Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights significant target price increases for certain companies, specifically Stone Technology and LiuGong, with target price increases of 47.62% and 38.08% respectively, indicating strong market confidence in these firms within the small home appliance and engineering machinery sectors [1] - On December 30, a total of 9 target price adjustments were made by brokerages for listed companies, reflecting ongoing market activity and analysis [1] - Additionally, there was a downgrade in the rating of one company, China Citic Securities lowered the rating of Three Gorges Tourism from "Buy" to "Hold," indicating a more cautious outlook for this company [1]

Group 1: Computer Research - The report highlights that the company, Electric Science Digital, has established industry-leading capabilities in the digital product business segment, covering intelligent computing hardware and software, and is positioned at the forefront of the digitalization field and new digital infrastructure [2][4] - The core subsidiary, Baifei Electronics, is a leader in domestic embedded computing, benefiting from the rising demand in the special electronic equipment sector, with a rapid increase in orders [4][5] - The future growth potential is significant, driven by AI and the "Xinchuang" initiative, with new orders related to AI exceeding one hundred [4][5] Group 2: Non-Metallic Building Materials Research - The waterproofing industry is noted as the most thoroughly cleared sub-sector within consumer building materials, with leading companies expected to continue implementing price recovery strategies in 2026, indicating a potential recovery in industry profitability [6][8] - The report estimates that the market share of the top four companies in the waterproofing sector will approach 50% by 2024, suggesting a significant increase in industry concentration [8][9] - The report anticipates that the trend of price recovery will become more evident in 2026, supported by low asphalt prices at the beginning of the year [9][10] Group 3: Transportation Research - The report forecasts that the Chinese civil aviation sector will continue to recover in supply and demand in 2025, with expectations of the industry turning profitable [11][29] - Passenger traffic is projected to grow by 5-6% in 2025, with domestic routes increasing by 4% and international routes by over 20% [11][29] - The report indicates that the industry is entering a low growth phase in supply, with a projected 3.7% increase in the fleet size of seven A-share airlines by November 2025 [11][29]

Group 1 - The A-share and Hong Kong stock markets showed a growth style leading the rally in December, with the ChiNext and North Star 50 indices rising over 5% [1] - The core drivers for the cyclical sector include economic recovery expectations and the revaluation of strategic resources, particularly benefiting from global manufacturing recovery and resource security themes [1][2] - The growth style focuses on technological self-reliance and new productivity, with capital concentrating on sectors like defense, communication, and AI-related high-end manufacturing [1][2] Group 2 - In January, the A-share market will enter a critical data verification period, influenced by policy effects, macro data, corporate performance, and liquidity changes, leading to potential increased volatility [2] - Key sectors such as defense, 6G, and satellite internet will require performance or order validation to digest previous gains, while commercial aerospace and AI computing sectors may still present active opportunities [2] - Strategic resource segments, especially rare metals like antimony, tungsten, and rare earths, are being revalued by the market due to their essential role in advanced technology breakthroughs [2] Group 3 - The company has excellent asset allocation in mineral resources, with a projected CAGR of 24% for copper production and 12% for gold production from 2020 to 2024, leading in growth among major copper/gold mining companies [6] - The company has successfully completed several significant acquisitions, contributing to production and profit, with ongoing projects expected to support sustainable growth in copper and gold businesses [6][8] - The company has effectively controlled costs, with production costs for copper and gold remaining competitive, positioning it within the top 20% globally [7] Group 4 - The company is benefiting from a stable coal production capacity of 48 million tons/year and has seen an increase in profitability due to low extraction costs and high long-term contracts [18] - The company is expanding its electrolytic aluminum capacity, with a projected increase to 121,000 tons/year by the end of 2025, supported by cost advantages from proximity to coal sources [19] - The company is actively promoting clean energy transition, with significant growth in renewable energy installations, aiming for 700,000 kW by the end of the 14th Five-Year Plan [19] Group 5 - The company is a leading supplier of air conditioning refrigeration valves, with rapid growth in automotive and humanoid robot businesses, actively developing new growth curves [47] - The company achieved a revenue of 240.29 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 16.86%, and a net profit of 32.42 billion yuan, up 40.85% [47] - The company is focusing on the development of robotic components, with plans for overseas mass production to strengthen its position in the global supply chain [49]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" [4] Core Insights - The report indicates that the global excavator market is entering a new upward cycle, with overseas excavator sales recovering from -15% in January 2025 to +14% in October 2025. The recovery point of the cycle has arrived, with major growth regions including the US, Western Europe, Japan, and Asia-Pacific experiencing acceleration in demand [18][20]. - Chinese companies have successfully established a presence in overseas markets, with their market share in Africa, the Middle East, Southeast Asia, and Russian-speaking regions exceeding 30% by 2024, and over 5% in Europe and North America [20] - The report emphasizes the importance of tailored strategies for different markets, highlighting Japan, the US, and Asia-Pacific as key areas for in-depth analysis [20]. Summary by Sections Introduction - The global excavator market is experiencing a new upward cycle, with significant recovery in sales and demand across various regions [18]. Long-Cycle Perspective on Global Market Differences - Mature markets show relatively stable demand, while emerging markets exhibit greater volatility. The global earthmoving machinery sales have increased from 450,000 units in 2000 to an estimated 1,170,000 units in 2024 [25]. - The report categorizes the global market into four types: emerging markets (India), semi-mature markets (China), mature markets (Europe and North America), and stock markets (Japan) [26]. Japan Market: Stock Market and Demand Growth - Japan's construction machinery market has stabilized after experiencing significant downturns, with a focus on replacement cycles rather than new demand. The report notes that even during economic downturns, the decline in excavator ownership was less severe than the drop in construction investment [60][67]. US Market: High Value and Market Barriers - The US market is characterized by long-term upward demand driven by insufficient equipment stock and ongoing investments in residential and non-residential sectors. The report discusses the potential for Chinese companies to penetrate the US market by leveraging their competitive advantages [60]. Belt and Road Initiative: Potential Market Space - The Belt and Road Initiative is identified as a key area for growth, with demand driven by mining and infrastructure projects. The report highlights the potential for Chinese companies to increase their market share in these regions [60]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends investing in companies such as SANY Heavy Industry, XCMG, Zoomlion, LiuGong, and Hengli Hydraulic, indicating strong growth potential in the excavator market [20].

