Core Viewpoint - The communication industry is experiencing stable growth driven by advancements in AI and new infrastructure development, with significant increases in user scale for 5G, gigabit, and IoT services [1][2]. Industry Overview - In the first half of 2025, China's telecommunications industry generated a total revenue of 905.5 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 1%, and a 9.3% increase when adjusted for last year's prices [1]. - The Shenzhen Stock Exchange's communication sector has 26 companies forecasting a combined net profit of 9.4 billion to 11.3 billion yuan for the first half of 2025 [1]. Company Performance - Wuhan Guangxun Technology Co., Ltd. anticipates a net profit of 323 million to 407 million yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a substantial year-on-year increase of 55% to 95% [2]. - Fujian StarNet RuiJie Communication Co., Ltd. expects a net profit of 180 million to 240 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 43.81% to 91.75% year-on-year [2]. AI Impact - The AI wave is significantly driving growth in the communication sector, with companies like StarNet RuiJie reporting increased orders for data center switch products due to accelerated data center construction [3]. - The demand for AI computing power is expected to continue driving large-scale data center construction, becoming a primary growth engine for the industry [3]. Policy Support - Recent policies have created a favorable environment for the communication industry, including targeted support for 5G, gigabit networks, and AI-communication technology integration [5][6]. - The National Development and Reform Commission and other agencies have set a goal to establish a national data infrastructure by 2029, which will enhance the demand for computing and optical communication infrastructure [5][6]. Future Outlook - The integration of AI with communication technology is anticipated to create vast market opportunities, with companies positioned to benefit from ongoing digital transformation and infrastructure development [3][6]. - The optical module market for AI clusters is projected to grow significantly, with sales expected to reach 12 billion USD by 2029 [4].

Group 1: Strategy Insights - The "anti-involution" theme is gradually forming, supported by policies such as the commencement of the Yarlung Zangbo River downstream hydropower project and restrictions on overproduction in the coal industry [2][3] - The report suggests focusing on three investment strategies: 1) low-value, low-chips, high-dividend sectors like building materials and chemicals; 2) sectors with natural capacity clearance signs such as wind power and agricultural chemicals; 3) sectors like photovoltaics that have already priced in pessimistic expectations [2][3] Group 2: Industry Analysis - The engineering tire industry is expected to benefit from the Yarlung Zangbo River hydropower project, which will promote a new wave of supply chain autonomy, allowing domestic companies to penetrate a high-profit market worth billions [3] - The report highlights the potential for new billion-dollar products in the soft drink industry, driven by changing consumer preferences towards health and functionality, indicating a shift from volume-driven growth to structural upgrades [9] Group 3: Company Performance - ASMPT reported a revenue of HKD 3.4 billion for Q2 2025, a year-on-year increase of 1.8%, with orders amounting to HKD 3.75 billion, reflecting a 20.2% year-on-year growth [11] - Bilibili is expected to achieve a revenue of CNY 7.35 billion in Q2 2025, representing a 20% year-on-year increase, with a focus on new game releases and advertising growth [12] - QuanFeng Holdings anticipates a net profit of USD 90 million to 100 million for H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 46% to 62%, driven by the growth of its EGO brand and strategic asset divestitures [17] Group 4: Market Trends - The report indicates that the Hong Kong asset revaluation is entering a new phase, with external disturbances diminishing and relative expectations improving, suggesting a potential early start for the third round of the Hong Kong stock market rally [7] - The report emphasizes that the overall market is expected to reach new heights in the second half of the year, supported by favorable domestic policies and easing pressures [7]

