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Are Options Traders Betting on a Big Move in Boot Barn Stock?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-06 15:08
Core Insights - Investors should closely monitor Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. due to significant movements in the options market, particularly the high implied volatility of the Nov 21, 2025 $50.00 Put option [1] Company Analysis - Boot Barn is currently rated as a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) in the Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry, which is positioned in the bottom 13% of the Zacks Industry Rank [3] - Over the past 60 days, three analysts have raised their earnings estimates for Boot Barn for the current quarter, resulting in an increase in the Zacks Consensus Estimate from $2.38 to $2.56 per share [3] Options Market Insights - The high implied volatility surrounding Boot Barn shares suggests that options traders anticipate a significant price movement, which could indicate an upcoming event that may lead to a substantial rally or sell-off [2][4] - Options traders often seek to capitalize on high implied volatility by selling premium, aiming for the underlying stock to not move as much as expected by expiration [4]
3 Momentum Anomaly Stocks to Buy as AI Growth Stokes Concern
ZACKS· 2025-11-05 16:20
Core Insights - The U.S. equity markets have experienced significant volatility due to strong quarterly performances from blue-chip tech companies and concerns over the high valuations of AI firms, leading to expectations of a market correction [1][2] - The ongoing U.S. government shutdown, now in its 36th day, has added to investor uncertainty, impacting market sentiment [2] - Despite these challenges, a strong start to the earnings season, particularly from tech companies, has provided some market support [2] Momentum Investing Strategy - Momentum investing is characterized by the strategy of "buying high and selling higher," capitalizing on established trends in stock prices [3] - This strategy has historically generated alpha across various market conditions, although it requires skill to identify trends effectively [4] - A screening process has been developed to identify stocks with strong momentum, focusing on long-term price appreciation and short-term pullbacks [5][6][7] Selected Momentum Stocks - Shopify Inc. (SHOP) has seen a price increase of 102.3% over the past year but experienced a 10.1% decline in the last week, holding a Momentum Score of B [9][11] - Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. (BOOT) has gained 42% in the past year, with a recent decline of 6.9%, and holds a Momentum Score of A [9][13] - Reddit, Inc. (RDDT) has climbed 53.2% over the past year but has seen an 11.8% drop in the last week, also holding a Momentum Score of A [9][15]
Can Boot Barn's Digital Investments Drive Future Growth?
ZACKS· 2025-11-04 19:21
Core Insights - Boot Barn Holdings Inc. is experiencing significant growth driven by digital investments, with a 14.4% increase in e-commerce same-store sales for Q2 of fiscal 2026, surpassing the 7.8% growth in retail store same-store sales [1][9] - Total revenue for the company reached $505.4 million, reflecting an 18.7% year-over-year growth [1][9] E-commerce Performance - E-commerce sales now account for 9.3% of the net sales in the second quarter, attributed to initiatives enhancing online engagement and optimizing the shopping experience through technology [2] - BootBarn.com, which constitutes approximately 75% of total online sales, reported high-teens comps growth [1] Brand and Technology Initiatives - The Cody James and Hawx platforms are enhancing brand discovery and attracting new customers, with plans to launch a website for the Cheyenne brand post-holidays [3] - The integration of artificial intelligence is pivotal, improving website search tools for better product results and recommendations, while tools like Cassidy assist store associates [3] Future Growth Expectations - For fiscal 2026, Boot Barn anticipates same-store sales growth of 4% to 6%, with retail stores expected to grow by 3.3-5.3% and e-commerce sales projected to rise by 11-13% [4] - The company plans to open 70 new stores in the current fiscal year, reinforcing the synergy between digital and physical channels [4][5] Competitive Landscape - Levi Strauss & Co. is also advancing its digital-first strategy, with e-commerce sales increasing by 18% in Q3 of fiscal 2025, aiming for e-commerce to represent 15% of total revenues [6] - Tapestry, Inc. is leveraging data analytics and omnichannel capabilities, attracting over 6.8 million new North American customers in fiscal 2025 [7] Stock Performance and Valuation - Boot Barn's shares have increased by 25.9% year-to-date, contrasting with a 16.3% decline in the industry, and the company holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) [8] - The forward price-to-earnings ratio for Boot Barn is 24.99X, higher than the industry average of 16.51X [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a year-over-year earnings rise of 20.5% for fiscal 2026 and 13.4% for fiscal 2027 [11]
Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. 2026 Q2 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NYSE:BOOT) 2025-10-29
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-30 00:36
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of enabling Javascript and cookies in browsers to prevent access issues, particularly when ad-blockers are enabled [1] Group 1 - The article suggests that users may face restrictions if they have ad-blockers enabled, indicating a need for adjustments in browser settings [1]
Here's What Key Metrics Tell Us About Boot Barn (BOOT) Q2 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-10-30 00:01
