智通财经APP获悉，广发证券发布研报称，参考主流互联网平台，给予贝壳-W(02423)26年18x经调PE。 按中性情景对应1824亿元人民币总合理价值，对应港股58.37港元/股、美股22.45美元/股，维持"买入"评 级。 广发证券主要观点如下： 二手市场量价稳定，对贝壳业绩表现具备正面影响 26年开年二手认购成交明显回弹，1月前18天贝壳79城二手认购套数同比+33%，剔除贝壳市占增长因 素，当前成交对应年化二手交易量8.6亿平，较25年上升24%，与24Q4年化8.4亿平相当，26年"小阳 春"概率加大。 存量成本提升影响，25年业绩承压 据测算，贝壳25E存量房GTV2.1万亿元，同比-6%，25Q4E4323亿元，同比-42%。更新25E经调归母净 利55亿元，同比-24%，25Q4E经调归母净利10亿元，同比-26%。 布局核心有弹性，市占稳增防御性强 贝壳存量房业务GTV一二线占比长期80%+，北上成杭25年贡献37%，扎根核心，贝壳充分享受上行期 核心城市的市场弹性。且无论市场环境如何，贝壳市占始终稳增，25年市占32%，仍增长1pct，未来在 高市占核心城市成交占比提升、及大量低市占城市市 ...

存量成本提升影响，25年业绩承压 据测算，贝壳25E存量房GTV2.1万亿元，同比-6%，25Q4E4323亿元，同比-42%。更新25E经调归母净 利55亿元，同比-24%，25Q4E经调归母净利10亿元，同比-26%。 广发证券发布研报称，参考主流互联网平台，给予贝壳-W(02423)26年18x经调PE。按中性情景对应 1824亿元人民币总合理价值，对应港股58.37港元/股、美股22.45美元/股，维持"买入"评级。 广发证券主要观点如下： 布局核心有弹性，市占稳增防御性强 二手市场量价稳定，对贝壳业绩表现具备正面影响 26年开年二手认购成交明显回弹，1月前18天贝壳79城二手认购套数同比+33%，剔除贝壳市占增长因 素，当前成交对应年化二手交易量8.6亿平，较25年上升24%，与24Q4年化8.4亿平相当，26年"小阳 春"概率加大。 降本增效及市场改善推动，26年业绩置信度高 该行进行三种情景下的26年业绩敏感性分析，同时根据结果采用广义现金+剔利息利润*经调PE方法给 予估值，参考主流互联网平台，给予贝壳26年18x经调PE。 乐观情景：二手量+15%，价格持平，交易额+15%，市占+2pct， ...