Core Viewpoint - Nine listed companies in the optical module sector have disclosed their performance forecasts for the first half of the year, with significant year-on-year profit increases, particularly for New Yisheng, which expects a nearly fourfold increase in net profit [1] Group 1: Company Performance - New Yisheng anticipates a net profit increase of 328%-385% year-on-year, with a quarterly increase of 35.22%-67.01% [2] - Ruijie Network expects a year-on-year profit increase of 160%-232% and a quarterly increase of 172.79%-275.30% [2] - Zhongji Xuchuang forecasts a net profit of 3.6 billion to 4.4 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 52.64%-86.57% [2] - Huagong Technology projects a net profit of 890 million to 950 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 42.43%-52.03% [2] - Guangxun Technology expects a net profit of 323 million to 407 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 55%-95% [2] - Xingwang Ruijie anticipates a net profit of 180 million to 240 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 43.81%-91.75% [2] - Cambridge Technology forecasts a net profit of 120 million to 128 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 50.12%-60.12% [2] - Guangku Technology expects a net profit of 48.56 million to 54.63 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 60%-80% [2] - Huilv Ecology anticipates a net profit of 36 million to 49 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 34.92%-83.64% [2] Group 2: Market Trends - The demand for high-speed optical modules has significantly increased, driven by the growth in data centers and AI technology [2] - Companies are benefiting from optimized product structures and increased customer demand in the computing power sector [2] - The overall performance of the optical module industry is being positively impacted by technological advancements and cost control measures [2]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Company Overview - The company discussed is **Xingwang Ruijie**, which operates in four main segments: **Ruijie Network**, **Communication**, **Financial Innovation**, and **Metaverse** [2][4][5]. Core Business Segments and Performance - **Ruijie Network**: Expected to contribute significantly to net profit, with projections between **400 million to 500 million CNY** for the first half of 2025, showing a strong performance [2][4][7]. - **Communication Segment**: The core of this segment is the **Optical Communication** business, primarily serving **China Mobile** and expanding into **China Unicom**, **China Telecom**, and **China Tower** markets. A growth period is anticipated in 2025 due to product updates that will increase the proportion of high-margin products [2][5][8]. - **Financial Innovation**: Led by a subsidiary in Shenzhen, this segment provides comprehensive financial solutions and participates in the **digital RMB pilot project**. The company has completed **Hongmeng certification** and is expanding into the **Middle East** and **ASEAN** for international payment solutions [2][3][5][16]. - **Metaverse Segment**: Focuses on audio-visual technology and immersive experiences, with applications in entertainment and corporate promotion. Collaborations with universities are ongoing to explore brain-computer interface technology [2][6][18]. Financial Performance - The company forecasts a net profit of **180 million to 240 million CNY** for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of **3.81% to 91%** [4][7]. - The **De Ming Communications** segment, focusing on the U.S. market for vehicle networking, reported a revenue and profit increase of approximately **30%** in the first half of 2025 despite trade tensions [2][5][7]. Future Growth Drivers - Anticipated growth in the second half of 2025 is driven by advancements in computing power and the availability of computing cards, which are expected to boost demand for switches [2][8]. - The overseas business of Ruijie Network has seen over **50% growth** in revenue last year, with expectations for continued strong performance [2][8]. - The company is also focusing on high-margin products in the optical communication sector, including voice gateways and intelligent gateways, to meet AI demands [8][9]. Market Position and Strategy - The company has joined the **Digital RMB Alliance** and collaborates with major firms like **Meituan**, **Alibaba**, **Tencent**, and **JD.com** to expand cross-border payment solutions [3][16]. - The white-box switches, primarily targeting internet companies, have a gross margin of about **20%**, significantly higher than the **8%-10%** margins typical for simple OEM/ODM manufacturers [10][12]. Operational Efficiency - The company has implemented significant operational cost reductions, which are expected to enhance net profit margins as revenue grows without a proportional increase in operational expenses [9][11][14]. AI and Innovation - The company is actively exploring AI applications, particularly in hardware needs for data center switches and integrated solutions for various sectors, including healthcare [18][19]. - Research in brain-computer interface technology aims to provide personalized mental health analysis through advanced modeling techniques [18][19]. Outlook - The overall performance for the first half of 2025 aligns with expectations, with optimism for increased orders and revenue in the second half, particularly in computing power and operator construction opportunities [20]. - New products and market expansions are anticipated to contribute positively to the company's financial performance, enhancing returns for investors [20].

