Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [6] Core Views - The report highlights that the demand for mining machinery is expected to remain strong due to high global copper prices, which have risen over 30% since the beginning of the year, reaching nearly $12,000 per ton [2][5] - The export of excavators is becoming a key growth driver, with December export growth accelerating by 8 percentage points month-on-month, particularly in large excavators, which saw a year-on-year growth of over 60% [2][4] - The domestic market for excavators is anticipated to gradually recover, supported by major infrastructure projects and a potential revival in the real estate sector [4][5] Summary by Sections Excavator Sales and Exports - In December 2025, excavator sales reached 23,000 units, with domestic sales of 10,000 units (up 11% year-on-year) and exports of 13,000 units (up 27% year-on-year) [1] - The export of second-hand machinery has also seen significant growth, with year-on-year increases of 69% and 80% in October and November, respectively, indicating effective clearance of existing equipment [3] Domestic Market Recovery - The report notes that the domestic sales of small and medium excavators improved in December, while large excavators continued to show resilience despite a slowdown in growth [4] - Key infrastructure projects, such as those along the Yarlung Tsangpo River, are expected to support the recovery of domestic demand for construction machinery [4][5] Recommendations for Key Companies - The report recommends several companies for investment, including SANY Heavy Industry, XCMG, Liugong, and Hengli Hydraulic, all of which are expected to benefit from the ongoing demand in both domestic and international markets [8][17]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call on the Engineering Machinery Industry Industry Overview - The domestic engineering machinery market is experiencing a rebound, primarily driven by replacement demand, with a notable increase in the share of small excavators. It is expected that annual excavator sales will double from 100,000 units to 200,000-300,000 units over the next 3-5 years [1][4] - Non-excavator categories such as cranes and concrete equipment are following a similar logic, having seen significant declines previously and currently being at low levels with an existing replacement cycle. The growth in excavators is anticipated to drive growth in non-excavator categories, marking the beginning of an upward cycle in the domestic engineering machinery sector [1][5] Core Insights and Arguments - The overseas market has become a major source of revenue and profit for engineering machinery companies, with companies like SANY and XCMG reporting overseas revenue contributions of 40%-60% and profit contributions of 80%-100% [1][6] - The global engineering machinery market is projected to show cyclical recovery in 2026, with strong growth in markets such as Russia, Indonesia, the Middle East, South America, and Africa, while the US and European markets are also beginning to recover, aided by interest rate cuts stimulating fixed asset investment cycles [1][8][9] - Greenfield investments are highly correlated with engineering machinery growth, leading by about three years. In 2023, greenfield investments reached over $700 billion, indicating a significant increase in demand for engineering machinery in 2025 and 2026 [1][10] Domestic Market Dynamics - Despite a decline in working hours, excavator sales have turned positive due to replacement demand. As of the end of 2023, the excavator ownership in China is approximately 2 million units, with construction accounting for 75% of the demand. If real estate demand declines by 80%, the need for excavators would still be around 178,000 units annually [4] - The current replacement cycle in China is estimated at 8-10 years, but as the market matures, it may shorten to 4-5 years, similar to mature markets in North America and Europe, leading to more frequent replacement cycles and increased new machine sales [4] Non-Excavator Categories - Non-excavator categories are expected to grow as excavator sales increase, with companies reporting positive trends in these segments. The overall upward cycle for domestic engineering machinery is just beginning [5] Overseas Market Importance - The overseas market is crucial for