Core Viewpoint - The company, Jiantou Energy, has demonstrated strong performance in the thermal power sector, particularly in Hebei, benefiting from a stable pricing environment and significant cost reductions, leading to a remarkable year-on-year profit increase of 231.79% in the first three quarters of 2025 [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Jiantou Energy's strong performance in 2022 was attributed to its cost advantages and certainty in a challenging industry environment [1] - The company is expected to maintain a competitive edge in the thermal power market due to the tight supply-demand situation in Hebei, which supports regional electricity prices [2] - In the first half of 2025, the company's thermal power on-grid electricity price was 440.19 yuan per megawatt-hour, showing only a slight decrease compared to the previous year, indicating price stability [2] Group 2: Project Development - The company is advancing several thermal power projects, including the 1.32 million kilowatt Xibaipo Phase IV and the 700,000 kilowatt Renqiu Thermal Power Phase II, which are expected to enhance its installed capacity by 34% upon completion [3] - Jiantou Energy has significant renewable energy projects, with 687,000 kilowatts of photovoltaic capacity and 135,000 kilowatts of wind power capacity, which are anticipated to contribute to future growth [3] - The company has additional photovoltaic projects with a capacity of 1.91 million kilowatts in reserve, indicating strong potential for rapid growth in the renewable sector [3] Group 3: Investment Outlook - The company is expected to enter a clear growth phase in 2026, supported by a robust project pipeline and a stable pricing environment [4] - Earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected at 1.04 yuan, 0.88 yuan, and 1.09 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 8.13, 9.66, and 7.75 [4] - The company has been rated "buy" based on its operational performance and development plans [4]

[Table_scodeMsg1] 公司研究丨深度报告丨建投能源（000600.SZ） [Table_Title] 建投能源：冀电龙头，擎势腾飞 %% %% 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 28 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 复盘主要火电公司的表现，2025 年火电投资呈现出"北移"和看重业绩释放的特征，建投能源 盈利的持续修复驱动公司股价表现优异。聚焦公司火电经营，公司深耕河北地区，区域电源结 构支撑公司具备优于行业的电价韧性，构筑起公司强大的区域护城河；而展望来看河北区域电 力供需预计将保持紧平衡，为公司保持电价相对优势提供强有力支撑。此外，公司在建及储备 项目丰厚，参控股火电机组投产后预计将为公司带来 34%的权益装机成长空间，2026 年公司 将步入明确的成长兑现期。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 张韦华 司旗 宋尚骞 SAC：S0490517080003 SAC：S0490520120001 SAC：S0490520110001 SFC：BQT627 刘亚辉 张子淳 SAC：S049 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights a decline in China's thermal power generation, with a projected decrease in output for 2025 compared to previous years, indicating potential challenges for the industry [1]. Industry Summary - According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the thermal power generation output in December 2025 is expected to be 581.2 billion kilowatt-hours, representing a year-on-year decrease of 3.2% [1]. - The cumulative thermal power generation output for the entire year of 2025 is projected to be 6,294.55 billion kilowatt-hours, reflecting a cumulative decline of 1% [1]. - The report is part of a comprehensive market survey and investment potential research for the thermal power industry in China from 2026 to 2032, published by Zhiyan Consulting [1].