Group 1 - The announcement of increased insurance capital entering the market could lead to a significant bull market, potentially surpassing the 5178-point high from 2015 [1][5] - The insurance capital market has a total balance of 34.93 trillion yuan, and if 10% of this capital flows into the market, it could result in several trillion yuan of new funds [5][7] - Historical precedents show that large inflows of capital, such as the 300 billion yuan pension fund in 2007 and 1 trillion yuan from trusts in 2015, have led to substantial stock price increases [6] Group 2 - Stablecoins are identified as a key area of focus for insurance capital, with the potential to drive significant financial transformation and influence national economic strategies [7][8] - The company mentioned is the only one in the market to hold both the US MSB license and the Hong Kong MSO license, positioning it as a leader in the stablecoin sector [4][12] - The company has developed quantum encryption technology for stablecoin key management, enhancing security and becoming the exclusive supplier of hardware wallets for JD.com [4] Group 3 - Related concept stocks include companies like GuoDianYunTong, which is a core supplier of digital RMB hardware and has achieved over 20 tons of gold collateral on the blockchain with an annualized return of 5.8% [9][10] - XingWangRuiJie is involved in decentralized networks and data security, supporting the necessary infrastructure for stablecoins and has partnerships exploring asset tokenization [11] - The leading company in the stablecoin sector has received significant investments from insurance capital and Central Huijin, indicating strong market confidence and potential for future growth [12]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the **domestic computing power industry chain**, particularly focusing on the **switching industry** and its performance in the context of recent market trends and regulatory changes [1][5]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Strong Demand in North America**: There is robust demand for computing power infrastructure in North America, as evidenced by the performance of companies like Nvidia, Stargate Construction, and CO CO Wave, which supports ongoing capital expenditures [1][2]. - **Rising Token Consumption**: Google’s rapid increase in TOKEN consumption indicates a growing demand for vertical industry applications and inference needs, which is expected to sustain capital expenditures [4][14]. - **Impact of H20 Ban**: The H20 ban has accelerated training demand within the domestic data center industry, with companies like Century Internet raising their annual performance guidance, and significant improvements in revenue and profit forecasts from optical module companies [1][5]. - **Profitability Improvement**: In Q2, domestic computing power profitability improved significantly, with Ruijie Network's quarterly profit growth ranging from 93% to 160%, and StarNet Ruijie's growth between 21% and 74% [1][5]. Key Industry Trends - **White Box Switches**: The rise of data center white box switches is meeting the customization needs of internet companies, with Ruijie and Unisoc leading the domestic market, while traditional brands like Cisco are losing their competitive edge [1][7]. - **High Sales and R&D Expenses**: Ruijie Network's sales expense ratio is 15.5% and R&D expense ratio is 16%, attributed to the need for channel establishment and high customization in their switching business [3][9][10]. - **Market Challenges**: The domestic computing power market faces challenges due to the H20 ban leading to reduced capital expenditures, with major companies like Alibaba and Tencent reporting lower capital spending [12]. Future Outlook - **Positive Market Trends**: The domestic computing power market is expected to improve, with indicators such as the rapid increase in Google TOKEN consumption and optimistic performance guidance from Oracle, Broadcom, and Marvell [14]. - **Performance Predictions**: Ruijie Network is projected to generate approximately 11.6 billion RMB in revenue in 2024, with a significant portion of profits expected from its data center switching business [9][15]. - **Investment Recommendations**: There is a suggestion to focus on investing in early performers in the domestic computing power sector, such as StarNet Ruijie and Ruijie Network, due to their favorable valuation compared to peers [15].

