Investment Rating - The report rates the transportation industry as "Overweight" [3][21][30] Core Insights - The report highlights an increase in holdings related to consumer-oriented aviation and express delivery, while holdings in the shipping and shipbuilding sectors have significantly decreased [3][4] - In Q1 2025, the total market value of transportation industry funds reached 22.2 billion, a decrease of 22% quarter-on-quarter, ranking 14th among 31 industries [3][4] - The proportion of holdings in aviation transportation, express delivery, and highways has increased, accounting for 45%, 23%, and 8% respectively, with notable increases of 4 percentage points, 1 percentage point, and 2 percentage points [10][12] Summary by Sections 1. Changes in Transportation Industry Fund Holdings - The total market value of transportation industry fund holdings in Q1 2025 is 22.2 billion, down 22% from the previous quarter, maintaining a rank of 14th among all industries [4][10] - The market value of the transportation industry accounts for 3.13% of the total A-share market value, with an underweight of 1.48% [3][4] 2. Changes in Fund Holdings by Sub-Sectors - The market values for aviation transportation, express delivery, shipping, railway transportation, ports, airports, raw material supply chain services, cross-border logistics, and highways are 10.1 billion, 5.2 billion, 1.3 billion, 1.9 billion, 0.5 billion, 0.03 billion, 1.2 billion, 0.2 billion, and 1.8 billion respectively, with respective quarter-on-quarter changes of +4%, +1%, -4%, -0.15%, -0.68%, -0.05%, +0.41%, -1.78%, and +1.67% [10][12] 3. Top Ten Holdings in Transportation Industry Funds - The top ten holdings in transportation industry funds include SF Express, Juneyao Airlines, Air China, Huaxia Airlines, Southern Airlines, Guangzhou-Shenzhen Railway, Spring Airlines, Jianfa Co., China Eastern Airlines, and YTO Express, with the addition of China Eastern Airlines in Q1 2025 [17][20] - Stocks with a total market value exceeding 300 million and a quarter-on-quarter growth rate exceeding 10% include China Eastern Airlines, Guangdong Expressway A, and Daqin Railway, with market values of 800 million, 800 million, and 400 million respectively, and growth rates of 29%, 65%, and 92% [17][20] 4. Valuation of Key Companies in the Transportation Industry - The report provides a valuation table for key companies, indicating "Buy" ratings for COSCO Shipping Energy and YTO Express, and "Outperform" ratings for Southern Airlines and Spring Airlines, with projected EPS and PE ratios for the coming years [21][30]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the aviation sector [6] Core Viewpoints - The domestic airline supply continues to contract year-on-year, with a 3.7% decrease, which may support an upcoming improvement in the domestic aviation market [2][3] - The first quarter of 2025 is expected to see continued pressure on airline profitability due to weak ticket prices, despite high passenger load factors [4] - The impact of reciprocal tariffs on the aviation sector remains to be observed, particularly regarding supply constraints and cost increases for aircraft and materials [5] Summary by Sections Supply and Demand Dynamics - In March 2025, domestic airline supply decreased by 3.7%, while international supply increased by 25.2%, indicating a shift in capacity allocation [3] - The overall passenger load factor for major airlines improved by 1.9 percentage points to 83.3% [3][4] Financial Performance - The average ticket price for domestic flights fell by 11.3% year-on-year to 753 RMB, contributing to a challenging profit environment for airlines in Q1 2025 [4] - Despite the decline in ticket prices, the report anticipates that low supply growth will eventually lead to improved pricing power for airlines [4] Recommendations - The report recommends several airlines for investment, including China National Aviation (753 HK), China Eastern Airlines (670 HK), and China Southern Airlines (1055 HK), all rated as "Buy" with target prices set above current market levels [9][24]

证券代码：002928 证券简称：华夏航空 公告编号：2025-006 华夏航空股份有限公司 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有 虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 华夏航空股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）近日接到公司控股股东华夏航 空控股（深圳）有限公司通知，获悉控股股东将其所持有的公司部分股份办理了 质押，具体事项如下： | | 是否为控 股股东或 | | 占其所 | 占公司 | 是否 | 是否 | 质 押 | 质押 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 股东名 | | 本次质押数量 | | | | 为补 | | | 质权 | 质押 | | 称 | 第一大股 | （股） | 持股份 | 总股本 | 为限 | 充质 | 起 | 到期 | 人 | 用途 | | | 东及其一 | | 比例 | 比例 | 售股 | | 始 | 日 | | | | | 致行动人 | | | | | 押 | 日 | | | | | | | | | | | | 202 | 办理 | | | | 华 ...

