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Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the machinery industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment returns over the next 6-12 months [1]. Core Insights - The domestic sales of excavators continued to grow in December 2025, with a significant recovery in non-excavator categories. The total excavator sales (including exports) reached 23,095 units, a year-on-year increase of 19.2%, with domestic sales at 10,331 units, up 10.9% [3][4]. - The report highlights a robust recovery in the demand for construction machinery driven by ongoing infrastructure investments and the replacement cycle of machinery, projecting a compound growth rate of around 30% for replacement demand in the coming years [4][5]. - The export of excavators also showed strong growth, with December 2025 exports reaching 12,764 units, a 26.9% increase year-on-year, and total export value for the year at $64.2 billion, up 27.2% [6][10]. Summary by Sections Domestic Sales Performance - In December 2025, excavator sales reached 23,095 units, with domestic sales at 10,331 units, reflecting a 19.2% and 10.9% year-on-year growth respectively. For the entire year, total excavator sales were 235,257 units, up 17.0%, and domestic sales were 118,518 units, up 17.9% [3][14]. - Non-excavator machinery categories also saw significant growth, with loader sales increasing by 30.0% and motor grader sales by 14.0% in December 2025 [14]. Export Performance - The report notes that excavator exports in December 2025 reached 12,764 units, marking a 26.9% increase year-on-year, with total annual exports at 116,739 units, up 16.1% [6][14]. - The total export value of construction machinery for December 2025 was $64.2 billion, a 27.2% increase, with the annual total at $601.7 billion, up 13.8% [6]. Future Demand Drivers - The report emphasizes that active fiscal policies are expected to stimulate infrastructure investment, ensuring sustained demand for construction machinery in the medium term [5]. - The commencement of the Yaxia Hydropower Project, with an estimated investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan, is projected to significantly boost machinery demand, with equipment needs potentially reaching 120 to 180 billion yuan [9][10]. Electric and Intelligent Machinery Trends - Electric loader sales surged by 218.7% in December 2025, with an electricization rate of 22.2%, indicating a strong trend towards electrification in the machinery sector [7]. - The report also highlights the growth potential in the forklift market, driven by advancements in robotics and artificial intelligence, with a projected 39.3% increase in sales of unmanned forklifts in 2025 [8]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several leading manufacturers, including SANY Heavy Industry, XCMG, and Zoomlion, as well as component suppliers like Hengli Hydraulic, indicating a favorable long-term outlook for these companies [10].

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The Yaxia Hydropower Project, with an expected investment of over RMB 2 trillion, will significantly boost the demand for high - end and large - scale construction machinery, serving as a key investment catalyst for the construction machinery industry [1][5][7] - The 14th Five - Year Plan sets the tone for the industry, promoting original innovation and the development of strategic emerging industries. The equipment replacement demand in the machinery industry is expected to be gradually released, benefiting cyclical sectors such as construction machinery [1][12] - China's construction machinery export data has been growing rapidly. The Chinese market is at a cyclical inflection point, and exports are expected to rise from $234 billion in 2024 to $570 billion in 2030. Domestic companies' overseas revenue has increased significantly [1][17][22] - The CSI Construction Machinery Theme Index allows for one - click allocation of core construction machinery assets. It has high long - term returns, high volatility, and significant event - driven characteristics. The performance of its constituent stocks is expected to continue to improve [1][34][56] - The Huaxia CSI Construction Machinery ETF closely tracks the CSI Construction Machinery Theme Index, aiming to minimize tracking deviation and error [1][68] Summary by Directory 1. The 14th Five - Year Plan Sets the Tone for the Industry, and Domestic Brands Accelerate Overseas Expansion 1.1 The Yaxia Hydropower Project Starts, and Trillion - Dollar Investment Creates a Century - Long Project - The Yaxia Hydropower Project officially started in 2025. Its construction plan can be traced back to 2007, and it entered the implementation phase in 2024 [5] - Compared with the Three Gorges Project, the Yaxia Hydropower Project may have a dynamic investment of over RMB 2 trillion, and most of the investment will be used for power station construction and power transmission projects [7][9] 1.2 The 14th Five - Year Plan Sets the Tone for the Industry, and the Domestic and Overseas Sales of Excavators Continue to Improve Synchronously - The 14th Five - Year Plan emphasizes original innovation and the development of strategic emerging industries. The equipment replacement demand in the machinery industry is expected to be released, benefiting cyclical sectors [12] - In November 2025, the sales of various excavators reached 20,027 units, a year - on - year increase of 13.90%. Domestic sales increased by 9.11% year - on - year, and exports increased by 18.84% year - on - year, indicating the recovery of the industry [13] 1.3 The Global Construction Machinery Market is Vast, and China's Export Data Shows High Growth - The global construction machinery market is expected to grow from $213.5 billion in 2024 to $296.1 billion in 2030. The Chinese market is at a cyclical inflection point, expected to rise from $234 billion in 2024 to $570 billion in 2030 [17] - The global excavator market is expected to reach $92.8 billion in 2030. In China, excavators will lead the industry recovery with a growth rate of 16.8% [17] - Overseas markets account for nearly 90% of the global construction machinery market. China's construction machinery export volume has increased from $18.894 billion in 2020 to $52.829 billion in 2024, with a CAGR of 29.33% [22] 1.4 The Construction Machinery Cycle Reaches the Bottom and Rebounds, and Domestic Brands Accelerate Overseas Expansion - The excavator industry has experienced two cycles and is now in a new upward cycle. In 2024, the annual sales volume increased by 3.1% year - on - year, and from January to November 2025, the growth rate expanded to 16.7% [24] - The overseas revenue of the four major domestic construction machinery manufacturers has increased significantly. In 2024, the overseas revenue ratios of Sany Heavy Industry and Zoomlion exceeded 50% [27] - International giants still dominate the global market. Chinese construction machinery manufacturers such as XCMG, Sany Heavy Industry, and Zoomlion still have room for improvement in global market share [29] 2. The CSI Construction Machinery Theme Index: One - Click Allocation of Core Construction Machinery Assets 2.1 Index Compilation: Selecting Core Leaders in the Construction Machinery Industry - The CSI Construction Machinery Theme Index was released on September 27, 2021, with a base date of June 30, 2016. It selects 50 representative listed companies in the construction machinery field as samples to reflect the overall performance of construction machinery - related stocks [34] - The index samples are adjusted semi - annually, on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December each year [36] 2.2 Industry Market Value Characteristics: High Concentration in the Construction Machinery Sector, with Market Value Structure Dominated by Leading Companies - As of January 6, 2026, the index has 50 constituent stocks, with an average total market value of RMB 28.131 billion. Five stocks have a market value of over RMB 100 billion [37] - The top ten constituent stocks of the index account for 72.55% of the total weight. The top three stocks by weight are XCMG, Sany Heavy Industry, and Weichai Power [43] - The index focuses on the construction machinery, auto parts, and special equipment sectors, with a combined proportion of over 87%. The construction machinery industry has the highest weight, at 61.99% [46] 2.3 High Elasticity, Offensive Nature, and Long - Term Allocation Value - In the rising market, the CSI Construction Machinery Index has strong explosive power. For example, from January 31 to April 19, 2019, its cumulative return was 44.07%, significantly higher than that of broad - based indices [50] - Since the base date, the cumulative return of the index has reached 153.95%, and the annualized return is 10.60%, far exceeding that of major broad - based indices. It has high volatility and a large maximum drawdown, indicating its high - elasticity offensive characteristics [56] - The index shows a pattern of leading in the up - cycle and adjusting in the down - cycle. In 2019 and 2025, its annual returns were significantly higher than those of broad - based indices [62] 2.4 High - Level Operation Supported by Positive Expectations, Highlighting the Attention of Sector Allocation - As of January 5, 2026, the P/E ratio of the CSI Construction Machinery Index was 24.13, with a historical quantile of 79.59%, and the P/B ratio was 2.26, with a historical quantile of 94.49%. The valuation is at a relatively high level [65] - The market's positive expectations for the industry have been reflected in the valuation, highlighting the long - term certainty of sector allocation [65] 3. Huaxia CSI Construction Machinery ETF - The Huaxia CSI Construction Machinery ETF (fund code: 515970) closely tracks the CSI Construction Machinery Theme Index, aiming to minimize tracking deviation and error. It started raising funds on January 19, 2026, and ended on January 30, 2026, with Wang Xinwei as the fund manager [68]

