Investment Rating - The industry is rated positively, with expectations of overall returns exceeding the CSI 300 Index by more than 5% in the next six months [7]. Core Insights - The report highlights a significant growth in both domestic and export sales of construction machinery in January, indicating a strong upward trend in demand [4][5]. - Domestic sales of key products such as excavators and loaders saw substantial year-on-year increases, with excavator sales reaching 8,723 units, up 61.4%, and loader sales at 5,293 units, up 42.8% [4]. - Export sales also showed robust growth, with excavator exports at 9,985 units, a 40.5% increase, and loader exports at 6,466 units, up 53.4% [5]. - The report anticipates continued improvement in the industry driven by favorable policies in real estate and infrastructure, alongside a renewal cycle for construction machinery [4]. Summary by Sections Domestic Sales Performance - In January, domestic sales of construction machinery experienced high growth, with notable increases in excavators (61.4%) and loaders (42.8%) [4]. - The overall domestic market is expected to continue its upward trajectory due to improved funding and supportive policies [4]. Export Sales Performance - All categories of machinery exports showed year-on-year growth in January, with excavators and loaders seeing increases of 40.5% and 53.4%, respectively [5]. - The report suggests that as overseas market conditions improve, domestic brands will gain further market share internationally [5]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends a positive outlook for the construction machinery sector, highlighting companies such as SANY Heavy Industry, Hengli Hydraulic, and LiuGong as key investment opportunities [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the engineering machinery sector [1]. Core Insights - January 2026 saw strong sales growth in excavators and loaders, driven by a combination of replacement cycles and external demand. The outlook for 2026 is positive, supported by proactive fiscal policies, stabilization in the European construction sector, and sustained high demand in emerging markets. The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on domestic demand renewal and overseas expansion strategies [5][11]. - The engineering machinery index rose approximately 0.15% in January 2026, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 3.61 percentage points [11]. - Excavator sales in January 2026 reached 18,708 units, a year-on-year increase of 49.5%, with domestic sales at 8,723 units (up 61.4%) and exports at 9,985 units (up 40.5%) [16]. - Loader sales for the same month totaled 11,759 units, reflecting a 48.5% year-on-year increase, with domestic sales of 5,293 units (up 42.8%) and exports of 6,466 units (up 53.4%) [16]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The engineering machinery index in January 2026 increased by about 0.15%, lagging behind major indices such as the Shanghai Composite and CSI 300 [11]. - The performance of different segments showed mixed results, with the average price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for complete machine manufacturing and components being 29 and 39, respectively [11]. Industry Tracking - The report highlights significant growth in excavator and loader sales, with excavators showing a 49.5% increase and loaders a 48.5% increase in January 2026 [16][18]. - The report notes that electric excavators and loaders are gaining traction, with electric loader sales reaching 2,990 units and a penetration rate of 25.43% [16]. Macro Dynamics - The manufacturing PMI for January 2026 was reported at 49.3%, indicating a slight contraction in manufacturing activity. However, production levels remain above the critical point, suggesting ongoing expansion in manufacturing [44]. - Infrastructure investment is supported by the issuance of special bonds amounting to approximately 367.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 79.5% [5]. Key Targets - Recommended key players in the sector include leading manufacturers such as Zoomlion (000157), Sany Heavy Industry (600031), and XCMG (000425), as well as core component suppliers like Hengli Hydraulic (601100) and Aidi Precision (603638) [5][54].