Group 1 - The engineering machinery sector increased by 1.69% on December 30, with Weiman Sealing leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3965.12, showing no change, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.49% to 13604.07 [1] - Weiman Sealing's stock price rose by 11.35% to 37.08, with a trading volume of 184,900 shares and a transaction value of 678 million yuan [1] Group 2 - Major stocks in the engineering machinery sector included Hengli Hydraulic, which increased by 4.40% to 112.96, with a transaction value of 1.918 billion yuan [1] - Other notable performers included Shaoyang Hydraulic (+4.08%), Shantui (+3.47%), and Zhejiang Dingli (+2.75%) [1] - The sector saw a net inflow of 610 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 404 million yuan [2][3] Group 3 - The main fund inflows were led by Yichong Heavy Industry with a net inflow of 257 million yuan, representing 16.30% of its trading volume [3] - Hengli Hydraulic also saw significant main fund inflows of 245 million yuan, but retail investors withdrew 221 million yuan [3] - The overall trend indicates a mixed sentiment among retail and institutional investors within the engineering machinery sector [2][3]

柳工挖掘机智慧工厂于2023年11月正式投产，作为柳工智能国际工业园的先行项目， 广泛融合机器人、人工智能、物联网等先进技术，实现生产流程的自动化、数字化与智 能化管理，显著提升生产效率和资源利用水平。展望未来，挖掘机业务将持续弘扬柳工 文化，以技术创新驱动产业升级，为实现规模与盈利双增长、在全球工程机械市场谱写 新篇章而全力奋进。 【行业热点】 1 业绩改观，工程机械行业复苏或已在路上？ 1 2月29日下午，柳工挖掘机智慧工厂迎来里程碑时刻—— 2 0 2 5年第1 0 0 0 0台挖掘机 正式下线 。股份公司党委副书记、副董事长、总裁罗国兵，股份公司副总裁、挖掘机 事业部党委书记、总经理袁世国，股份公司副总裁、首席质量官肖小磊等领导，与优 秀供应商代表及员工代表共同出席仪式，见证这一重要成就。 柳工柳州挖掘机业务已实现 13- 200吨全系列产品 的柔性智能化生产，年产突破一万 台，创下历史新高。这一成绩得益于公司领导的战略指引、供应商伙伴的协同支持以及 全体员工的辛勤付出。未来，挖掘机业务将继续秉持 "上下一致、内外对齐、靠前指 挥、同频共振、快人一步" 的工作理念，全力完成"十四五"收官任务，积极备战 ...