the engineering machinery industry, with significant revenue and profit contributions from international sales. The focus of investment should be on overseas markets rather than solely on domestic performance [6] Regional Performance - Data from January to November 2026 shows positive trends across major regions, with Russia experiencing nearly 24% growth in November and the US and Western Europe also showing recovery. China's exports to North America and Western Europe have seen growth rates of 25% and 28%, respectively [7] Profitability and Future Outlook - Chinese manufacturers have a competitive price advantage in the mid-to-small tonnage segment, achieving over 80% market share in key markets like Russia and Indonesia. The profitability in these regions remains strong, with net profit margins exceeding 10% in Russia and 16% in Indonesia [12][14] - The engineering machinery sector is expected to see significant profit growth due to low domestic market bases, increasing overseas market cycles, and improved operational leverage [16][22] Investment Attractiveness - The engineering machinery sector is currently highly attractive for investment, with the domestic market at a low point and strong replacement demand, alongside favorable overseas market conditions and high profitability potential. Companies like SANY, XCMG, Zoomlion, LiuGong, and Hengli Hydraulic are recommended for investment consideration [22]

声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI基于第三方数据生成，仅供参考，不构成个人投资建议。 有投资者在互动平台向柳工提问："公司在委内瑞拉业务量多大？在墨西哥呢？" 针对上述提问，柳工回应称："您好！公司业务遍及全球180多个国家和地区，始终坚持合法合规经营。 您所提及的区域，其合计销售收入占公司整体营收的比例不足1%，个别区域市场的短期波动不会对公 司经营构成重大影响。未来，公司将持续关注全球市场趋势与政策变化，动态调整经营策略，坚定不移 推进全球化战略的落地。谢谢！" 本文源自：市场资讯 作者：公告君 ...

Core Viewpoint - Chinese enterprises are embracing a new global upcycle in the excavator market, with overseas excavator sales recovering from -15% in January 2025 to +14% in October 2025, indicating a synchronized global demand recovery [1] Group 1: Market Insights - Japan's construction machinery demand remains resilient despite a significant drop in downstream demand post-bubble economy, with excavator ownership only declining by 30% [2] - In Japan, domestic sales are decoupling from real estate, leading to a stable sales volume, with a shift towards rental and second-hand export models [2] - China's excavator operating hours are still at a high level, providing a buffer for demand, supported by replacement needs and decoupling from real estate [2] Group 2: U.S. Market Dynamics - The U.S. market faces a long-term shortage of excavator ownership, with stock replacement driving demand, supported by both residential and non-residential investments [3] - Future growth drivers include structural support from AI data center infrastructure, the return of U.S. manufacturing boosting large-scale infrastructure growth, and potential stimulation of the housing market following Federal Reserve interest rate cuts [3] - Historical insights from Komatsu's entry into the U.S. market highlight the importance of macro factors, quality, company culture, and localization in overcoming market barriers [3] - Chinese manufacturers are positioned to capitalize on the shift of U.S. construction machinery from premium brands to more general industrial products, leveraging their supply chain advantages and manufacturing efficiency [3] Group 3: Asia, Africa, and Latin America Market - The Asia, Africa, and Latin America markets are primarily driven by mining and energy sectors, with Chinese brands capturing over 40% of the excavator market share in these regions by 2023 [4] - China's infrastructure investment is effectively replacing energy imports from these regions, indicating a strategic link between excavator exports and infrastructure development [4] - The potential for new excavator markets to grow by 60% exists if the share of second-hand excavators from Europe and the U.S. in these regions decreases from 50% to 20% [4] - Chinese enterprises are transitioning from commodity exports to capital exports, establishing local manufacturing in Indonesia to enhance market share and create new pathways into developed countries [4] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks include SANY Heavy Industry (600031), XCMG Machinery (000425), Zoomlion Heavy Industry (000157), LiuGong Machinery (000528), and Hengli Hydraulic (601100) [4]