证券代码：002928 证券简称：华夏航空 公告编号：2025-005 华夏航空股份有限公司 关于为全资子公司提供担保的进展公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有 虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 一、担保额度审批情况概述 华夏航空股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）分别于 2024 年 04 月 22 日召开 第三届董事会第十二次会议、第三届监事会第十一次会议，于 2024 年 05 月 14 日召开 2023 年年度股东大会，审议通过《关于为全资子公司提供担保的议案》， 同意公司为全资子公司向银行或其他金融机构申请授信不超过人民币 16 亿元或 等值外币提供担保，主要用于子公司引进飞机、飞机预付款、项目建设、购买航 材、设备采购、日常运营等事项；其中，对全资子公司华夏飞机维修工程有限公 司（以下简称"华夏维修"）担保额度为 4 亿元。上述担保额度不含此前已提供 且仍在担保期限内的担保余额（此前已提供且仍在担保期限内的担保余额继续有 效），自 2023 年年度股东大会审议通过之日起至 2024 年年度股东大会召开日期 间该担保额度可循环使用。具体内容详见公司于 2024 年 04 ...

Investment Rating - The transportation industry is rated as "Outperform" [2] Core Insights - The new ship orders for dry bulk carriers have dropped to a near historical low, with a 92% year-on-year decline in the first two months of 2025, marking the lowest level in at least 30 years. Factors such as low freight rates, high new ship costs, long delivery times, and market uncertainty are suppressing new orders [3][15] - South Korea plans to implement a phased visa exemption for Chinese group tourists, with the International Air Transport Association (IATA) projecting that China will become the world's largest air passenger market by 2030 [3][16][17] - In February 2025, the express delivery business volume reached 13.59 billion pieces, a year-on-year increase of 58.8%, indicating a strong recovery and robust market demand in the industry [3][25] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Hot Events - The U.S. Trade Representative proposed fees on ships built in China, leading to a significant drop in new dry bulk carrier orders [14] - South Korea's phased visa exemption for Chinese tourists aims to boost tourism and economic cooperation [16] - February's express delivery volume reached 13.59 billion pieces, reflecting a strong recovery in the postal industry [24][25] 2. Industry High-Frequency Data Tracking - Air logistics: Stable capacity on routes from China to the Asia-Pacific region [28] - Shipping ports: Container shipping price index decreased while dry bulk freight rates increased [42] - Express logistics: February express delivery volume increased by 58.75% year-on-year [54] - Air travel: Daily average international flights increased by 21.09% year-on-year in March [84] - Road and rail: Nationwide highway truck traffic increased by 3.45% [98] 3. Investment Recommendations - Focus on the equipment and manufacturing export chain, recommending companies like COSCO Shipping and China Merchants Energy Shipping [5] - Attention to low-altitude economy investment opportunities, recommending CITIC Offshore Helicopter [5] - Investment opportunities in cruise and ferry sectors, recommending Bohai Ferry and Straits Shares [5] - E-commerce and express delivery investment opportunities, recommending SF Express and Jitu Express [5] - Investment opportunities in the aviation sector, recommending China Southern Airlines and Spring Airlines [5]

华夏航空：截至2024年6月30日，公司独飞航线157 条，占比86.74% （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，有投资者在投资者互动平台提问：你好，目前公司业务除了与地面，水面等交通出 行方式有所竞争外，现在航司之间的竞争也非常激烈，请问公司与其他航司竞争中有什么差异化的优势 呢？另外，目前媒体报道飞机票内卷很厉害，公司有什么应对吗？ 华夏航空（002928.SZ）3月19日在投资者互动平台表示，公司是国内唯一一家规模化的独立支线航 空公司，自成立以来一直明确坚持支线战略定位。截至2024年6月30日，公司独飞航线157条，占比 86.74%，以差异化网络为核心，保持网络竞争优势。其次，受益于持续增长的国内因私出行需求，公 司抓住支线旅游、淡季出行等市场需求变化所带来的机会，通过新开支线航线，推动航班量提升，满足 更多旅客差异化的航空出行需求。最后，公司围绕支线城市通达性提升，因地制宜的为支线城市打造高 效和差异化的航线网络，促进以人为核心的要素资源流动，促进支线城市经济发展。 (记者王瀚黎) ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the aviation transportation industry is "Positive" [2][8] Core Viewpoints - The industry has maintained a high passenger load factor since the beginning of 2025, with a slight year-on-year decline in domestic capacity in January and February. The recent decline in ticket prices has narrowed, and if travel demand continues to grow, ticket prices may turn positive year-on-year in the second and third quarters [3][10] - The supply growth rate for capacity in 2025 is expected to slow down, and with ticket prices at low levels following significant declines in 2024, there