Core Insights - Boot Barn reported revenue of $505.4 million for the quarter ended September 2025, marking an 18.7% year-over-year increase and a surprise of +2.16% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $494.69 million [1] - The EPS for the same period was $1.37, compared to $0.95 a year ago, resulting in an EPS surprise of +8.73% against the consensus estimate of $1.26 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Same Store Sales growth was 8.4%, exceeding the average estimate of 6.2% based on three analysts [4] - Average retail store selling square footage at the end of the period was 11,238, slightly above the estimated 11,220 [4] - Total retail store selling square footage reached 5.5 million, compared to the average estimate of 5.48 million [4] - The store count at the end of the period was 489, slightly below the average estimate of 490 [4] - The number of stores opened or acquired was 16, compared to the average estimate of 17 [4] Stock Performance - Boot Barn shares have returned +19.8% over the past month, significantly outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +3.8% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating potential for outperformance in the near term [3]
Boot Barn (BOOT) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Beat Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-10-29 23:21
Core Insights - Boot Barn (BOOT) reported quarterly earnings of $1.37 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.26 per share, and showing an increase from $0.95 per share a year ago, resulting in an earnings surprise of +8.73% [1] - The company achieved revenues of $505.4 million for the quarter ended September 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.16% and up from $425.8 million year-over-year [2] - Boot Barn's stock has increased approximately 30.8% year-to-date, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 17.2% [3] Earnings Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $2.41 on revenues of $671.38 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $6.61 on revenues of $2.17 billion [7] - The estimate revisions trend for Boot Barn was favorable prior to the earnings release, leading to a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) for the stock, indicating expected outperformance in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry, to which Boot Barn belongs, is currently ranked in the top 19% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a favorable outlook for stocks within this sector [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can be tracked by investors [5]
Boot Barn(BOOT) - 2026 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-29 21:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue increased by 19% year-over-year to $505 million, driven by new store openings and same-store sales growth of 8.4% [7][18] - Earnings per diluted share rose 44% to $1.37 compared to $0.95 in the prior year [7][20] - Merchandise margin rates increased by 80 basis points year-over-year [7][15] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Same-store sales growth was 8.4%, with brick-and-mortar sales increasing by 7.8% and e-commerce sales growing by 14.4% [10][18] - The ladies' business saw positive mid-teens comp growth, while men's business comped positive high single digits [10][11] - Exclusive brand penetration increased by 290 basis points to 41% of sales [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The total addressable market (TAM) expanded from $40 billion to $58 billion, a 45% increase [9][39] - The company estimates a long-term U.S. store count potential of 1,200 stores, with plans to open 12-15% new units annually [10][9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on four strategic initiatives: new store growth, same-store sales, omnichannel expansion, and merchandise margin expansion [5][10] - The strategy includes leveraging AI to enhance customer experience and improve online sales [12][14] - The company aims to maintain a stores-first approach while expanding its online presence [10][14] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed cautious optimism about the current business tone and preparation for a strong holiday season [17] - There is a recognition of macroeconomic uncertainties affecting consumer sentiment, leading to a conservative outlook for the second half of the year [17][34] - The company raised its full-year guidance, expecting total sales of $2.235 billion, representing a 17% growth over fiscal 2025 [22][23] Other Important Information - The company plans to open 70 new stores during fiscal 2026, with 30 already opened halfway through the year [8][23] - Inventory increased by 20% year-over-year to $855 million, with markdowns below last year and historical levels [21] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you elaborate on the drivers of October's further comp acceleration? - Management noted that October's performance aligned with major merchandise categories, with work boots showing notable improvement [32] Question: What is driving the large increase in the total addressable market? - The increase is attributed to demographic studies and the company's growing reputation as a denim destination [39] Question: How do you see pricing elasticity performing? - Management indicated that pricing increases have not significantly affected consumer behavior, with consistent demand across both exclusive and third-party brands [53][98] Question: What are the plans for exclusive brands moving forward? - The focus will be on enhancing brand storytelling and driving customers to Boot Barn stores, with no current plans for wholesale or international sales [46][49] Question: How many stores will be opened in Q3 and Q4? - The company plans to open 25 stores in Q3 and 15 in Q4 [89]
Boot Barn(BOOT) - 2026 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-29 21:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue increased by 19% year-over-year to $505 million, driven by new store openings and same-store sales growth of 8.4% [7][18] - Earnings per diluted share rose 44% to $1.37 compared to $0.95 in the prior year [7][20] - Merchandise margin rates increased by 80 basis points year-over-year [7][15] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Same-store sales growth was 8.4%, with brick-and-mortar sales increasing by 7.8% and e-commerce sales growing by 14.4% [10][18] - The ladies' business saw positive mid-teens comp growth, while men's business comped positive high single digits [10][11] - Exclusive brand penetration increased by 290 basis points to 41% of sales [15][22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The total addressable market (TAM) was revised upward from $40 billion-$58 billion, reflecting a 45% increase [9][37] - The company