Core Viewpoint - The company emphasizes its commitment to shareholder returns through a structured dividend policy, aiming to distribute 50% of the annual distributable profits in cash dividends, contingent on profitability and positive retained earnings [1] Group 1: Dividend Policy - The company has established a three-year shareholder return plan for 2024-2026, which stipulates that, barring special circumstances, it will distribute 50% of the annual distributable profits as cash dividends if the company is profitable and has positive retained earnings [1] - To prevent over-distribution, the company will determine the specific profit distribution ratio based on the lower of the consolidated or parent company distributable profits [1] Group 2: Commitment to Shareholders - The company has consistently prioritized shareholder returns, having implemented a mid-term dividend for the year 2025 [1] - The company plans to continue enhancing operational management to improve profitability and maintain stable and continuous cash dividends, actively returning value to shareholders [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company, JianTuo Energy, emphasizes its commitment to investing, constructing, and managing energy projects primarily focused on electricity production, particularly through efficient and clean coal-fired power generation and urban centralized heating [1] Group 1: Business Focus - JianTuo Energy's main business involves investment, construction, and operation management of energy projects centered on electricity production [1] - The electricity business primarily consists of efficient and clean coal-fired power generation and urban centralized heating [1] Group 2: Future Strategy - The company plans to continue deepening its focus on the electricity sector, aligning with the trends of building a new energy system and a new power system [1] - JianTuo Energy aims to adhere to the strategic direction of "cleaning up conventional energy, scaling up clean energy, and enhancing multi-energy complementary efficiency" [1] - The goal is to strive to become a leading comprehensive energy supply and service provider [1]

Investment Rating - The report provides a positive outlook on the electricity and natural gas sectors, highlighting stable revenue mechanisms and growth potential in consumption and pricing [1][10]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of a refined capacity pricing mechanism for electricity generation, which aims to stabilize revenue and ensure fair compensation for various power sources [4][6]. - It notes that natural gas consumption is expected to grow, supported by favorable weather conditions and improved economic indicators, despite short-term price fluctuations [10][29]. Summary by Sections 1. Electricity: Improved Capacity Pricing Mechanism - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have issued a notification to enhance the capacity pricing mechanism for electricity generation, addressing mismatches in supply and demand within the new power system [4]. - The new mechanism aims to ensure that different types of power generation, including coal, gas, and new energy sources, receive fair compensation based on their peak supply capabilities [6][7]. - The report highlights that the refined pricing structure will lead to more predictable revenue for power generation companies, reducing volatility in earnings [7]. 2. Natural Gas: Continued Growth in Consumption - The report indicates that the apparent consumption of natural gas in China is projected to grow by 0.1% in 2025, with December consumption reaching 38.57 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 1.9% [29]. - It notes that the recent cold weather has supported high natural gas prices, with the U.S. Henry Hub spot price at $7.18/mmBtu, while European prices remain elevated due to low inventory levels and geopolitical tensions [10][12]. - The report suggests that the natural gas sector will benefit from a combination of lower costs and improved pricing mechanisms, leading to a recovery in profitability for city gas companies [31]. 3. Investment Recommendations - For coal-fired power, companies like Guodian Power and Inner Mongolia Huadian are recommended due to their stable revenue sources [8]. - Hydropower companies such as Yangtze Power and State Power Investment Corporation are highlighted for their potential to improve profit margins through reduced capital expenditures [8]. - In the nuclear sector, China National Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power are suggested for their growth potential as new units are approved [8]. - The report also recommends focusing on integrated natural gas companies like ENN Energy and China Gas Holdings, which are expected to benefit from lower costs and increased sales [31].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the power and gas sectors, indicating a favorable investment environment due to policy improvements and market dynamics [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights the recent improvements in the capacity pricing mechanism for power generation, which aims to stabilize revenue and enhance the profitability of various power sources [6][10]. - It notes a slight increase in natural gas consumption in 2025, with a projected growth of 0.1% year-on-year, indicating a stable demand outlook for the gas sector [32]. Summary by Sections 1. Power Sector: Capacity Pricing Mechanism Improvement - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have issued a notification to enhance the capacity pricing mechanism for power generation, addressing mismatches in supply and demand within the new energy system [6]. - The new mechanism introduces differentiated pricing for various types of regulatory power sources, ensuring that their capacity value is adequately compensated [7]. - A unified compensation standard for peak capacity across different power sources is established, promoting rational investment and resource allocation in the power sector [8][10]. 2. Gas Sector: Continued Growth in Natural Gas Consumption - Natural gas consumption in China is expected to reach 385.7 billion cubic meters by December 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.9% [32]. - The report emphasizes the impact of cold weather on gas prices, with global prices remaining high, particularly in the U.S. and Europe, which supports the profitability of gas companies [13][19]. - The report suggests that the gas sector will benefit from a combination of lower costs and improved demand, particularly for city gas companies, with recommendations for several key players in the market [34]. 