Group 1 - Company Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co., Ltd. won a procurement project from China Aneng Group Second Engineering Bureau with a bid amount of 13.48 million yuan [1][2] - In 2024, the company's operating revenue is projected to be 30.063 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 9.24% [3] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2024 is expected to be 1.327 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 52.92% [3] Group 2 - For the first half of 2025, the company's operating revenue reached 18.181 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 13.21% [3] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for the first half of 2025 is estimated at 1.230 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 25.05% [3] - The company operates in the industrial sector, primarily focusing on heavy construction machinery, with its main product composition in 2024 being earth-moving machinery at 59.68%, other construction machinery and parts at 30.2%, prestressing machinery at 8.37%, and financing leasing business at 1.75% [3]

| 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 920706 | 铁拓机械 | 31.02 | -5.94% | 8.45万 | 2.69 Z | | 300201 | 海伦哲 | 7.48 | -5.67% | 68.36万 | 5.16亿 | | 301079 | 邵阳液压 | 46.05 | -5.38% | 12.43万 | 5.79亿 | | 301446 | 福事特 | 38.26 | -4.83% | 3.22万 | 1.26亿 | | 920839 | 万通液压 | 41.30 | -4.18% | 1.72万 | 7212.86万 | | 301279 | 金道科技 | 33.22 | -3.29% | 2.55万 | 8580.45万 | | 301161 | 唯万密封 | 38.16 | -3.25% | 4.71万 | 1.82亿 | | 600984 | 建设机械 | 3.93 | -2.96% | 35.18万 | 266ET | | 920942 | 恒立钻具 | ...

Company Insights - LiuGong has positioned its agricultural machinery business as a strategic emerging sector, aiming to mitigate cyclical risks from its core construction machinery operations. The company currently does not assess this segment's performance but focuses on enhancing product technology, quality development, and channel layout to create globally competitive agricultural machinery products [1] - The company has already achieved small-scale sales of high-power heavy-duty tractors equipped with power shift and hybrid technology, with plans for mass market introduction starting in 2026, which is expected to steadily increase the scale of its agricultural machinery business [1] Industry Trends - The construction machinery industry is showing signs of recovery, with expectations of improved performance as the sector transitions to the "National IV" emissions standards starting December 1 [2] - Domestic sales have been declining for 13 consecutive months, while exports have surged over 70%, indicating a potential turning point for the excavator industry [2] - February's construction activity is expected to improve, contributing to a more optimistic outlook for the construction machinery sector [2][7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the mechanical industry, with a focus on mining equipment, AI devices, and consumables [1]. Core Insights - The mechanical industry is expected to enter a new recovery cycle driven by monetary and fiscal policies, with significant capital expenditure anticipated in mining due to rising prices of non-ferrous metals [6][8]. - The AI sector is experiencing rapid growth, leading to increased demand for high-performance servers, GPUs, and advanced PCBs, which are critical for AI applications [6][20]. - The report highlights key companies in various segments, including industrial control, robotics, machine tools, and testing industries, suggesting a broad range of investment opportunities [6][8]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The mechanical industry comprises 636 listed companies with a total market capitalization of approximately 70,956.73 billion yuan and a circulating market value of about 58,998.75 billion yuan [3]. Company Profit Forecasts and Valuations - Several companies are highlighted with strong profit forecasts and investment ratings, including: - Huichuan Technology (300124.SZ): EPS forecasted at 2.11 yuan for 2025, with a strong buy rating [2]. - Falan Technology (603966.SH): EPS forecasted at 0.60 yuan for 2025, with a strong buy rating [2]. - Xinjie Electric (603416.SH): EPS forecasted at 1.83 yuan for 2025, with a strong buy rating [2]. - Other notable mentions include companies like Anhui Heli (600761.SH) and Sany Heavy Industry (600031.SH), both receiving strong buy ratings [2]. Market Performance - The mechanical sector has shown a positive performance with a 1.4% increase in the index, while the overall market performance varied across different indices [10][13]. - The 3C equipment segment experienced the highest growth at 14.4%, indicating strong demand in this area [11]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies that are well-positioned to benefit from the AI wave, such as: - Dingtai High-Tech and Zhongtung High-Tech in the consumables sector [20][21]. - Dazhu CNC and Xinqi Micro-Assembly in the equipment sector [20]. - The report emphasizes the importance of high-end equipment and consumables in the PCB market, projecting significant growth in this area [20][21]. Key Data Tracking - The report includes macroeconomic indicators and industry-specific data, such as the manufacturing PMI and fixed asset investment growth rates, which are crucial for understanding the industry's health [32][36].