证券代码：000528 证券简称：柳 工 公告编号：2026-01 债券代码：127084 债券简称：柳工转2 广西柳工机械股份有限公司 关于 2025 年第四季度可转换公司债券转股情况的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确、完整，没有虚假记载、 误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 重要内容提示： 广西柳工机械股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）发行的可转换公司债券（以下简 称"可转债"）"柳工转 2"在 2025 年第四季度发生转股业务，债券数量减少 392 张， 余额减少 39,200 元，转股数量为 5,359 股。根据《深圳证券交易所股票上市规则》和 《深圳证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 15 号——可转换公司债券》等的有关规定： 上市公司应当在每一季度结束后及时披露因可转换公司债券转换为股票所引起的股份 变动情况。现将相关情况公告如下： 1. 债券简称：柳工转2；债券代码：127084 3. 转股期限：2023年10月9日至2029年3月26日 4. 当前转股价格：人民币7.30元/股 一、可转债基本情况 （一）可转债发行情况 2023 年 3 月 27 日，经中国证券监督管理委员会《关于核准 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the mechanical industry, with a focus on AI equipment and consumables, as well as humanoid robots [1] Core Insights - The mechanical industry is expected to enter a new recovery cycle driven by monetary and fiscal policies, with significant investment opportunities in the industrial control sector, robotics, machine tools, and AI equipment [6][8] - The AI equipment and consumables sector is experiencing a surge in demand due to the rapid iteration of AI models and smart hardware applications, leading to increased requirements for high-performance servers and advanced PCBs [6][21] - The humanoid robot industry is transitioning from concept validation to commercialization, presenting unique investment opportunities in companies with productization capabilities in key components and solutions [6][21] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The mechanical industry comprises 634 listed companies with a total market capitalization of 6.37 trillion yuan and a circulating market value of 5.29 trillion yuan [3] Company Earnings Forecasts and Valuations - Key companies in the mechanical sector are projected to have strong earnings growth, with several receiving a "Strong Buy" rating, including: - Huichuan Technology: EPS forecast of 2.11 yuan in 2025, with a PE ratio of 35.72 [2] - Falan Technology: EPS forecast of 0.60 yuan in 2025, with a PE ratio of 19.85 [2] - Xinjie Electric: EPS forecast of 1.83 yuan in 2025, with a PE ratio of 30.13 [2] - Okoyi: EPS forecast of 0.71 yuan in 2025, with a PE ratio of 44.86 [2] - Other notable companies include Anhui Heli, Su Shi Testing, and Sany Heavy Industry, all rated as "Strong Buy" [2] Market Performance - The mechanical sector has shown a 1.0% increase in the recent week, outperforming the broader market indices [10][15] - The absolute performance over the last 12 months is 40.7%, indicating strong growth relative to other sectors [4] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies in various sub-sectors, including: - Industrial control: Huichuan Technology, Xinjie Electric, and Weichuang Electric [6] - Robotics: Keli Sensor, Donghua Testing, and Mingzhi Electric [6] - Machine tools: Haitai Precision, Neway CNC, and Huacheng Equipment [6] - Consumables: Dingtai High-Tech and Zhongtung High-Tech [6] - Testing: Huace Testing and Guandian Measurement [6] - Engineering machinery: Sany Heavy Industry and XCMG [6] - Forklift industry: Anhui Heli and Hangcha Group [6] - Laser industry: Ruike Laser and Plit [6] - Logistics equipment: Falan Technology and Lanjian Intelligent [6] - Rail transit equipment: CRRC and Times Electric [6] - 3C equipment: Kuaike Intelligent and Bozhong Precision [6]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the increasing overseas revenue share and the expansion of product offerings in the engineering machinery sector, indicating a shift towards globalization and improved profitability for leading companies by 2025 [1][5]. Group 1: Market Trends - By 2025, the share of overseas revenue for leading engineering machinery companies is expected to continue rising, with major manufacturers accelerating the establishment of overseas sales networks and production capacity [1]. - The domestic market is anticipated to recover as the renewal cycle begins in 2025, while "going abroad" remains a key strategy for domestic manufacturers to capture profits [1][5]. - The demand for engineering machinery is projected to maintain a steady upward trend in 2026 as large projects commence, supported by a gradual recovery in demand from Europe and the U.S. [1][5]. Group 2: Sales and Profitability - In the first eleven months