Group 1: Economic Growth and Development Strategies - Guangxi's GDP grew at an average rate of 4.8% during the 14th Five-Year Plan, with an increase of over 740 billion yuan by 2025 compared to 2020 [5] - The region is implementing major strategies for high-quality development, including industrial strength, artificial intelligence empowerment, and open cooperation [5] - Guangxi aims to build a highland for AI cooperation facing ASEAN, promoting comprehensive green transformation in economic and social development [5] Group 2: Technological Advancements in Manufacturing - Liugong Machinery Co., Ltd. has invested over 6 billion yuan in intelligent upgrades, achieving a 71% reduction in quality feedback rates and a 48% decrease in order delivery times [7] - The company has developed the world's first electric unmanned loader, showcasing significant advancements in autonomous machinery [6][7] - Guangxi has cultivated 49 intelligent manufacturing benchmark enterprises and over 5000 enterprises implementing digital transformation [8] Group 3: New Energy Sector Growth - The production and sales of new energy vehicles in China are projected to reach 16.626 million and 16.49 million units by 2025, representing a 12-fold increase from 2020 [9] - Guangxi is positioning itself as a key production base for new energy batteries, attracting major companies like BYD and developing a complete industrial chain [9][11] - The region has made significant technological breakthroughs and developed over 800 new industrial products, contributing over 50% to industrial growth [11] Group 4: Trade and Logistics Enhancements - China has maintained its position as ASEAN's largest trading partner for 17 consecutive years, with trade expected to reach 7.55 trillion yuan by 2025 [13] - Guangxi has implemented innovative customs reforms to streamline logistics, significantly reducing clearance times for perishable goods [15] - The region has developed a comprehensive transportation network, enhancing connectivity with ASEAN and facilitating efficient trade [18] Group 5: Tourism and Eco-Friendly Development - Guangxi has become a popular destination for "bird-like" retirement, with over 3.8 million elderly visitors annually [23] - The region's tourism revenue is projected to reach 1.15 trillion yuan by 2025, with a 12.5% year-on-year increase [23] - Guangxi is integrating ecological, sports, cultural, and tourism resources to promote sustainable development and enhance visitor experiences [20]

Group 1: Economic Resilience - The Chinese economy remains strong during the Spring Festival, with many listed companies continuing operations to meet market demand and fulfill orders [1][2][8] - Companies like LiuGong and TianNai Technology are maintaining production during the holiday to capitalize on increased demand, particularly from overseas markets [2][3] Group 2: Manufacturing Sector - Manufacturing companies are strategically scheduling production and reasonable breaks to ensure continuous delivery and meet customer needs [2][3] - LiuGong reported significant growth in industry demand, leading to a busy production schedule during the holiday [2] - TianNai Technology is also continuing production to better serve customers due to rapid market demand for its products [2] Group 3: Consumer Sector - The Spring Festival is a peak consumption period, with companies like Quanjude and Guangzhou Restaurant Group launching various marketing activities to attract customers [4][5] - Quanjude has prepared for a strong demand for New Year's Eve dinners and is implementing online and offline marketing strategies [4] - Guangzhou Restaurant Group is promoting themed activities and special menus to enhance customer engagement during the holiday [4][5] Group 4: Digital Technology Integration - Companies are leveraging digital technology to enhance traditional festive experiences, such as the fully digitalized lantern festival in Shanghai [7] - Cybersecurity firm Qihoo 360 is providing 24/7 technical support during the holiday to ensure smooth operations for clients [7] - AI service provider Zongheng Communication anticipates increased traffic and engagement on major platforms during the Spring Festival, which may positively impact its business [7] Group 5: Overseas Projects - Some companies are accelerating overseas projects during the Spring Festival, with Hongbang Biological confirming that construction is proceeding as planned in Australia and Indonesia [8]

数据来源：国家统计局，智研咨询整理 知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力，专注于提供完善的产业解决方案，为您的投资决策赋能。 2025年1-12月，金属制品、机械和设备修理业企业数（以下数据涉及的企业，均为规模以上工业企业， 从2011年起，规模以上工业企业起点标准由原来的年主营业务收入500万元提高到年主营业务收入2000 万元）为928个，和上年同期相比，增加了69个，同比增长8.03%，占工业总企业的比重为0.18%。 2016-2025年金属制品、机械和设备修理业企业数统计图 上市公司：精达股份（600577），精工钢构（600496），东南网架（002135），中集集团（000039）， 中铁工业（600528），安徽合力（600761），柳工（000528），徐工机械（000425），宇通重工 （600817），诺力股份（603611） 相关报告：智研咨询发布的《2026-2032年中国金属制品行业市场运行格局及前景战略分析报告》 ...