Investment Rating - The SW Machinery Equipment Index increased by 1.91% during the week of January 12-16, 2026, ranking 5th among 31 primary industry categories [3][13]. - Year-to-date, the SW Machinery Equipment Index has risen by 7.40%, ranking 7th among the same categories, while the CSI 300 Index increased by 2.20% [16]. Core Insights - Emphasis on the potential of SpaceX's chain and 3D printing in rocket technology, with a significant increase in satellite frequency resource applications in China [5][23]. - The engineering machinery sector is expected to experience a major upward cycle, with December sales figures exceeding expectations for both domestic and export markets [5][24]. - The AI upgrade potential in CNC systems is highlighted, particularly with the domestic leader Huazhong CNC, which is positioned to leverage AI for performance improvements [5][24]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The SW Machinery Equipment Index's performance during the week and year-to-date is noted, with specific rankings against the CSI 300 Index [3][16]. Core Insights Update - The report discusses the advancements in 3D printing technology in the aerospace sector, the robust demand for engineering machinery, and the growth potential of AI in CNC systems [5][24]. Key Data Tracking - General machinery sector remains under pressure, while engineering machinery shows accelerated growth, and railway equipment maintains steady growth [25][35][45]. - The shipbuilding sector is experiencing a slowdown, while oil service equipment is stabilizing at the bottom [49][51]. Industry Dynamics - The report outlines significant developments in various sectors, including the successful launch of new technologies and projects in the general machinery and robotics fields [60][62][64].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Market Weight" rating for the engineering machinery industry, indicating that the industry index is expected to perform within ±10% of the market index over the next six months [32]. Core Insights - The demand for excavators remains high both domestically and internationally, with a notable year-on-year increase in sales [5]. - In December 2025, excavator sales reached 23,095 units, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.24% and a month-on-month growth of 15.32% [3]. - The domestic sales of excavators were 10,331 units, up 10.94% year-on-year, while exports totaled 12,764 units, marking a 26.92% year-on-year increase [3]. - The total excavator sales for 2025 amounted to 235,257 units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 16.97% [3]. - Loader sales in December 2025 were 12,236 units, showing a year-on-year increase of 30.03% [4]. - The report highlights a structural recovery opportunity in the industry, despite a relatively low demand in the real estate sector [5]. - The Central Bank's announcement of a structural interest rate cut is expected to further boost domestic sales of engineering machinery [5]. - The report emphasizes the ongoing transition towards electric machinery, driven by stricter environmental regulations and technological advancements [6]. Summary by Sections Excavator Sales Data - December 2025 excavator sales were 23,095 units, with domestic sales at 10,331 units and exports at 12,764 units [3]. - The cumulative sales for 2025 reached 235,257 units, with domestic and export sales growing by 17.88% and 16.06% respectively [3]. Loader Sales Data - December 2025 loader sales were 12,236 units, with domestic sales at 5,291 units and exports at 6,945 units [4]. - The cumulative sales for 2025 were 128,067 units, with domestic sales increasing by 22.10% [4]. Market Trends and Outlook - The engineering machinery industry is experiencing a clear upward trend in demand, supported by infrastructure investments and the issuance of special bonds [5]. - The report notes that the electric machinery market has significant growth potential, with increasing penetration rates [6][7].

证券日报网讯 1月15日，柳工在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司自上市32年来始终严格遵守信息 披露制度，信息披露评级优秀，不存在应披露而未披露的事项。二级市场股价波动受多重因素影响，短 期表现并未反映公司内在价值，PE明显被低估。目前公司生产经营一切正常，整体上市后经过一系列 变革以来，公司综合竞争力已大幅度上升，经营业绩保持了持续增长的良好趋势，"十五五"战略目标翻 番，预期成长性值得期待。 （文章来源：证券日报） ...