Core Insights - The aviation and airport sector experienced a 2.16% increase on September 17, with China Eastern Airlines leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3876.34, up 0.37%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13215.46, up 1.16% [1] Stock Performance - China Eastern Airlines (600115) closed at 4.20, up 4.48% with a trading volume of 2.43 million shares and a turnover of 1.007 billion [1] - Xiamen Airport (600897) saw a slight decline of 0.14%, closing at 14.70 with a trading volume of 29,500 shares [2] - The highest gainers included China Eastern Airlines, Xiamen Airlines, and Southern Airlines, with respective increases of 4.48%, 3.03%, and 2.98% [1][2] Capital Flow - The aviation and airport sector saw a net inflow of 106 million in main funds, while retail funds had a net inflow of 103 million [2] - The main funds showed a net outflow of 210 million, indicating a mixed sentiment among institutional investors [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - China Eastern Airlines had a net outflow of 50.94 million from main funds but a net inflow of 34.51 million from retail investors [3] - China Southern Airlines experienced a net inflow of 6.64 million from main funds, indicating positive retail sentiment despite overall mixed capital flow [3] - Xiamen Airport faced a significant net outflow of 15.59 million from main funds, suggesting weaker institutional interest [3]

客座率维持高位，座收或超预期 [Table_Industry] 航空运输 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 09 月 17 日 。。 [Table_Author] 匡培钦 交通运输行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500524070004 邮 箱：kuangpeiqin@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦 B座 邮编：100031 [Table_Title] 航空运输月度专题：客座率维持高位，座收 或超预期 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 09 月 17 日 本期内容提要: 证券研究报告 行业研究 [Table_ReportType] 行业专题研究（普通） | [Table_StockAndRank] 航空运输 | | | --- | --- | | 投资评级 | 看好 | | 上次评级 | 看好 | [Table_S [事件： Table_Summary ummar 各航司发布 y] ] 2025 年 8 月经营数据。 ➢ 投资建议 兑人民币汇率为 7.1027 元，较 ...

智通财经APP获悉，申万宏源发布研报称，8月迎来暑运旺季高峰，航空市场运力运量稳步增长。继续 看好航空板块，供给逻辑确定性强，预计未来3-5 年行业机队供给增速趋缓，需求端具备弹性，客运量 和客座率持续增长均已在相对高位，可关注后续民航"反内卷"下票价回暖信号及趋势。同时，在外部油 汇变化配合下，航空公司能够释放较大业绩提升空间，推荐中国国航(601111.SH)、华夏航空 (002928.SZ)、春秋航空(601021.SH)、吉祥航空(603885.SH)、国泰航空(00293)、南方航空(600029.SH)、 中国东航(600115.SH)。 申万宏源主要观点如下： 暑运后半段进入旺季高峰，8月民航运力运量均同比增长 根据航班管家数据，8月民航旅客运输量约7508万人次，同比24年增长3.0%;民航国内运力同比24年增长 1.3%，国内客流量同比24年增长2.2%。8月国际客运航班约6.1万班次，恢复至19年同期的88.6%，中国 大陆赴日、韩、香港航班量排列前三。8月民航日均飞机利用率为8.9小时，环比+0.3%，同比+0.2%。 根据航班管家数据，8月宽体机日均利用率为10.5小时，窄体机为8.9 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the aviation sector, indicating a positive outlook for the industry compared to the overall market performance [7]. Core Insights - The aviation industry is experiencing steady growth in capacity and passenger volume, with August data showing a year-on-year increase in domestic passenger transport volume by 3.0% and domestic capacity by 1.3% compared to 2024 [3][4]. - The report highlights that airlines are increasing capacity to meet the demand during the peak summer travel season, with a notable rise in passenger turnover and load factors across major airlines [4]. - The analysis suggests that the supply-demand balance in the domestic market is improving, with significant growth in capacity and volume for airlines like Spring Airlines and China Eastern Airlines [4]. Summary by Sections August Data Overview - In August, the average daily aircraft utilization rate was 8.9 hours, showing a month-on-month increase of 0.3% and a year-on-year increase of 0.2% [4]. - Major airlines reported varying year-on-year changes in capacity (ASK) and passenger turnover (RPK), with Spring Airlines leading in growth [4][5]. Domestic Market Performance - The domestic market shows a balanced growth in supply and demand, with significant increases in capacity and volume for Spring Airlines, China Eastern Airlines, and China Southern Airlines [4]. - Year-on-year changes in ASK and RPK for major airlines indicate a mixed performance, with some airlines like Spring Airlines showing strong growth [5]. International Market Performance - Airlines are significantly increasing international capacity, with several airlines surpassing pre-pandemic levels in terms of capacity and passenger turnover [4]. - The report provides detailed year-on-year comparisons for international operations, highlighting the recovery trajectory of major airlines [5]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends a focus on airlines such as China National Aviation, Spring Airlines, and China Eastern Airlines, citing strong supply logic and expected growth in passenger volume and load factors [4][7]. - The analysis anticipates a gradual slowdown in fleet supply growth over the next 3-5 years, with resilient demand expected to support the sector [4].