Core Insights - The tower crane rental industry in China has experienced a fluctuating market size, growing from 52.84 billion yuan in 2016 to 110.23 billion yuan in 2021, followed by a decline due to a downturn in the real estate sector, with projections indicating a market size of 98.67 billion yuan by 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 3.5% [1][3][10] Industry Overview - Tower crane rental, a significant branch of construction equipment leasing, provides short-term usage services for tower cranes, reducing the purchase and maintenance costs for construction contractors [3][9] - The rental business model includes operating leases, where the rental company provides equipment only, and integrated leasing, which offers a comprehensive service package [3] Market Trends - The market saw rapid growth from 2016 to 2020 due to urbanization and infrastructure development, but has faced challenges since 2021 due to a deep adjustment in the real estate sector and increased market competition [7][9] - The demand for tower cranes is closely linked to real estate and infrastructure activities, with a projected decline in fixed asset investment and real estate development investments impacting the rental market [7][9] Industry Chain - The tower crane rental industry consists of upstream manufacturing, midstream rental services, and downstream construction sectors, heavily reliant on national economic conditions and fixed asset investment [8][9] - The production of tower cranes peaked at 57,392 units in 2020 but has since declined, with a forecasted production of 10,775 units in 2024, reflecting insufficient downstream demand [8][9] Competitive Landscape - The industry is characterized by a large number of small to medium-sized enterprises, with leading companies like Pangyuan Rental, Dafeng Equipment, and Zizhu Hui emerging as key players [10][11] - The market concentration is expected to increase as larger companies leverage their advantages in technology and service quality to consolidate their positions [10] Future Development Trends - The industry is anticipated to move towards greater automation and intelligence, incorporating advanced control systems and sensors for improved efficiency and safety [13] - Environmental sustainability will become a focal point, with a shift towards electric and hybrid cranes to reduce energy consumption and emissions [14] - International expansion is expected to accelerate as companies seek new markets and enhance their global presence [15]

Core Insights - The Chinese forklift manufacturing industry has developed a comprehensive production capacity over 70 years, becoming the largest manufacturing market globally, with production expected to approach 1.3 million units in 2024 [1] Production Trends - The production of forklifts in China has shown fluctuations, with the total production from 2015 to 2024 experiencing variations. In 2024, the production is projected to be nearly 1.3 million units [1] - The industry is highly concentrated, with the top three companies—Anhui Heli, Zhongli, and Hangcha Group—holding over 80% of the market share. Their production figures for 2024 are expected to be 350,000 units, 294,000 units, and 280,000 units respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 19.15%, 16.33%, and 12.82% [2] Sales Performance - The sales volume of forklifts in China is on an upward trend, with a record high of 1.286 million units expected in 2024, marking a year-on-year increase of 9.5%. For the first ten months of 2025, sales reached 1.2207 million units, up 14.2% year-on-year [4] - The leading companies in forklift sales for 2024 are projected to be Anhui Heli with 340,200 units (up 16.52%), Zhongli with 297,000 units (up 15.53%), and Hangcha Group with 280,000 units (up 14.05%) [5] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The Chinese forklift manufacturing industry has achieved a basic balance between supply and demand, with significant advancements in technology and production processes. The period from 2015 to 2018 saw excess inventory, but since 2019, the market has shifted towards a more balanced supply-demand scenario, with sales exceeding production [9]

