为对贵公司进行持续督 导的保荐人，按照《上海证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 11 号——持续督 导》的有关要求，对贵公司认真履行了持续督导职责。 建议公司继续严格按照《公司法》《证券法》《上海证券交易所科创板股票上 市规则》等法律法规的要求，不断完善公司治理结构，及时履行信息披露义务， 合规合理使用募集资金，有序推进募投项目的建设及实施，确保募投项目完成并 实现预期收益。 附件：《中信证券股份有限公司 ...

中信证券股份有限公司 关于北京经纬恒润科技股份有限公司 2024 年度持续督导跟踪报告 中信证券股份有限公司（以下简称"中信证券"或"保荐人"）作为北京经 纬恒润科技股份有限公司（以下简称"经纬恒润"或"公司"或"上市公司"） 首次公开发行股票并在科创板上市的保荐人，根据《证券发行上市保荐业务管理 办法》《上海证券交易所科创板股票上市规则》等相关规定，中信证券履行持续 督导职责，并出具 2024 年度（以下简称"本持续督导期间"或"报告期"）持 续督导跟踪报告。 一、持续督导工作概述 1、保荐人制定了持续督导工作制度，制定了相应的工作计划，明确了现场 检查的工作要求。 2、保荐人已与公司签订保荐协议，该协议已明确了双方在持续督导期间的 权利义务，并报上海证券交易所备案。 3、本持续督导期间，保荐人通过与公司的日常沟通、现场回访等方式开展 持续督导工作，并于 2025 年 4 月 28 日-2025 年 4 月 30 日对公司进行了现场检查。 4、本持续督导期间，保荐人根据相关法规和规范性文件的要求履行持续督 导职责，具体内容包括： （1）查阅公司章程、三会议事规则等公司治理制度、三会会议材料； （2）查阅公司 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is Neutral (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company has shown initial results in cost control, with a significant increase in automotive electronics contributing to profit recovery [6] - The company reported a revenue of 5.541 billion yuan in 2024, representing an 18.5% year-on-year growth, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was a loss of 550 million yuan [6] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.328 billion yuan, a 49.3% increase year-on-year, indicating a narrowing of losses [6] - The company is actively expanding its international market presence, securing contracts with major OEMs and enhancing its global service capabilities [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue projections for 2025E are 7.335 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 32.4% [5] - The company expects to achieve a net profit of 28 million yuan in 2025E, with a significant turnaround projected for 2026E at 175 million yuan [5] - The gross margin is expected to improve from 21.5% in 2024 to 23.8% in 2025E, reflecting better cost management and product mix [5] - The company anticipates a gradual recovery in profitability, with a projected return on equity (ROE) of 0.7% in 2025E, increasing to 6.2% by 2027E [5] Revenue and Cost Analysis - The company’s operating revenue is forecasted to grow from 5.541 billion yuan in 2024 to 10.207 billion yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 14.8% [7] - Research and development expenses are expected to stabilize, with a decrease in the R&D expense ratio from 18.7% in 2024 to 12.6% by 2027, indicating improved operational efficiency [6][7] - The company is focusing on the production of smart driving electronic products and chassis domain controllers, which are expected to contribute significantly to revenue growth [6]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported its 2024 annual results and Q1 2025 results, which met expectations, indicating a potential recovery in profitability driven by new product launches and reduced R&D expenses [2][4]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 5.541 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.46%, with a net loss attributable to shareholders of 550 million yuan and a non-recurring net loss of 618 million yuan. For Q1 2025, revenue was 1.328 billion yuan, up 49.34% year-on-year but down 50% quarter-on-quarter, with a net loss of 120 million yuan, showing a narrowing of losses [2][4]. Business Segments - The electronic products segment generated revenue of 4.406 billion yuan in 2024, up 28.89% year-on-year, while the R&D services and solutions segment saw a decline of 14.02% to 1.060 billion yuan. The high-level intelligent driving solutions segment experienced significant growth, with revenue increasing by 431.57% to 65 million yuan [3]. New Product Development - The company completed its full coverage of vehicle electronic control products in 2024, establishing a product model that integrates distributed electronic control units, domain control products, and L4 integrated platforms. This development is expected to lead to mass production [3]. International Expansion - The company has established a factory in Malaysia, which is now operational and increasing its shipment volume. It continues to secure contracts with several international OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers, including Stellantis and Scania [3]. R&D Expenses and Profitability Outlook - R&D expenses grew by 7.3% year-on-year in 2024, but the R&D expense ratio decreased by 2 percentage points. The company anticipates that prior R&D investments will start contributing to revenue, potentially leading to a recovery in profitability [4]. Profit Forecast and Investment Rating - The company maintains revenue forecasts of 7.15 billion yuan for 2025 and 8.04 billion yuan for 2026, with expected growth rates of 29% and 13%, respectively. The net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted downwards to 2.3 million yuan and 17.4 million yuan, respectively. The company retains a "buy" rating due to the anticipated ramp-up of new electronic products [5].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the emphasis on strengthening the standard supply for intelligent connected vehicles as outlined by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) in its 2025 automotive standardization work points [1][2] - The MIIT aims to accelerate the approval and implementation of standards related to autonomous driving, including design operation conditions, automatic parking, and simulation testing [1][2] - The report highlights that companies in the industry chain will focus on enhancing product maturity and safety, with major manufacturers expected to streamline hardware and software architectures and accelerate data collection [2] Group 2 - The intelligent connected vehicle ETF (159872) has shown a positive performance, with notable increases in constituent stocks such as Derun Electronics (8.65%) and Yiyuan Communication (5.78%) [1] - As of March 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Securities Internet of Vehicles Theme Index (930725) include BYD, Hongfa Technology, and Huichuan Technology, collectively accounting for 50.65% of the index [2]

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·软件开发 经纬恒润-W（688326） 2024 年报及 2025 一季度报点评：降本增效 收入释放，业绩拐点将至 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 4,678 | 5,541 | 7,149 | 8,044 | 9,291 | | 同比（%） | 16.30 | 18.46 | 29.02 | 12.51 | 15.50 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | (217.26) | (550.32) | 22.84 | 174.20 | 265.70 | | 同比（%） | (192.17) | (153.30) | 104.15 | 662.57 | 52.53 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | (1.81) | (4.59) | 0.19 | 1.45 | 2.21 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | (42.51) | (16.78) | 404.33 | 53 ...