is potential for airline performance to rebound with economic recovery and increased travel demand. Factors such as declining oil prices and stable exchange rates also suggest upward potential for airline profits [3][10] Summary by Sections Industry Supply and Demand - The monthly passenger load factor remains high, with January 2025 data showing a year-on-year increase in Available Seat Kilometers (ASK) and Revenue Passenger Kilometers (RPK) of 13.7% and 18.1%, respectively. The load factor reached 82.8%, up 3.1 percentage points year-on-year [4][13] - Domestic line turnover increased by 10% year-on-year in January 2025, while international and regional lines recovered to 107.5% of 2019 levels [18] Ticket Pricing - After the Spring Festival, the year-on-year difference in ticket prices has gradually narrowed. As of early March 2025, the average ticket price was 560 yuan, down 12.6% year-on-year. The weekly average ticket prices showed a decreasing trend in year-on-year declines, indicating a potential stabilization in pricing [20][21] Oil and Exchange Rates - The average price of aviation kerosene in Q1 2025 was 5,952 yuan per ton, down 10% year-on-year. Brent crude oil prices were stable, with a settlement price of $71.07 per barrel as of March 17, 2025, a decrease of 4.8% from the end of 2024. The exchange rate remained stable, with the USD to RMB exchange rate at 7.1733 as of March 18, 2025, a slight decrease of 0.21% from the end of 2024 [5][32] Airline Operations - In January and February 2025, domestic airline capacity saw a slight year-on-year decline, while the passenger load factor remained high. Most airlines reported international capacity and turnover exceeding 2019 levels, although there were still discrepancies in load factors [38][40] - In February, China Eastern Airlines had the highest net increase in aircraft, adding 5 aircraft, while other airlines also saw increases. Cumulatively, China Eastern, China Southern, and Air China saw net increases of 8, 6, and 4 aircraft, respectively [52]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the transportation industry [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that U.S. sanctions against Iran are intensifying, and OPEC has reached a consensus to increase production, indicating upward potential for the oil tanker sector [2][7] - The express delivery business volume has shown significant year-on-year growth, with a reported increase of 21.5% in 2024 [3] Summary by Sections Weekly Focus - The U.S. government has announced additional sanctions against Iran, targeting several individuals, entities, and vessels involved in Iranian oil exports, including 10 VLCC supertankers, which constitutes about 20% of the global tanker fleet [7] - OPEC has agreed to gradually increase production starting April, aiming to release 2.2 million barrels per day [7] Industry Data Tracking (2025.03.09 – 03.15) Aviation Data - Domestic flight volume for the week was 84,029 flights, averaging 12,004 flights per day, a slight decrease of 0.10% week-on-week and 0.50% year-on-year [10] - Domestic passenger volume reached 11.43 million, a 0.05% increase week-on-week and a 2.12% increase year-on-year [11] - The average domestic ticket price decreased by 3.49% week-on-week and 6.31% year-on-year [11] Express Delivery Data - For the week of March 3-9, the average daily collection volume was approximately 555 million pieces, a 3.99% increase from the previous week [17] - Year-to-date, the average daily collection volume is about 495 million pieces, reflecting a 36.00% increase year-on-year [17] - In 2024, the express delivery business volume increased by 21.5% year-on-year, with revenue up by 13.8% [3] Shipping Data - The BDI index for dry bulk shipping was reported at 1,517 points, a 20% increase week-on-week [48] - The VLCC-TCE rate was $38,329 per day, a 3% decrease week-on-week [49] Recent Key Reports - The report recommends focusing on companies such as COSCO Shipping Energy, Shandong Highway, and China Eastern Airlines, among others, as part of the investment strategy [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the aviation sector, recommending a focus on specific airlines and related companies [77]. Core Insights - Domestic flight schedules have decreased by 4% compared to 2024, but show a 22% increase compared to 2019, indicating a further easing of domestic supply [7][8]. - International flight schedules are steadily recovering, with plans to restore to 81% of 2019 levels, reflecting a 5% increase compared to 2024 [7][50]. - The overall daily flight schedule for domestic airlines is projected at 17,519 flights, an 18% increase from 2019 [7][8]. Summary by Sections Domestic Market Overview - Domestic flight schedules for the summer-autumn season of 2025 are expected to average 16,081 flights, down 4% from 2024 but up 22% from 2019 [5][11]. - The total daily flight schedule for coordinated airports is projected at 8,041 flights, a 21% increase from 2019 [7][11]. International Market Overview - The average daily international and regional flights are set at 2,487, recovering to 81% of 2019 levels [50][61]. - Specific regional recovery rates include 78% for Australia, 26% for North America, and 95% for Northeast Asia [50][51]. Investment Analysis - The report suggests that external factors such as oil prices and currency exchange rates are improving, which could enhance airline profitability as domestic demand recovers [7][76]. - Recommended airlines include China National Aviation, Spring Airlines, China Eastern Airlines, and others, with a focus on the overall aviation sector's recovery potential [76][77].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended (Maintain)" [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that the recent decline in oil prices is expected to elevate the profit margins for the aviation sector, with Brent oil prices dropping below $70 per barrel and WTI prices below $67 per barrel [8] - The report suggests that if oil prices remain low, it could lead to cost savings of approximately 4-5 billion yuan for major airlines, equivalent to a ticket price reduction of about 3%-4% [8] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring supply-demand dynamics and macroeconomic conditions to ensure that the benefits of lower oil prices translate into profits for the airlines [13] Summary by Sections Weekly Focus - The focus of the week is on the accelerated decline in oil prices, which is expected to enhance the profit margins for the aviation industry [6] Industry Data Tracking (2025.03.02 - 03.08) Aviation High-Frequency Data Tracking - Domestic flight volume for the period was 81,367 flights, with a daily average of 11,624 flights, down 10.07% week-on-week and 7.47% year-on-year [10] - Domestic passenger volume reached 11.0615 million, down 12.05% week-on-week and 4.17% year-on-year [11] - The average full ticket price decreased by 4.76% week-on-week and 3.39% year-on-year [11] - The domestic passenger load factor was 83.18%, an increase of 3.73 percentage points year-on-year [12] - International passenger volume reached 1.315 million, down 5.27% week-on-week but up 26.01% year-on-year [14] Express Delivery High-Frequency Data Tracking - For the week of February 24 to March 2, the average daily express delivery volume was approximately 534 million pieces, with a delivery volume of about 541 million pieces, showing a slight decrease of 0.56% and an increase of 0.05% respectively compared to the previous week [19] - Year-to-date (January 1 to March 2), the average daily express delivery volume was approximately 488 million pieces, up 37.41% year-on-year [20] Shipping High-Frequency Data Tracking - The BDI index for the international dry bulk market was 1,263 points, up 17% week-on-week [51] - The CCFI index for the international container shipping market decreased by 3% week-on-week, while the SCFI index fell by 5% [51] - The VLCC-TCE rate for oil shipping was $39,359 per day, down 1% week-on-week [52] Recent Key Reports - The report includes a recommended investment portfolio consisting of companies such as COSCO Shipping Energy, Shandong Hi-Speed, and China Eastern Airlines, among others [5]