近期事件 2026年02月10日，柳工发布公告称，非独立董事（副董事长）、高级副总裁黄海波因工作变动原因辞 职，不再担任公司任何职务；其原定任期至2028年5月，持股25.11万股将按规定管理。 以上内容基于公开资料整理，不构成投资建议。 经济观察网 近期券商机构发布工程机械行业研报，显示行业需求复苏。东莞证券在点评中指出，2026 年1月挖掘机销量为18708台，同比增长49.50%，其中国内销量同比增长61.39%，主要受春节错峰因素 及专项债加速发行推动。银河证券在月报中同样强调1月挖机内销同比增长61.4%，出口增长40.5%，并 提到新增专项债发行金额约3677亿元，同比增长79.54%，有望提振下游设备需求。根据内部数据库， 机构对柳工（000528）的综合目标价为16.53元，较最新价有40.56%的上涨空间，2025年预测净利润同 比增长26.97%。 股票近期走势 柳工股价近7日呈现震荡走势，截至2026年02月13日最新价为11.58元，当日下跌1.53%，5日累计涨幅 0.87%；同期工程机械板块下跌1.79%，表现弱于行业。成交量方面，2月9日成交额达4.83亿元，换手率 2.02%， ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from China Galaxy Securities indicates a significant growth in domestic and foreign sales of excavators in January 2026, with domestic sales increasing by 61.4% and exports by 40.5% [1] Group 1: Excavator Sales - In January, a total of 18,708 excavators were sold, representing a year-on-year increase of 49.5%. Domestic sales accounted for 8,723 units (including 24 electric excavators), up 61.4%, while exports reached 9,985 units (including 11 electric excavators), up 40.5% [1] - The increase in domestic sales is influenced by the Lunar New Year timing, while overseas demand is recovering, particularly in Europe and the U.S., alongside strong metal prices and robust mining market demand in regions like Australia and Africa [1] Group 2: Other Machinery Sales - In December, various types of cranes showed high growth in sales, with truck cranes increasing by 38% overall, and crawler cranes by 68% [2] - For 2025, the overall sales growth for truck cranes is projected at 1.39%, while crawler cranes are expected to see a significant increase of 30% [2] Group 3: Working Hours and Rates - In January, the average working hours for major construction machinery products was 72.5 hours, a year-on-year increase of 23.9%, while the average operating rate was 48.1%, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 2.63 percentage points [3] - In December, there was an improvement in working hours for Komatsu excavators in North America, Europe, Japan, and Indonesia [3] Group 4: Caterpillar's Market Outlook - Caterpillar reported a year-on-year increase of 11% in end-user sales in Q4 2025, with expectations for moderate growth in North American demand in 2026, supported by strong order levels [4] - The resource business saw a decline in sales due to weak coal prices, but growth is anticipated in 2026 driven by rising demand for copper and gold, as well as heavy construction and aggregate industries [4] Group 5: Recommended Companies - Based on the upward trend in domestic and foreign sales, leading manufacturers such as SANY Heavy Industry, XCMG, Zoomlion, and LiuGong are recommended, along with core component manufacturer Hengli Hydraulic [5]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Market Weight" [1] Core Insights - In January 2026, excavator sales reached 18,708 units, a year-on-year increase of 49.50%, but a month-on-month decrease of 19.00%. Domestic sales were 8,723 units, up 61.39% year-on-year, while export sales were 9,985 units, up 40.50% year-on-year [3][4] - Loader sales in January 2026 totaled 11,759 units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 48.47% and a month-on-month decrease of 3.90%. Domestic sales were 5,293 units, up 42.82% year-on-year, while export sales were 6,466 units, up 53.44% year-on-year [3][4] - The issuance of new special bonds in January 2026 amounted to approximately 367.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 79.54%, which is expected to boost downstream engineering project commencement and equipment demand [4] - The report highlights a recovery in domestic engineering machinery demand, driven by the acceleration of special bond issuance and the commencement of major domestic projects [4] - The electric excavator sales reached 35 units in January 2026, a year-on-year increase of 94.44%, while electric loader sales were 2,990 units, up 175.32% year-on-year, indicating a growing trend towards electrification in the industry [3][4][5] Summary by Sections Excavator Sales - January 2026 excavator sales were 18,708 units, with domestic sales at 8,723 units and export sales at 9,985 units, showing significant year-on-year growth [3][4] Loader Sales - January 2026 loader sales were 11,759 units, with domestic sales at 5,293 units and export sales at 6,466 units, also reflecting strong year-on-year growth [3][4] Special Bonds and Policy Impact - The acceleration of special bond issuance and the initiation of major projects are expected to enhance equipment demand in the engineering machinery sector [4] Electrification Trend - The report emphasizes the importance of electric machinery, with significant year-on-year growth in sales of electric excavators and loaders, indicating a shift towards greener technology [5]