of the year, a total of 212,162 excavators were sold, representing a year-on-year increase of 16.7%, with domestic sales up by 18.6% and exports by 14.9% [2]. - The engineering machinery industry saw total operating revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders grow by 8.69% and 18.87% year-on-year, respectively, in the first three quarters [2]. - Major companies like SANY Heavy Industry, XCMG, and Zoomlion reported significant net profit growth rates of approximately 47%, 12%, and 25%, respectively, in the same period [2][3]. Group 3: Strategic Developments - Companies are transitioning from "product export" to "industrial export," establishing overseas centers and local operations, with cumulative export value expected to reach or exceed $59 billion in 2025 [5]. - SANY Heavy Industry has allocated about 45% of its fundraising for global sales and service network expansion, aligning with its strategy of globalization and digitalization [6]. - The demand for mining machinery is expected to rise due to increased capital expenditure in the mining sector, with a positive outlook for equipment upgrades and replacements [6]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The engineering machinery sector is predicted to enter a new cycle starting in 2025, with a longer duration expected, particularly in emerging industries like new energy machinery [6]. - The overseas markets, especially in Latin America, Africa, and the Middle East, are anticipated to show strong demand, particularly in mineral development and energy infrastructure [6].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a decline in the export value of the metal products industry in China, with a notable drop of 12.5% year-on-year in November 2025 [1] - In the period from January to November 2025, the cumulative export value of the metal products industry reached 453 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 4.8% [1] - The article references a report by Zhiyan Consulting that analyzes the market operation pattern and strategic outlook of the metal products industry in China from 2026 to 2032 [1] Group 2 - The listed companies in the metal products sector include Jingda Co., Ltd. (600577), Jinggong Steel Structure (600496), Southeast Network Frame (002135), CIMC Group (000039), China Railway Industry (600528), Anhui Heli (600761), LiuGong (000528), XCMG Machinery (000425), Yutong Heavy Industry (600817), and Noli Co., Ltd. (603611) [1] - The data source for the export value statistics is the National Bureau of Statistics, with the information compiled by Zhiyan Consulting [2]

天眼查资料显示，广西柳工机械股份有限公司，成立于1993年，位于柳州市，是一家以从事专用设备制 造业为主的企业。企业注册资本203220.0321万人民币。通过天眼查大数据分析，广西柳工机械股份有 限公司共对外投资了39家企业，参与招投标项目1341次，财产线索方面有商标信息27条，专利信息3038 条，此外企业还拥有行政许可516个。 广西柳工元象科技有限公司，成立于2023年，位于柳州市，是一家以从事科技推广和应用服务业为主的 企业。企业注册资本21000万人民币。通过天眼查大数据分析，广西柳工元象科技有限公司共对外投资 了1家企业，参与招投标项目5次，专利信息244条，此外企业还拥有行政许可2个。 国家知识产权局信息显示，广西柳工机械股份有限公司、广西柳工元象科技有限公司取得一项名为"一 种回转平台转动角度的测量方法及系统"的专利，授权公告号CN116336933B，申请日期为2022年9月。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI基于第三方数据生成，仅供参考，不构成个人投资建议。 来源：市场资讯 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the increasing overseas revenue share and the expansion of product types in the engineering machinery sector, indicating a shift towards globalization and improved profitability for leading companies by 2025 [1][2][4] - Domestic sales of excavators are recovering, with a notable increase in both domestic and export sales, leading to a significant improvement in profit margins for major engineering machinery manufacturers [2][3] - Major companies like SANY Heavy Industry, XCMG, and Zoomlion are experiencing substantial profit growth, driven by increased overseas sales and cost reduction strategies [2][3] Group 2 - The engineering machinery industry is transitioning from merely exporting products to establishing overseas centers and localized operations, with a projected export value of over $59 billion by 2025 [4][5] - Companies are investing heavily in research and development for overseas markets, with Zoomlion allocating more than half of its R&D resources to international operations [4][5] - The demand for mining machinery is expected to rise due to increased capital expenditure in overseas mining projects, with optimistic forecasts for equipment upgrades and new machinery in emerging markets [6]