公司研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 柳工（000528）深度研究报告 强推（首次） 国企改革重塑经营活力，多元发展打造土方 龙头 [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万) | 30,063 | 34,258 | 39,887 | 45,801 | | 同比增速(%) | 9.2% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 14.8% | | 归母净利润(百万) | 1,327 | 1,627 | 2,237 | 2,773 | | 同比增速(%) | 52.9% | 22.6% | 37.5% | 24.0% | | 每股盈利(元) | 0.65 | 0.80 | 1.10 | 1.36 | | 市盈率(倍) | 19 | 15 | 11 | 9 | | 市净率(倍) | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 资料来源：公司公告，华创证券预测 注：股价为 2025 年 12 月 29 日收盘价 工程机械 2025 年 12 月 30 ...

公 司 研 究 混改效果持续体现，收入和净利润维持增长 柳工(000528) 公司 2026 年年度财务预算议案点评 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 肖群稀(分析师) | 0755-23976830 | xiaoqunxi@gtht.com | S0880522120001 | | 赵靖博(分析师) | 021-23185625 | zhaojingbo@gtht.com | S0880525040056 | 本报告导读： 目前挖机内销温和复苏，海外销售结构性改善，公司智能化、电动化、全球化布局 完善，混改效果突出，业绩有望持续释放。 投资要点： | [Table_Finance] 财务摘要(百万元) | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入 | 27,519 | 30,063 | 34,368 | 39,305 | 43,184 | | (+/-)% | 3.9% | 9.2 ...

柳工(000528)12月29日在分析师会议上表示，2025年公司矿山业务受煤炭价格下行的影响，国内矿山开 工不足，导致收入、毛利率增速不及预期。随着全球矿产品价格持续回暖，市场需求稳步恢复，以及公 司强化研发力度，超大型、智慧型矿山产品落地，升级后的全面解决方案推向市场，2026年起矿山业务 预计将迎来恢复性增长。矿山业务是公司"十五五"战略重点突破的关键业务，公司未来将加强与国内外 大型矿山企业建立长期战略合作，并投入更多资源推动市场开拓和战略落地，将矿山业务打造成为装载 机、挖掘机后的第三大核心业务。 ...

Core Viewpoint - LiuGong Machinery held an analyst meeting on December 29, 2025, discussing its 2026 operational plans, overseas market strategies, and key business developments with 122 participating institutions and analysts [1][2]. Group 1: 2026 Operational Plans - LiuGong Machinery plans to significantly increase R&D and marketing investments in 2026, focusing on long-term strategic implementation and enhancing global competitiveness [3]. - The company expects improved asset quality in 2026 due to asset disposals in 2025, leading to a substantial reduction in impairment provisions [3]. Group 2: Overseas Market Strategy - LiuGong Machinery aims for balanced development across nine overseas regions, with historical highs in revenue, sales, and profits in the first three quarters of 2025 [4]. - The company plans to increase resource investment in overseas markets in 2026, targeting high-quality growth and outperforming the industry [4]. Group 3: Mining Machinery Business - The mining machinery segment is a key focus for LiuGong's "14th Five-Year Plan," with expectations for recovery in 2026 due to rising global mineral prices and market demand [5]. - LiuGong aims to establish mining machinery as its third core business after loaders and excavators, enhancing partnerships with major mining companies [5]. Group 4: Agricultural Machinery Business - LiuGong positions its agricultural machinery segment as a strategic emerging business, which, despite its smaller size, has significant growth potential and can mitigate cyclical risks from the main business [6]. - The company is currently not assessing agricultural machinery performance but aims to enhance product technology and quality [6]. Group 5: Share Buyback and Global Manufacturing Capacity - LiuGong has implemented two phases of share buybacks totaling approximately 55.23 million shares for future employee incentive plans [7]. - The company is advancing its global manufacturing layout, with ongoing projects in South Asia and Indonesia expected to be operational in the coming years [8].