行业研究 8 月航司供需延续稳步增长，票价同比表现略 推荐（维持） 好于 7 月，关注近期量价回暖 ❑ 航司 8 月数据分析： 1、整体来看，8 月：ASK 同比：春秋(12.0%) > 东航(6.8%) > 南航(6.4%) > 国 航(2.3%) > 吉祥(-2.7%)，RPK 同比：春秋(12.2%) > 东航(8.7%) > 南航(6.0%) > 国航(3.2%) > 吉祥(-1.9%)； 1~8 月累计：ASK 同比：春秋(10.0%) > 东航(7.4%) > 南航(5.8%) > 国航 (3.1%) > 吉祥(2.3%) ，RPK 同比：东航(11.3%) > 春秋(9.1%) > 南航(7.9%) > 国航(4.5%) > 吉祥(2.9%)。 1)国内线，8 月：ASK 同比：春秋(9.1%) > 南航(4.9%) > 东航(3.3%) > 国航(- 1.2%) > 吉祥(-6.8%)，RPK 同比：春秋(9.6%) > 东航(5.5%) > 南航(4.9%) > 国 航(0.0%) > 吉祥(-7.1%)； 1~8 月累计：ASK 同比：春秋(4.7%) > 东航(1.9%) > 南航(1. ...

从资金流向上来看，当日航空机场板块主力资金净流出2.71亿元，游资资金净流入9371.05万元，散户资 金净流入1.78亿元。航空机场板块个股资金流向见下表： 证券之星消息，9月16日航空机场板块较上一交易日上涨1.24%，海航控股领涨。当日上证指数报收于 3861.87，上涨0.04%。深证成指报收于13063.97，上涨0.45%。航空机场板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600221 | 海航控股 | 1.69 | 4.32% | 1023.29万 | 17.02亿 | | 002928 | 华夏航空 | 9.80 | 3.92% | 21.14万 | 2.04亿 | | 601021 | 春秋航空 | 53.50 11 | 1.98% | 7.44万 | 3.97亿 | | 601111 | 中国国航 | 7.92 | 1.67% | 71.46万 | 5.64亿 | | 600115 | 中国东航 | 4.02 | 1.01% | 215.82万 | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the aviation transportation industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The aviation sector is expected to see a bottoming out of its economic cycle, with potential improvements in demand and pricing as the supply growth remains low [5][8] - Despite a decline in ticket prices during the peak summer season, there are signs of recovery in business travel demand, which may lead to better pricing in the near future [5][8] Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations - China National Aviation (601111 CH): Buy, Target Price: 9.25 CNY [4] - China Eastern Airlines (600115 CH): Buy, Target Price: 4.80 CNY [4] - China Southern Airlines (600029 CH): Buy, Target Price: 7.35 CNY [4] - Spring Airlines (601021 CH): Buy, Target Price: 67.80 CNY [4] - 吉祥航空 (603885 CH): Buy, Target Price: 16.25 CNY [4] - 华夏航空 (002928 CH): Buy, Target Price: 13.65 CNY [4] - Cathay Pacific (293 HK): Buy, Target Price: 13.20 HKD [4] Industry Performance - In August, the three major airlines and Spring Airlines saw a 5.0% increase in available seat kilometers (ASK) and a 5.8% increase in revenue passenger kilometers (RPK), leading to an overall passenger load factor increase of 0.6 percentage points to 86.8% [5][11] - Domestic ticket prices showed a year-on-year decline of 6.5% during the peak summer season, but there was a 2.5% increase in ticket prices in early September [5][8] Company-Specific Insights - China National Aviation reported a revenue of 80.757 billion CNY in the first half of 2025, a 1.6% increase year-on-year, with a net loss of 1.806 billion CNY, narrowing by 35.1% [23] - China Eastern Airlines achieved a revenue of 66.822 billion CNY in the first half of 2025, a 4.1% increase year-on-year, with a net loss of 1.592 billion