3. Weekly Market Review - The report notes that the public utility, power, gas, and environmental sectors underperformed relative to the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index during the week of January 24 to January 30, 2026 [36]. 4. Company and Industry Dynamics - As of the end of 2025, the total installed power generation capacity in China reached 3.89 billion kilowatts, a year-on-year increase of 16.1%, with significant growth in solar and wind power installations [43]. - The report includes various company announcements, highlighting performance forecasts and operational updates from key players in the energy sector [44].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the public utility sector [6] Core Insights - The commercial model of the power sector is continuously transforming, with a reduced reliance on annual long-term contracts for electricity and prices. The sector is shifting towards mid-to-long-term markets, spot markets, and capacity markets, indicating a comprehensive push for marketization [19][3] - The capacity price mechanism is being refined, with the aim to optimize the electricity market and ensure fair compensation reflecting the contributions of different power plants to peak demand [15][3] - The report highlights the importance of capacity market development, with current subsidies in Gansu and Yunnan reaching 330 RMB/kW·year, which helps offset the decline in electricity prices [19][3] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The SW public utility sector index fell by 1.66% this week, ranking 16th among 31 SW sectors. In comparison, the CSI 300 index rose by 0.08%, while the Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.44% and 1.62%, respectively [33][33] - Within sub-sectors, thermal power decreased by 2.78%, hydropower increased by 0.3%, while solar and wind power fell by 4.53% and 2.49%, respectively [33][33] Price Updates - Domestic and imported thermal coal prices have rebounded slightly, with domestic Qinhuangdao port 5500 kcal thermal coal rising by 4 RMB/ton, remaining below 700 RMB/ton. Imported coal prices also saw a slight increase [12][12] - The average clearing price for electricity in Shanxi and Guangdong has significantly increased due to cold weather, while the monthly agent purchase electricity costs are trending upwards due to rising capacity prices and the entry of renewable energy into the settlement cycle [13][12] Key Events - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration issued a notice to improve the capacity price mechanism for power generation, which includes optimizing compensation for coal and gas power generation [3][15] - Recent policy changes include relaxing the annual long-term contract signing ratio for coal-fired power companies and the cancellation of time-of-use electricity pricing in multiple regions [3][15] Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on national thermal power operators such as Huaneng International and Guodian Power, which are expected to maintain stable cash dividends. The profitability of thermal power is anticipated to gradually detach from coal cost dependency, shifting towards multiple influencing factors [19][3] - For long-term stable investment needs, the report recommends attention to companies like Yangtze Power, State Power Investment Corporation, and China National Nuclear Power [19][3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in the sector [2]. Core Insights - The report discusses the recent issuance of the "Notice on Improving the Capacity Price Mechanism on the Generation Side" by the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration, aimed at addressing the challenges in the development of adjustable power sources amid the transition to a new energy system [2]. - The report highlights the need for a refined capacity pricing mechanism to ensure the economic viability of coal, gas, pumped storage, and new energy storage sources, which are essential for balancing the supply and demand of renewable energy [2]. - The report emphasizes the differentiation in capacity pricing for four types of adjustable power sources, aiming to optimize revenue logic and ensure fair competition across regions [2]. - A key breakthrough is the establishment of a unified compensation mechanism for reliable capacity, which standardizes compensation across different types of power generation units based on their peak supply capabilities [2]. - The report suggests that the improved pricing mechanism will stabilize investment expectations in the power sector, ensuring a balance between energy security and the integration of renewable energy [2]. Summary by Sections Capacity Pricing Mechanism - The report outlines the necessity of improving the capacity pricing mechanism to address the issues of supply-demand mismatch and insufficient adaptation of existing mechanisms [2]. - It identifies three major problems with the current system, including declining utilization hours for coal power and the lack of cost constraints for pumped storage pricing [2]. Differentiated Pricing Strategy - The report details the differentiated optimization of capacity pricing for adjustable power sources, allowing local authorities to set prices based on specific factors such as discharge duration and peak contribution [2]. - It introduces a "new and old distinction" strategy for pumped storage, maintaining existing pricing for older plants while implementing a unified pricing mechanism for new projects [2]. Unified Compensation Mechanism - The report introduces a reliable capacity compensation mechanism that standardizes compensation across different generation units, promoting rational investment and resource allocation in the power sector [2]. - This mechanism aims to link revenue to the actual contribution of each type of power generation unit, encouraging efficiency and technological improvements [2]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several companies for investment, including coal power companies like Guodian Power and Inner Mongolia Huadian, as well as hydropower companies such as Yangtze Power and State Power Investment [2][3].

公用事业行业 行业研究 | 行业周报 新建新型储能容量电价，多元电价体系逐 步完善 公用事业行业周报（2026.01.26-2026.01.30） 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 国家/地区 中国 行业 公用事业行业 报告发布日期 2026 年 02 月 01 日 孙辉贤 执业证书编号：S0860525090003 sunhuixian@orientsec.com.cn 021-63326320 | 火电电量降幅收窄，基金持仓底部提升： | 2026-01-25 | | --- | --- | | 公 用 事 业 行 业 周 报 （2026.01.19- | | | 2026.01.23） | | | 气温拖累单月电量，26 年有望平稳增长： | 2026-01-18 | | 公 用 事 业 行 业 周 报 （2026.01.12- | | | 2026.01.16） | | | 长协电价风险落地，结算电价有望好于预 | 2026-01-11 | | 期 ： 公 用 事 业 行 业 周 报 （2026.01.05- | | | 2026.01.09） | | 有关分析师的申明，见本报告最后部分。其他重要信息披露 ...