estimates a long-term U.S. store count potential of 1,200 stores, with plans to open 12%-15% new units annually [10][60] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on expanding its store footprint while enhancing its omnichannel capabilities [10][14] - Strategic initiatives include new store growth, same-store sales improvement, omnichannel enhancements, and merchandise margin expansion [5][15] - The company aims to leverage AI to improve customer experience and operational efficiencies [13][14] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed cautious optimism about the current business tone and readiness for the holiday season, despite macroeconomic uncertainties [17][22] - The company anticipates a consolidated same-store sales increase of 4.5% for the third quarter [24] - Management remains focused on maintaining strong customer service and inventory management [17][21] Other Important Information - The company plans to open 70 new stores during fiscal 2026, with 30 already opened [8][23] - SG&A expenses as a percentage of sales decreased by 120 basis points to 25.3% [20] - The company has a strong cash position with $65 million in cash and no drawn amounts on its revolving credit line [21] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you elaborate on the drivers of October's further comp acceleration? - Management noted that October's performance aligned with major merchandise categories, with work boots showing notable improvement [30][31] Question: What is driving the large increase in the total addressable market? - The increase is attributed to demographic studies and the growing trend of casualization in wearing occasions [37][38] Question: How do you see pricing elasticity performing across different categories? - Management indicated that they have not seen significant changes in consumer behavior despite price increases, except for one small brand that raised prices significantly [95] Question: What are the expectations for store openings in the upcoming quarters? - The company plans to open 25 stores in Q3 and 15 in Q4 [86] Question: How is the company addressing the challenges posed by tariffs? - Management is working with factories to mitigate tariff impacts and plans to adjust exclusive brand pricing post-holiday season [39][68]
Boot Barn(BOOT) - 2026 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-29 21:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue increased by 19% year-over-year to $505 million, driven by new store openings and same-store sales growth of 8.4% [5][18] - Earnings per diluted share rose 44% to $1.37 compared to $0.95 in the prior year [5][19] - Merchandise margin rates increased by 80 basis points year-over-year [5][19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Same-store sales growth was 8.4%, with brick-and-mortar sales increasing by 7.8% and e-commerce sales growing by 14.4% [9][18] - The ladies' business saw positive mid-teens comp growth, while men's business comped positive high single digits [10] - Exclusive brand penetration increased by 290 basis points to 41% of sales [14][19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The total addressable market (TAM) expanded from $40 billion to $58 billion, a 45% increase [8][33] - The company estimates a long-term U.S. store count potential of 1,200 stores, with plans to open 12-15% new units annually [8][9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on a "stores-first" strategy, emphasizing new store growth and omnichannel initiatives [9][13] - Marketing efforts include sponsorship of rodeos and partnerships with country music artists to enhance brand visibility [10] - The company aims to leverage AI to improve customer experience and operational efficiencies [12][13] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed cautious optimism about the current business tone and preparation for a strong holiday season [17] - There is a recognition of macroeconomic uncertainties affecting consumer sentiment, leading to a conservative outlook for the second half of the year [31][68] - The company raised its full-year guidance, expecting total sales of $2.235 billion, representing a 17% growth over fiscal 2025 [21][22] Other Important Information - Inventory increased by 20% year-over-year to $855 million, with markdowns below last year and historical levels [20] - The company repurchased approximately 73,000 shares for $12.5 million as part of its share repurchase program [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: Drivers of October's comp acceleration and long-term store count potential - Management noted that October's performance aligned with major merchandise categories, with work boots showing notable improvement [28][29] Question: Details on the TAM increase - The increase in TAM was driven by demographic studies and the trend of casualization in wearing occasions [33] Question: Pricing strategy and exclusive brand penetration - Exclusive brand pricing will be adjusted post-holiday to preserve margins, with current penetration at 41% [34][35] Question: Success of exclusive brand websites - The websites for exclusive brands aim to drive customer traffic to Boot Barn stores, with no plans for wholesale or international sales [38][39] Question: Online penetration and margin implications - Online business is expected to hover around 10% penetration, with no significant shifts anticipated [62] Question: Regional performance and consumer behavior - Management reported widespread growth across geographies, with no significant changes in shopping behavior among Hispanic consumers [58] Question: Margin dynamics and tariff impacts - The company is managing tariff impacts through negotiations with factories and has factored these into margin guidance [60]
Boot Barn(BOOT) - 2026 Q2 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-10-29 20:30
Offering everyone a piece of the American spirit—one handshake at a time. Supplemental Financial Presentation October 2025 0 Important Information Forward-Looking Statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. All statements other than statements of historical fact included in this presentation are forward- looking statements. Forward-looking statements refer to the Boot Barn Holdings, Inc.'s (the "Company," "Boot Barn," "BOOT," "we," "us," and ...