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Recommended" rating for the telecommunications industry, considering the sustained high prosperity of the sector driven by AI, 5.5G, and satellite communications [2][5]. Core Insights - The overall market performance for the week (July 7-13, 2025) saw the Shanghai Composite Index rise by 1.09%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 1.78%, and the ChiNext Index by 2.36%. The telecommunications sector, represented by the Shenwan Communications Index, increased by 2.13% during the same period [2][11]. - Within the telecommunications sector, the highest increase was seen in the communication network equipment and devices, which rose by 4.16%, while the communication application value-added services had the lowest increase at 0.16% [2][14]. - Notable individual stock performances included Hengbao Co., which surged by 21.13%, followed by Changxin Bochuang at 19.84% and Shijia Photon at 14.85% [2][16]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The telecommunications sector is experiencing a high level of prosperity, with significant contributions from advancements in AI and 5.5G technologies, as well as satellite communications [2][3]. - The report highlights a strong performance in the telecommunications sector, with a notable increase in stock prices across various sub-sectors [2][11]. Sub-sector Performance - The communication network equipment and devices sub-sector led the gains with a 4.16% increase, while other sub-sectors also showed positive trends [2][14]. - The report indicates a general upward trend across the telecommunications sub-sectors during the week [2][15]. Individual Stock Highlights - Hengbao Co. led the stock performance with a 21.13% increase, indicating strong market interest and potential investment opportunities [2][16]. - Other notable performers included Changxin Bochuang and Shijia Photon, reflecting a robust market environment for telecommunications stocks [2][16]. Future Focus Areas - The report suggests focusing on the computing power industry chain, particularly the upstream optical chip segment and the module segment, which are expected to benefit from the ongoing demand for AI and computing power [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of over 15% relative to the benchmark index [6]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of between 180 million to 240 million yuan for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 43.8% to 91.8% [1]. - The strong growth in net profit is primarily driven by the accelerated construction of data centers in the internet sector and improved operational efficiency [2]. - The company continues to explore applications for digital currency in cross-border payments, positioning itself as a key player in the digital finance landscape [3]. - The strategic transformation towards "ICT and AI application solutions" is ongoing, with multiple AI application scenarios being explored [4]. - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 550 million, 720 million, and 880 million yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 26, 20, and 16 [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For H1 2025, the company anticipates a net profit of 180 million to 240 million yuan, with a growth rate of 43.8% to 91.8% year-on-year [1]. - The second quarter is expected to show a net profit of 140 million to 200 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 41.4% to 91.8% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 227.3% to 369.8% [1][2]. Market Position - The company has maintained its leading position in the 200G/400G data center switch market in China for 13 consecutive quarters, indicating strong market dominance [2]. - The company secured a 21% share in a recent procurement by China Mobile for data center switches, amounting to 350 million yuan [2]. Strategic Initiatives - The subsidiary, Ascend Information, is actively involved in the digital currency sector and is exploring cross-border payment applications [3]. - The company is focusing on AI applications and has launched various innovative solutions in the metaverse and smart retail sectors [4]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts revenues of 16.758 billion yuan for 2024, with a growth rate of 5.3%, and expects revenues to reach 30.12 billion yuan by 2027, with a growth rate of 20.9% [5][10]. - The projected net profit for 2024 is 405 million yuan, with a decline of 4.8%, followed by significant growth in subsequent years [5][10].

Group 1 - The company expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of 180 million to 240 million yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 43.81% to 91.75% [2] - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is projected to be 160 million to 210 million yuan, indicating a year-on-year increase of 51.07% to 98.28% [2] - The basic earnings per share are estimated to be between 0.3101 yuan and 0.4135 yuan [2] Group 2 - The increase in performance is attributed to the ongoing AI wave driving the upgrade of computing infrastructure, with accelerated orders for data center switch products from internet clients [3] - The company is committed to enhancing management and efficiency, resulting in effective cost control and revenue growth compared to the previous year [3] - In 2025, the company plans to focus on ICT infrastructure represented by data center networks and optical communications, as well as AI application solutions across various scenarios [3] Group 3 - The company will continue to advance its overseas strategy in both capability building and market expansion [4] - It aims to improve its compliance system to mitigate international market operational risks and support overseas market expansion [4] - The company is exploring business models related to brain-computer interfaces and will develop corresponding strategies based on its growth needs [4]

Performance Forecast - The company expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of 180 million to 240 million yuan for the period from January 1, 2025, to June 30, 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 43.81% to 91.75% compared to 125.16 million yuan in the same period last year [1] - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is projected to be between 160 million and 210 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 51.07% to 98.28% from 105.91 million yuan in the previous year [1] - Basic earnings per share are expected to be between 0.3101 yuan and 0.4135 yuan, compared to 0.2134 yuan per share in the same period last year [1] Reasons for Performance Change - The surge in AI-driven infrastructure upgrades has accelerated the construction of data centers in the internet industry, leading to an increase in orders for data center switch products from the company's main subsidiaries [1] - The company has also made progress in management improvement and efficiency enhancement, resulting in effective cost control and overall growth in operating performance compared to the previous year [1]