广发证券发布研报称，金山云(03896)拥有高可见度的强劲需求，小米金山加大AI投入，基础大模型、 智能汽车、WPS均需要大量AI训练和推理算力，非小米客户AI需求亦旺盛。参考可比公司估值，分别 给予AI云/非AI云业务6/2倍PS，对应合理价值10.49港元/股。维持"买入"评级。 广发证券主要观点如下： 核心观点 该行维持此前对公司25Q4的预测，预计收入同比+20%，全年收入达95亿元，同比+22%。预测25Q4毛 利率维持15%左右，经调整EBITDA率为27.7%，剔除一次性因素，环比增长。 AI业务维持高增长 风险提示：AI应用进程不及预期；资本开支快速提升，资金压力大；供应链依赖与供给不足；竞争加 剧，降价拉低毛利率。 预计25Q4AI公有云收入同比+82%至8.65亿元，占总收入比例升至32.2%；行业云稳健增长。根据Q3业 绩公告，25Q3物业及设备额净增约27.3亿元，环比多4.4亿元，表明需求旺盛，预计Q4新设备交付，支 撑AI业务高增长。 与小米金山生态合作持续攀升 小米于24年底开始发力基座模型，25年陆续发布多个轻量模型，年底发布309B参数量的MiMo-V2-Flash 语言基座 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the securities and banking sectors, while also recommending the insurance sector [8]. Core Insights - The market remains active with an average daily trading volume of 28 trillion yuan in A-shares, and the financing balance stabilizing at 2.7 trillion yuan. However, the ETF market has experienced significant volatility, with major outflows from core broad-based ETFs [11][16]. - The sentiment for market bullishness is strong, and the spring rally is expected to continue, particularly in the insurance sector where beta trading opportunities are anticipated [2][26]. - The central bank's governor indicated that there is still room for interest rate cuts, with the latest Loan Prime Rate (LPR) remaining unchanged for eight consecutive months [11][32]. Securities Sector Summary - The report highlights a positive outlook for the securities sector, with several brokerages reporting significant profit growth for 2025. The recommendation includes top brokerages such as CITIC Securities, Guotai Junan, and GF Securities [2][12]. - The average daily trading volume in the A-share market is noted at 28 trillion yuan, with a stable financing balance, indicating a recovery opportunity for the brokerage sector [11][12]. Insurance Sector Summary - The report suggests focusing on quality leading companies in the insurance sector, as the market sentiment remains strong and the spring rally is expected to continue [26][27]. - The insurance sector's fund holdings have increased, with major stocks like Ping An and China Life being highlighted for their significant market presence [27][31]. Banking Sector Summary - The banking sector is characterized by stable performance, with several banks reporting positive earnings forecasts for 2025. The report recommends quality individual stocks such as Nanjing Bank and Chengdu Bank [3][40]. - The central bank's comments on potential interest rate cuts and the expansion of wealth management products indicate a favorable environment for banks [32][33]. - The report notes a decline in bond allocations within bank wealth management products, with an increase in deposits and funds [37][34].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for both the banking and securities sectors [6]. Core Insights - The financial sector shows a strategic allocation opportunity, with increased fund positions in banking, securities, and insurance stocks [1][5]. - The banking sector's fund position has slightly increased, indicating a return of risk appetite among investors [2][13]. - The securities sector is experiencing a recovery in fund positions, driven by market activity and performance expectations [3][5]. - The insurance sector has seen a significant increase in fund positions, with major insurance stocks being favored by investors [4][5]. Summary by Sections Banking Sector - As of Q4 2025, the banking sector's fund position increased by 0.04 percentage points to 1.89%, with large banks and joint-stock banks seeing gains, while city commercial banks experienced a decline [2][13]. - The top three heavy-weighted stocks in the banking sector account for 46.0% of the total fund position, indicating a concentration in holdings [13][27]. - The dividend yield for A/H shares in the banking sector is approximately 4.87%/4.88%, making it attractive compared to the 10-year government bond yield of 1.83% [5]. Securities Sector - The securities sector's fund position rose by 0.10 percentage points to 0.72%, although it remains at a historically low level [3][5]. - Major securities firms like CITIC Securities and Guotai Junan have been favored for their performance potential amidst market recovery [5][8]. - The average price-to-book ratio for large and small securities firms is 1.44x and 1.67x, respectively, indicating they are trading at 27% and 42% of their historical averages [5]. Insurance Sector - The insurance sector's fund position increased by 0.94 percentage points to 1.72%, with major stocks like Ping An and China Pacific receiving significant increases in holdings [4][5]. - The insurance index's price-to-book ratio is at 1.53x, which is at the 40th percentile of valuations since 2014, suggesting potential for valuation recovery [4][5]. - Strong sales performance in life insurance is noted, with a focus on high-elasticity stocks as key investment opportunities [4].