CNY, narrowing by 42.5% [23] - China Southern Airlines reported a revenue of 86.291 billion CNY in the first half of 2025, a 1.8% increase year-on-year, with a net loss of 1.533 billion CNY, which is a 24.8% increase in loss year-on-year [24] - Spring Airlines reported a revenue of 10.304 billion CNY in the first half of 2025, a 4.3% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 1.169 billion CNY, a 14.1% decrease year-on-year [24] - 吉祥航空 reported a revenue of 11.067 billion CNY in the first half of 2025, a 1.0% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 0.505 billion CNY, a 3.3% increase year-on-year [24] - 华夏航空 reported a revenue of 3.610 billion CNY in the first half of 2025, a 12.4% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 0.251 billion CNY, an increase of 859.0% year-on-year [24] - Cathay Pacific reported a revenue of 54.309 billion HKD in the first half of 2025, a 9.5% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 3.651 billion HKD, a 1.1% increase year-on-year [24]

Group 1 - The Chinese Ministry of Commerce announced a basic framework consensus with the U.S. to resolve the TikTok issue and promote economic cooperation [2] - Nvidia is under further investigation for violating China's antitrust laws related to its acquisition of Mellanox Technologies [3] - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange released new measures to facilitate foreign investment and improve cross-border financing [4] Group 2 - The National Bureau of Statistics reported that the real estate market is stabilizing, with a narrowing decline in sales and prices over the first eight months of the year [8] - Multiple automotive companies, including Dongfeng and BYD, have committed to a new payment standard to enhance collaboration within the industry [9] - The U.S. is pressuring allies to impose tariffs on China based on its purchase of Russian oil, which China strongly opposes [7] Group 3 - Elon Musk disclosed a $1 billion purchase of Tesla shares, boosting investor confidence and the company's stock price [13] - Recent rumors about the collapse of gold merchants in Shenzhen were found to be exaggerated, with many businesses still operating normally [14] - Several new energy vehicle companies, including Neta and WM Motor, are attempting to revive operations after previous shutdowns [15] Group 4 - The energy storage industry is experiencing significant growth due to favorable policies and increased demand [16] - The semiconductor market is seeing a new wave of price increases, benefiting several related stocks [16] - The A-share market showed mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3860.50 points, down 0.26% [16][17]

证券日报网讯9月15日晚间，华夏航空（002928）发布公告称，胡晓军被选举为第四届董事会董事长。 ...

证券日报网讯9月15日晚间，华夏航空（002928）发布公告称，选举职工代表吴龙江先生担任公司第四 届董事会职工董事。 ...