智通财经APP获悉，广发证券发布研报称，金山云(03896)拥有高可见度的强劲需求，小米金山加大AI 投入，基础大模型、智能汽车、WPS均需要大量AI训练和推理算力，非小米客户AI需求亦旺盛。参考 可比公司估值，分别给予AI云/非AI云业务6/2倍PS，对应合理价值10.49港元/股。维持"买入"评级。 预计25Q4AI公有云收入同比+82%至8.65亿元，占总收入比例升至32.2%；行业云稳健增长。根据Q3业 绩公告，25Q3物业及设备额净增约27.3亿元，环比多4.4亿元，表明需求旺盛，预计Q4新设备交付，支 撑AI业务高增长。 与小米金山生态合作持续攀升 小米于24年底开始发力基座模型，25年陆续发布多个轻量模型，年底发布309B参数量的MiMo-V2-Flash 语言基座，展现高效能。25年1~9月公司来自小米金山生态收入合计18.2亿元，该行预计25年小米收入 贡献有望接近关联交易上限，26年将进一步增长。 预计26年将延续高资本开支 该行预计26年将延续高资本开支，超过25年水平，即超过100亿元，主要考虑需求依然旺盛。预测公司 26年收入同比+28.8%达122亿元，其中AI公有云收入同比+85 ...

Group 1 - The A-share securities sector experienced a short-term surge on January 26, with notable increases in stock prices [2] - Citic Securities saw a rise of over 7%, while Huatai Securities and Industrial Securities increased by more than 3% [2] - Other companies such as GF Securities and Huaxin Securities also showed significant upward movement [2]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share securities sector experienced a short-term surge, with notable increases in stock prices for several securities firms [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Caitong Securities saw a rise of over 7% in its stock price [1] - Huatai Securities and Industrial Securities both increased by more than 3% [1] - Other firms such as GF Securities and Huaxin Securities also experienced significant stock price increases [1]

Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.33% to 4136.16 points, while the Shenzhen Component increased by 0.79% and the ChiNext Index gained 0.63%[1] - The Hang Seng Index closed up 0.45% at 26749.51 points, with the Hang Seng Tech Index rising 0.62% and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index increasing by 0.51%[1] - The total market turnover in Hong Kong was 240.9 billion HKD[1] Currency and Trade Tensions - The Japanese yen rebounded strongly, nearing the 160 mark against the USD, marking its largest single-day gain since August of the previous year[8] - U.S. President Trump threatened to impose a 100% tariff on all Canadian exports to the U.S. if Canada reaches a trade agreement with China[8] ETF and Market Sentiment - Continuous outflows from broad-based ETFs in China have raised concerns about potential reductions in state-owned fund holdings, leading to increased interest in small-cap stocks[12] - From January 15 to 22, approximately 67.5 billion USD was sold off from 14 ETF products by the central government, indicating a significant market impact[12] Corporate Developments - Dongpeng Beverage plans to raise up to 10.141 billion HKD through an IPO, with a share price set at 248 HKD, representing a 12.5% discount compared to its A-share price[10] - BYD aims for overseas sales of 1.3 million vehicles in 2026, a nearly 24% increase from last year's 1.05 million deliveries[14]

登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 3、本基金的基金管理人和登记机构均为财信基金管理有限公司（以下简称"本公司"或"本基金管理 人"），基金托管人为广发证券股份有限公司。 4、本基金向符合法律法规规定的可投资于证券投资基金的个人投资者、机构投资者、合格境外投资 者、发起资金提供方以及法律法规或中国证监会允许购买证券投资基金的其他投资人公开发售。 5、本基金自2026年2月2日起至2026年2月6日，通过本基金管理人及基金管理人指定的其他销售机构公 开发售。基金管理人可根据募集情况提前终止或适当延长发售时间并及时公告，但募集期限最长不超过 三个月。 6、本基金的销售机构包括直销机构和其他销售机构。其中直销机构指本公司直销柜台。其他销售机构 请见"七、本基金募集当事人或中介机构"。 7、本基金为发起式基金，最低募集份额总额为1000万份，基金募集金额不少于1000万元人民币，法律 法规或监管机构另有规定的除外。 基金管理人：财信基金管理有限公司 基金托管人：广发证券股份有限公司 重要提示 1、财信均衡致远混合型发起式证券投资基金（以下简称"本基金"）根据中国证券监督管理委员会2026 年1月9日关于 ...